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Introduction	
  
This	
  is	
  the	
  final	
  report	
  on	
  expenditures	
  of	
  the	
  ABC	
  Program.	
  It	
  is	
  part,	
  among	
  other	
  things,	
  of	
  
the	
  activities	
  performed	
  in	
  the	
  second	
  year	
  of	
  the	
  ABC	
  Plan	
  Observatory	
  operation.	
  Its	
  main	
  
purpose	
  is	
  to	
  analyze,	
  in	
  a	
  quantitative	
  and	
  qualitative	
  manner,	
  the	
  performance	
  –	
  contract	
  –	
  of	
  
the	
  main	
  credit	
  line	
  for	
  financing	
  low-­‐carbon	
  emission	
  agriculture	
  in	
  Brazil,	
  the	
  ABC	
  Program.	
  
The	
   report	
   shows	
   updates	
   concerning	
   part	
   of	
   the	
   2014/15	
   crop	
   year	
   (from	
   July	
   2014	
   to	
  
February	
   2015),	
   also	
   presenting	
   an	
   analysis	
   focused	
   on	
   the	
   resources	
   contracted	
   through	
  
BNDES	
   (the	
   Brazilian	
   National	
   Bank	
   of	
   Social	
   and	
   Economic	
   Development)	
   	
   and	
   on	
   their	
  
investment	
  purposes.	
  Additionally,	
  we	
  also	
  present	
  a	
  case	
  study	
  from	
  Para	
  State,	
  and	
  discuss	
  
the	
  potential	
  to	
  meet	
  emission	
  reduction	
  targets	
  in	
  the	
  Legal	
  Amazon	
  region.	
  
The	
  ABC	
  Observatory	
  Plan	
  aims	
  at	
  engaging	
  different	
  sectors	
  of	
  the	
  Brazilian	
  society	
  in	
  the	
  
transition	
  towards	
  a	
  low-­‐carbon	
  emission	
  agriculture,	
  monitoring	
  actions	
  of	
  the	
  ABC	
  Plan	
  and	
  
Program,	
   and	
   conducting	
   technical	
   studies	
   to	
   support	
   and	
   facilitate	
   the	
   dialogue	
   with	
  
stakeholders.	
  	
  The	
  ABC	
  Plan,	
  on	
  its	
  turn,	
  aims	
  at	
  developing	
  the	
  agricultural	
  sector	
  based	
  on	
  
low	
  carbon	
  emissions	
  to	
  the	
  atmosphere,	
  showing	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  productive	
  and	
  technological	
  
alternatives	
  to	
  Brazilian	
  rural	
  producers.	
  	
  It	
  represents	
  one	
  out	
  of	
  the	
  nine	
  sector	
  plans	
  with	
  
guidelines	
   for	
   Brazil	
   to	
   meet	
   the	
   voluntary	
   commitment	
   to	
   mitigate	
   its	
   greenhouse	
   gas	
  
emissions.	
  The	
  ABC	
  Program,	
  which	
  is	
  the	
  subject	
  matter	
  analyzed	
  in	
  this	
  report,	
  is	
  the	
  credit	
  
line	
  associated	
  with	
  the	
  ABC	
  Plan,	
  offering	
  privileged	
  conditions	
  to	
  producers	
  who	
  are	
  willing	
  
to	
  incorporate	
  production	
  technologies	
  with	
  lower	
  carbon	
  emissions	
  to	
  their	
  properties.	
  
Data	
  used	
  for	
  regional	
  analyses	
  came	
  from	
  the	
  Brazilian	
  Central	
  Bank	
  (BACEN),	
  with	
  whom	
  
the	
   ABC	
   Observatory	
   established	
   a	
   partnership	
   to	
   share	
   the	
   database	
   of	
   the	
   Rural	
   Credit	
  
