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Automating Flood Damage
Assessment

Katie Graves
November 2013
Agenda
• Introduction to Flood Damage Assessment
• Types of Flooding

• Types of Data
• Challenges
• Types of Analysis

• Increasing Efficiencies

2
Flood Damage Assessment
Do Nothing

Net Present Value Damages
Flood Cell 1 Flood Cell 2 Flood Cell 3 Flood Cell 4 Flood Cell 5 Flood Cell 6 Flood Cell 7 Flood Cell 8

Residential

Total

Non-residential

2,250

6,540

1,505

11,700

12,045,054

2,610

30 Year

354,045

12,956,313

807

307

257

9

1

1100

600

550

44

4

1212

712

662

50

6

30 Year CC

1162

662

612

45

5

1555

1055

1005

70

1650

1150

1100

2007

1356

856

779

75 Year

12,406,364

354,045

75 Year

30 Year

1,250

Sub-total

1,105

Ground
Floor

100 Year CC

Non-residential

5,160

Upper
Floor

75 Year CC

1,000

Ground
Floor

100 Year

Residential

Upper
Floor

Other Critical
Infrastructure
Emergency
(other than
Services
emergency
services)

Road and Rail (km)

6,427

1,392

540,541

Sub-total

2,024

11,474

2,384

-

-

353,932

Total

9,181,187

-

353,932

249,891

TOTAL

Non-residential
Sub-total

4,750

695

-

297

2,540,564 -

840

-

297

6,130

1,095

-

297

540,244 -

1,430

-

594

10,880

1,790

-

594

3,080,808 -

297

353,635

297 594

2,899,343

297

TOTAL

1,425,640

4,654,687

5,646,543

6,546,544

43,503,544

694,654

42,808,890

Do Minimum

1,350,456

1,486,223

2,478,079

3,378,080

15,606,455

654,354

52,405

77,839

103,273

128,707

4,564,064

Do Nothing

1,354

6,506

8,048

2070
onwards
12,455

140.47

0.56

279

229

9

0

50

28.83

0.20

1067

567

517

43

3

79

60.04

0.31

1173

673

623

49

4

91

74.11

0.36

1122

622

572

44

4

86

71.87

0.35

1477

977

927

67

8

146

131.17

0.52

1574

1074

1024

74

10

158

150.35

0.62

1277

777

727

57

7

114

97.51

0.54

659

159

109

4

0

40

14.37

0.20

832

332

282

22

3

58

28.01

0.31

914

414

364

22

4

69

36.77

0.36

644

144

94

2

0

37

12.84

0.20

816

316

266

17

2

55

24.18

0.31

854

354

304

18

3

62

32.11

0.36

614

114

64

0

0

33

8.71

0.15

805

305

255

17

2

53

21.67

0.31

848

348

298

18

3

61

29.37

0.36

842

342

292

21

3

62

30.23

0.36

75 Year CC

1010

510

460

26

4

85

54.50

0.50

100 Year CC

1052

552

502

29

4

91

63.30

0.58

30 Year

528

28

20

0

1

6

9.31

0.00

75 Year

249,778

533

33

25

1

1

12

21.49

0.01

100 Year

539

39

28

1

2

15

25.53

0.01

30 Year CC

540

40

30

1

1

16

23.91

0.01

Receptors benefiting from solution

14,952,101

75 Year SOP

2015

146

7,207,480

PVD
(capped)

Do Nothing

2020-2039 2040 - 2069

8

100 Year

Scenario 5

Scenario 6

Annual Averages

Risk to Life

60

64,774

Emergency Services

PVD
PVD
(pre- (disallow
capping)
ed)

0.68

806

30 Year

547,121
3,446,464

Scenario 4

Intangible benefit

2070
onwards

194.84

75 Year

Total

353,338

Risks to life

Property damages
2020-2039 2040 - 2069
2015

190

30 Year

19,416,780

Flood Cell 1 Flood Cell 2 Flood Cell 3 Flood Cell 4 Flood Cell 5 Flood Cell 6 Flood Cell 7 Flood Cell 8

