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José Luis Cordeiro www.cordeiro.org The Millennium Project Director, Nodo Venezuela Sociedad Mundial del Futuro Venezuela Fundador, Caracas, Venezuela Singularity University Profesor, NASA Ames, California, USA
www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
Venezuela vs. Benesuela ?   Escenarios   Ingreso por habitante en moneda constate (Indice 1977 = 100)   Benesuela Venezuela www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
Venezuela: entre Suiza y Haití Escenarios?   www.FuturoVenezuela.net Ingreso por habitante (US$ d el 2000 ) 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 10   000 20   000 30   000 40   000 0 Haití? Suiza? Venezuela Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
World Future Society  m
World Future Society  m
 
2007 International Winners Corea 1 China 1 India 2 México 7 Estados Unidos 1 Venezuela 1
Mientras más rápido vamos, más lejos necesitamos ver www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
¿Podemos estudiar el futuro? ¿Podemos estudiar el  clima ? ¿Podemos estudiar las  estrellas ? ¿Podemos estudiar la  Tierra ? ¿Podemos estudiar el  pasado ? www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
Del Mediterr á neo al  Pacífico 500 years 5000 years 50 years ??? www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
 
 
 
 
 
A new face for the world
A new behind for the world
China:  (Chung Kuo)
 
Singularity University
 
Ray Kurzweil (MIT ): The Singularity is Near ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sequencing the genome: cost and time Year Cost (US$) Time 2003 1,000,000.000 13 years 2007 100,000,000 4 years 2008 1,000,000 2 months 2009 10,000 4 weeks 2015 100 5 days
“ Android” Google Phone (gPhone)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agricultural revolution Natural resources Industrial revolution Financial resources Knowledge revolution Human resouces The 3  “waves”  of Alvin Toffler
Japón: de sacapuntas  malos  a computadoras  buenas  en 30 años
Development  is faster and faster
 
Energy  “waves” : “decarbonization”
Towards a post-petroleum world British Petroleum Beyond Petroleum
Jeque Yamani, 2000 Arabia Saudita ,[object Object],www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
Tres  políticas  petroleras: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
From manufacturing to  mindfacturing
We need to  add value
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bioenergy and  “eternal”  energy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
NASA : Space Solar Power Strategy Complete Initial R&D for  1 MW to Full-Scale SSP  2003-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020 2002 Studies & Proof-of-Concept Technology Research (TRL 2-4) Technology Research, Development  and Test  (TRL 4-5) Dual-Purpose Applications R&D (TRL 4-6) Technology Demos  (TRL 6-7) LEGEND R&D  Decision Point Major R&D Pgm Milestone Strategic R&T Road Map Objective MSC 3 10 MW-Class Flight Demo (TRL 7)  Complete Initial SSP Technology Research  for 1-10 MW Class to Full-Scale Systems  Complete Initial R&D for  1 MW to Full-Scale SSP  Technology Testbeds MSC 1 100 kW Class SSP flight demo 50 M Class  flight expt. (incl SPG, AR&D, dist. control) Component-Level Flight Experiments Ground Test of SPG/WPT/Other Breadboards Large structures for large apertures & solar sails Component-Level Proof-of-Concept experiments High Efficiency Arrays for S/C SSP Concept definition complete Ground Test very large deployable structures 1 MW Class SSP advanced  technology subsystem flight demo’s  (SPG/SEPS/WPT) High Power SEPS For Science Probes Lunar Power, Large SEPS High-Power GEO CommSats MSC 2 10-100 kW SSP planetary surface demo SSP Model System Concept(s) MSC 4+ (2020+) FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 10 kW 100 kW 1  MW
 
JAXA :  Space Solar Power Strategy
¿Qué es el futuro? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
Attitudes towards the future ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Sir Arthur  C. Clarke   with Jose Cordeiro
The Three Laws of  Sir Arthur C. Clarke ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Technologies of the  “past” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Physical Immortality: Death of Death 1. Reproductive cells (good) 2. Cancer cells (bad) www.Mprize.org
NBIC ( N ano- B io- I nfo- C ogno) National Science Foundation Department of Commerce
Neurons Cogno NBIC Bio Info Cells Technological Convergence  NBIC   Nano Bits Atoms
Technological convergence  is accelerating… …  and everything is  information
Ray Kurzweil (MIT ): The Singularity is Near ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
www.top500.org
Moore’s Wall? Thermionic Tube Transistor IC1 IC2 IC3 IC4 IC5 ICn 1940  1960  1980  2000  2020  2040 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Log Scale No!
1. Nano ( N BIC)
Nanotec h nolog y:   www.nano.gov
 
2. Bio (N B IC)
The   glo -fish: transgenic fish (Taiwan)
 
Dolly: the  clone
Singapore:  Biopolis   2012
Russia:  ???
Korea: Hwang Woo-suk ( Snuppy )
 
The attack of the clones?
Synthetic biology  is born ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3. Info (NB I C)
MIT  Media Lab:  $100 laptop
 
 
 
 
The 3 Laws of  “Knowledge” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global brain?                                                                 
 
4. Cogno (NBI C )
The  triune brain : Paul MacLean, 1973 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Riken Brain Institute www.brain.riken.go.jp
Riken Brain Institute www.brain.riken.go.jp
Paul Allen:  www.BrainAtlas.org
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What is a  brain ?
Internal brain implants:  Cyberkinetics Inc.
External brain implants
Robots in Japan and Korea
Asimo (Honda) evolution
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Robots are  good  in Japan
 
Kevin Warwick: I, Cyborg www.KevinWarwick.org
Humans  and  machines! Humans  or  machines?
Marvin Minsky  (MIT): Will robots inherit the earth?    Yes, but they will be us !
Bart Kosko, USC : Biology is not destiny. It was never more than tendency. Biology was just nature's first quick and dirty way to compute with meat. Chips are destiny!
Transhumanism is S&T for humans: transcending human limitations www.TransHumanismo.org Are humans  trans-monkeys ?
 
Transhumanism, yes... but  carefully Homo sapiens  sapiens
Superman? Christopher Reeve ( paraplegic )
Stephen  Hawking
Michael J. Fox:  Back to the Future
Ronald Reagan: Alzheimer’s
Space: the final frontier?
SpaceShipOne : Virgin Galactic 2011
The brain: the final frontier!
Yin-yang  阴 阳   (and more  yin-yang )
Light up  the world
 
The world is  one
Guru Cordeiro  meditating in India (Hinduism) and in Japan (Buddhism)
 
 
 
 
¡Muchas gracias! www.Cordeiro.org

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