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GLOBAL
EXPERIENCE OF
ELECTRIC BUSES
Erin Cooper, Research Associate, WRI
OBJECTIVE OF RESEARCH
Help agencies and operators make cost-effective emissions reduction
choices during fleet renewal
ZERO EMISSION AND LOW EMISSION BUSES ARE
ALREADY A REALITY
ELECTRIC BUS ADOPTION IS ALSO MOVING
RAPIDLY, BUT THERE STILL IMPLEMENTATION
BARRIERS
RESEARCH FOCUS
Operations
Fuel
Production
Raw material
production Waste disposal
Images from Greenhouse Gas Protocol, World Resources Institute and University of Manchester Bus Logo
• Exhaust/Tailpipe emissions
• Upstream Emissions
• Lifecycle Costs
RESEARCH AND INTERVIEWS CARRIED OUT BY WRI
ALLOWED US TO IDENTIFY SOME OF THE MAIN
BARRIERS FOR IMPLEMENTATION
More expensive
vehicles and
infrastructure
Uncertainty
about change
Technology
readiness (e.g.
range)
Outdated
procurement
models
FRAMEWORK FOR DECISION MAKING
1. Define Goals: What are agencies trying to achieve?
2. Operational challenges: What technology best
suits the location?
3. Achieving goals: Do available alternatives achieve
emissions or cost goals?
4. Financing options: What is available nationally or
internationally to support the project?
1. DEFINING EMISSIONS GOALS
• Often mayors and governments jump
directly to fleet renewal and technology
options for emissions reduction without
considering other options
• Reducing CO2 vs. reducing PM might
result in different selections
• It is possible to make expensive decisions
that only lead to a small emissions
reduction
Casos dobles: Auckland, Colombo, Gothenburg, London, Paris, Seattle, Singapore
Seattle: Hybrid-electric,
Opportunity charging
Foothill: Battery electric
Toronto: Hybrid-electric
Philadelphia: Hybrid-
electric
Bogota: Hybrid-electric
Curitiba: Hybrid-electric
Auckland: Hybrid-
electric, Battery electric
Tianjin: Battery Electric
Zhuhai: Battery Electric
Shenzhen: Battery Electric
Nanjing: Battery Electric
Gumi: Opportunity Charging
Berlin: Opportunity Charging
Turin: Opportunity Charging
Colombo: Hybrid electric,
Battery electric
Singapore: Hybrid
electric, Battery electric
London: Hybrid electric,
Battery electric
Paris: Hybrid electric,
Battery electric
Gothenburg: Hybrid
electric, Battery electric Stockholm: Hybrid electric
Rome: Battery Electric
Américas Asia y Pacífic Europe
N. América Latin america Asia Oceania Europe
5 2 9 2 10
2. OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES: 60 CASE STUDIES
41%
15%
44%
Tecnologías
Eléctricos de
batería
Carga de
oportunidad
Híbridos-
eléctricos
THREE MAJOR OPERATIONAL APPROACHES
• Depot Charging: Common approach
• Battery Swapping:
– Tianjin (2000 + buses)
• On-route Charging:
– Overhead – London (76 buses)
– Inductive Charging – Berlin (4 buses)
ON-ROUTE OVERHEAD CHARGING
DEDICATED CHARGING ZONE
SHIFTING FROM BUS APPROACH TO SYSTEM
APPROACH
• Using smaller batteries along with opportunity
charging can reduce upfront battery costs
• Fast-charging
stations
• Battery swapping
reduces time that the
bus is not in use
REQUIREMENTS FOR ELECTRIC BUSES
• Land for new facilities and on-route
charging
• Facilities for Battery Storage/Swapping
• Charging Stations – often need to be
near substations
• Power Supply
• High voltage safety – trained staff
3. ACHIEVING EMISSIONS REDUCTION GOALS
• Compared to other options, are electric
vehicles the most cost-effective option?
– Energy efficiency
– Lifecycle costs
– Tailpipe emissions
– Upstream emissions
COMPARING CNG AND ELECTRICS IN INDIA
$167,945,455 $167,945,455
$104,199,905
$44,360,978
$202,133,551
$160,807,773
$40,115,429
$126,139,360
$14,203,770 $43,704,085
$-
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
Fleet 1 Fleet 2
Annualized Lifetime Cost, By Fleet
Financial Costs
Capital Costs
Depot / Infrastucture Costs
Overhaul Costs
Maintenance Costs
Fuel Costs
Operations Costs
ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF DIFFERENT BUSESMilesperDGE
UPSTREAM EMISSIONS
DIESEL pathway and key stages
ELECTRICITY pathway and key stages
LIFECYCLE GHG EMISSIONS VS. COST
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
$- $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 $1.20 $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00
TotalGHGemissions(annualg/km/bus)
Unit cost (annualized cost ($)/km/bus)
Electric buses
CNG buses
LIFECYCLE PM EMISSIONS
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
$- $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 $1.20 $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00
Exhaust+UpstreamPMemissions(annualg/km/bus)
Unit cost (annualized cost ($)/km/bus)
CNG buses
Electric buses
Electric buses – on-route only
THE TECHNOLOGY IS VIABLE – IS THIS THE RIGHT
TIME FOR RAPID ADOPTION IN INDIA?
