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US stocks fell on Thursday after the United States moved to
impose tariffs on metal imports from Canada, Mexico and
the European Union, prompting retaliatory measures from
some of its trading partners
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US stocks fell on Thursday after the United States moved to
impose tariffs on metal imports from Canada, Mexico and
the European Union, prompting retaliatory measures from
some of its trading partners
US stocks ended lower on Tuesday, weighed down by
lingering uncertainty over the outcome of trade talks
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energy and industrial shares.
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All three major US stock indexes closed slightly higher on
Monday as investors eyed the looming United States-North
Korea summit on Tuesday in Singapore while shrugging off
the weekend's factious meeting of the Group of Seven
nations.
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US stocks rose on Monday and gains in industrials helped
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US stocks ended lower on Tuesday, weighed down by
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All three major US stock indexes closed slightly higher on
Monday as investors eyed the looming United States-North
Korea summit on Tuesday in Singapore while shrugging off
the weekend's factious meeting of the Group of Seven
nations.
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US stocks rose on Monday and gains in industrials helped
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after a truce between the United States and China calmed
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The S&P 500 edged up and the Nasdaq reached another
record closing high on Thursday after the European Central
Bank said it would avoid raising interest rates until mid-
2019, and data showed US economic strength.
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Special report-18-feb-2019-epic-research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18-FEB-2019
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street rallied on Friday, with the Dow and the Nasdaq
posting their eighth consecutive weekly gains as investors
grew hopeful that the United States and China would
hammer out an agreement resolving their protracted trade
war. All three major US indexes ended the session higher,
and for the fourth straight session, the S&P 500 held above
its 200-day moving average, a key technical level.The Dow
Jones Industrial Average rose 443.86 points, or 1.74
percent, to 25,883.25, the S&P 500 gained 29.87 points, or
1.09 percent, to 2,775.6 and the Nasdaq Composite added
45.46 points, or 0.61 percent, to 7,472.41.
Asian share markets firmed on Monday as investors dared
to hope for both progress at Sino-US trade talks in
Washington this week and more policy stimulus from major
central banks.MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan added 0.3 percent, partially recovering from
a sharp fall last Friday. Japan’s Nikkei climbed 1.6 percent
to hit its highest for the year so far, while Australia’s main
index rose 0.7 percent. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 were
flat, with trade thinned by a holiday in US markets.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Indian equity markets continued facing selling pressure
with the Nifty ending the day in the red for the sixth
consecutive session. The Nifty ended the first weekly expiry
47 points lower at 10,746, however, the index recovered
from its intraday low of 10,718 and managed to close
above its 200-DEMA.Bank Nifty, on the other hand,
relatively outperformed ending the session 84 points
higher led by Yes Bank which surged 30.5% to Rs221 after
news that the RBI found no divergence in asset
classification and provisioning for FY18.Nifty Media was the
best performing sectoral index ending the session 3.91%
higher.Bank Nifty futures witnessed a decline in open
interest indicating short covering.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-3.10pts],
Consumption[-48.25pts],PSE[+53.20pts],CPSE
[+35.10pts],Energy[+283.35pts],FMCG[-142.35pts],Auto[-
90.8pts],Pharma[-277.60ts],IT[-46.05pts],Metal[-
56.55pts],Realty[-0.55pts], Fin Serv sector[-90.85pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25924 +0.14
S&P500 2775 +1.09
NASDAQ 7472 +0.09
FTSE100 7236 +0.55
NIKKEI 21294 +1.88
HANG SENG 28375 +1.70
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
BPCL 327.85 12.2 3.87
NTPC 136.25 5 3.81
Power Grid Corp 181.5 6.55 3.74
Bharti Infratel 306.9 9.7 3.26
GAIL 317.75 9.8 3.18
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
JSW Steel 266.9 -13.75 -4.9
Sun Pharma 422.9 -18 -4.08
Dr Reddys Labs 2,563.35 -103.9 -3.9
Tata Steel 467.5 -15.05 -3.12
Vedanta 147.3 -4.45 -2.93
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABFRL 221 5.35 2.52
HDFCMFGETF 3,044.00 17.6 0.59
LIQUIDETF 1,000.01 0.02 0
SKFINDIA 1,990.00 -19.8 -1.01
SAGARDEEP 111 -4.05 -3.97
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10724 -21.6 -0.20
SENSEX 35808 -67.27 -0.19
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
21STCENMGM 18.4 0.2 1.07
3IINFOTECH 2.65 0.05 1.85
AARVEEDEN 20.25 -0.55 -2.56
ABGSHIP 1.45 -0.05 -3.33
ADHUNIK 1.4 -0.05 -3.45
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18-FEB-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
REPCOHOME
Stock has given the breakout of the neckline of the double
bottom pattern but can not sustain at upper level .we
have seen the weakness on chart We recommend sell
below 370 for the target of 365/360 with the stop loss of
380
MACRO NEWS
Oil prices rose to their highest levels since November
last year on Monday, lifted by OPEC-led supply cuts
and US sanctions on Iran and Venezuela. US West
Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures pushed
through $56 per barrel for the first time this year,
hitting $56.13 a barrel before edging back to $56.02 a
barrel by 0112 GMT, still up 0.8 percent from their last
settlement.
