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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
11 January 2015
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 10040 10240 10040 10166 +0.95 10655
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
10057
SUPP. 2
9949
PIVOT
10149
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10257
RES. 2
10349
CORIANDER
APR 7970 8010 7811 7894 -1.19 3810
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7800
SUPP. 2
7706
PIVOT
7905
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7999
RES. 2
8104
GUARGUM
FEB 5870 6100 5870 5930 -1.17 15575
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5833
SUPP. 2
5737
PIVOT
5967
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6063
RES. 2
6197
CASTORSEED
FEB 3702 3714 3662 3681 -0.70 64490
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3657
SUPP. 2
3634
PIVOT
3686
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3709
RES. 2
3738
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3642 3668 -0.71
CHANA 4866 4880 -0.29
CORIANDER 7257 7420 -2.20
GUARGUM 5870 5930 -1.01
JEERA 13685 13985 -2.15
MUSTARD
SEED
4344 4242 +2.40
SOYABEAN 3615 3640 -0.69
TURMERIC 10164 10070 +0.93
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 20-01-2016 7257.00 -163.00 -2.20%
JEERA 20-01-2016 13685.00 -280.00 -2.01%
BARLEY 20-01-2016 1327.00 -24.00 -1.78%
SOYABEAN 20-01-2016 3615.00 -32.00 -0.88%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-01-2016 3642.00 -18.00 -0.49%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-01-2016 2091.00 -7.00 -0.33%
CHANA 20-01-2016 4866.00 -4.00 -0.08%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-01-2016 4344.00 102.00 2.40%
TURMERIC 20-04-2016 10164.00 98.00 0.97%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Madhya Pradesh's wheat produce for the current rabi season is expected
to dip by 13 per cent to about 160 lakh tonnes."Wheat has been sown under
50 lakh hectares in the ongoing Rabi season so far, which is about 15 per
cent less than what was sown during the period last year. With maximum
temperature remaining above normal, wheat production may be hit,"
Farmers' Welfare and Agriculture Development Department Director
Mohanlal Meena told a leading newspaper."We are not expecting wheat
production to be over 160 lakh tonnes in the ongoing rabi season. In the
coming days, if temperature doesn't fall and winter rainfall is not received
in the wheat growing pockets of the state, this anticipated production may
also dip," he added.According to agriculture scientist Akhileshnandan
Mishra, cold weather is required for better yield of wheat. But the
maximum temperature has been remaining above normal this season,
which is not a good sign for the crop.He said seeing the weather pattern
this year, many farmers have opted to sow gram (chana) crop, which has
also resulted in a drop in acreage under wheat crop.He said seeing the
weather pattern this year, many farmers have opted to sow gram (chana)
crop, which has also resulted in a drop in acreage under wheat crop.Mishra,
former head, Indore based Indian Agriculture Research Institute (IARI)
Regional Station, said the last month (December) remained warm in the
state, which has hampered the sowing.Last year too, Rabi wheat production
was hit due to unfavourable weather conditions.
India will launch its first major crop damage insurance scheme for
farmers in the fiscal year starting April 1, the Agriculture minister Radha
Mohan Singh said on Friday, in what could be Prime Minister Narendra
Modi's first significant move to address the distress plaguing the country's
agricultural sector.The impact of unseasonal rains and two straight years of
drought on agriculture that sustains over two-thirds of India's 1.25 billion
people has dented Modi's popularity in the countryside, contributing to a
humiliating loss for the premier in elections last year in the largely rural
state of Bihar.
Turmeric settled up on short covering after prices dropped on no
strong report emerged from the mandis as exports and domestic
demand remained slack. Prospects of rising arrivals of new crop kept
prices down. However, reports of good demand from the local stockists
due to forecast of lower production limited the downside. There is
concern over production due to heavy rains during Nov-Dec in south
India but the prices may remain little lower as trader may wait for new
season crop in next one month.Deficient rainfall in during early part of
sowing in major Turmeric growing regions of Maharashtra and
Karnataka may reduce the yield. Sources also stated that around 27-28
lakh bags of total stocks have been reported in local mandies. While the
total production in the coming year is expected to be around 68 lakh
bags, up 20 lakh bags from the last year. As per dept of commerce data,
turmeric exports till September, 2015 pegged at 50,916 tonnes while
the export for the 2014-15 is 90,738 tonnes compared to 78,360 tonnes
in FY14.
Chana settled up on short covering after falling earlier due to higher
supplies against lower demand in the spot market. However upside
seen limited as the standing chana crop is growing well in Rajasthan
and Madhya Pradesh, major producing states. Recently, Government
has offloaded over 1.12 lakh tonnes of pulses, seized from hoarders, in
the retail market to improve availability and tame prices Income tax
department raided traders dealing in pulses, especially chana
(chickpea), in Delhi and Mumbai to check the irregularities in
importing.As per data release by Agriculture Ministry on Jan1, pulses
planted 12.8 million hectares so far, compared with 13.8 million
hectares (mh) last year, and a seasonal area of nearly 14 mh. The
acreage under chana reported higher in Maharashtra (12.72 lh Vs 9.6
lh), Andhra Pradesh (3.32 lh Vs 2.67 lh) and Karnataka compared to
last year’s acreage but slightly lower in Rajasthan (12.35 lh Vs 12.56
lh) and MP as per data released by respective state agriculture
department.
