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Latest developments in Deltares Hydro Software
Introduction to the workshops
Mark Hegnauer, Deltares
• 3 workshops:
• Workshop Coastal flood forecasting using Delft-FEWS (+ Delft3D FM)
• Workshop River Basin / Rainfall – Runoff Modelling using wflow
• Workshop on The Adaptation Catalyst Tool
• Youth Forum on Disaster Risk Reduction
Now a short introduction to the software!
Program for the next days
Coastal flood forecasting
using Delft-FEWS
UN ISDR Guidelines for the reduction of flood losses:
“The operation of a flood warning and
response system is the most effective
method for reducing the risk of loss of life
and economic losses”
Why Delft-FEWS?
• Detecting:
What is happening now?
• Forecasting:
What will happen in the future?
• Warning:
Is it going to be a problem?
• Response:
Should action be taken?
The Delft-FEWS platform
De-facto standard model – data platform
Delft-FEWS applications around the world
The Delft-FEWS community
https://oss.deltares.nl/web/delft-fews
Data collection
Data processing
Running models
Analysis
Action
Precipitation radar, telemetry,
satellite, external forecasts
Interpolate to catchment, merge
sources, aggregate
Hydrological rainfall-runoff,
hydraulic, overland flow
Floodplain flooding, levee
overtopping, threshold crossing
Inform decision makers, send
warnings, create flood bulletins
The Delft-FEWS architecture
The Delft-FEWS architecture
Model adaptor
Delft-FEWS
General Adapter
External Model
Import
Export
database
weather forecast radar & telemetry
***
field
measurements
distributed clients
emergency services
internet/intranet
www
archive
Processing
Validation
Interpolation
Transformations
etc.
Delft-FEWS : Easy access to (global) data
Delft-FEWS example for the Chao Phraya river
RainfallAccumulated rainfall
Delft-FEWS example for Hokkaido, Japan
RainfallAccumulated rainfall
Delft-FEWS example for the Rhine, NL
RainfallAccumulated rainfall
About the workshop
• Presentation of wflow and hydrological modelling
• Series of exercises on:
• Starting the Delft-FEWS software
• Import and exporting data
• Running a model from Delft-FEWS
• Visualizing gridded and scalar data
• Basic validation and surge calculations
River Basin Modelling
using wflow
River Basin Modelling using wflow
• The Deltares open source hydrological modelling
framework
• wflow can be used freely
• Key strengths:
• Directly links to available (gridded) datasets
• Fully distributed model
• Open Source
• Strongly linked to other packages (Delft3D FM, Delft-FEWS,
MODFLOW, RIBASIM)
• Source code can be downloaded from:
https://github.com/openstreams/wflow/
• More information:
https://www.deltares.nl/en/software/wflow-hydrology/
Features of wflow
• A sediment routing module
• Water quality - create and link a
D-Water Quality or D-Emissions model
(Delft3D FM Suite) to wflow
• A crop growth module for irrigated rice
dynamics
• Reservoirs and natural lakes routing
• Linked to OpenDA (for data assimilation)
• Basic model interface (BMI) for coupling
with other models
19
DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019
2018 – Completed projects
20
DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019
2019 – Rapid uptake
21
DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019
High resolution hydrography data Upscaled model resolution hydrography
and subgrid river data
Global-wflow parameter estimation
DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019
22
Large-scale testing of global-wflow
DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019
23
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
12-12-201531-1-201621-3-201610-5-201629-6-201618-8-20167-10-201626-11-201615-1-20176-3-2017
A5431010 5431010 sim
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
11-11-201731-12-201719-2-201810-4-201830-5-201819-7-20187-9-201827-10-201816-12-20184-2-2019
6435060 Lobith Rh 6435060 sim
Preliminary results without calibration!
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
1-10-200019-4-20015-11-200124-5-200210-12-200228-6-2003
3629001 Obidos Am 3629001 sim0
1000
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3000
4000
5000
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9000
10000
1-10-20009-1-200119-4-200128-7-20015-11-200113-2-200224-5-20021-9-200210-12-200220-3-2003
3624300 Envira Ta 3624300 sim
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
1-10-2000 19-4-2001 5-11-2001 24-5-2002 10-12-2002 28-6-2003
3627035 Humaita Mad 3627035 sim
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
1-10-2000 19-4-2001 5-11-2001 24-5-2002 10-12-2002 28-6-2003
3629150 Fortaleza Ta 3629150 sim
Preliminary results without calibration!
