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1
Look Away from Look-Aheads
Two Key Elements of STOp Events
Key Performance Indicators
DSM (Dynamic Scheduling Methodology)
Planning, Estimating, Scheduling & Coordinating
Why Schedulers Underperform on STO Events
Programming vs. Scheduling
WBS (Work Breakdown Structure) & Phases
Productivity Factors (Programming vs. Scheduling)
Level I to Level V – Programming & Scheduling
Dayshift / Nightshift Schedulers’ Responsibilities
Strategy War Room aka The Bridge (Nightshift Scheduler)
Look-away from Look-aheads
Daily Shift Report
Measuring Performance
KPI (Key Performance Indicator) Dashboard
Dynamic Scheduling for STO – EJ (Ted) Lister
2
Two Key Elements of STOp Events
Effective
• Work Scope
• Risk Management
• Strategic Planning
• Project Management
• Budget Control
• PSSR & Flawless Start-up
Efficient
• Planning & Scheduling
• Change Management
• Project Plan
• DSM (Dynamic Scheduling Methodology)
• DEM (Dynamic Execution Management)
• Project Controls
• Tool-time
3
Key Performance Indicators
Budget / Workscope
• Based on RBSR (Risk-based Scope Review)
• Strategic Planning Phase
• Scope / Budget Freeze
Duration (Longest Path – Feed-in to Feed-out)
• Might be classified as Critical Path if made up of Critical Tasks
• Compliance dependent on Safety, Quality, Direct Wrench-time (Earnerd-value)
• Variance measured agains Level I Milestones
Safety / Environment
• Zero Incidents
Quality
• Zero rework, zero leaks
Direct Wrench-time
• 55% PF (Productivity Factor)
4
DSM (Dynamic Scheduling Methodology)
Purpose
• Create an agile project plan capable of managing change in real-time (shift-by-shift)
• Establish a collaborative environment where the Execution Team and Project Controls Team can
work together to Drive the STO event
• Avoid chaos created when Schedulers use traditional project management methods of
scheduling and issue Look-aheads (look away from Look-aheads)
Key Components
• Contracting Strategy and Execution Strategy
• DSM (Dynamic Scheduling Methodology) and DEM (Dynamic Execution Management)
• Two-Scheduler concept: Dayshift vs. Nighshift
• Strategy War Room
• Daily Shift Reports and EvPM (Earned-value Peformance Management) Dashboards (KPIs)
Benefits
• High Earn % / Low Burn $ (ability to measure wrench-time and Indirect vs. Direct cost ratios)
• Increased safety and wrench-time efficiency (using PF – Productivity Factors)
• Reduced resources and congestion
• Ability to react quickly to changing conditions (create recovery plans each day)
• Ability to run ‘What-if’ scenarios prior to the Execution Phase
5
Planning, Estimating, Scheduling & Coordination
Planning
• Right-brain logical thinking to produce Activities and Logic (Task Details)
• Must consider sequencing regarding Predesessor and Successor (Start/Finish Start/Start etc.)
Estimating
• Right-left-brain thinking to establish Activity Duration, Crew Size, Cost, Materials, Tools, etc.
• Uses norms, historical data, and experience
• Activities no less than one-hour and no more than one shift
• Direct wrench-time only (does not add indirect time or PF - a scheduling technique)
Scheduling
• Left-brain creative thinking to produce the most agile and dynamic, optimized project plan
• Lowest cost, shortest timeline, least amount of resources
• Uses DSM/DEM to Navigate and Drive the STO event (one day at a time)
• Not everything that is planned is scheduled, e.g., Safety Valves, Logistics, Indirect Support
Coordination
• We’re not landing on the moon, therefore, the Scheduler must be able to rely on Field
Execution Coordinators and Supervisors in the Field to coorinate workers and prioritize work
from the Daily Shift Report with Unit Operators, OEM/Vendors, Contractors, Logistics, etc.
6
Why Schedulers Underperform on STO Events
Unrecognized as Key Player on Project Controls Team
Lack of experience navigating and driving a STO event
Attempting to use traditional project management techniques to
produce a nice-looking Gantt chart
Using Look-ahead Schedules
Lack of support by Planners (poor data)
Lack of understanding in PF (Productivity Factors)
Not supported (valued) – treated as administrative support
Can’t control their vehicle (P6 or MSP) software
Lack of buy-in by Pit Crew (Coordinators)
Poor, or late, field updates (% complete)
Failure to issue Daily Shift Reports
Failure to implement DSM with a two-Scheduler concept
7
Programming vs. Scheduling
Programming
• Used to create Level IV and Level V Project Plans by allowing the computer to perform the
scheduling function based on coding:
• WBS
• WBS & Phase Calendars
• PF (Productivity Factors)
• Activity Codes (Work Types, Task Types, Risk, Grid, Permit, etc.)
