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CSL MARKET
REVIEW
Perfect your investment Strategy with CSL daily
insight into the Nigerian Equity Markets
November 11, 2015
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
1
Retail Views
NSE…
Owing to improved investors’ patronage, the Nigerian Stock Market
witnessed some respite at today’s trading session with the ASI
appreciating 0.12% to close at 29,014.78bps. Sub-sectors monitored by
the exchange showed mixed performance; NSEOILGS closed negative
on the back of Oando (-9.67%) while NSEBNK, NSECNSM and NSEINS
kept the ASI in positive territory on the back of gains recorded by
Mansard (4.96%), Dangflour (4.76%), Flourmill (4.55%), Access (4.00%)
and UBA (3.02%).
The All-Share-Index has lost 16.28% year-to-date. Among the broad
indices, 217million units valued at N1, 458bn represents 32% and 19%
decline in volume and value traded relative to previous figures. At the
close of today’s session, 12 stocks advanced relative to 25 decliners
while 61 remained unchanged. Top in the gainers’ chart are
MANSARD(N2.75), DANGFLOUR (N2.42) and FLOURMILL(N21.85)
while OANDO (N7.66), TRANSCORP (N1.85) and CCNN (N8.01) led the
decliners.
See below for recent Corporate financial results.
In the trader’s opinion, investors are advised to take up buying positions
in value stocks for possible long term returns.
28,000.00
29,000.00
30,000.00
31,000.00
0.300
5.300
10.300
16-…
18-…
20-…
22-…
24-…
26-…
28-…
30-…
01-…
03-…
05-…
07-…
09-…
11-…
3-wk Trajectory : ASI vs Value
Traded
Series2 Series1
Market Wrap
ASI +0.12 29,014.78
Index Yr-to-date -16.28%
Market Cap. N9.974Tn
Traded value N1,458Bn
Key Gainers Close (N) %Chg.
Mansard 2.75 4.96
Dangflour 2.42 4.76
Flourmill 21.85 4.55
Access 4.68 4.00
UBA 3.75 3.02
Key Losers Close (N) %Chg.
Oando 7.66 -9.67
Transcorp 1.85 -8.87
Ccnn 8.01 -8.25
Cadbury 19.10 -4.98
Ikejahotel 3.33 -4.86
Global Markets Close %Chg.
FTSE 100 6,318.99 -0.55
The DOW 17,756.04 -0.86
S & P 500 2,080.13 -0.91
Nikkei 225 19,642.74 1.96
Kenya NSE 147.58 0.76
Source : Bloomberg
Fixed Income & Commodities
NITTY
3-Month 2.6481
6-Month 4.1306
9-Month 4.7160
12-Month 5.2160
Crude Oil Spot Price
Brent Crude Us$47.27
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
2
NASD OTC Market.....
NASD Market News…
Themarketfurthertriedtosustaintherallywitnessedfromthebeginningoftheweekasmostoftheindicestradednorthwards.
The Unlisted Securities Index and Market Capitalization appreciated +0.66% and +0.63% (0.66basis points and N2.78bn) to
record 749.59basis points and N444.28bn separately.
Without respite the value of stocks traded again depreciated by -83.55% to record N647,448.75; even as the volume of stocks
still appreciated +786.71% in 502,625units, while trades were executed in 5 deals. Activity levels reflected 5(five) securities
trading out of the 23 securities admitted to trade, and Food Concepts Plc recording the largest volume of stocks traded in
500,000units.
The price chart recorded only 2 (two) gains, leaving 21 securities unchanged. Food Concepts Plc +14.93% and NDEP Plc +8.97%
(N158.00)
Tactical positioning investors are advised take up a medium to long term investment approach in these equities.
