Spatially Microsimulating Consumption
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Centre for Research in Economic Sociology and Innovation Seminar by Dr Ben Anderson, February 2009.
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Spatially Microsimulating Consumption
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Editor's Notes
- There are a range of statistical methods Multilevel and hierarchical modelling etc But we’re not using them We’re creating a synthetic ‘Income Census’ We fill each ‘area’ (LSOA)… with ALL households from the relevant region Then give them fractional weights so that key constraint variables in each area match known Census distributions
- (and must be in the Census or Census-like data) Relatively few candidates in the Census
- There are a range of statistical methods Multilevel and hierarchical modelling etc But we’re not using them We’re creating a synthetic ‘Income Census’ We fill each ‘area’ (LSOA)… with ALL households from the relevant region Then give them fractional weights so that key constraint variables in each area match known Census distributions
- Validation against the census is excellent!
- Total minutes per day used as sums total behaviour - e.g. what if per minute charging for service? Also indicator of broadband bandwidth demand.
- OECD scale : 1 (first adult) + 0.5 for extra adults & children except 0.3 for child < 14
- No external validation available (yet) for expenditure
- No external validation available (yet) for expenditure
- ,408 = Ghana, Turkmenistan & United States .268 = Bosnia, Hungary, Finland http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_income_equality
- No external validation available (yet) for expenditure
- No external validation available (yet) for expenditure
- So are we picking up a different pattern of poverty in rural areas? Why? Pensioners? Can’t be students
- Total minutes per day used as sums total behaviour - e.g. what if per minute charging for service? Also indicator of broadband bandwidth demand.
- Total minutes per day used as sums total behaviour - e.g. what if per minute charging for service? Also indicator of broadband bandwidth demand.
- Total minutes per day used as sums total behaviour - e.g. what if per minute charging for service? Also indicator of broadband bandwidth demand.
- Total minutes per day used as sums total behaviour - e.g. what if per minute charging for service? Also indicator of broadband bandwidth demand.
- Total minutes per day used as sums total behaviour - e.g. what if per minute charging for service? Also indicator of broadband bandwidth demand.
- Total minutes per day used as sums total behaviour - e.g. what if per minute charging for service? Also indicator of broadband bandwidth demand.
- No external validation available (yet) for expenditure
- No external validation available (yet) for expenditure
- Have to be careful - many areas with large mean spend change are sparsely populated so small overall total spend change Need to account for n households