• Resource profiles and limits
• Settings and defaults in Scheduling Software, e.g., Resource Leveling, Front-loading, etc.)
• Uses ‘What-if’ scenarios to allow the software to produce the most optimized Project Plan
• Lowest cost
• Shortest timeline
• Least amount of resources
• Allows for most of the Scheduling to be done during the Execution Phase (re-scheduling)
Scheduling
• Using constraints and relationships to create a rigid, static Schedule (aka Project Plan) on a
nice-looking Gantt chart
• Uses F9 feature in Primavera, for example, to refresh a Scheduler’s configuration
• Manual method of producing a Project Plan, most of which is done prior to the Execution
Phase
8
WBS (Work Breakdown Structure) & Phases
Facility
Offsites Plant
Utilities FCC SRU
Steam Air
Turnaround
Shutdown
TurnaroundTurnaround
PitSTOp
Pre Shutdown Open Inspect & Repair Close Startup Post
Calendar /
PF
5x10x1
1.4 PF
7x12x2
2.0 PF
7x12x2
1.8 PF
6x10x2
1.4 PF
7x12x2
1.2 PF
7x12x2
1.0 PF
5x10x1
1.4 PF
Longest Path
7x12x2
1.4 PF
WBS – Vertical
Hierarchy – No
Time
Phase –
Horizontal
Timeline
9
Productivity Factors (Programing vs. Scheduling)
PF is applied to Resources to make up for
non-productive time (safety meetings,
waiting for permits, lunch & breaks, walking,
windshield time, etc.)
PF is changed each phase as applicable
PF is customized by work type or contractors and used prior to the
Execution Phase to run ‘What-if’ scenerios to optimize the Project
Plan
10
Level I to Level V – Programming & Scheduling
11
Dayshift / Nightshift Schedulers’ Responsbilities
Project Controls
Dayshift
War Room (The Bridge)
Nightshift
Analyse data 
Create recovery plans 
• Field updates
• Update earned-value %
• War Room sessions
• Establish next shift
reports (24 hours)
• Batch print shift reportsIssue shift reports 
• Backup project files
• Field visit
Shift crossover 
KPI meeting 
Discovery work 
• Field visit
• Carry-over /
added work
confirmation
Recovery plan
analysis 
Shift crossover 
PILOT
NAVIGATOR
12
Strategy War Room aka The Bridge (Nightshift Scheduler)
Purpose / Deliverable
• Strategic session to optimize next-day 24-hour shift report (dynamic scheduling & execution
management) – basically, to reset the clock with a new plan based on current conditions
• Create a collaborative environment to establish a joint-venture, agreed-upon Project Plan
Timing
• Nightshift 04h00 – 05h00
Attendance
• Nightshift Scheduler (facilitator)
• Execution Coordinators
• Unit Operators
• Logistics Coordinator
• Safety
Agenda
• Review current plan (status)
• Confirm / prioritise work
• Agree on resource utilization
• Establish logistics, permitting, cranes
13
Look-away from Look-aheads
Look-ahead Schedules should only be used for reference and heads-up
for Logistics Team
Do not issue Look-aheads to Field Supervision or Coordinators
This nice-looking Gantt chart will be obsolete within hours, especially its
Level IV and Level V Activities, which are scheduled and controlled by
the Nightshift Scheduler and Strategy War Room Team
Look-aheads in the field result in wasted time, and in many cases,
confusion as to ‘what’ to work on
Look-aheads lead to ‘picking’ work that cannot always be performed
due to equipment availaiblity, permitting, congestion, etc.
Use a Daily Shift Report to Drive safety and efficiency one day at a
time, with DSM and DEM and the Strategy War Room methodology
14
Daily Shift Report
Output from scheduling
software after Nightshift
Strategy War Room session
Issued at 06h00 each day in
preparation for Dayshift
mobilization
Batch printed by WBS and/or
Supervisors & Coordinators
Printed on different colored
paper each day for control
Updated and returned to
Nightshift Scheduler 03h00
15
Measuring Performance
SPI (Schedule Performance Index)
Variance – measured by Original
Baseline
Pv (Planned-value)
Ev (Earned-value) % Complete
(does not use Baseline)
Av (Actual-value) $ Burned from
Timesheets
Pf (Performance factor) Tool-time
measured by Ev/Av against Pv (or
revised Pv)
Critical Tasks measured against consumption of Float
16
KPI (Key Performance Indicator) Dashboard
17
DSM & Primavera™ P6 Training for Schedulers
Specialized training is available (public and in-house)
to certify Schedulers in DSM using Primavera™ P6
(35% theory 50% hands-on 15% workshops)
18
Thank you!