Name Period Dividend Bonus Closure date
Payment
date Name Period Turnover (N'mil) %Chg PBT (N'mil) PAT (N'mil) %Chg
TOTAL NIG PLC INTERIM 2.00 KOBO Nil 04-Dec-15 14-Dec-15 MAY & BAKER NIG PLC 9M 2015 5,283 9% 60 41 -144%
NESTLE NIG PLC INTERIM 1000 KOBO Nil 30-Oct-15 07-Dec-15 PORTLAND PAINT & PRODUCT H1 2015 1,946 17% 58 58 -17%
SEPLAT PET. DEV. CO INTERIM 30 KOBO Nil 23-Nov-15 17-Nov-15 PORTLAND PAINT & PRODUCT 9M 2015 1,444 9% 67 67 -41%
NIGERIA BREWERIES INTERIM 120 KOBO Nil 18-Nov-15 19-Nov-15 FTN COCOA PROCESSOR 9M 2015 562 253% 39- 39- 87%
RAK UNITY PETROLEUM FY 2015 30 KOBO Nil 27-Oct-15 02-Nov-15 GUINEA INSURANCE FY 2014 1,093 0.46% 14- 81- -308%
CONOIL FY 2014 100 Kobo Nil 28-Sep-15 02-Nov-15 PRESTIGE ASSURANCE Q1 2015 1,895 -29% 8 5 -97%
GUINNESS FY 2014 320 Kobo Nil 12-Oct-15 27-Nov-15 LAW UNION & ROCK INS FY 2015 3,252 -9% 664 564 217%
ETI FY 2014 Nil 1 for 15 22-Jul-15 N/A SKYE SHELTHER FUND 9M 2015 170 21% 138 138 31%
Academy Press FY2014 Nil 1 for 5 07-Aug-15 N/A RAK UNITY PETROLEUM H1 2015 2,320 -35% 55 38 -4%
Northern Nigeria Fl. FY2014 30 kobo Nil CONOIL PLC 9M 2015 60,156 -42% 1,760 1,196 -16%
Triple Gee FY2014 4 kobo Nil NIGER INSURANCE PLC 9M 2015 7,900 -5% 613 513 41%
Mansard (Interim) H1 2015 3 kobo Nil 14-Oct-15 26-Oct-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC Q2 2015 6,167 10% 568 518 127%
Union Diagnostic FY2014 ​2.5kobo ​Nil 21-Aug-15 02-Oct-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC Q1 2015 3,048 -1% 377 342 47%
ELLAH LAKES PLC FY 2015 72 -23% 34- 34- -162%
NEWGOLD ISSUER H1 2015 5,203.00$ -61% 4,938.00$ 3,560.00$ -59%
EQUITY ASSURANCE 9M 2015 2,106 -26% 647- 664- -98%
NASCON ALLIED INDUSTRIES 9M 2015 10,192 25% 2,380 1,618 3%
Corporate Action (October 2015) Company Result (October 2015)
500.00
600.00
700.00
800.00
03-Nov
05-Nov
07-Nov
09-Nov
11-Nov
Index
Period
Unlisted Securities Index Curve
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
3
News Highlight –Banks
Bond yields decline as banking system liquidity rises
Yields on Nigerian bonds across several maturities have declined significantly in recent days on the back of
increased liquidity in the interbank money market.
Banking system liquidity has been rising since September, after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) cut the
Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) on 22 September from 31% to 25% and reduced its Open market Operations
(OMO) – CBN carried out its last OMO on 29 September.
According to traders, system liquidity stood at N890bn (US$4.5bn) at the close of business yesterday. Reuters
also reported that the CBN is loosening monetary policy possibly to spur credit growth.
We do not think that increasing the liquidity within the banking system will necessarily translate through to
increased lending by the banks as the slowing economy could result in asset quality continuing to deteriorate.
Already, banks like Stanbic IBTC (Hold: target price N28.8/s, current price N20.0/s) reported a rise in NPL’s
from 6.6% in 2014 to 8.8% in its 9M 2015 results. Furthermore, some banks have guided towards a reduction
in their loan growth targets. For example, Diamond Bank (Buy: target price N4.8/s, current price N2.7/s) cut
its 2015 loan growth target to flat from its 5% guidance in H1 2015.
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
4
Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (CSLS) is regulated and authorized by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Nigeria and the Nigerian
Stock Exchange (NSE). The details of the authorization can be viewed at the SEC Website at http://www.sec.gov.ng/consolidated-list-of-capital-
market-operators.html and at the NSE Website at http://www.nse.com.ng/Regulation/ForBrokers/Pages/Dealing-Members.asp.
RELIANCE ON THIS NOTE FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENGAGING IN ANY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY MAY EXPOSE YOU TO A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF
LOSS. By receiving this document, you will not be deemed a client or provided with the protections afforded to clients of CSLS. When distributing
this document, CSLS or any member of the First City Group is not acting for anyrecipient of this document and will not be responsible for providing
advice to any recipient in relation to this document. Accordingly, CSLS will not be responsible to any recipient for providing the protections
afforded to its clients.