Delft3D-UserDays(Waterqualityandecology)
26
Emissions Modelling
D-Water Quality (1D2D3D)
wflow
D-Emissions
Societal, ecological impact
D-Flow FM (1D2D3D)
Modelling inland water quality and emissions
• The hydrologic wflow_sbm model is now linked to D-Emission and D-Water Quality using a coupling script that:
• Translates wflow schematization to D-Water Quality schematization
• Prepares dynamic inputs needed for water quality modelling (different water fluxes and volumes, emission
factors)
• Is flexible enough to enable different types of pollutants emissions modelling
Deltares–DSD-INT-2019–wflowuserday
27
Overview of the schematization of a D-Emission
model for nutrients
Modelling basin-scale soil erosion with wflow
Development of a sediment model coupled to wflow:
• Can be based entirely on global datasets
• Limited calibration for the soil loss part needed
Deltares–DSD-INT-2019–wflowuserday
28
River Basin Modelling with wflow
Deltares–DSD-INT-2019–wflowuserday
29
About the workshop
• Presentation of wflow and hydrological modelling
• Series of tutorials on:
• Installing the software
• Exploring and running the model
• Using different data sources
• Using the latest wflow model setup (release 2019.01)
• Test case: subcatchment of the Rhine based on the
wflow global models set-up and parameterization
30
Deltares–DSD-SEA2019–wflowWorkshop
The
Adaptation Catalyst Tool
Adaptive Planning – What’s new?
What is not new?
• for centuries we adapted our delta to change
• but often in response to (near) disasters
What is new:
• anticipate the change (SLR-CC)
• but these changes are uncertain
• this requires new approaches and methods
Dealing with uncertainties is the key issue of adaptive planning:
• “what to do and when to do it?”
• “not too much, not too little”
• “not too early, nor too late”
Climate Adaption options
Climate Adaption Pathways
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
+++
++
0
- - -
0
0
0
-
-
-
- - -+
0
+++
+++
+++++
++++
+++
+
+
0
0
0
0
0
0
+
Time horizon 50 years
Current
situation
Action A
Action B
Action C
Action D
1
2
3
4
5
9
Pathway Co-benefitsCosts Benefits
+++
++
0
- - -
0
0
0
-0
+++
+++++
+++
+
+
0
0
0
0
Transfer station to new policy action
Adaptation Tipping Point of a policy action (Terminal)
Policy action effective
Changing conditions
Time high-end scenario
Time low-end scenario
0
0 10 70 80 90 100
Years
10 70 80 90 100
Time horizon 100 years
7 -+++ 0
6 -++++ 0
8 - - -+ +
Pathways that are not necessary in low-end scenario
Time horizon 20 years
An adaptation pathway map shows different
possible sequences of decisions to achieve
objectives. A scorecard helps to evaluate the
pathways and decisions.
• In water management we are facing an uncertain future
But we have to make decisions now:
Too early?
Too little?
Too late?
Too much?
• Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways
• Tools we are going to use:
Sustainable Delta Game (serious game about decision making under uncertainty)
Adaptation Catalyst (discussion support tool for developing sequences of interventions)
Pathways Generator (discussion support tool for visualisation of Adaptation Pathways)
About the workshop
Youth Forum on Flood Resilient Infrastructure
Critical Infrastructure and Flooding
• How can flooding impact the critical infrastructure (CI)?
• What are the different impacts of CI disruption and failure?
Introduction to CIrcle tool
• Introduction to CIrcle tool that can be used to assess the impacts of CI
disruption and failure.
Flood risk reduction
• What are the different flood risk reduction measures to reduce the
flood risks?
• Can we apply them all?