India's merchandise trade deficit widened to $14.73
billion in January after hitting a 10-month low of
$13.08 billion in December, data released by
Commerce Ministry showed. The deficit was $15.67
billion in January, 2018.Merchandise exports grew
3.74 percent on year at $26.36 billion, mainly due to
growth in textiles, drugs and pharmaceuticals as well
as organic and inorganic chemicals.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. Titan [FUTURE ]
TITAN -In Titan on daily chart as well as weekly we have
seen that Buying in this stock by traders as well as investors
in last week .Reason behind that quarterly result awaited in
this week & also from technical aspect stock now moving
towards to break its previous highs.Our recommendation is
to Buy 1050 stock target will be 1055/1060 SL below 1040
2. KSCL [FUTURE]
KSCL— In KSCL we have seen sharp selling in this week , we
may expect that it will be continue in upcoming week also.
On Technical point of view seen trend line breakdown & also
stock not able to sustain at upper level. RSI & MACD also
indicate downtrend in this stock with strong volume.Our
recommendation is sell stock future in the range of 480
Target 470/460 Sl 500
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18-FEB-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 109 4,31,553 5,30,360
BANKNIFTY CE 27,200 51 3,65,376 3,51,300
BANKNIFTY CE 27,100 75 3,22,349 2,97,440
YESBANK CE 230 7.2 12,851 40,98,500
YESBANK CE 220 10.7 12,550 41,89,500
RELIANCE CE 1,260 23 12,431 9,19,500
RELIANCE CE 1,280 15.2 11,478 11,98,000
RELIANCE CE 1,240 33 11,428 6,78,000
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,500 109.95 4,59,983 3,05,420
BANKNIFTY PE 26,700 170 2,68,118 2,19,460
BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 38 2,37,905 3,64,680
YESBANK PE 200 4.85 10,418 45,74,500
RELIANCE PE 1,200 9.45 9,261 9,48,000
YESBANK PE 210 7.9 8,068 19,32,000
RELIANCE PE 1,220 14.35 6,969 5,08,500
RELIANCE PE 1,180 6.35 6,438 6,60,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 27607 1953.81 73094 5554.42 378025 29594.15 -3600.6063
INDEX OPTIONS 3119714 182034.68 3088262 180005.06 835121 62953.70 2029.615
STOCK FUTURES 263787 13604.61 264387 14104.13 1519302 89530.86 -499.5194
STOCK OPTIONS 200053 10680.74 194790 10354.77 170200 9838.80 325.9606
-1744.5501
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Bharti Airtel: Airtel Kenya Signs an agreement with
Telkom Kenya to combine operations.
Tata Steel Q3: Profit surges 53 percent YoY to Rs 1,751
crore; India biz revenue up 10 percent
Reliance Industries: RRVL acquired a further stake of
9.44 percent in Genesis Colors for Rs 45 crore
NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily weekly chart we have
identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the
top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming
Raising wedge pattern in technical term bearish reversal
pattern .Nifty breach the important level of 11000 in this
week ,but closing below 11000 .On technical point of
view still our recommendation is to sell nifty future in
the range of 10750 Target 10700/10650 SL 11000 Our
strategy is to sell on rise .
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10875 10800 10710 10634 10544
BANKNIFTY 27214 27004 26819 26609 26425
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18-FEB-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Oil prices rose by around 1 percent on Thursday, with Brent
crude futures hitting a 2019-high, buoyed by hopes that the
Sino-U.S. tariff dispute could end soon and as China's trade
figures including crude imports beat forecasts.
