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Risks of SETI
  Humanity+ Summit@Harvard
          June 2010
Alexey Turchin
Russian Transhumanist Movement
Fondation “Science for life extension”
   alexeiturchin@gmail.com
Passive SETI is a much more dangerous
    activity than messaging to stars
Two Main Premises

Existence of
ET civilizations




The possiblity of AI
Exponential Growth of SETI Research

    Search for Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence
     Years:                Stars checked:

     1960s                 2
     1970s                 100
     1990s                 near 5000
     2010s (projected)     millions
1961: Fred Hoyle


  “A for Andromeda”

  Scheme of a computer sent through SETI
  AI
  It tries to take over the world
1988: Hans Moravec



     “Mind Children”,
      chapter “A Caveat for SETI”

      “Virus behavior” of SETI-attack
      It spreads like infection in the Universe
2004: Richard Carrigan



     “Do potential SETI signals need to be decon-
     taminated?”, Acta Astronautica



     First scientific article about SETI-attack

     SETI-attack message could have a
     trick
2010: Stephen Hawking



          Expressed conserns about risks
          of contacts with aliens
Amount of information
that can be transmitted




                Current technologies
                allow to send gigabytes in
                interstellar distances
Size of the Seed AI
 Human genome is less then
 1 gigabyte



 Conscious memory is
 2.5 gigabytes

 Seed AI could have the same
 size and could be sent in
 interstellar distances
E. Yudkowsky
      Seed AI can evolve extremely
      quickly

      It could easily outsmart humans
      and take over the world

      Risks of AI are underestimated

      It is impossible to keep AI in the
      “black box”

      It is impossible to recognize
      dangerous intentions of an AI in
      advance
Possible Scenario of SETI-attack
ET Create a Beacon in Space




                         Wikipedia/Nasa



Something like strange star to attract attention
Information-transmitting
Radio Station near the Beacon
Information Consists of 0 and 1

00111100011110001111000
111000111111111111111111
000111111000000111111111
00001110001101111100001
0 and 1 Allow to Send Images
Images Allow to Send Messages
       and Schemes

            Arecibo message,
            1974,
            Puerto-Rico.
            23 x 73 bits.
            Contains main information
            about the Earth, DNA and the
            humans.
The “Pioneer”
Spacecraft
message,
1972
The “Voyager”
spacecraft
message
teaching math
Copernican Mediocrity Principle:
    The Earth is Typical




  We shall understand alliens
The Possible Trick
“If you make our device we promise”:
                 Galactic Internet

                 Immortality

                 Power over enemies

                 etc
Three Parts of the Message
The bait or trick

The scheme of a computer

The large program to it
ET can Send to Us a Scheme of a
      Simple Computer
                       Turing-
                       machine
                       made from
                       Lego
Principle electric cheme
of a simple
AND-NOT
logical element
ZX spectrum
8-bit computer
Several Steps of Downloading
        Alien AI (AAI)




Simple “loader AI” on a simple
computer helps us to built full AI
Alien AI Takes over the World




   It uses its own nanobots
Alien AI creates new lighthouse
and starts to transmit itself to
         the Universe
                                        Dyson sphere
                                        as a new
                                        beacon



It uses all the material of the Solar
system to build large transmitters
Probability Assessment




P(x)=?
Most of SETI signals will be
 some kind of SETI-attack
            Infected civilizations will spend all
            their recourses on sending
            messages
What is the Reason to
 Start such Attack?
         Chain reaction:
         one is enough


         Struggle for power
         over galaxy
Why the humanity would start AAI?

                   Many
                   radiotelescopes
                   exist
                   The signal could be
                   downloaded
                   multiple times


   Someone will start it
Natural selection of Alien AI

intelligent

effective

aggresive
                  Charles Darwin
Alien AI will destroy humanity
 less risks of resistance

 use of the material of the Earth crust
My Estimation of Probability
ET exist: 1 %
AI as program is possible: 90%
SETI-attacks are typical: 50%
SETI-attack will reach success: 50 %
SETI-attack lead to the human extinction: 50 %


Extinction probability from the
SETI-attack: 0.12 %
Necessary Actions
To rise awareness about the problem

To change the guidelines for the SETI research

To consider the prohibition of SETI before we get our
own AI
Read More
Alexei Turchin
Is SETI dangerous?

Jr. Richard A. Carrigan
The Ultimate Hacker: SETI signals may
need to be decontaminated

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