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SARA: a community
Jairo Andrés Valcárcel Torres
OpenQuake Release
January 21 2015
Pavia, Italy
SARA
SARA is a three year project, funded by Swiss Re Foundation, focused on
the assessment of potential losses and impacts of earthquakes in South
America
Our goal: to obtain a transparent seismic risk model, produced by local
experts in a close communication with decision makers
Local experts+50
17 Local
institutions
2
European
organizations
Components of SARA
Tools for OpenQuake Platform
Regional and integrated
risk assessment
Seismic hazard
Assessment
State of the art
Active faults
Subduction
Catalogue
Crustal
deformaton
GMPE’S
Regional model
Exposure and
vulnerability
models
Exposure
databases
Fragility and
vulnerability
functions
Social and economic
vulnerability and
resilience
Social
vulnerability
Resilience
Indirect losses
City
scenarios
Quito
Lima
Medellin
Iquique
Osorno
Rancagua
Review and implementation of available hazard models into
OpenQuake
Active
faults
Subduction > Catalogue > GMPEs >
Regional
model
>
State of
the art
>
IG-EPNSGC (2010)
Compilation
Appraisal
Implementation and
validation
Build a harmonized database of shallow active faults
Active
faults
Subduction > Catalogue > GMPEs >
Regional
model
>
State of
the art
>
Multinational Andean project(2008)
Rinconada Fault (Carlos Costa)
Compilation strategy
Guidelines
Structure
A homogenous earthquake catalogue for South America
Active
faults
Subduction > Catalogue > GMPEs >
Regional
model
>
State of
the art
>
Earthquakes before 1964 Instrumental national catalogues
Collection of available
catalogs
Homogenization and
merging criteria
Development of a tool
Selection of regional or global GMPEs for probabilistic seismic
hazard
Active
faults
Subduction > Catalogue > GMPEs >
Regional
model
>
State of
the art
>
Processing
Discussion
Collection
Selection
Strong
motion
records
GMPEs
National and subnational exposure models based on census
information and previous studies
An exposure model for countries of the Andean Region
Type of dwelling
Material of:
- Exterior walls
- Floors
- Roof
Type of area
-Urban
- Rural
Mapping
schemes
Exposure models based on the knowledge of local experts
Building types:
 Census
 Chamber of
construction
 Field/virtual
surveys
Replacement costs
by material of
construction
Exposure models based on surveys and knowledge of local
experts
Built area from
Cadastral maps and
aerial images
Building heights from
Field/virtual surveys
Replacement value
based on builders
judgement
Mapping
schemes
Review / development of vulnerability/fragility functions
Country Existing Vulnerability /fragility
functions
CHL  Reinforced concrete frames
 Housing solutions for low
income population
COL  Reinforced concrete frames
 Reinforced concrete shear walls
 Reinforced masonry
 Mud walls
PER  Adobe
 Confined masonry
 Reinforced concrete frames
VEN  Reinforced concrete frames
 Non engineered buildings
Tarque et al. (2010)
A database of indices for the analysis of socioeconomic
vulnerability
Population
Economy
Socioeconomic
database
Infrastructure
Education
Health
Environment
Governance and
institutional capacity
Identifying the rationale of each variable included in the analysis
City scenarios
Dwellings
The Project is being
developed in
collaboration with the
local government
MedellínQuito
Regional and integrated risk assessment
SARA
We are more than
observers.
We are working together
as a community;
for the community.
We are not only creating
a platform for assessing
risk, but creating a
network that will use it
for developing risk
management strategies.
SARA: the end of the story, December 2015?
SARA is part of the
solution for seismic risk
management
Except where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under:
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Please attribute to the GEM Foundation with a link to -
www.globalquakemodel.org

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SARA project_OQRelease

  • 1.
  • 2. SARA: a community Jairo Andrés Valcárcel Torres OpenQuake Release January 21 2015 Pavia, Italy
  • 3. SARA SARA is a three year project, funded by Swiss Re Foundation, focused on the assessment of potential losses and impacts of earthquakes in South America Our goal: to obtain a transparent seismic risk model, produced by local experts in a close communication with decision makers Local experts+50 17 Local institutions 2 European organizations
  • 4. Components of SARA Tools for OpenQuake Platform Regional and integrated risk assessment Seismic hazard Assessment State of the art Active faults Subduction Catalogue Crustal deformaton GMPE’S Regional model Exposure and vulnerability models Exposure databases Fragility and vulnerability functions Social and economic vulnerability and resilience Social vulnerability Resilience Indirect losses City scenarios Quito Lima Medellin Iquique Osorno Rancagua
  • 5. Review and implementation of available hazard models into OpenQuake Active faults Subduction > Catalogue > GMPEs > Regional model > State of the art > IG-EPNSGC (2010) Compilation Appraisal Implementation and validation
  • 6. Build a harmonized database of shallow active faults Active faults Subduction > Catalogue > GMPEs > Regional model > State of the art > Multinational Andean project(2008) Rinconada Fault (Carlos Costa) Compilation strategy Guidelines Structure
  • 7. A homogenous earthquake catalogue for South America Active faults Subduction > Catalogue > GMPEs > Regional model > State of the art > Earthquakes before 1964 Instrumental national catalogues Collection of available catalogs Homogenization and merging criteria Development of a tool
  • 8. Selection of regional or global GMPEs for probabilistic seismic hazard Active faults Subduction > Catalogue > GMPEs > Regional model > State of the art > Processing Discussion Collection Selection Strong motion records GMPEs
  • 9. National and subnational exposure models based on census information and previous studies An exposure model for countries of the Andean Region Type of dwelling Material of: - Exterior walls - Floors - Roof Type of area -Urban - Rural Mapping schemes
  • 10. Exposure models based on the knowledge of local experts Building types:  Census  Chamber of construction  Field/virtual surveys Replacement costs by material of construction
  • 11. Exposure models based on surveys and knowledge of local experts Built area from Cadastral maps and aerial images Building heights from Field/virtual surveys Replacement value based on builders judgement Mapping schemes
  • 12. Review / development of vulnerability/fragility functions Country Existing Vulnerability /fragility functions CHL  Reinforced concrete frames  Housing solutions for low income population COL  Reinforced concrete frames  Reinforced concrete shear walls  Reinforced masonry  Mud walls PER  Adobe  Confined masonry  Reinforced concrete frames VEN  Reinforced concrete frames  Non engineered buildings Tarque et al. (2010)
  • 13. A database of indices for the analysis of socioeconomic vulnerability Population Economy Socioeconomic database Infrastructure Education Health Environment Governance and institutional capacity Identifying the rationale of each variable included in the analysis
  • 14. City scenarios Dwellings The Project is being developed in collaboration with the local government MedellínQuito
  • 15. Regional and integrated risk assessment
  • 16. SARA We are more than observers. We are working together as a community; for the community. We are not only creating a platform for assessing risk, but creating a network that will use it for developing risk management strategies.
  • 17. SARA: the end of the story, December 2015? SARA is part of the solution for seismic risk management
  • 18. Except where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under: creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ Please attribute to the GEM Foundation with a link to - www.globalquakemodel.org