Daily retail report complied the CSL Stockbrokers Limited

1. Retail views
Nigeria
Monday, 08 June 2015
Daily Retail Report
.
Market Review
NSE witnessed a reversal in the upward trend seen at the last
trading session, as the benchmark index lost 22bps to close at
33,590.48bps with 3,481 deals. Sub-sectors showed mixed
performance. NSEIND and NSEINS closed positively on the back of
Wapco (+0.51%), Dangcem (+0.01%) and Wapic (+1.96%) while
OILGS, CNSM and BNK closed in negative territory on the backdrop
of Oando (-3.75%), Honyflour (-4.27%) and Skyebank (-2.70%).
ASI year-to-date return currently stands at -3.07%. Market
capitalization lost N25billion to close at N11.466Bn. At the close of
today’s session, 15 stocks advanced relative to 37 decliners while 51
remained unchanged. Top in the gainers’ chart are PZ (N30.66),
TRANSCORP (N2.97) and UBA (N5.33) while NAHCO (N5.81),
TRANSEXPR (N1.22) and BETAGLASS (N42.00) led the losers’ chart.
Great Nigeria Insurance Plc has released its Q3 unaudited financial
statements for the period ended 30th September, 2014. Gross
premium (N2.038Bn) and PAT (N380m) appreciated by 7% and 20%
respectively from prior period.
Equity Assurance released its FY results for the year ended 31st
December, 2014, Gross premium (N4.845Bn) appreciated by 5%
and PAT (N310m) appreciated by 185% from prior period.
Sector Report Today(%) Month-To-Date(%) Year-To-Date(%)
NSE30 -0.21 -2.17 135.99
NSE BNK10 -0.27 -4.30 225.53
NSE CNSM10 -0.50 -0.41 113.72
NSE OILG5 -0.99 -5.61 206.34
NSE INS10 0.08 -2.04 24.42
NSE IND 0.15 0.31 28.91
Market Wrap
ASI -0.22% 33,590.48
Index year-to-datee -3.07%
Market Cap. N11.466Tril
Traded value 2.830Bn
Key gainers (%)
PZ 5.00
UBA 3.50
VITAFOAM 1.30
SEPLAT 0.30
DANGCEM 0.01
Key losers (%)
HONYFLOUR -4.27
OKOMUOIL -3.91
OANDO -3.75
GUINNESS -3.03
FIDELITY -2.67
NITTY
1M 10.5110
2M 11.4597
3M 11.4914
6M 13.4594
9M 14.1443
12M 14.3803
Crude oil spot price
Brent crude US$62.75
Contact information
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Email: cslservice@fcmb.com
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2. Daily Retail Report
Page 2
Retail views
Stock Recommendations
Banking Comment
Current
Price
Target
Price
Potential
Upside %
EPS
FY
2014
1 Yr
forward
EPS
Last
Dividend(
N)
P/BV
2014
Yield FY
2014
Yield FY
2015e
Shares
Outstanding
(millions)
Year
End
ACCESS BANK Buy 6.05 7.70 27% 1.90 0.40 0.60 0.50 9.80% 1.0% 22883.00 Dec.
DIAMOND BANK Buy 4.44 5.30 19% 1.70 0.30 0.10 0.50 2.20% 1.6% 14475.00 Dec.
FIDELITY BANK PLC Buy 1.82 1.90 4% 0.20 0.10 0.18 0.30 9.60% 4.8% 28974.00 Dec.
FBN HOLDINGS Buy 9.00 12.90 43% 2.50 0.00 0.10 0.60 1.10% 0.0% 32632.00 Dec.
GUARANTY TRUST BANK Buy 27.29 28.40 4% 3.40 2.20 1.75 2.20 6.40% 3.9% 29431.00 Dec.
STANBIC HOLDINGS Hold 28.95 32.40 12% 2.90 3.60 1.25 2.70 0.30% 3.9% 10000.00 Dec.
STERLING BANK Hold 2.03 1.60 -21% 0.40 0.30 0.06 0.50 2.90% 6.3% 21592.00 Dec.
SKYE BANK Under review 2.52 Under review 1.10 1.1 0.30 0.3 21.70% 21.7% 13219.00 Dec.
U B A Buy 5.33 7.90 48% 1.60 0.50 0.10 0.70 1.90% 2.7% 32981.00 Dec.
ZENITH BANK Buy 19.80 24.60 24% 3.20 2.20 1.75 1.10 8.70% 4.6% 31396.00 Dec.
Food & Beverage EPS 2014
EV/EBITDA (x)
2014
Yield FY 2014 Yield FY
2015e
DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY Under review 6.65 Under review 1.00 1.00 0.60 3.70 9.20% 9.2% 12000.00 Dec.
CADBURY NIG. Under review 39.90 Under review 0.80 3.50 0.65 8.40 1.60% 5.2% 1878.00 Dec.
FLOUR MILLS Hold 35.00 54.80 57% 1.90 3.50 1.60 6.80 2.10% 2.1% 2385.00 Mar.
HONEYWELL FLOURMILLS Buy 3.81 5.20 36% 0.30 0.40 0.17 11.80 4.60% 4.6% 7930.00 Mar.
NESTLE FOODS NIG. Hold 865.00 777.60 -10% 28.10 27.80 17.50 21.00 3.10% 2.8% 792.00 Dec.
P Z INDUSTRIES Hold 30.66 34.60 13% 1.30 1.40 0.81 12.70 2.00% 2.2% 3970.00 May
U A C N Buy 41.70 72.60 74% 3.60 3.60 1.75 4.70 5.60% 5.6% 1920.00 Dec.
UNILEVER NIGERIA PLC Sell 45.17 24.30 -46% 0.60 0.50 0.10 27.50 0.20% 0.2% 3783.00 Dec.
Building Materials EPS 2014e
EV/EBITDA(x)
2014e
Yield FY
2014e
Yield FY
2015e
LAFARGE WAPCO PLC Under review 99.50 Under review 9.40 9.40 3.50 8.10 3.30% 3.3% 3001.00 Mar.
DANGOTE CEMENT Buy 177.01 198.40 12% 11.90 11.90 6.00 13.90 4.00% 4.0% 17040.00 Dec.
Breweries EPS 2014
EV/EBITDA(x)
2014
Yield FY 2014 Yield FY
2015e
GUINNESS NIG. Sell 160.00 111.00 -31% 6.30 6.30 7.00 9.10 1.90% 1.9% 1506.00 June
INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES Hold 20.01 24.50 22% 1.30 1.30 0.30 16.20 2.30% 2.3% 3263.00 Mar.
NIGERIAN BREWERIES Sell 147.20 127.70 -13% 5.60 5.60 3.50 13.20 3.20% 3.2% 7562.00 June
Agriculture EPS 2014
EV/EBITDA(x)
2014e
Yield FY
2014e
Yield FY
2015e
OKOMU OIL Buy 29.21 41.50 42% 3.00 3.00 0.25 8.30 7.20% 7.2% 953.00 Dec.
PRESCO PLC Buy 34.50 42.70 24% 1.62 1.60 0.10 10.50 1.50% 1.5% 1000.00 Dec.
Pharmaceuticals EPS 2014
EV/EBITDA (x)
2013
Yield FY 2013 Yield FY
2015e
GLAXOSMITHKLINE BEECHAM NIG. Buy 44.11 78.60 78% 1.90 4.30 0.75 12.30 1.70% 4.4% 957.00 Dec.
Oil & Gas EPS 2014
EV/DACF(x)
2014
Yield FY 2014 Yield FY
2015e
SEPLAT Buy 339.01 598.00 76% 0.58 0.87 3.10 4.70% 4.9% Dec.