Pros Cons
“Leap-frogging” intermediary
tech
Relying on unstable grid for
additional energy
Eliminate on-route PM
emissions
Technology is still changing
quickly
Reduce noise May not reduce CO2 emissions
Lower fuel and maintenance
costs
In some cases, building up
many types of infrastructure
which requires more land and
investment

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Electric Bus Adoption Barriers and Decision Framework

  • 1. GLOBAL EXPERIENCE OF ELECTRIC BUSES Erin Cooper, Research Associate, WRI
  • 2. OBJECTIVE OF RESEARCH Help agencies and operators make cost-effective emissions reduction choices during fleet renewal
  • 3. ZERO EMISSION AND LOW EMISSION BUSES ARE ALREADY A REALITY
  • 4. ELECTRIC BUS ADOPTION IS ALSO MOVING RAPIDLY, BUT THERE STILL IMPLEMENTATION BARRIERS
  • 5. RESEARCH FOCUS Operations Fuel Production Raw material production Waste disposal Images from Greenhouse Gas Protocol, World Resources Institute and University of Manchester Bus Logo • Exhaust/Tailpipe emissions • Upstream Emissions • Lifecycle Costs
  • 6. RESEARCH AND INTERVIEWS CARRIED OUT BY WRI ALLOWED US TO IDENTIFY SOME OF THE MAIN BARRIERS FOR IMPLEMENTATION More expensive vehicles and infrastructure Uncertainty about change Technology readiness (e.g. range) Outdated procurement models
  • 7. FRAMEWORK FOR DECISION MAKING 1. Define Goals: What are agencies trying to achieve? 2. Operational challenges: What technology best suits the location? 3. Achieving goals: Do available alternatives achieve emissions or cost goals? 4. Financing options: What is available nationally or internationally to support the project?
  • 8. 1. DEFINING EMISSIONS GOALS • Often mayors and governments jump directly to fleet renewal and technology options for emissions reduction without considering other options • Reducing CO2 vs. reducing PM might result in different selections • It is possible to make expensive decisions that only lead to a small emissions reduction
  • 9. Casos dobles: Auckland, Colombo, Gothenburg, London, Paris, Seattle, Singapore Seattle: Hybrid-electric, Opportunity charging Foothill: Battery electric Toronto: Hybrid-electric Philadelphia: Hybrid- electric Bogota: Hybrid-electric Curitiba: Hybrid-electric Auckland: Hybrid- electric, Battery electric Tianjin: Battery Electric Zhuhai: Battery Electric Shenzhen: Battery Electric Nanjing: Battery Electric Gumi: Opportunity Charging Berlin: Opportunity Charging Turin: Opportunity Charging Colombo: Hybrid electric, Battery electric Singapore: Hybrid electric, Battery electric London: Hybrid electric, Battery electric Paris: Hybrid electric, Battery electric Gothenburg: Hybrid electric, Battery electric Stockholm: Hybrid electric Rome: Battery Electric Américas Asia y Pacífic Europe N. América Latin america Asia Oceania Europe 5 2 9 2 10 2. OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES: 60 CASE STUDIES 41% 15% 44% Tecnologías Eléctricos de batería Carga de oportunidad Híbridos- eléctricos
  • 10. THREE MAJOR OPERATIONAL APPROACHES • Depot Charging: Common approach • Battery Swapping: – Tianjin (2000 + buses) • On-route Charging: – Overhead – London (76 buses) – Inductive Charging – Berlin (4 buses)
  • 12. SHIFTING FROM BUS APPROACH TO SYSTEM APPROACH • Using smaller batteries along with opportunity charging can reduce upfront battery costs • Fast-charging stations • Battery swapping reduces time that the bus is not in use
  • 13. REQUIREMENTS FOR ELECTRIC BUSES • Land for new facilities and on-route charging • Facilities for Battery Storage/Swapping • Charging Stations – often need to be near substations • Power Supply • High voltage safety – trained staff
  • 14. 3. ACHIEVING EMISSIONS REDUCTION GOALS • Compared to other options, are electric vehicles the most cost-effective option? – Energy efficiency – Lifecycle costs – Tailpipe emissions – Upstream emissions
  • 15. COMPARING CNG AND ELECTRICS IN INDIA $167,945,455 $167,945,455 $104,199,905 $44,360,978 $202,133,551 $160,807,773 $40,115,429 $126,139,360 $14,203,770 $43,704,085 $- $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 Fleet 1 Fleet 2 Annualized Lifetime Cost, By Fleet Financial Costs Capital Costs Depot / Infrastucture Costs Overhaul Costs Maintenance Costs Fuel Costs Operations Costs
  • 16. ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF DIFFERENT BUSESMilesperDGE
  • 17. UPSTREAM EMISSIONS DIESEL pathway and key stages ELECTRICITY pathway and key stages
  • 18. LIFECYCLE GHG EMISSIONS VS. COST 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 $- $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 $1.20 $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 TotalGHGemissions(annualg/km/bus) Unit cost (annualized cost ($)/km/bus) Electric buses CNG buses
  • 19. LIFECYCLE PM EMISSIONS 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 $- $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 $1.20 $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 Exhaust+UpstreamPMemissions(annualg/km/bus) Unit cost (annualized cost ($)/km/bus) CNG buses Electric buses Electric buses – on-route only