CIRCLE: Critical Infrastructures: Relations and
Consequences for Life and Environment
• Calculate impact of flooding on Critical
Infrastructure (CI)
• Find and visualize cascading effects
• Define measures to protect CI
• Gather information about CI
CIRCLE: Critical Infrastructures: Relations and
Consequences for Life and Environment
• Determine flood impact on CI
CIRCLE: Critical Infrastructures: Relations and
Consequences for Life and Environment
• Determine cascading effect of failing CI
CIRCLE: Critical Infrastructures: Relations and
Consequences for Life and Environment
https://circle.deltares.org/
Youth Forum on Flood Resilient Infrastructure
Problem understanding Problem prioritisation Work together to find solutions Increased flood
resilience
Through a case study of Bangkok you will participate in an interesting exercise…
Program coming days
44

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DSD-SEA 2019 Latest developments in Deltares Hydro Software-Hegnauer

  • 1. Latest developments in Deltares Hydro Software Introduction to the workshops Mark Hegnauer, Deltares
  • 2. • 3 workshops: • Workshop Coastal flood forecasting using Delft-FEWS (+ Delft3D FM) • Workshop River Basin / Rainfall – Runoff Modelling using wflow • Workshop on The Adaptation Catalyst Tool • Youth Forum on Disaster Risk Reduction Now a short introduction to the software! Program for the next days
  • 4. UN ISDR Guidelines for the reduction of flood losses: “The operation of a flood warning and response system is the most effective method for reducing the risk of loss of life and economic losses” Why Delft-FEWS?
  • 5. • Detecting: What is happening now? • Forecasting: What will happen in the future? • Warning: Is it going to be a problem? • Response: Should action be taken? The Delft-FEWS platform De-facto standard model – data platform
  • 8. Data collection Data processing Running models Analysis Action Precipitation radar, telemetry, satellite, external forecasts Interpolate to catchment, merge sources, aggregate Hydrological rainfall-runoff, hydraulic, overland flow Floodplain flooding, levee overtopping, threshold crossing Inform decision makers, send warnings, create flood bulletins The Delft-FEWS architecture
  • 9. The Delft-FEWS architecture Model adaptor Delft-FEWS General Adapter External Model Import Export database weather forecast radar & telemetry *** field measurements distributed clients emergency services internet/intranet www archive Processing Validation Interpolation Transformations etc.
  • 10. Delft-FEWS : Easy access to (global) data
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  • 13. Delft-FEWS example for the Chao Phraya river RainfallAccumulated rainfall
  • 14. Delft-FEWS example for Hokkaido, Japan RainfallAccumulated rainfall
  • 15. Delft-FEWS example for the Rhine, NL RainfallAccumulated rainfall
  • 16. About the workshop • Presentation of wflow and hydrological modelling • Series of exercises on: • Starting the Delft-FEWS software • Import and exporting data • Running a model from Delft-FEWS • Visualizing gridded and scalar data • Basic validation and surge calculations
  • 18. River Basin Modelling using wflow • The Deltares open source hydrological modelling framework • wflow can be used freely • Key strengths: • Directly links to available (gridded) datasets • Fully distributed model • Open Source • Strongly linked to other packages (Delft3D FM, Delft-FEWS, MODFLOW, RIBASIM) • Source code can be downloaded from: https://github.com/openstreams/wflow/ • More information: https://www.deltares.nl/en/software/wflow-hydrology/
  • 19. Features of wflow • A sediment routing module • Water quality - create and link a D-Water Quality or D-Emissions model (Delft3D FM Suite) to wflow • A crop growth module for irrigated rice dynamics • Reservoirs and natural lakes routing • Linked to OpenDA (for data assimilation) • Basic model interface (BMI) for coupling with other models 19 DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019
  • 20. 2018 – Completed projects 20 DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019
  • 21. 2019 – Rapid uptake 21 DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019
  • 22. High resolution hydrography data Upscaled model resolution hydrography and subgrid river data Global-wflow parameter estimation DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019 22
  • 23. Large-scale testing of global-wflow DelftSoftwareDays-wflowuserday2019 23
  • 25. 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 1-10-200019-4-20015-11-200124-5-200210-12-200228-6-2003 3629001 Obidos Am 3629001 sim0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 1-10-20009-1-200119-4-200128-7-20015-11-200113-2-200224-5-20021-9-200210-12-200220-3-2003 3624300 Envira Ta 3624300 sim 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 1-10-2000 19-4-2001 5-11-2001 24-5-2002 10-12-2002 28-6-2003 3627035 Humaita Mad 3627035 sim 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 1-10-2000 19-4-2001 5-11-2001 24-5-2002 10-12-2002 28-6-2003 3629150 Fortaleza Ta 3629150 sim Preliminary results without calibration!