297

10

75 Year

Scenario 3

Net Present Value Damages

-

0.54

77

2007

9,551,001
64,887

Emergency Services

590

170.68

30 Year CC

Baseline

9,001,504

Intangible benefit

Residential

174

75 Year CC

Scenario 1

549,497
Risks to life

75 Year SOP

0.36

9

30 Year CC

8,640,646

1,137

95.79

75 Year

Flood Cell 1 Flood Cell 2 Flood Cell 3 Flood Cell 4 Flood Cell 5 Flood Cell 6 Flood Cell 7 Flood Cell 8

Non-residential

0.37

102

100 Year

26,227,630

Net Present Value Damages

992

0.32

99.64

Receptors at risk of flooding

250,004

TOTAL

5,047

0.20

81.54

100 Year

65,000

Emergency Services

887

38.14

91

100 Year

-

Intangible benefit

Residential

56

106

549,949

12,585,708

Risks to life

Do Minimum

Rail

100 Year CC

540,654
-

Road

30 Year

-

4,564,064

Benefit
PVD

Scenario 3 over
Scenario 1

75 Year CC

578

78

28

3

1

28

39.51

0.02

254,064

100 Year CC

576

76

26

3

0

32

44.49

0.06

579

79

29

3

1

32

42.96

0.02

Do Minimum

1,154

4,504

7,540

10,654

168,713

2007

75 Year SOP

840

3,545

6,505

84,056

115,406

30 Year

648

148

98

5

1

16

23.78

0.00

75 Year

768

268

218

22

1

33

53.52

0.01

100 Year

798

298

248

28

2

37

62.88

0.01

30 Year

663

163

113

7

1

19

25.31

0.00

75 Year

784

284

234

27

2

36

57.36

0.01

100 Year

858

358

308

32

3

44

67.53

0.01

Intangible Benefit
2020-2039 2040 - 2069
2015

Benefit
2070
onwards

PVD

Do Minimum

34,540

31,640

25,456

22,840

7,654,654

75 Year SOP

3

Scenario 4 over
Scenario 1

46,546

46,546

45,466

43,515

1,387,354

Benefit

Scenario 5 over
Scenario 1
What is Flood Risk?
• Flood risk = probability of flooding x impact of
flooding
• Probability is the likelihood that a flood will occur over the
period of a year.

• 1% probability of flood event refers to a 1 in 100 chance of
occurrence.
• This would be a relatively large event.
• This is a flood with a 100 year return period

4
Flood Risk
•
•

Flooding from the sea

•

Flooding from surface water

•

Flooding from sewers

•

Flooding from groundwater

•

5

Flooding from rivers

Flooding from infrastructure failure
Modelling Flood Risk
• Hydraulic modelling outputs – Fluvial
(ISIS/TuFLOW)
- 1D cross section data
- 2D raster data with water levels or
water depths
• Hydraulic modelling outputs – Drainage
modelling (Infoworks ICM)
- 1D Node data
- Vector triangulated surface
representing flooding
• Topographic data

6
Challenges
• Rapidly modelling numerous scenarios and return periods
• Naming multiple datasets

• Long field names required
• Iterative process
• Engineers like spread sheets

• Results required rapidly as the project evolves to feed back into
the design

7
Flood Damage Assessment Analysis

8
Flood Damage Assessment Analysis

9
Increasing Efficiencies
• Iterative folders to run through files quickly
• File naming using in-line variable substitution (parse path)
• Results available spatially to allow any inconsistencies to be
picked up

10
Increasing Efficiencies
Models can be re-run with different inputs

Geodatabases essential for long file names
Models can be run be people with little GIS experience

11
Summary
• Flood damage assessment involves lots of complex calculations
• Using models can allow these calculations to be calculated
quickly and efficiently in a spatial environment
Next Steps:
• Encouraging engineers to adopt these approaches across multiple
projects.

