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Jun Union Clac Strom
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Jun Union Clac Strom

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  • How many of you have been cursed out in public by Bill Gates? I’ll tell you more about that incident in a moment, and in spite of that embarrasment, I still want to offer up my thanks to Bill. As I am sure you all know, Gates is retiring this summer. He and I are about the same age, have three kids, and have worked in the hi tech field for most of our careers. Granted, he has a bit more disposable income than I. He also has been arrested, although I did get a summons many years when I tried to ride my bicycle on a Seatle freeway. My talk today will be a look back of some of my favorite Microsoft technologies and some of the more foolish things that they have done in the past 20 years. I also have had some funny moments that I would like to relive, with your permission of course.
  • Transcript

    • 1. David Strom June 18 2008 Giving thanks to 20 years of Bill Gates: And what the future of IT will be without him
    • 2. Outline
      • Why we should thank Bill
      • A look back to 1988 and what we were using then
      • Some of your stories
      • My predictions for the future
    • 3. Bill Gates is still richer than you
    • 4. Key points
      • Microsoft has made our careers possible
      • Fear, uncertainty, and doubt are all good things even for academics
      • Imagine if all this stuff worked out of the box!
      • Prices have come way down and continue to do so!
      • We are still smarter than our students on most days
      • Thanks to Bill for some great stories over the years
    • 5. We thrive on change
      • CPU, OS, applications change every two-three years
      • The Web has become a dynamic place
        • Send in your homework
        • Find last year’s exam answers
        • Plagarize your assignments
      • It’s hard enough to find the menu commands in Office 2007 and IE7, let alone explain why to civilians
    • 6. The only keyboard Windows needs
    • 7. Thank you Bill!
      • For some laughs
      • For lots of lawsuits
      • For full employment for IT professionals (and journalists)
      • For a chance at investing in Microsoft’s stock
      • For some awkward interviewing moments over the years
    • 8. Microsoft stock value
    • 9. One reason for Bill’s retirement: Demos!
    • 10. Words in the Microsoft lexicon
      • Fear, uncertainty and doubt
      • We are on a product death march
      • Our software is now code complete
      • And is now released to manufacturing
      • We have plenty of Vista-ready PCs
      • We are not monopolists
      • Cut off Netscape’s air supply
      • Abort, retry, reboot
      • More at http://cinepad.com/mslex.htm
    • 11. Thanks for killing off
      • DOS 4.0
      • Windows ME
      • OS/2 (all versions)
      • Lotus 1-2-3
      • Netware
      • Word Perfect
      • Netscape
      • Bob
      • WebTV, and your favorites here
    • 12. Speaking of floppy disks
      • My story at PC Week (formatting)
      • My story at Transamerica Occidental Life (copying)
    • 13. Back in 1982, Bill said in PC Magazine Issue #1:
      • “ We’ll be able to write big fat programs. We can let them run somewhat inefficiently because there will be so much horsepower out there.”
      • “ 300 MB hard drives in the $10-$15,000 range”
      • “ We are still not at a stage where I would tell my mother just to go out and buy a PC”
      • “ You have to be a real bits and bytes man to get that Apple to play any kind of decent musical tone”
    • 14. Let’s go back to 1988 for a moment
      • What stuff did our students have in their dorm rooms?
      • What kinds of devices and PCs were we using?
      • How much did things cost?
      • Had Al Gore invented the Internet yet?
    • 15. My dorm room at Union
      • Hot plate
      • A barely functioning electric typewriter
      • Stereo set with enormous speakers and lots of LPs
      • A payphone “down the hall”
    • 16. My daughter’s dorm room today
      • Two laptop computers (Mac and Windows) w/ wireless Internet access and built-in Web cams
      • Three iPods (one to workout with) with 4,000 tracks
      • Two digital cameras
      • Two cell phones and one landline that is rarely used
      • TV, DVD and cable hookup
      • Microwave, mini fridge supplied by the college
      • Stacks of DVDs and a few CDs to complete the p2p downloaded tunes
    • 17. Fond memories of our first PCs
      • Mine was a HP 85 (+$3,000, 1980)
      • Your first computers:
        • Pre-Mac Apples
        • Radio Shack model 1