  • 26. Delft3D-UserDays(Waterqualityandecology) 26 Emissions Modelling D-Water Quality (1D2D3D) wflow D-Emissions Societal, ecological impact D-Flow FM (1D2D3D)
  • 27. Modelling inland water quality and emissions • The hydrologic wflow_sbm model is now linked to D-Emission and D-Water Quality using a coupling script that: • Translates wflow schematization to D-Water Quality schematization • Prepares dynamic inputs needed for water quality modelling (different water fluxes and volumes, emission factors) • Is flexible enough to enable different types of pollutants emissions modelling Deltares–DSD-INT-2019–wflowuserday 27 Overview of the schematization of a D-Emission model for nutrients
  • 28. Modelling basin-scale soil erosion with wflow Development of a sediment model coupled to wflow: • Can be based entirely on global datasets • Limited calibration for the soil loss part needed Deltares–DSD-INT-2019–wflowuserday 28
  • 29. River Basin Modelling with wflow Deltares–DSD-INT-2019–wflowuserday 29
  • 30. About the workshop • Presentation of wflow and hydrological modelling • Series of tutorials on: • Installing the software • Exploring and running the model • Using different data sources • Using the latest wflow model setup (release 2019.01) • Test case: subcatchment of the Rhine based on the wflow global models set-up and parameterization 30 Deltares–DSD-SEA2019–wflowWorkshop
  • 32. Adaptive Planning – What’s new? What is not new? • for centuries we adapted our delta to change • but often in response to (near) disasters What is new: • anticipate the change (SLR-CC) • but these changes are uncertain • this requires new approaches and methods Dealing with uncertainties is the key issue of adaptive planning: • “what to do and when to do it?” • “not too much, not too little” • “not too early, nor too late”
  • 34. Climate Adaption Pathways 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 +++ ++ 0 - - - 0 0 0 - - - - - -+ 0 +++ +++ +++++ ++++ +++ + + 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Time horizon 50 years Current situation Action A Action B Action C Action D 1 2 3 4 5 9 Pathway Co-benefitsCosts Benefits +++ ++ 0 - - - 0 0 0 -0 +++ +++++ +++ + + 0 0 0 0 Transfer station to new policy action Adaptation Tipping Point of a policy action (Terminal) Policy action effective Changing conditions Time high-end scenario Time low-end scenario 0 0 10 70 80 90 100 Years 10 70 80 90 100 Time horizon 100 years 7 -+++ 0 6 -++++ 0 8 - - -+ + Pathways that are not necessary in low-end scenario Time horizon 20 years An adaptation pathway map shows different possible sequences of decisions to achieve objectives. A scorecard helps to evaluate the pathways and decisions.
  • 35. • In water management we are facing an uncertain future But we have to make decisions now: Too early? Too little? Too late? Too much? • Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways • Tools we are going to use: Sustainable Delta Game (serious game about decision making under uncertainty) Adaptation Catalyst (discussion support tool for developing sequences of interventions) Pathways Generator (discussion support tool for visualisation of Adaptation Pathways) About the workshop
  • 36. Youth Forum on Flood Resilient Infrastructure Critical Infrastructure and Flooding • How can flooding impact the critical infrastructure (CI)? • What are the different impacts of CI disruption and failure? Introduction to CIrcle tool • Introduction to CIrcle tool that can be used to assess the impacts of CI disruption and failure. Flood risk reduction • What are the different flood risk reduction measures to reduce the flood risks? • Can we apply them all?
  • 37. CIRCLE: Critical Infrastructures: Relations and Consequences for Life and Environment • Calculate impact of flooding on Critical Infrastructure (CI) • Find and visualize cascading effects • Define measures to protect CI
  • 38. • Gather information about CI CIRCLE: Critical Infrastructures: Relations and Consequences for Life and Environment
  • 39. • Determine flood impact on CI CIRCLE: Critical Infrastructures: Relations and Consequences for Life and Environment
  • 40. • Determine cascading effect of failing CI CIRCLE: Critical Infrastructures: Relations and Consequences for Life and Environment
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  • 43. Youth Forum on Flood Resilient Infrastructure Problem understanding Problem prioritisation Work together to find solutions Increased flood resilience Through a case study of Bangkok you will participate in an interesting exercise…