International Brent crude oil futures were at $64.35 per
barrel at 0754 GMT, up 74 cents, or 1.1 percent, from their
last close. Brent hit a 2019-high of $64.43 per barrel earlier
in the session.U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude
futures were at $54.46 per barrel, up 57 cents, or 1.1
percent, from their last settlement.Optimism that a trade
deal could be reached between the United States and China
was boosted when U.S. President Donald Trump said talks
were going "very well"."The 90-day truce (on trade) agreed
in December will run out on March 1, but given the progress
of the talks there could be an extension, which is why there
(is) rising optimism that the two leaders will meet later that
month," said Alfonso Esparza, senior market analyst,
OANDA.
Markets were also supported by upbeat China trade data,
including for crude oil.China's crude oil imports in January
rose 4.8 percent from a year earlier, customs data showed
on Thursday, to an average of 10.03 million barrels per day
(bpd), the third straight month that imports have exceeded
the 10 million bpd mark.Not all data pointed to tighter
market conditions and higher prices.Climbing U.S. oil
stockpiles weighed on prices. U.S. crude oil inventories rose
last week to the highest since November 2017 as refiners
cut runs to the lowest since October 2017, the Energy
Information Administration said on Wednesday.Crude
inventories built for a fourth week in a row, rising 3.6
million barrels to 450.8 million barrels in the week to Feb. 8.
Analysts polled by Reuters forecast an increase of 2.7
million barrels.U.S. crude oil production remained at a
record of 11.9 million barrels per day (bpd).The global oil
market will struggle this year to absorb fast-growing crude
supply from outside the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC), even with the group's
production cuts and U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and Iran,
the International Energy Agency said in a report on
Wednesday.The IEA said it expected global oil demand this
year to grow by 1.4 million bpd, while non-OPEC supply will
increase by 1.8 million bpd.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 33350 TGT 33400/33475 SL BELOW
33250
SELL GOLD BELOW 32900 TGT 32800/32800 SL ABOVE
33200
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 40700 TGT 40750/40800 SL BELOW
40550
SELL SILVER BELOW 40400 TGT 40300/40200 SL ABOVE
40600
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18-FEB-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1580 0.39
Castor Seed 5096 0.39
Chana 4229 -1.18
Coriander 6609 -0.05
Cotton Seed Oilcake 2049 0.59
Guar Seed 10 MT 4336 -0.09
Jeera 15910 -0.38
Mustardseed 3952 1.24
Soy Bean 3826 0.86
Turmeric 6398 0.13
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM MAR ABOVE 8480 TARGET
8495/8520/8540 SL 8420
SELL GUARGUM MAR BELOW 8400 TARGET
8385/8360/8340 SL 8460
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 6430 TARGET 6445/6460/6490
SL 6370
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 6340 TARGET 6325/6300/6280
SL 6400
India's Palm oil imports declined by 2.31% to 8,15,236
tonne in January from the year-ago period, industry body
Solvent Extractors Association (SEA) said.India, the world's
leading vegetable oil buyer, had imported 8,34,444 tonne
palm oil in January 2018.The country's total vegetable oil
imports declined 3% to 12.75 lakh tonne in January this year
compared to 12.91 lakh tonne in the year-ago period.
The share of palm oil is more than 60% in the country's total
vegetable oil imports.According to the SEA, the shipments
of palmolein, especially from Malaysia, have increased due
to cut in import duty on palm oils, which has reduced the
effective duty difference between crude palm oil (CPO) and
RBD Palmolein to just 5 percent against previous 10%.
"This has resulted into sharp increase in import of RBD
Palmolein to 1,67,429 tonne in January from 1,30,459 tonne
in December 2018, up by 28 percent," it said in a statement.
This is likely to increase in coming months considering the
shipments lined up from Malaysia for export of RBD
Palmolein to India, the SEA noted.