Operation	
  System	
  and	
  Proagro	
  (SICOR),	
  which	
  gathers	
  rural	
  credit	
  operations	
  in	
  Brazil.	
  It	
  is	
  
worth	
   noting	
   SICOR	
   data	
   is	
   not	
   static.	
   Financial	
   institutions	
   have	
   autonomy	
   to	
   change	
   or	
  
remove	
  credit	
  operations	
  at	
  a	
  given	
  date,	
  as	
  described	
  in	
  the	
  Rural Credit	
  Manual.	
  Thus,	
  the	
  
sum	
  of	
  data	
  monthly	
  reported	
  by	
  the	
  Central	
  Bank	
  is	
  slightly	
  different	
  from	
  the	
  total	
  accrued	
  
value	
  informed.	
  Data	
  in	
  this	
  report	
  is	
  the	
  result	
  of	
  monthly	
  sums,	
  which	
  allows	
  for	
  more	
  in-­‐
depth	
  analyses.	
  
However,	
   for	
   information	
   about	
   investment	
   purposes	
   of	
   the	
   operations	
   (represented	
   by	
  
subentries	
  in	
  the	
  ABC	
  Program,	
  such	
  as	
  pastureland	
  recovery,	
  for	
  instance),	
  data	
  came	
  from	
  
spreadsheets	
   provided	
   directly	
   by	
   BNDES	
   to	
   the	
   ABC	
   Observatory,	
   since	
   SICOR	
   does	
   not	
  
report	
  this	
  type	
  of	
  information	
  in	
  its	
  database.	
  	
  The	
  ABC	
  Observatory	
  kindly	
  thanks	
  BACEN	
  
and	
  BNDES	
  for	
  having	
  provided	
  the	
  information,	
  which	
  allows	
  for	
  a	
  more	
  in-­‐depth	
  analysis	
  of	
  
the	
   ABC	
   Program	
   and	
   contributes	
   for	
   more	
   transparency	
   and	
   greater	
   governance	
   of	
   the	
  
initiative.	
  
Parte	
  I	
  of	
  this	
  report	
  presents	
  the	
  main	
  results	
  from	
  2011/12,	
  2012/13,	
  and	
  2013/14	
  crop	
  
years,	
  and	
  an	
  update	
  of	
  the	
  first	
  eight	
  months	
  in	
  2014/15	
  (from	
  July	
  to	
  February	
  2015).	
  Then,	
  
Part	
  II	
  discusses	
  the	
  strategic	
  role	
  the	
  Legal	
  Amazon	
  plays	
  to	
  reduce	
  GHG	
  emissions	
  in	
  the	
  
Brazilian	
  agriculture.	
  Part	
  II	
  describes	
  a	
  case	
  study	
  conducted	
  in	
  Para	
  State,	
  with	
  detailed	
  
coverage	
  in	
  a	
  municipality	
  called	
  Paragominas.	
  Finally,	
  we	
  present	
  our	
  final	
  remarks	
  on	
  the	
  
current	
  results	
  of	
  the	
  ABC	
  Program.	
  
	
  
2,533.00	
  
3,049.00 	
  3,027.00	
  
1,624.00	
  
	
  
Part	
  I	
  
Evolution	
  of	
  the	
  ABC	
  Program	
  and	
  data	
  update	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  2014/2015	
  
crop	
  year	
  
For	
  the	
  2014/15	
  crop	
  year,	
  the	
  Agricultural	
  Plan	
  (PAP	
  2014/15)	
  was	
  expected	
  to	
  use	
  BRL	
  4.5	
  
billion	
  in	
  low-­‐carbon	
  emission	
  production	
  techniques	
  in	
  the	
  field,	
  leveraging	
  the	
  ABC	
  Program	
  
investment	
  credit	
  line.	
  Credit	
  for	
  this	
  crop	
  year	
  has	
  been	
  granted	
  at	
  5%	
  per	
  year	
  for	
  rural	
  
producers	
  with	
  annual	
  gross	
  income	
  higher	
  than	
  BRL	
  1.6	
  million,	
  and	
  at	
  4.5%	
  per	
  year	
  for	
  
rural	
  producers	
  with	
  annual	
  gross	
  income	
  up	
  to	
  BRL	
  1.6	
  million,	
  and	
  the	
  reimbursement	
  time	
  
frame	
  is	
  up	
  to	
  15	
  years,	
  according	
  to	
  the	
  purpose	
  of	
  the	
  investment	
  contracted.	
  