If you are in the UK, the protections of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA) or Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do not apply to
any investment activity engaged in as a result of this communication; and any resulting transaction would not fall within the jurisdiction of any
FSMA or FCA dispute resolution or compensation scheme. By accepting this document you confirm that you are so aware of the above stated. If
you do not accept the above stated and/or if the distribution of this document is otherwise unlawful where you are, you are required to return the
document immediately to CSLS.
This document is not an offer to buy or sell or to solicit an offer to buy or sell any security. This document does not provide individually tailored
investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The
appropriateness of a particular investment will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments and shares
referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors.
CSLS is a member of the FCMB Group Plc (“the Group”), a group of companies which includes First City Monument Bank Ltd., FCMB Capital
Markets Ltd, First City Asset Management and FCMB UK. Either CSLS or any other member of the Group may effect transactions in shares
mentioned herein, may take proprietary trading positions in those shares, and may receive remuneration for the publication of its research and
for other services. Accordingly, this document may not be considered as objective or impartial. Additionally, information may be available to
CSLS or the Group, which is not reflected in this material. Further information on CSLS’ policy regarding potential conflicts of interest in the
context of investment research and CSLS’ policy on disclosure and conflicts in general are available on request.
This document is based on information obtained from sources it believes are reliable but which it has not independently verified. Neither CSLS
nor its advisors, directors or employees make any guarantee, representation or warranty as to its accuracy, reasonableness or completeness and
neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss
howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The opinions contained in
thisdocumentare subject tochangewithoutnoticeandnotto bereliedupon andshouldnotbeusedin substitution fortheexerciseofindependent
judgment.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments may go down in value as well as up and you may not get back the full
amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in a currency other than the local currency of the recipient of the research report, changes
in the exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of that investment. In case of investments for which there is no
recognized market it may be difficult for investors to sell their investments or to obtain reliable information about its value or the extent of the
risk to which it is exposed.
The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be
reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.
© CSLS 2013. All rights reserved
CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED
Member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange
First City Plaza, 44 Marina,
PO Box 9117,
Lagos State, NIGERIA

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CSL Market Insight

  • 1. CSL MARKET REVIEW Perfect your investment Strategy with CSL daily insight into the Nigerian Equity Markets November 11, 2015
  • 2. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 1 Retail Views NSE… Owing to improved investors’ patronage, the Nigerian Stock Market witnessed some respite at today’s trading session with the ASI appreciating 0.12% to close at 29,014.78bps. Sub-sectors monitored by the exchange showed mixed performance; NSEOILGS closed negative on the back of Oando (-9.67%) while NSEBNK, NSECNSM and NSEINS kept the ASI in positive territory on the back of gains recorded by Mansard (4.96%), Dangflour (4.76%), Flourmill (4.55%), Access (4.00%) and UBA (3.02%). The All-Share-Index has lost 16.28% year-to-date. Among the broad indices, 217million units valued at N1, 458bn represents 32% and 19% decline in volume and value traded relative to previous figures. At the close of today’s session, 12 stocks advanced relative to 25 decliners while 61 remained unchanged. Top in the gainers’ chart are MANSARD(N2.75), DANGFLOUR (N2.42) and FLOURMILL(N21.85) while OANDO (N7.66), TRANSCORP (N1.85) and CCNN (N8.01) led the decliners. See below for recent Corporate financial results. In the trader’s opinion, investors are advised to take up buying positions in value stocks for possible long term returns. 