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Managing risk in a highly variable climate- Upper North SA experiences Barry Mudge Farmer Consultant Port Germein
Port Germein
Clay Loam Sandy Loam Limestone Rise
 
 
Historic Crop Yields
 
Strategic Responses- Improving resilience ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recent Strategic Response Changes ,[object Object],[object Object]
Early Seeding- Why is this so important?
Average timing of first 30 degree spring day 2000’s 1990’s 1980’s 1970’s 1960’s Decade Oct 5 Oct 12 Oct 9 Oct 26 Oct 19 Orroroo Sept 14 Sept 20 Sept 21 Oct 5 Sept 29 Port Germein
Tactical Responses- Adaptive or responsive farming ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Yield Probabilities-2006/2007 64% 24% High 3.0 t/ha and over 23% 26% Medium 1.8 to 3.0 t/ha 13% 50% Low -Up to 1.8t/ha 2007 2006 Yield 64% 24% High 3.0 t/ha and over 23% 26% Medium 1.8 to 3.0 t/ha 13% 50% Low -Up to 1.8t/ha 2007 2006 Yield
Low Modelled Plant Available Water at seeding (PAW <38 mm)-Port Germein
High Modelled Plant Available Water at seeding (PAW >78 mm)-Port Germein
Modelled effects of PAW at seeding against simulated yields at Quorn- 1900 to 2009
Current areas of research ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summing Up ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Barry Mudge, Orroroo presentation