For FREE downloads visit: www.stonavigator.ca/downloads

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Dynamic Scheduling for Shutdowns and Turnarounds

  • 1. 1 Look Away from Look-Aheads Two Key Elements of STOp Events Key Performance Indicators DSM (Dynamic Scheduling Methodology) Planning, Estimating, Scheduling & Coordinating Why Schedulers Underperform on STO Events Programming vs. Scheduling WBS (Work Breakdown Structure) & Phases Productivity Factors (Programming vs. Scheduling) Level I to Level V – Programming & Scheduling Dayshift / Nightshift Schedulers’ Responsibilities Strategy War Room aka The Bridge (Nightshift Scheduler) Look-away from Look-aheads Daily Shift Report Measuring Performance KPI (Key Performance Indicator) Dashboard Dynamic Scheduling for STO – EJ (Ted) Lister
  • 2. 2 Two Key Elements of STOp Events Effective • Work Scope • Risk Management • Strategic Planning • Project Management • Budget Control • PSSR & Flawless Start-up Efficient • Planning & Scheduling • Change Management • Project Plan • DSM (Dynamic Scheduling Methodology) • DEM (Dynamic Execution Management) • Project Controls • Tool-time
  • 3. 3 Key Performance Indicators Budget / Workscope • Based on RBSR (Risk-based Scope Review) • Strategic Planning Phase • Scope / Budget Freeze Duration (Longest Path – Feed-in to Feed-out) • Might be classified as Critical Path if made up of Critical Tasks • Compliance dependent on Safety, Quality, Direct Wrench-time (Earnerd-value) • Variance measured agains Level I Milestones Safety / Environment • Zero Incidents Quality • Zero rework, zero leaks Direct Wrench-time • 55% PF (Productivity Factor)
  • 4. 4 DSM (Dynamic Scheduling Methodology) Purpose • Create an agile project plan capable of managing change in real-time (shift-by-shift) • Establish a collaborative environment where the Execution Team and Project Controls Team can work together to Drive the STO event • Avoid chaos created when Schedulers use traditional project management methods of scheduling and issue Look-aheads (look away from Look-aheads) Key Components • Contracting Strategy and Execution Strategy • DSM (Dynamic Scheduling Methodology) and DEM (Dynamic Execution Management) • Two-Scheduler concept: Dayshift vs. Nighshift • Strategy War Room • Daily Shift Reports and EvPM (Earned-value Peformance Management) Dashboards (KPIs) Benefits • High Earn % / Low Burn $ (ability to measure wrench-time and Indirect vs. Direct cost ratios) • Increased safety and wrench-time efficiency (using PF – Productivity Factors) • Reduced resources and congestion • Ability to react quickly to changing conditions (create recovery plans each day) • Ability to run ‘What-if’ scenarios prior to the Execution Phase
  • 5. 5 Planning, Estimating, Scheduling & Coordination Planning • Right-brain logical thinking to produce Activities and Logic (Task Details) • Must consider sequencing regarding Predesessor and Successor (Start/Finish Start/Start etc.) Estimating • Right-left-brain thinking to establish Activity Duration, Crew Size, Cost, Materials, Tools, etc. • Uses norms, historical data, and experience • Activities no less than one-hour and no more than one shift • Direct wrench-time only (does not add indirect time or PF - a scheduling technique) Scheduling • Left-brain creative thinking to produce the most agile and dynamic, optimized project plan • Lowest cost, shortest timeline, least amount of resources • Uses DSM/DEM to Navigate and Drive the STO event (one day at a time) • Not everything that is planned is scheduled, e.g., Safety Valves, Logistics, Indirect Support Coordination • We’re not landing on the moon, therefore, the Scheduler must be able to rely on Field Execution Coordinators and Supervisors in the Field to coorinate workers and prioritize work from the Daily Shift Report with Unit Operators, OEM/Vendors, Contractors, Logistics, etc.