US and Canada have accused India at the World Trade
Organization (WTO) for higher minimum support price (MSP
also referred as market price support) for five Pulses like
Chickpeas, Pigeon Peas, Black matpe, Mung beans, and
Lentils, and have submitted their own steeper calculations
for inspection of members.India’s market price support for
the five Pulses is about 26 times higher at Rs 69,923 crore
instead of the notified Rs 2,667 crore, as per a joint
submission made by the countries to the WTO. It appears
that India’s market price support for pulses is vastly in
excess of what it has reported to the WTO. Canada and the
US look forward to future discussion of the significance of
India’s market price support for pulses for both India’s
market and for world markets, both with India and with
other members, the submission said
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18-FEB-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 71.30 Yen 64.8325
Euro 80.10 GBP 92.2175
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.5 TARGET 71.6 71.7 SL 71.3
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 71.25 TARGET 71.15 71 SL
71.45
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 92.50 TARGET 92.6 92.7 SL
92.30
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 92.30 TARGET 92.2 92.1 SL
92.50
The euro and the British pound fell to multi-week lows
against the firmer U.S. dollar on Thursday as weak
economic data out of the euro zone and concerns over
Brexit weighed.EUR/USD dipped 0.1% to 1.1249 by 03:44
AM ET (08:44 GMT), the weakest level since mid-
November after data showing that Germany’s GDP was flat
in the fourth quarter, after a 0.2% contraction in the
previous quarter.That means the euro area’s largest
economy just managed to avoid a technical recession, but
has also failed to expand since June. The data underlines
expectations the European Central Bank will remain highly
accommodative this year.Demand for the greenback
continued to be underpinned after data pointing to
sustained strength in core U.S. inflation.While headline
U.S. inflation logged its weakest pace in 1-1/2-years in
January, traders focused on the core price gauge, which
was up for the third straight month, giving the dollar some
impetus.The greenback was hit earlier this year by the
Federal Reserve's shift to a cautious policy stance.
However, the latest data suggest the central bank will need
to stay vigilant on pricing pressures even as it adjusts to
heightened growth risks."The trend in core U.S. inflation
remains steady, against some concerns of a potential
decline..indeed at 2.2 percent year-on-year, the current
reading is up from the 1.8 percent reading a year ago," said
Rodrigo Catril, senior currency strategist at NAB. "Overall
the data suggest that we cannot rule out a resumption of
Fed rate hikes later in the year."
The Chinese yuan was little changed on Thursday in Asia
after better-than-expected trade numbers for January, as
analysts warned of the presence of business distortions
due to national holidays and cyclical trends.
The USD/CNY pair last traded at 6.7615 by 12:01 AM ET
(05:01 GMT), up 0.04%.January exports unexpectedly grew
9.1% from a year earlier, compared to expectations for a
drop of 3.2%, data from China’s General Administration of
Customs showed on Thursday.Imports fell 1.5%, much less
than the expected 10% fall and narrowing from
December’s 7.6% drop.That left the country with a trade
surplus of $39.16 billion for the month, better than
forecasts of $33.5 billion.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18-FEB-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
14/2/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6340
6355/6370/64
00
6280 NOT EXECUTED
15/2/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6250
6235/6220/61
90
6310 TARGET
15/2/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR BUY 8200
8215/8240/82
60
8260 TARGET
15/2/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR SELL 8150
8135/8120/80
80
8210 TARGET
15/2/19 MCX GOLD FEB BUY 33500 33550/33600 33400 NOT EXECUTED
15/2/19 MCX GOLD FEB SELL 33300 33250/33200 33500 TARGET
15/2/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 40700 40750/40800 40500 NOT EXECUTED
15/2/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 40400 40300/40200 40600 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
15/2/19 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10950-10900 10850/10800 11000 TARGET
15/2/19 TITAN FUTURE BUY 1070 1075/1080 1060 NOT EXECUTED
15/2/19 KSCL FUTURE SELL 525 518/500/490 535 TARGET
15/2/19 REPOHOME CASH SELL 375 370/365 385 TARGET
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18-FEB-2019
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NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT
PERIO
D
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN COULD DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK.
MONDAY, FEB. 18
Presidents Day holiday
None scheduled
TUESDAY, FEB. 19
8:50 am Loretta Mester speaks
10 am Home builders' index Feb. -- 58
WEDNESDAY, FEB. 20
8:30 am Housing starts* Jan DELAYED --
8:30 am Building permits* Jan. DELAYED --
2 pm FOMC minutes
THURSDAY, FEB. 21
7:50 am Raphael Bostic speaks
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 2./16 229,000 239,000
8:30 am Durable goods orders (new date)* Dec. 1.2% 0.7%
8:30 am
Core capital equipment orders
(new date)*
Dec. -- -0.6%
8:30 am Philly Fed Feb. -- 17.0
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI (flash) Feb. -- 54.9
9:45 am Markit services PMI (flash) Feb. -- 54.2
10 am Existing home sales Jan. 4.98 mln 4.99 mln
10 am Leading economic indicators Jan. -- -0.1%
FRIDAY, FEB. 22
All Day
Chicago Booth monetary policy forum
Richard Clarida, keynote speaker
Randal Quarles, John Williams, Mary Daly, James
Bullard, Patrick Harker participate
Sachi
n
Yadav
Digitally signed by
Sachin Yadav
DN: cn=Sachin Yadav
c=IN o=Personal
Reason: I am the
author of this
document
Location:
Date: 2019-02-18
09:20+05:30