28,000.00 29,000.00 30,000.00 31,000.00 0.300 5.300 10.300 16-… 18-… 20-… 22-… 24-… 26-… 28-… 30-… 01-… 03-… 05-… 07-… 09-… 11-… 3-wk Trajectory : ASI vs Value Traded Series2 Series1 Market Wrap ASI +0.12 29,014.78 Index Yr-to-date -16.28% Market Cap. N9.974Tn Traded value N1,458Bn Key Gainers Close (N) %Chg. Mansard 2.75 4.96 Dangflour 2.42 4.76 Flourmill 21.85 4.55 Access 4.68 4.00 UBA 3.75 3.02 Key Losers Close (N) %Chg. Oando 7.66 -9.67 Transcorp 1.85 -8.87 Ccnn 8.01 -8.25 Cadbury 19.10 -4.98 Ikejahotel 3.33 -4.86 Global Markets Close %Chg. FTSE 100 6,318.99 -0.55 The DOW 17,756.04 -0.86 S & P 500 2,080.13 -0.91 Nikkei 225 19,642.74 1.96 Kenya NSE 147.58 0.76 Source : Bloomberg Fixed Income & Commodities NITTY 3-Month 2.6481 6-Month 4.1306 9-Month 4.7160 12-Month 5.2160 Crude Oil Spot Price Brent Crude Us$47.27
  • 3. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 2 NASD OTC Market..... NASD Market News… Themarketfurthertriedtosustaintherallywitnessedfromthebeginningoftheweekasmostoftheindicestradednorthwards. The Unlisted Securities Index and Market Capitalization appreciated +0.66% and +0.63% (0.66basis points and N2.78bn) to record 749.59basis points and N444.28bn separately. Without respite the value of stocks traded again depreciated by -83.55% to record N647,448.75; even as the volume of stocks still appreciated +786.71% in 502,625units, while trades were executed in 5 deals. Activity levels reflected 5(five) securities trading out of the 23 securities admitted to trade, and Food Concepts Plc recording the largest volume of stocks traded in 500,000units. The price chart recorded only 2 (two) gains, leaving 21 securities unchanged. Food Concepts Plc +14.93% and NDEP Plc +8.97% (N158.00) Tactical positioning investors are advised take up a medium to long term investment approach in these equities. Name Period Dividend Bonus Closure date Payment date Name Period Turnover (N'mil) %Chg PBT (N'mil) PAT (N'mil) %Chg TOTAL NIG PLC INTERIM 2.00 KOBO Nil 04-Dec-15 14-Dec-15 MAY & BAKER NIG PLC 9M 2015 5,283 9% 60 41 -144% NESTLE NIG PLC INTERIM 1000 KOBO Nil 30-Oct-15 07-Dec-15 PORTLAND PAINT & PRODUCT H1 2015 1,946 17% 58 58 -17% SEPLAT PET. DEV. CO INTERIM 30 KOBO Nil 23-Nov-15 17-Nov-15 PORTLAND PAINT & PRODUCT 9M 2015 1,444 9% 67 67 -41% NIGERIA BREWERIES INTERIM 120 KOBO Nil 18-Nov-15 19-Nov-15 FTN COCOA PROCESSOR 9M 2015 562 253% 39- 39- 87% RAK UNITY PETROLEUM FY 2015 30 KOBO Nil 27-Oct-15 02-Nov-15 GUINEA INSURANCE FY 2014 1,093 0.46% 14- 81- -308% CONOIL FY 2014 100 Kobo Nil 28-Sep-15 02-Nov-15 PRESTIGE ASSURANCE Q1 2015 1,895 -29% 8 5 -97% GUINNESS FY 2014 320 Kobo Nil 12-Oct-15 27-Nov-15 LAW UNION & ROCK INS FY 2015 3,252 -9% 664 564 217% ETI FY 2014 Nil 1 for 15 22-Jul-15 N/A SKYE SHELTHER FUND 9M 2015 170 21% 138 138 31% Academy Press FY2014 Nil 1 for 5 07-Aug-15 N/A RAK UNITY PETROLEUM H1 2015 2,320 -35% 55 38 -4% Northern Nigeria Fl. FY2014 30 kobo Nil CONOIL PLC 9M 2015 60,156 -42% 1,760 1,196 -16% Triple Gee FY2014 4 kobo Nil NIGER INSURANCE PLC 9M 2015 7,900 -5% 613 513 41% Mansard (Interim) H1 2015 3 kobo Nil 14-Oct-15 26-Oct-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC Q2 2015 6,167 10% 568 518 127% Union Diagnostic FY2014 ​2.5kobo ​Nil 21-Aug-15 02-Oct-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC Q1 2015 3,048 -1% 377 342 47% ELLAH LAKES PLC FY 2015 72 -23% 34- 34- -162% NEWGOLD ISSUER H1 2015 5,203.00$ -61% 4,938.00$ 3,560.00$ -59% EQUITY ASSURANCE 9M 2015 2,106 -26% 647- 664- -98% NASCON ALLIED INDUSTRIES 9M 2015 10,192 25% 2,380 1,618 3% Corporate Action (October 2015) Company Result (October 2015) 500.00 600.00 700.00 800.00 03-Nov 05-Nov 07-Nov 09-Nov 11-Nov Index Period Unlisted Securities Index Curve
  • 4. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 3 News Highlight –Banks Bond yields decline as banking system liquidity rises Yields on Nigerian bonds across several maturities have declined significantly in recent days on the back of increased liquidity in the interbank money market. Banking system liquidity has been rising since September, after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) cut the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) on 22 September from 31% to 25% and reduced its Open market Operations (OMO) – CBN carried out its last OMO on 29 September. According to traders, system liquidity stood at N890bn (US$4.5bn) at the close of business yesterday. Reuters also reported that the CBN is loosening monetary policy possibly to spur credit growth. We do not think that increasing the liquidity within the banking system will necessarily translate through to increased lending by the banks as the slowing economy could result in asset quality continuing to deteriorate. Already, banks like Stanbic IBTC (Hold: target price N28.8/s, current price N20.0/s) reported a rise in NPL’s from 6.6% in 2014 to 8.8% in its 9M 2015 results. Furthermore, some banks have guided towards a reduction in their loan growth targets. For example, Diamond Bank (Buy: target price N4.8/s, current price N2.7/s) cut its 2015 loan growth target to flat from its 5% guidance in H1 2015.
