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Systems analysis in nutrition sensitive landscapes
Jeroen Groot, Stéphanie Alvarez, Carl Timler, Wim Paas, Nester Mashingaidze, Trinidad del
Rio, Minke Stadler, Katrien Descheemaeker , Lummina Horlings, Inge Brouwer (WUR), Gina
Kennedy, Celine Termote, Jessica Raneri, Fabrice Declerck, Natalia Estrada Carmona
(Bioversity International), Roseline Remans, Monica Marie Pasqualino (Columbia University),
Alan Debrauw (IFPRI), Ray-Yu Yang (World Vegetable Center), Shakuntala Thilsted, Kate
Longley, Andrew Ward, Steve Cole (World Fish), Mwansa Songe (ILRI), Busie Maziya-Dixon
(IITA)
Nutrition sensitive landscapes
 What are tradeoffs and synergies between agricultural
production, nutrition security and the environment in a given
landscape?
 How do women’s and men’s food choices and food system
processes impact ecosystem services in a given landscape?
 How can we manage ecosystems for better nutrition while also
managing for other competing objectives of the landscape?
 Central role for a systems approach
Vietnam
Case study areas in Vietnam, Kenya, Zambia
Kenya
Zambia
Learning cycles
Action:
Implementing a
‘bright idea’
Observation:
Find out
consequences
Analysis:
What are
implications?
Plan:
Which
improvements?
Describe:
What?
Explain:
Why?
Explore
Diversify
What if?
Design
Select
Which?
Goal-oriented approach
Goal definition
Formulation of a case-specific
perception of multifunctionality
Indicator set
Metrics to evaluate the
performance of the system
System definition
Definition of the system,
components and process
Integrative model
Expresses system performance
in terms of indicator set
Multifunctionality
assessment
Rossing et al., 2007. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment.
Methods
 Transect walks
 Focus Group Discussions
 Participatory mapping
 Resource flow maps
 Dietary composition, 24 h recall
 AgroBioDiversity survey
 Farm survey (Impact Lite)
 Farm and landscape modeling
Perceptions, values and practices (by Minke Stadler)
Participatory mapping (by Trinidad del Rio)
2.3.1 Mwanja Litema
2.3.2 Matamakisi Lilako
2.3.2 Matamakisi Lilako
2.3.2 Impwa Lilako
2.3.2 Khabichi Lilako
2.3.3 Mbonyi Litapa
2.3.3 Namundalangwe Litapa
2.4.4 Mbonyi Lizulu
2.4.4 Namundalangwe Lizulu
Simu n˚ Sicalo
Mufuta
wa mubu
simu
 Sept  Oct  Nov  Dec  Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug
Kucala
Kucala Kukutula
Kucala Kukutula Kucala Kukutula
Kucala Kukutula Plant Kukutula
Kucala Kukutula Kucala Kukutula
Harvest Kucala
Harvest Kucala
Kucala Kukutula
Kucala Kukutula
Linanga
Maliha
Nako ya tala
Ku kwla litapi
Munda
Mbumbi Litabula
Multi-scale and multifunctional assessment
 Field – farm – household – landscape
Farm indicators:
Economic results (operating profit)
Nutrient flows, balances (C, NPK)
Water balance
Manure production and breakdown
Organic matter balance
Labor balance
Feed balance (E, P)
Bio-energy production
Greenhouse gas emissions
Field indicators:
Crop yield
Nutrient uptake, crop composition
Water content / dynamics
Soil nutrient dynamics
Organic matter content / dynamics
Erosion rate
Landscape indicators:
Ecological coherence
Nutritional functional diversity
Land-use diversity
Household indicators:
Dietary diversity
Nutrition adequacy
Household budget
Nutrition indicators
 Dietary diversity scores, based on 9-16 food groups
● HDDS, WDDS, MDD-W (Kennedy et al., 2010, 2014)
 Food pattern
● Balancing demand and supply of food groups
 Nutrient adequacy
● Balancing requirement and supply of energy, nutrients
 Nutritional Functional Diversity
● Fraction of foods diversity available in an area or farm,
relative to the ‘potential’ diversity in that landscape
Relation land-use and farm mgt. to indicators
 How can we adjust:
● Crop areas, product composition, use
● Animal number, mgt., productivity, product composition, use
● Manure management
● Food acquisition
● Labor use
● And other farm and household choices
 To improve performance of multiple functions?...
 …and which tradeoffs and synergies do we face?