5
Fundamental Watch : Chana
CHANA PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
According to the Ministry of Agriculture, area under Rabi pulses throughout
the country stood 128.24 lakh hectares as on 01st January this year, around
2.4% lower when compared to the area sown during corresponding period last
year which was 131.33 Lakh hectares.
According to latest report released by Ministry of Agriculture, Chana area
till date (as on 01.01.2016) was registered at 81.08 Lakh Ha which was around
2% higher than the last year in the corresponding period. .Last year it was
79.95 Lakh ha. Till date sowing area of Chana in Maharashtra, Andhra
Pradesh and Karnataka has increased whereas in Rajasthan and Madhya
Pradesh it has decreased as compare to last year.
According to latest report released by Ministry of Agriculture, Peas area till
date (as on 01.01.2016) was registered at 9.60 Lakh Ha which was around 6%
lower than the last year in the corresponding period. .Last year it was 10.19
Lakh ha. Peas Sowing Area in Madhya Pradesh till date has increased by 56%
this year as compare to last year from 2.88 Lakh Ha to 4.50 Lakh Ha.
Higher than normal temperature in many parts of Madhya Pradesh and in
parts of Indore in particular may affect normal yield of standing chana crop
this year. Lower soil moisture has slowed down normal growth of plant. Rains
at this stage are very crucial and it may decide the final size of the crop.
According to the local source in Indore region, chana yield may drop 30-40%
as compared to last year due to unfavorable weather condition so far.
CENTER 07-Jan-15 06-Jan-15 Change
AHMEDNAGAR 4500 4400 +100
ALWAR 4600 4600 UNCH
GWALIOR 4650 4600 +50
JAIPUR 4800 4800 UNCH
KANPUR 5150 5050 +100
NAGPUR 4200 4400 -200
VIJAYWADA 4950 4975 -25
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 7813 TARGET 7768 7618 SL
ABOVE 7878
BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 5900 TARGET 5950 6020 SL
BELOW 5840
BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 10240 TARGET 10284 10344 SL
BELOW 10180
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3668 TARGET 3643 3613 SL
ABOVE 3693
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
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Epic research daily agri report 11 jan 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 11 January 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC APR 10040 10240 10040 10166 +0.95 10655 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 10057 SUPP. 2 9949 PIVOT 10149 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10257 RES. 2 10349 CORIANDER APR 7970 8010 7811 7894 -1.19 3810 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 7800 SUPP. 2 7706 PIVOT 7905 Coriander short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7999 RES. 2 8104 GUARGUM FEB 5870 6100 5870 5930 -1.17 15575 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 5833 SUPP. 2 5737 PIVOT 5967 Guargum short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6063 RES. 2 6197 CASTORSEED FEB 3702 3714 3662 3681 -0.70 64490 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3657 SUPP. 2 3634 PIVOT 3686 Castorseed short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3709 RES. 2 3738
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3642 3668 -0.71 CHANA 4866 4880 -0.29 CORIANDER 7257 7420 -2.20 GUARGUM 5870 5930 -1.01 JEERA 13685 13985 -2.15 MUSTARD SEED 4344 4242 +2.40 SOYABEAN 3615 3640 -0.69 TURMERIC 10164 10070 +0.93 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CORIANDER 20-01-2016 7257.00 -163.00 -2.20% JEERA 20-01-2016 13685.00 -280.00 -2.01% BARLEY 20-01-2016 1327.00 -24.00 -1.78% SOYABEAN 20-01-2016 3615.00 -32.00 -0.88% CASTOR SEED NEW 20-01-2016 3642.00 -18.00 -0.49% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-01-2016 2091.00 -7.00 -0.33% CHANA 20-01-2016 4866.00 -4.00 -0.08% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-01-2016 4344.00 102.00 2.40% TURMERIC 20-04-2016 10164.00 98.00 0.97%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS Madhya Pradesh's wheat produce for the current rabi season is expected to dip by 13 per cent to about 160 lakh tonnes."Wheat has been sown under 50 lakh hectares in the ongoing Rabi season so far, which is about 15 per cent less than what was sown during the period last year. With maximum temperature remaining above normal, wheat production may be hit," Farmers' Welfare and Agriculture Development Department Director Mohanlal Meena told a leading newspaper."We are not expecting wheat production to be over 160 lakh tonnes in the ongoing rabi season. In the coming days, if temperature doesn't fall and winter rainfall is not received in the wheat growing pockets of the state, this anticipated production may also dip," he added.According to agriculture scientist Akhileshnandan Mishra, cold weather is required for better yield of wheat. But the maximum temperature has been remaining above normal this season, which is not a good sign for the crop.He said seeing the weather pattern this year, many farmers have opted to sow gram (chana) crop, which has also resulted in a drop in acreage under wheat crop.He said seeing the weather pattern this year, many farmers have opted to sow gram (chana) crop, which has also