3. Daily Retail Report
Page 3
Retail views
Top Highlight
Naira bonds
JP Morgan extends it GBI-EM deadline for Nigeria. Why?
At the beginning of this year JP Morgan announced that it was considering removing Nigeria from its index of emerging market local-currency
bonds, the GBI-EM Index, with a review period of three to five months. Nigeria had been included in the index in October 2012. Now JP Morgan is
announcing that it is extending its review period until the end of the year.
The key issue for JP Morgan is liquidity in naira foreign exchange. We at CSL Stockbrokers have not encountered problems settling foreign
exchange in the equity market, so we doubt that JP Morgan’s issue lies with specific instances of remitting funds to overseas investors. Rather, it
is a matter of overall liquidity. Over-the-counter FX turnover fell from N3.3tn (US$16.6bn) in January to N1.7tn (US$8.6bn) in March according to
data from market data provider FMDQ.
The Central Bank of Nigeria in the last year has supplemented a policy of high rates and tight liquidity with multiple administrative measures.
These have stabilised the currency after its effective devaluation this year (see CSL Nigerian Monetary Policy Committee Preview – The FX
Conundrum, 23 March), but reduced liquidity.
In the political arena it is possible that the government of President Muhammadu Buhari will dramatically improve Nigeria’s fiscal outcome, with
benefits for the monetary side (eg, possibly stronger foreign exchange reserves). But the new government has only just come to power, and we
might only see benefits six months from now. JP Morgan’s has decided to wait and see.
Today’s news headlines
JPMorgan may eject Nigeria from key bond index by December: JPMorgan will eject Nigeria from its Government Bond Index (GBI-EM) by the
year-end unless the country restores liquidity to its currency market in a way that will allow foreign investors tracking the benchmark to transact
with minimal hurdles.The international bank at the weekend said it had extended the deadline to eject Africa’s biggest economy by another six
months to take into account the arrival of President Muhammadu Buhari. JPMorgan, which runs the most commonly used emerging debt indices
had placed Nigeria on a negative index watch in January and then said it would assess its place on the index over a three to five months period.
Source: businessdayonline.com
46 stocks get revival boost in SEC’s new price-floor: The new par value rule introduced by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) last
week is expected to revive the over 46 stocks that have been moribund for several years, with the attendant liquidity to both shareholders in the
stocks and the bourse, BusinessDay can now reveal. The SEC, Nigeria’s apex capital market regulator, had last week approved the Par Value Rule
submitted to it by the National Council of the Nigerian Stock Exchange, which revises the price floor of company shares traded on the Exchange to
one kobo from the previous price floor of 50kobo. Source: businessdayonline.com
Sustainable practices: CBN considers incentives for banks: The Central Bank of Nigeria is working on a set of incentives for banks in the
country to apply sustainable banking practices. The Special Adviser to the CBN Governor on Sustainable Banking, Dr. Aisha Mahmood, revealed
this in Abuja during an interview with journalists to mark the World Environment Day. Source: punchng.com

4. Daily Retail Report
Page 4
Retail views
Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
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