Total	
  operations	
  contracted	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  eight	
  months	
  in	
  2014/15	
  were	
  BRL	
  2.53	
  billion,	
  out	
  of	
  
which	
  BRL	
  2.35	
  billion	
  were	
  disbursed	
  by	
  Banco	
  do	
  Brasil	
  (BB),	
  and	
  BRL	
  176.86	
  million	
  via	
  
BNDES	
  (Figure	
  1).	
  Similar	
  to	
  what	
  happened	
  to	
  previous	
  crop	
  years,	
  the	
  trend	
  for	
  2014/15	
  is	
  
that	
   Banco	
   do	
   Brasil	
   will	
   keep	
   being	
   the	
   major	
   player	
   in	
   contracting	
   resources	
   for	
   the	
  
Program.	
  
Figure	
  1.	
  Total	
  value	
  contracted	
  for	
  the	
  ABC	
  Program	
  from	
  the	
  2011/12	
  crop	
  year	
  to	
  the	
  2014/15	
  crop	
  
year	
  (until	
  February)	
  	
  
Sources:	
  BB,	
  BNDES,	
  and	
  SICOR	
  
	
  
The	
  number	
  of	
  contracts	
  approved	
  during	
  the	
  first	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  2014/15	
  crop	
  year	
  was	
  9,929,	
  
totalling	
  an	
  average	
  value	
  per	
  contract	
  of	
  BRL	
  255,200	
  (Figure	
  2).	
  Compared	
  to	
  the	
  previous	
  
crop	
   year,	
   2013/2014,	
   in	
   which	
   the	
   average	
   value	
   was	
   BRL	
   250,100,	
   one	
   can	
   come	
   to	
   the	
  
conclusion	
  that	
  the	
  average	
  value	
  of	
  the	
  current	
  crop	
  year	
  is	
  slightly	
  higher,	
  which	
  suggests	
  
an	
  intensification	
  in	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  resources	
  allocated	
  to	
  rural	
  properties	
  in	
  Brazil.	
  