Exploration / optimization
EXPLORATION
MODEL
Maize area
Milk cow number
Fertilizer amount
Inputs
(Describe):
Groundnut area
Calves number
Operating profit
Rotation area
Nitrogen soil losses
Outputs
(Explain):
Labour balance
Organic matter balance
Decision
variables:
Objectives
and constraints:
Minimum = 0
Maximum = 10
✔ Objective
Direction= minimize, or
maximize
✔ Constraint
Minimum = 1000
Maximum = 2000
Populations of farms or landscapes
Soil Org.
Matter
Gross margin
Housing
Intensive grassland
Extensive grassland
Maize
Wheat
Woodland
Groot & Rossing, 2011. Methods in Ecology and Evolution.
Original farm
configuration
Farm DESIGN
DESCRIBE – current
farm configuration
EXPLAIN – indicators
of farm performance
DESIGN – adjusted
farm configurations
EXPLORE – tradeoffs
and synergies
Groot et al (2012) Agric Syst.
Landscape IMAGES Groot et al (2007) Agric Ecosyst Environ.; Groot et al (2010) Eur J Agron.
DESCRIBE – current
land-use configuration
EXPLAIN – indicators of
landscape performance
DESIGN – adjusted
landscape configurations
EXPLORE – tradeoffs
and synergies
Populations of solutions
 Why diversify options?
● Explore tradeoffs and synergies
● Something to choose from
● Avoid lock-in onto undesirable paths
 Discussion support
Groot & Rossing, 2011. Methods in Ecology and Evolution.
Conclusions
 Multi-scale and multifunctional
 Explore tradeoffs and synergies
 Multi-methods and tools
 Multiple options to inform discussions
Nutrition Sensitive Landscapes
Thank you
jeroen.groot@wur.nl
Pareto-based multi-objective optimization
 Existing farm configuration as starting point
 Population of alternative farming systems, generated by changing
decision variables with an evolutionary algorithm
 Evaluate performance and select most promising on the basis of the
concept of Pareto optimality
 Iterative improvement to find the Pareto frontier (trade-offs) and to
visualize the solution space
Pareto optimality
Soil OM
Operating profit
2
2
2
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
Pareto-based optimization
Generate
by adjusting
decision variables
Evaluate
for multiple
objectives
Select
using non-weighing
Pareto-based methods
Soil OM
Operating profit
Original farm
configuration

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Analyzing nutrition-sensitive landscapes using systems approaches

  • 1. Systems analysis in nutrition sensitive landscapes Jeroen Groot, Stéphanie Alvarez, Carl Timler, Wim Paas, Nester Mashingaidze, Trinidad del Rio, Minke Stadler, Katrien Descheemaeker , Lummina Horlings, Inge Brouwer (WUR), Gina Kennedy, Celine Termote, Jessica Raneri, Fabrice Declerck, Natalia Estrada Carmona (Bioversity International), Roseline Remans, Monica Marie Pasqualino (Columbia University), Alan Debrauw (IFPRI), Ray-Yu Yang (World Vegetable Center), Shakuntala Thilsted, Kate Longley, Andrew Ward, Steve Cole (World Fish), Mwansa Songe (ILRI), Busie Maziya-Dixon (IITA)
  • 2. Nutrition sensitive landscapes  What are tradeoffs and synergies between agricultural production, nutrition security and the environment in a given landscape?  How do women’s and men’s food choices and food system processes impact ecosystem services in a given landscape?  How can we manage ecosystems for better nutrition while also managing for other competing objectives of the landscape?  Central role for a systems approach
  • 3. Vietnam Case study areas in Vietnam, Kenya, Zambia Kenya Zambia
  • 4. Learning cycles Action: Implementing a ‘bright idea’ Observation: Find out consequences Analysis: What are implications? Plan: Which improvements? Describe: What? Explain: Why? Explore Diversify What if? Design Select Which?
  • 5. Goal-oriented approach Goal definition Formulation of a case-specific perception of multifunctionality Indicator set Metrics to evaluate the performance of the system System definition Definition of the system, components and process Integrative model Expresses system performance in terms of indicator set Multifunctionality assessment Rossing et al., 2007. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment.