resulted in a drop in acreage under wheat crop.Mishra, former head, Indore based Indian Agriculture Research Institute (IARI) Regional Station, said the last month (December) remained warm in the state, which has hampered the sowing.Last year too, Rabi wheat production was hit due to unfavourable weather conditions. India will launch its first major crop damage insurance scheme for farmers in the fiscal year starting April 1, the Agriculture minister Radha Mohan Singh said on Friday, in what could be Prime Minister Narendra Modi's first significant move to address the distress plaguing the country's agricultural sector.The impact of unseasonal rains and two straight years of drought on agriculture that sustains over two-thirds of India's 1.25 billion people has dented Modi's popularity in the countryside, contributing to a humiliating loss for the premier in elections last year in the largely rural state of Bihar. Turmeric settled up on short covering after prices dropped on no strong report emerged from the mandis as exports and domestic demand remained slack. Prospects of rising arrivals of new crop kept prices down. However, reports of good demand from the local stockists due to forecast of lower production limited the downside. There is concern over production due to heavy rains during Nov-Dec in south India but the prices may remain little lower as trader may wait for new season crop in next one month.Deficient rainfall in during early part of sowing in major Turmeric growing regions of Maharashtra and Karnataka may reduce the yield. Sources also stated that around 27-28 lakh bags of total stocks have been reported in local mandies. While the total production in the coming year is expected to be around 68 lakh bags, up 20 lakh bags from the last year. As per dept of commerce data, turmeric exports till September, 2015 pegged at 50,916 tonnes while the export for the 2014-15 is 90,738 tonnes compared to 78,360 tonnes in FY14. Chana settled up on short covering after falling earlier due to higher supplies against lower demand in the spot market. However upside seen limited as the standing chana crop is growing well in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, major producing states. Recently, Government has offloaded over 1.12 lakh tonnes of pulses, seized from hoarders, in the retail market to improve availability and tame prices Income tax department raided traders dealing in pulses, especially chana (chickpea), in Delhi and Mumbai to check the irregularities in importing.As per data release by Agriculture Ministry on Jan1, pulses planted 12.8 million hectares so far, compared with 13.8 million hectares (mh) last year, and a seasonal area of nearly 14 mh. The acreage under chana reported higher in Maharashtra (12.72 lh Vs 9.6 lh), Andhra Pradesh (3.32 lh Vs 2.67 lh) and Karnataka compared to last year’s acreage but slightly lower in Rajasthan (12.35 lh Vs 12.56 lh) and MP as per data released by respective state agriculture department.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Chana CHANA PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update According to the Ministry of Agriculture, area under Rabi pulses throughout the country stood 128.24 lakh hectares as on 01st January this year, around 2.4% lower when compared to the area sown during corresponding period last year which was 131.33 Lakh hectares. According to latest report released by Ministry of Agriculture, Chana area till date (as on 01.01.2016) was registered at 81.08 Lakh Ha which was around 2% higher than the last year in the corresponding period. .Last year it was 79.95 Lakh ha. Till date sowing area of Chana in Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka has increased whereas in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh it has decreased as compare to last year. According to latest report released by Ministry of Agriculture, Peas area till date (as on 01.01.2016) was registered at 9.60 Lakh Ha which was around 6% lower than the last year in the corresponding period. .Last year it was 10.19 Lakh ha. Peas Sowing Area in Madhya Pradesh till date has increased by 56% this year as compare to last year from 2.88 Lakh Ha to 4.50 Lakh Ha. Higher than normal temperature in many parts of Madhya Pradesh and in parts of Indore in particular may affect normal yield of standing chana crop this year. Lower soil moisture has slowed down normal growth of plant. Rains at this stage are very crucial and it may decide the final size of the crop. According to the local source in Indore region, chana yield may drop 30-40% as compared to last year due to unfavorable weather condition so far. CENTER 07-Jan-15 06-Jan-15 Change AHMEDNAGAR 4500 4400 +100 ALWAR 4600 4600 UNCH GWALIOR 4650 4600 +50 JAIPUR 4800 4800 UNCH KANPUR 5150 5050 +100 NAGPUR 4200 4400 -200 VIJAYWADA 4950 4975 -25
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 7813 TARGET 7768 7618 SL ABOVE 7878 BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 5900 TARGET 5950 6020 SL BELOW 5840 BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 10240 TARGET 10284 10344 SL BELOW 10180 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3668 TARGET 3643 3613 SL ABOVE 3693
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.