    • 18. Price drops
      • 10 years ago, a typical PC base price was $5,500
        • 1 MB RAM, 40 MB disk, 16 MHz CPU
      • Then add 2 MB RAM for $1,700
      • Monitors were around $750 - $1,000 (12” VGA)
      • You were at $10,000 before you knew it!
      • This doesn’t mean we should cut our fees, though!
    • 19.  
    • 20.  
    • 21.  
    • 22.  
    • 23. Now look at what kind of storage you can buy
    • 24.  
    • 25.  
    • 26. What has succeeded despite Microsoft
      • Spreadsheets, and not just for numbers either
      • Linux and all that open source stuff
      • Apache and the Web
      • Apple’s iPod
      • Macintoshes
      • Windows NT and now XP
      • Rick-rolling
    • 27.  
    • 28. Thanks also to Google!
      • Web-based email: Gmail (vs Hotmail)
      • Search (vs MSN)
      • Web mashups (maybe Silverlight and Popfly)
    • 29. Windows is great job security
      • You can’t secure it from exploits and bot nets
      • You can’t find Vista drivers, still > one year later
      • You need us to maintain updates and patches
      • Not to mention operate personal firewalls and HIPS
      • It doesn’t play well with other OS’s
      • It changes faster than student fashions
      • It keeps getting bigger and bigger …
    • 30. Size of Microsoft’s OSs
    • 31. 20 years of lawsuits too!
      • 1989: Apple sues over Windows UI
      • 1994: Dept. of Justice, Windows
      • 1994: Stac, disk compression: wins $126 million
      • 1995: Wang, OLE: wins and then disappears
      • 1996: Caldera, DR-DOS: annoys entire Linux world
      • 1997: Borland, their ex-employees
      • 1998: Dept. of Justice, browser tactics
      • 2003: Real Network, media player
      • Various: Sun, $2 Billion payout!
    • 32. Overall, lawsuits have cost Microsoft $9 Billion!
      • At one time,
      • more than 130
      • concurrent suits!
    • 33. The true Windows default settings
    • 34. Your stories
      • Installing a flat screen TV right before the Superbowl
      • Vint Cerf audience remark via Blackberry
      • Unusual network-attached device:
        • German HVAC units are managed remotely
    • 35. Looking toward the future
      • Web “5.0” and what it will look like
      • Social networks will be everywhere
      • The legalization of p2p networks
      • The state of the CMS
      • Virtualization, clustering, and green computing
    • 36. The Web today
      • Blogs are everywhere, even
      • at Microsoft -- several thousand of
      • them!
      • Social networks multiplying too
      • Mobile-specific content
      • Cloud computing
    • 37. Mashups and rich apps
      • Tools aren’t there yet
      • Companies like SnapLogic, Kapow and yes, Microsoft are trying hard to help with incorporating your internal data sources
      • Mashup editors like Popfly (MSFT), QEDWiki (IBM), and Wavemaker (Axajian) are just at v1
      • My favorite is Stockaholic from Editgrid
      • Wikis and other collaborative tools just coming online
    • 38. Twitter and live personalized broadcasts
    • 39. Are you my friend yet or what?
    • 40. P2p networks
      • Colleges are on the cutting edge of illegal downloaders, still
      • TV companies are slowly learning from music’s mistakes
      • How much of your bandwidth do you want to reclaim for “real” computing purposes?
      • DRM is slowly going the way of the dodo, thankfully!
    • 41. CMS vs. the Web
      • We still have poor toolsets to manage Web content
      • There are hundreds of CMS’s and none of them usable by mere mortals
      • Mashups have only made the problem worse as we add more non-text content
    • 42. Virtualization is the new clustering
      • Clustering was too complex and too finicky about drivers
      • Virtualization now can deliver almost near-time failover
      • Efforts underway to make it more open systems friendly by Novell, Citrix, and others
      • Efforts underway by Vmware to make their pricing more understandable
      • Efforts underway by Microsoft to give it all away for free!
    • 43. The Greening of IT
      • Virtualization is just one tool to help cut power and cooling costs
      • Redesigning our data centers to handle more distributed racks and systems
      • The raised floor that is filled with cables and no air flow
      • Hot and cool aisles to localize A/C airflow
      • Servers that automatically power down when not needed
    • 44.  
    • 45. So thanks again Bill for the memories
      • Questions and comments
      • Enjoy your prizes!
      • David Strom
      • (310) 857-6867
      • http://strominator.com

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