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  • 1.
  • 2.     Introduction   This  is  the  final  report  on  expenditures  of  the  ABC  Program.  It  is  part,  among  other  things,  of   the  activities  performed  in  the  second  year  of  the  ABC  Plan  Observatory  operation.  Its  main   purpose  is  to  analyze,  in  a  quantitative  and  qualitative  manner,  the  performance  –  contract  –  of   the  main  credit  line  for  financing  low-­‐carbon  emission  agriculture  in  Brazil,  the  ABC  Program.   The   report   shows   updates   concerning   part   of   the   2014/15   crop   year   (from   July   2014   to   February   2015),   also   presenting   an   analysis   focused   on   the   resources   contracted   through   BNDES   (the   Brazilian   National   Bank   of   Social   and   Economic   Development)     and   on   their   investment  purposes.  Additionally,  we  also  present  a  case  study  from  Para  State,  and  discuss   the  potential  to  meet  emission  reduction  targets  in  the  Legal  Amazon  region.   The  ABC  Observatory  Plan  aims  at  engaging  different  sectors  of  the  Brazilian  society  in  the   transition  towards  a  low-­‐carbon  emission  agriculture,  monitoring  actions  of  the  ABC  Plan  and   Program,   and   conducting   technical   studies   to   support   and   facilitate   the   dialogue   with   stakeholders.    The  ABC  Plan,  on  its  turn,  aims  at  developing  the  agricultural  sector  based  on   low  carbon  emissions  to  the  atmosphere,  showing  a  number  of  productive  and  technological   alternatives  to  Brazilian  rural  producers.    It  represents  one  out  of  the  nine  sector  plans  with   guidelines   for   Brazil   to   meet   the   voluntary   commitment   to   mitigate   its   greenhouse   gas   emissions.  The  ABC  Program,  which  is  the  subject  matter  analyzed  in  this  report,  is  the  credit   line  associated  with  the  ABC  Plan,  offering  privileged  conditions  to  producers  who  are  willing   to  incorporate  production  technologies  with  lower  carbon  emissions  to  their  properties.   Data  used  for  regional  analyses  came  from  the  Brazilian  Central  Bank  (BACEN),  with  whom   the   ABC   Observatory   established   a   partnership   to   share   the   database   of   the   Rural   Credit   Operation  System  and  Proagro  (SICOR),  which  gathers  rural  credit  operations  in  Brazil.  It  is   worth   noting   SICOR   data   is   not   static.   Financial   institutions   have   autonomy   to   change   or   remove  credit  operations  at  a  given  date,  as  described  in  the  Rural Credit  Manual.  Thus,  the   sum  of  data  monthly  reported  by  the  Central  Bank  is  slightly  different  from  the  total  accrued   value  informed.  Data  in  this  report  is  the  result  of  monthly  sums,  which  allows  for  more  in-­‐ depth  analyses.   However,   for   information   about   investment   purposes   of   the   operations   (represented   by   subentries  in  the  ABC  Program,  such  as  pastureland  recovery,  for  instance),  data  came  from   spreadsheets   provided   directly   by   BNDES   to   the   ABC   Observatory,   since   SICOR   does   not   report  this  type  of  information  in  its  database.    The  ABC  Observatory  kindly  thanks  BACEN   and  BNDES  for  having  provided  the  information,  which  allows  for  a  more  in-­‐depth  analysis  of   the   ABC   Program   and   contributes   for   more   transparency   and   greater   governance   of   the   initiative.   Parte  I  of  this  report  presents  the  main  results  from  2011/12,  2012/13,  and  2013/14  crop   years,  and  an  update  of  the  first  eight  months  in  2014/15  (from  July  to  February  2015).  Then,   Part  II  discusses  the  strategic  role  the  Legal  Amazon  plays  to  reduce  GHG  emissions  in  the   Brazilian  agriculture.  Part  II  describes  a  case  study  conducted  in  Para  State,  with  detailed   coverage  in  a  municipality  called  Paragominas.  Finally,  we  present  our  final  remarks  on  the   current  results  of  the  ABC  Program.    
  • 3. 2,533.00   3,049.00  3,027.00   1,624.00     Part  I   Evolution  of  the  ABC  Program  and  data  update  for  the  first  half  of  the  2014/2015   crop  year   For  the  2014/15  crop  year,  the  Agricultural  Plan  (PAP  2014/15)  was  expected  to  use  BRL  4.5   billion  in  low-­‐carbon  emission  production  techniques  in  the  field,  leveraging  the  ABC  Program   investment  credit  line.  Credit  for  this  crop  year  has  been  granted  at  5%  per  year  for  rural   producers  with  annual  gross  income  higher  than  BRL  1.6  million,  and  at  4.5%  per  year  for   rural  producers  with  annual  gross  income  up  to  BRL  1.6  million,  and  the  reimbursement  time   frame  is  up  to  15  years,  according  to  the  purpose  of  the  investment  contracted.   Total  operations  contracted  for  the  first  eight  months  in  2014/15  were  BRL  2.53  billion,  out  of   which  BRL  2.35  billion  were  disbursed  by  Banco  do  Brasil  (BB),  and  BRL  176.86  million  via   BNDES  (Figure  1).  Similar  to  what  happened  to  previous  crop  years,  the  trend  for  2014/15  is   that   Banco   do   Brasil   will   keep   being   the   major   player   in   contracting   resources   for   the   Program.   Figure  1.  Total  value  contracted  for  the  ABC  Program  from  the  2011/12  crop  year  to  the  2014/15  crop   year  (until  February)     Sources:  BB,  BNDES,  and  SICOR     The  number  of  contracts  approved  during  the  first  half  of  the  2014/15  crop  year  was  9,929,   totalling  an  average  value  per  contract  of  BRL  255,200  (Figure  2).  Compared  to  the  previous   crop   year,   2013/2014,   in   which   the   average   value   was   BRL   250,100,   one   can   come   to   the   conclusion  that  the  average  value  of  the  current  crop  year  is  slightly  higher,  which  suggests   an  intensification  in  the  amount  of  resources  allocated  to  rural  properties  in  Brazil.