  • 20. THE TECHNOLOGY IS VIABLE – IS THIS THE RIGHT TIME FOR RAPID ADOPTION IN INDIA? Pros Cons “Leap-frogging” intermediary tech Relying on unstable grid for additional energy Eliminate on-route PM emissions Technology is still changing quickly Reduce noise May not reduce CO2 emissions Lower fuel and maintenance costs In some cases, building up many types of infrastructure which requires more land and investment

Editor's Notes

  1. The outward objective of the project is here: We focus on buses because HDVs make up a major portion of emissions in low to middle income countries Address issues from the perspective of the agency, in the short to medium term, different to more global programs looking at longer term improvements in fuel quality and setting emissions standards – between now and 2050 when we all have hydrogen vehicles, and now and 2030, when diesel worldwide is clean, what fuel is best?
  2. Geographical distribution of cities with hybrid and electric buses – US, Europe, East Asia
  3. Geographical distribution of cities with electric buses – mostly global north and China. Technology barrier exists, but it’s not the focus of this presentation. This is also one of the reasons we are working on business models. Upfront is definitely expensive, but the total cost depends on the location (like Belo Horizonte)
  4. 3 main barriers for implementation, however innovation to overcome these barriers has happened around the world. Barrier 1: Innovative business models Barrier 2: deeper involvement of manufacturers Barrier 3: Technology is more of a perceived barrier, since there are already cities that have tested extensively these technologies (10+ years).
  5. Learning to live with a diversity of fuels and technologies is probably going to be important for a while, especially in this transition phase. Especially in the HDV category, very likely that 50 to 80% of vehicles will still be run on fossil fuels into the future From global calculator: Fossil fuel use must fall from 82% of our primary energy supply today to around 40% by 2050.
  6. Para tratar de identificar las tendencias a nivel mundial y las posibles barreras que otras ciudades han enfrentado en estas implementaciones, hicimos una investigación extensiva de casos reales a nivel mundial. Quisimos tener una distribución global y de diferentes tecnologías, para asegurarnos de encontrar casos que fueran relevantes para América Latina. Los criterios principales para escoger estas ciudades fueron: El tamaño de la flota Los mecanismos innovadores de implementación (financiamiento, fuentes de recursos) Distribución geográfica.
  7. Charging stations cost $349,000 each, and station installation cost $300,000. Slow chargers costing $50,000 Depot charging usually occurs overnight and can be slow charge, taking 3 to 6 hours or fast charge, taking 5-10 minues. On-route charging, or opportunity charging, can be plug-in or wireless. Plug-in chargers use an automatic connection that links buses to high-capacity overhead chargers; usually 3 to 6 minutes of charging equates to 10 to 30 km of travel.
  8. Depot charging usually occurs overnight and can be slow charge, taking 3 to 6 hours or fast charge, taking 5-10 minues. On-route charging, or opportunity charging, can be plug-in or wireless. Plug-in chargers use an automatic connection that links buses to high-capacity overhead chargers; usually 3 to 6 minutes of charging equates to 10 to 30 km of travel. Inductive chargers are wireless, using specially equipped pads on the road and underbelly of the bus to transfer electricity.
  9. Land- locations are selected by the transit authority in charge of route planning, and must consider charging technology being used, grid access, and foot traffic. For different charging methods require different amounts of space; inductive charging stations require less visible space than overhead charging structures. Battery Swapping facility - These are facilities where batteries are housed and recharged to be swapped with old ones. Due to the size of the batteries a robotic system is used to facilitate the process, requiring specific infrastructure. Power supplyCharging stations need electricity to operate. Power is supplied via underground electric cables in trenches for on-route charging and through depot renovations for overnight charging. Grid stability and access is crucial to the functionality of charging infrastructure and as such utility company engagement is important.
  10. Not including infrastructure costs
  11. Oil extraction: 75% of India’s oil is imported from the ME or A regions. Oil refinery: India has excess refining capacity Gas extraction: 75% is extracted in India 25% imported from Qatar Sources: Coal 57% Nuclear 2% Hydro 19% Renewable 12% Natural Gas 9% Diesel 1 %