  • 6. 6 Why Schedulers Underperform on STO Events Unrecognized as Key Player on Project Controls Team Lack of experience navigating and driving a STO event Attempting to use traditional project management techniques to produce a nice-looking Gantt chart Using Look-ahead Schedules Lack of support by Planners (poor data) Lack of understanding in PF (Productivity Factors) Not supported (valued) – treated as administrative support Can’t control their vehicle (P6 or MSP) software Lack of buy-in by Pit Crew (Coordinators) Poor, or late, field updates (% complete) Failure to issue Daily Shift Reports Failure to implement DSM with a two-Scheduler concept
  • 7. 7 Programming vs. Scheduling Programming • Used to create Level IV and Level V Project Plans by allowing the computer to perform the scheduling function based on coding: • WBS • WBS & Phase Calendars • PF (Productivity Factors) • Activity Codes (Work Types, Task Types, Risk, Grid, Permit, etc.) • Resource profiles and limits • Settings and defaults in Scheduling Software, e.g., Resource Leveling, Front-loading, etc.) • Uses ‘What-if’ scenarios to allow the software to produce the most optimized Project Plan • Lowest cost • Shortest timeline • Least amount of resources • Allows for most of the Scheduling to be done during the Execution Phase (re-scheduling) Scheduling • Using constraints and relationships to create a rigid, static Schedule (aka Project Plan) on a nice-looking Gantt chart • Uses F9 feature in Primavera, for example, to refresh a Scheduler’s configuration • Manual method of producing a Project Plan, most of which is done prior to the Execution Phase
  • 8. 8 WBS (Work Breakdown Structure) & Phases Facility Offsites Plant Utilities FCC SRU Steam Air Turnaround Shutdown TurnaroundTurnaround PitSTOp Pre Shutdown Open Inspect & Repair Close Startup Post Calendar / PF 5x10x1 1.4 PF 7x12x2 2.0 PF 7x12x2 1.8 PF 6x10x2 1.4 PF 7x12x2 1.2 PF 7x12x2 1.0 PF 5x10x1 1.4 PF Longest Path 7x12x2 1.4 PF WBS – Vertical Hierarchy – No Time Phase – Horizontal Timeline
  • 9. 9 Productivity Factors (Programing vs. Scheduling) PF is applied to Resources to make up for non-productive time (safety meetings, waiting for permits, lunch & breaks, walking, windshield time, etc.) PF is changed each phase as applicable PF is customized by work type or contractors and used prior to the Execution Phase to run ‘What-if’ scenerios to optimize the Project Plan
  • 10. 10 Level I to Level V – Programming & Scheduling
  • 11. 11 Dayshift / Nightshift Schedulers’ Responsbilities Project Controls Dayshift War Room (The Bridge) Nightshift Analyse data  Create recovery plans  • Field updates • Update earned-value % • War Room sessions • Establish next shift reports (24 hours) • Batch print shift reportsIssue shift reports  • Backup project files • Field visit Shift crossover  KPI meeting  Discovery work  • Field visit • Carry-over / added work confirmation Recovery plan analysis  Shift crossover  PILOT NAVIGATOR
  • 12. 12 Strategy War Room aka The Bridge (Nightshift Scheduler) Purpose / Deliverable • Strategic session to optimize next-day 24-hour shift report (dynamic scheduling & execution management) – basically, to reset the clock with a new plan based on current conditions • Create a collaborative environment to establish a joint-venture, agreed-upon Project Plan Timing • Nightshift 04h00 – 05h00 Attendance • Nightshift Scheduler (facilitator) • Execution Coordinators • Unit Operators • Logistics Coordinator • Safety Agenda • Review current plan (status) • Confirm / prioritise work • Agree on resource utilization • Establish logistics, permitting, cranes
  • 13. 13 Look-away from Look-aheads Look-ahead Schedules should only be used for reference and heads-up for Logistics Team Do not issue Look-aheads to Field Supervision or Coordinators This nice-looking Gantt chart will be obsolete within hours, especially its Level IV and Level V Activities, which are scheduled and controlled by the Nightshift Scheduler and Strategy War Room Team Look-aheads in the field result in wasted time, and in many cases, confusion as to ‘what’ to work on Look-aheads lead to ‘picking’ work that cannot always be performed due to equipment availaiblity, permitting, congestion, etc. Use a Daily Shift Report to Drive safety and efficiency one day at a time, with DSM and DEM and the Strategy War Room methodology
  • 14. 14 Daily Shift Report Output from scheduling software after Nightshift Strategy War Room session Issued at 06h00 each day in preparation for Dayshift mobilization Batch printed by WBS and/or Supervisors & Coordinators Printed on different colored paper each day for control Updated and returned to Nightshift Scheduler 03h00
  • 15. 15 Measuring Performance SPI (Schedule Performance Index) Variance – measured by Original Baseline Pv (Planned-value) Ev (Earned-value) % Complete (does not use Baseline) Av (Actual-value) $ Burned from Timesheets Pf (Performance factor) Tool-time measured by Ev/Av against Pv (or revised Pv) Critical Tasks measured against consumption of Float
  • 16. 16 KPI (Key Performance Indicator) Dashboard
  • 17. 17 DSM & Primavera™ P6 Training for Schedulers Specialized training is available (public and in-house) to certify Schedulers in DSM using Primavera™ P6 (35% theory 50% hands-on 15% workshops)
  • 18. 18 Thank you! For FREE downloads visit: www.stonavigator.ca/downloads