  • 6. Methods  Transect walks  Focus Group Discussions  Participatory mapping  Resource flow maps  Dietary composition, 24 h recall  AgroBioDiversity survey  Farm survey (Impact Lite)  Farm and landscape modeling
  • 7. Perceptions, values and practices (by Minke Stadler)
  • 8. Participatory mapping (by Trinidad del Rio) 2.3.1 Mwanja Litema 2.3.2 Matamakisi Lilako 2.3.2 Matamakisi Lilako 2.3.2 Impwa Lilako 2.3.2 Khabichi Lilako 2.3.3 Mbonyi Litapa 2.3.3 Namundalangwe Litapa 2.4.4 Mbonyi Lizulu 2.4.4 Namundalangwe Lizulu Simu n˚ Sicalo Mufuta wa mubu simu  Sept  Oct  Nov  Dec  Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug Kucala Kucala Kukutula Kucala Kukutula Kucala Kukutula Kucala Kukutula Plant Kukutula Kucala Kukutula Kucala Kukutula Harvest Kucala Harvest Kucala Kucala Kukutula Kucala Kukutula Linanga Maliha Nako ya tala Ku kwla litapi Munda Mbumbi Litabula
  • 9. Multi-scale and multifunctional assessment  Field – farm – household – landscape Farm indicators: Economic results (operating profit) Nutrient flows, balances (C, NPK) Water balance Manure production and breakdown Organic matter balance Labor balance Feed balance (E, P) Bio-energy production Greenhouse gas emissions Field indicators: Crop yield Nutrient uptake, crop composition Water content / dynamics Soil nutrient dynamics Organic matter content / dynamics Erosion rate Landscape indicators: Ecological coherence Nutritional functional diversity Land-use diversity Household indicators: Dietary diversity Nutrition adequacy Household budget
  • 10. Nutrition indicators  Dietary diversity scores, based on 9-16 food groups ● HDDS, WDDS, MDD-W (Kennedy et al., 2010, 2014)  Food pattern ● Balancing demand and supply of food groups  Nutrient adequacy ● Balancing requirement and supply of energy, nutrients  Nutritional Functional Diversity ● Fraction of foods diversity available in an area or farm, relative to the ‘potential’ diversity in that landscape
  • 11. Relation land-use and farm mgt. to indicators  How can we adjust: ● Crop areas, product composition, use ● Animal number, mgt., productivity, product composition, use ● Manure management ● Food acquisition ● Labor use ● And other farm and household choices  To improve performance of multiple functions?...  …and which tradeoffs and synergies do we face?
  • 12. Exploration / optimization EXPLORATION MODEL Maize area Milk cow number Fertilizer amount Inputs (Describe): Groundnut area Calves number Operating profit Rotation area Nitrogen soil losses Outputs (Explain): Labour balance Organic matter balance Decision variables: Objectives and constraints: Minimum = 0 Maximum = 10 ✔ Objective Direction= minimize, or maximize ✔ Constraint Minimum = 1000 Maximum = 2000
  • 13. Populations of farms or landscapes Soil Org. Matter Gross margin Housing Intensive grassland Extensive grassland Maize Wheat Woodland Groot & Rossing, 2011. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. Original farm configuration
  • 14. Farm DESIGN DESCRIBE – current farm configuration EXPLAIN – indicators of farm performance DESIGN – adjusted farm configurations EXPLORE – tradeoffs and synergies Groot et al (2012) Agric Syst.
  • 15. Landscape IMAGES Groot et al (2007) Agric Ecosyst Environ.; Groot et al (2010) Eur J Agron. DESCRIBE – current land-use configuration EXPLAIN – indicators of landscape performance DESIGN – adjusted landscape configurations EXPLORE – tradeoffs and synergies
  • 16. Populations of solutions  Why diversify options? ● Explore tradeoffs and synergies ● Something to choose from ● Avoid lock-in onto undesirable paths  Discussion support Groot & Rossing, 2011. Methods in Ecology and Evolution.
  • 17. Conclusions  Multi-scale and multifunctional  Explore tradeoffs and synergies  Multi-methods and tools  Multiple options to inform discussions
  • 18. Nutrition Sensitive Landscapes Thank you jeroen.groot@wur.nl
  • 19. Pareto-based multi-objective optimization  Existing farm configuration as starting point  Population of alternative farming systems, generated by changing decision variables with an evolutionary algorithm  Evaluate performance and select most promising on the basis of the concept of Pareto optimality  Iterative improvement to find the Pareto frontier (trade-offs) and to visualize the solution space
  • 20. Pareto optimality Soil OM Operating profit 2 2 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 1
  • 21. Pareto-based optimization Generate by adjusting decision variables Evaluate for multiple objectives Select using non-weighing Pareto-based methods Soil OM Operating profit Original farm configuration