2. RISE OF THE SOUTH:
• TECTONIC SHIFTS
• EXPANSION OF HUMAN
CAPABILITIES AND CHOICES
3. % Share of world output
20
30
60
10
0
40
50
1820
1830
1840
1850
Brazil, India, China
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
GLOBAL REBALANCING
1980
1990
2000
Germany, France, Italy, UK, US, Canada
2030
2050
WORLD
A CHANGING
4. REALIGNMENT OF WORLD TRADE
60
% share of world merchandise trade
50
40
30 South-South
North-North
20
10
0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
A CHANGING
WORLD
5. RAPID HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE GLOBE
1
Korea, Rep.
Chile
Brazil Mexico
Malaysia
0.8 Mauritius
Thailand Turkey
Tunisia Ukraine
China
Indonesia
Viet Nam
0.6
HDI 2012
Ghana
India
Lao PDR
Bangladesh
Uganda
0.4 Rwanda
0.2
0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 A CHANGING
HDI 1990 WORLD
6. MASSIVE EXPANSION OF THE
GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS
1990 (1.8 billion)
2020 (3.2 billion)
2030 (4.9 billion)
Europe and North America
Asia-Pacific
Central and South America
Rest of the World
A CHANGING
WORLD
7. INTERNET CONNECTIVITY
1800
1600
1400
Internet users (millions)
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
South North
8. Why have some countries done
better than others?
What can we learn from them?
What are the common drivers?
9. PROACTIVE
DEVELOPMENTAL STATES
1
Commitment to
long-term human
development
2 Actively promoting
job creation
3 4
Enhancing public
Nurturing industrial
investment in health
capacities
and education
DRIVERS
10. TAPPING GLOBAL MARKETS
1
Investment in
people to make the best
2
of trade opportunities
Investing in
infrastructure to
facilitate market access
3 Expanding into non-
traditional markets
DRIVERS
11. SOCIAL POLICY INNOVATIONS
1 2
TURKEY
Health care for all
BRAZIL
and targeting the Expanding education
poor access by equalizing
funds across regions and
municipalities
3 4
MEXICO INDIA
Poverty reduction Extending development
through innovative cash benefits to the broader
transfer programmes society key to accelerating
progress DRIVERS
12. How can we sustain human
development for the
generations to come?
13. PROMOTING EQUITY, VOICE
AND ACCOUNTABILITY
1 2
Countries with less
Women’s education
inequality do better is essential to reduce
and improve more in gender inequality
human development
3 4
Educated, interconnect Participation and
ed youth demand
greater
inclusion essential to
accountability stability and social
cohesion
SUSTAINING
MOMENTUM
16. IS DEMOGRAPHY DESTINY?
1 Education is key to
reduce fertility rates
2
Skills formation and
productivity gains can help cope
with a rapidly aging population
3
To reap a demographic dividend
and benefit youth bulge, job
creation should have priority
SUSTAINING
MOMENTUM
17. THE RISE OF THE SOUTH
• Governance for a changed world
18. REDESIGN FOR A NEW ERA
1
COHERENT PLURALISM
Rise in regional institutions
2
and finance mechanisms
MORE SPACE FOR NON
STATE ACTORS
Citizen networks and social
media can diffuse new norms
3
to reinforce accountability of
GLOBAL GOVERNANCE both state and private actors
For fair representation and shared
responsibility, 20th century
institutions must adapt to 21st
century realities
IMPLICATIONS
19. PRIORITIES FOR A NEW ERA
• Rising economic strength must be matched by a full
commitment to human development
• LDCs can learn and benefit from the success of emerging
economies
• Greater representation for the South and CSOs can
accelerate progress on major global challenges
• The rise of the South presents new opportunities for
generating a greater supply of global public goods
21. UKRAINE’S HDI 2012
• Ukraine’s HDI value is 0.740 – in the high human
development category – positioning the country at 78
out of 187 countries and territories.
• Between 1990 and 2012, Ukraine’s HDI value increased
from 0.714 to 0.740, an increase of 4 percent or average
annual increase of about 0.2 percent.
22. UKRAINE’S HDI 2012
Table: Ukraine’s HDI trends based on consistent time series data, new
component indicators and new methodology
Life expectancy Expected years Mean years of GNI per capita
HDI value
at birth of schooling schooling (2005 PPP$)
1980 69.3 11.9 7.4
1985 70.2 12.2 8.2
1990 69.8 12.5 9.1 8,252 0.714
1995 67.9 11.9 10.4 3,835 0.67
2000 67.4 12.7 10.7 3,585 0.673
2005 67.5 14.2 11.1 5,520 0.718
2010 68.2 14.8 11.3 5,938 0.733
2011 68.5 14.8 11.3 6,210 0.737
2012 68.8 14.8 11.3 6,428 0.740
23. UKRAINE’S HDI 2012
Table: Ukraine’s HDI indicators for 2012 relative to selected countries and
groups
Life Expected GNI per
Mean years
HDI value HDI rank expectancy years of capita (PPP
of schooling
at birth schooling US$)
Ukraine 0.740 78 68.8 14.8 11.3 6,428
Kazakhstan 0.754 69 67.4 15.3 10.4 10,451
Russian Federation 0.788 55 69.1 14.3 11.7 14,461
Europe and Central
0.771 — 71.5 13.7 10.4 12,243
Asia
High HDI 0.758 — 73.4 13.9 8.8 11,501
Editor's Notes
Educated, interconnected youth are demanding greater accountability from national institutions
Confront environmental challenges: Should an environmental disaster scenario materialize, the gains in poverty reduction can be reversed
Ageing challenge has to be met partly with rising productivity through skill formation
Between 1980 and 2012, Ukraine’s life expectancy at birth decreased by 0.5 years, mean years of schooling increased by 3.9 years and expected years of schooling increased by 2.9 years. Ukraine’s GNI per capita decreased by about 22 percent between 1990 and 2012.
Ukraine’s 2012 HDI of 0.740 is below the average of 0.758 for countries in the high human development group and below the average of 0.771 for countries in Europe and Central Asia. From Europe and Central Asia, countries which are close to Ukraine in 2012 HDI rank and population size are Kazakhstan and Russian Federation, which have HDIs ranked 69 and 55 respectively