  • 5. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 4 Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (CSLS) is regulated and authorized by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Nigeria and the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). The details of the authorization can be viewed at the SEC Website at http://www.sec.gov.ng/consolidated-list-of-capital- market-operators.html and at the NSE Website at http://www.nse.com.ng/Regulation/ForBrokers/Pages/Dealing-Members.asp. RELIANCE ON THIS NOTE FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENGAGING IN ANY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY MAY EXPOSE YOU TO A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS. By receiving this document, you will not be deemed a client or provided with the protections afforded to clients of CSLS. When distributing this document, CSLS or any member of the First City Group is not acting for anyrecipient of this document and will not be responsible for providing advice to any recipient in relation to this document. Accordingly, CSLS will not be responsible to any recipient for providing the protections afforded to its clients. If you are in the UK, the protections of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA) or Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do not apply to any investment activity engaged in as a result of this communication; and any resulting transaction would not fall within the jurisdiction of any FSMA or FCA dispute resolution or compensation scheme. By accepting this document you confirm that you are so aware of the above stated. If you do not accept the above stated and/or if the distribution of this document is otherwise unlawful where you are, you are required to return the document immediately to CSLS. This document is not an offer to buy or sell or to solicit an offer to buy or sell any security. This document does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The appropriateness of a particular investment will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments and shares referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors. CSLS is a member of the FCMB Group Plc (“the Group”), a group of companies which includes First City Monument Bank Ltd., FCMB Capital Markets Ltd, First City Asset Management and FCMB UK. Either CSLS or any other member of the Group may effect transactions in shares mentioned herein, may take proprietary trading positions in those shares, and may receive remuneration for the publication of its research and for other services. Accordingly, this document may not be considered as objective or impartial. Additionally, information may be available to CSLS or the Group, which is not reflected in this material. Further information on CSLS’ policy regarding potential conflicts of interest in the context of investment research and CSLS’ policy on disclosure and conflicts in general are available on request. This document is based on information obtained from sources it believes are reliable but which it has not independently verified. Neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees make any guarantee, representation or warranty as to its accuracy, reasonableness or completeness and neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The opinions contained in thisdocumentare subject tochangewithoutnoticeandnotto bereliedupon andshouldnotbeusedin substitution fortheexerciseofindependent judgment. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments may go down in value as well as up and you may not get back the full amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in a currency other than the local currency of the recipient of the research report, changes in the exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of that investment. In case of investments for which there is no recognized market it may be difficult for investors to sell their investments or to obtain reliable information about its value or the extent of the risk to which it is exposed. The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. © CSLS 2013. All rights reserved CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED Member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange First City Plaza, 44 Marina, PO Box 9117, Lagos State, NIGERIA