• Further automate different stages of the process and ensure that
the tools are user friendly.

12
Any Questions?

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Automating Flood Damage Assessment (Katie Graves, Arup)

  • 2. Agenda • Introduction to Flood Damage Assessment • Types of Flooding • Types of Data • Challenges • Types of Analysis • Increasing Efficiencies 2
  • 3. Flood Damage Assessment Do Nothing Net Present Value Damages Flood Cell 1 Flood Cell 2 Flood Cell 3 Flood Cell 4 Flood Cell 5 Flood Cell 6 Flood Cell 7 Flood Cell 8 Residential Total Non-residential 2,250 6,540 1,505 11,700 12,045,054 2,610 30 Year 354,045 12,956,313 807 307 257 9 1 1100 600 550 44 4 1212 712 662 50 6 30 Year CC 1162 662 612 45 5 1555 1055 1005 70 1650 1150 1100 2007 1356 856 779 75 Year 12,406,364 354,045 75 Year 30 Year 1,250 Sub-total 1,105 Ground Floor 100 Year CC Non-residential 5,160 Upper Floor 75 Year CC 1,000 Ground Floor 100 Year Residential Upper Floor Other Critical Infrastructure Emergency (other than Services emergency services) Road and Rail (km) 6,427 1,392 540,541 Sub-total 2,024 11,474 2,384 - - 353,932 Total 9,181,187 - 353,932 249,891 TOTAL Non-residential Sub-total 4,750 695 - 297 2,540,564 - 840 - 297 6,130 1,095 - 297 540,244 - 1,430 - 594 10,880 1,790 - 594 3,080,808 - 297 353,635 297 594 2,899,343 297 TOTAL 1,425,640 4,654,687 5,646,543 6,546,544 43,503,544 694,654 42,808,890 Do Minimum 1,350,456 1,486,223 2,478,079 3,378,080 15,606,455 654,354 52,405 77,839 103,273 128,707 4,564,064 Do Nothing 1,354 6,506 8,048 2070 onwards 12,455 140.47 0.56 279 229 9 0 50 28.83 0.20 1067 567 517 43 3 79 60.04 0.31 1173 673 623 49 4 91 74.11 0.36 1122 622 572 44 4 86 71.87 0.35 1477 977 927 67 8 146 131.17 0.52 1574 1074 1024 74 10 158 150.35 0.62 1277 777 727 57 7 114 97.51 0.54 659 159 109 4 0 40 14.37 0.20 832 332 282 22 3 58 28.01 0.31 914 414 364 22 4 69 36.77 0.36 644 144 94 2 0 37 12.84 0.20 816 316 266 17 2 55 24.18 0.31 854 354 304 18 3 62 32.11 0.36 614 114 64 0 0 33 8.71 0.15 805 305 255 17 2 53 21.67 0.31 848 348 298 18 3 61 29.37 0.36 842 342 292 21 3 62 30.23 0.36 75 Year CC 1010 510 460 26 4 85 54.50 0.50 100 Year CC 1052 552 502 29 4 91 63.30 0.58 30 Year 528 28 20 0 1 6 9.31 0.00 75 Year 249,778 533 33 25 1 1 12 21.49 0.01 100 Year 539 39 28 1 2 15 25.53 0.01 30 Year CC 540 40 30 1 1 16 23.91 0.01 Receptors benefiting from solution 14,952,101 75 Year SOP 2015 146 7,207,480 PVD (capped) Do Nothing 2020-2039 2040 - 2069 8 100 Year Scenario 5 Scenario 6 Annual Averages Risk to Life 60 64,774 Emergency Services PVD PVD (pre- (disallow capping) ed) 0.68 806 30 Year 547,121 3,446,464 Scenario 4 Intangible benefit 2070 onwards 194.84 75 Year Total 353,338 Risks to life Property damages 2020-2039 2040 - 2069 2015 190 30 Year 19,416,780 Flood Cell 1 Flood Cell 2 Flood Cell 3 Flood Cell 4 Flood Cell 5 Flood Cell 6 Flood Cell 7 Flood Cell 8 297 10 75 Year Scenario 3 Net Present Value Damages - 0.54 77 2007 9,551,001 64,887 Emergency Services 590 170.68 30 Year CC Baseline 9,001,504 Intangible benefit Residential 174 75 Year CC Scenario 1 