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Continuous Budgeting
come fare scelte corrette, in un mondo complesso
Premessa
Quello che cerco di passare è esperienza
diretta di un imprenditore autodidatta nel
ramo dell’IT, niente scienza certa e grandi
verità saranno trattate in questo talk.
La mia prima stesura
di un budget…
In qualche modo hai azzeccato il budget!
A cosa serve un
budget?
Definire aspettative
Upperbound Lowerbound
non voglio spendere più di… devo guadagnare almeno…
non posso assumere oltre… devo investire minimo…
niente Ferrari… mac nuovi per tutti…
efficacia = risultati / obiettivi
efficienza = risultati / risorse
adeguatezza = risorse / obiettivi
risorserisultati
obiettivi
efficacia
efficienza
adeguatezza
a v e r e u n o
strumento di checkup
“La tattica senza la
strategia è il rumore
che precede la
sconfitta.”
Il budget è
l’obiettivo che ci prefissiamo
di raggiungere tramite
strategie operative portate
avanti grazie a continue
scelte tattiche
e… se il mercato
in cui operiamo
è volatile?
IL BUDGET NON È
una Pietra
miliare

IMMUTABILE
Efficacia,
efficienza
ed
adeguatezza
hanno
impatti
diversi nel
tempo
risorserisultati
su
obiettivi a
lungo termine,
l’efficienza incide in minor
proporzione
efficacia
efficienza
adeguatezza
Budget è fluido
e dinamico
B E Y O N D
BUDGETING
tl;dr
riduci la burocrazia, usa la testa, non
essere rigido, definisci obiettivi
relativi e misura i risultati reali con
quelli attesi al fine di aggiornare il
budget di conseguenza.
misura
apprendi
aggiorna il budget
lavora
Debito tecnico
mantenere prodotti ed altre regole del gioco
"Shipping first time code is like going into
debt. A little debt speeds development so
long as it is paid back promptly with a
rewrite... The danger occurs when the
debt is not repaid. Every minute spent on
not-quite-right code counts as interest on
that debt. Entire engineering
organizations can be brought to a stand-
still under the debt load of an
unconsolidated implementation, object-
oriented or otherwise.”
— Ward Cunningham, 1992
La definizione standard
Una definizione alternativa
e p e r m e m i g l i o r e
"As an evolving program is continually changed, its
complexity, reflecting deteriorating structure, increases
unless work is done to maintain or reduce it.”
— Meir Manny Lehman, 1980
https://www.flickr.com/photos/jurgenappelo/5201269759/in/album-72157625328824303/
Cynefin
un framework
cognitivo
realizzato da Dave
Snowden per
descrivere i
sistemi complessi
e la loro
evoluzione.
Percepisci, Categorizza,
Rispondi
Percepisci, Analizza,
Rispondi
Sonda, Percepisci,
Rispondi
Agisci, Percepisci,
Rispondi
Disorder
Evolvere

V S 

Mantenere
il refactoring del codice
n o n b a s t a
IL SOFTWARE

s c a d e
L’HARDWARE

s c a d e
LE INFRASTRUTTURE

s c a d o n o
abbraccia

L E D I C OTO M I E
Evolvere

E A N C H E 

Mantenere
I n v e s t i r e
continuamente
fare continuous budgeting significa
Il budget stimato è adeguato?
Che obiettivi voglio raggiungere?
Le azioni che faccio sono a supporto dei
miei obiettivi?
Come sta cambiando il mercato?
1. è uno strumento per definire aspettative
2. serve per dare obiettivi aziendali
3. non è statico ma fluido
4. va rivisto nel tempo
5. vive nella sfera della complessità
6. non può essere certo
7. va usato per anticipare il mercato
8. bisogna investire continuamente
mi chiamo
Francesco Fullone
sono il CEO di
@fullo / ff@ideato.it
si, stiamo assumendo ;)
Domande?

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Continuous budgeting