549,497 Risks to life 75 Year SOP 0.36 9 30 Year CC 8,640,646 1,137 95.79 75 Year Flood Cell 1 Flood Cell 2 Flood Cell 3 Flood Cell 4 Flood Cell 5 Flood Cell 6 Flood Cell 7 Flood Cell 8 Non-residential 0.37 102 100 Year 26,227,630 Net Present Value Damages 992 0.32 99.64 Receptors at risk of flooding 250,004 TOTAL 5,047 0.20 81.54 100 Year 65,000 Emergency Services 887 38.14 91 100 Year - Intangible benefit Residential 56 106 549,949 12,585,708 Risks to life Do Minimum Rail 100 Year CC 540,654 - Road 30 Year - 4,564,064 Benefit PVD Scenario 3 over Scenario 1 75 Year CC 578 78 28 3 1 28 39.51 0.02 254,064 100 Year CC 576 76 26 3 0 32 44.49 0.06 579 79 29 3 1 32 42.96 0.02 Do Minimum 1,154 4,504 7,540 10,654 168,713 2007 75 Year SOP 840 3,545 6,505 84,056 115,406 30 Year 648 148 98 5 1 16 23.78 0.00 75 Year 768 268 218 22 1 33 53.52 0.01 100 Year 798 298 248 28 2 37 62.88 0.01 30 Year 663 163 113 7 1 19 25.31 0.00 75 Year 784 284 234 27 2 36 57.36 0.01 100 Year 858 358 308 32 3 44 67.53 0.01 Intangible Benefit 2020-2039 2040 - 2069 2015 Benefit 2070 onwards PVD Do Minimum 34,540 31,640 25,456 22,840 7,654,654 75 Year SOP 3 Scenario 4 over Scenario 1 46,546 46,546 45,466 43,515 1,387,354 Benefit Scenario 5 over Scenario 1
  • 4. What is Flood Risk? • Flood risk = probability of flooding x impact of flooding • Probability is the likelihood that a flood will occur over the period of a year. • 1% probability of flood event refers to a 1 in 100 chance of occurrence. • This would be a relatively large event. • This is a flood with a 100 year return period 4
  • 5. Flood Risk • • Flooding from the sea • Flooding from surface water • Flooding from sewers • Flooding from groundwater • 5 Flooding from rivers Flooding from infrastructure failure
  • 6. Modelling Flood Risk • Hydraulic modelling outputs – Fluvial (ISIS/TuFLOW) - 1D cross section data - 2D raster data with water levels or water depths • Hydraulic modelling outputs – Drainage modelling (Infoworks ICM) - 1D Node data - Vector triangulated surface representing flooding • Topographic data 6
  • 7. Challenges • Rapidly modelling numerous scenarios and return periods • Naming multiple datasets • Long field names required • Iterative process • Engineers like spread sheets • Results required rapidly as the project evolves to feed back into the design 7
  • 10. Increasing Efficiencies • Iterative folders to run through files quickly • File naming using in-line variable substitution (parse path) • Results available spatially to allow any inconsistencies to be picked up 10
  • 11. Increasing Efficiencies Models can be re-run with different inputs Geodatabases essential for long file names Models can be run be people with little GIS experience 11
  • 12. Summary • Flood damage assessment involves lots of complex calculations • Using models can allow these calculations to be calculated quickly and efficiently in a spatial environment Next Steps: • Encouraging engineers to adopt these approaches across multiple projects. • Further automate different stages of the process and ensure that the tools are user friendly. 12