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Cutting Edge Economic Techniques for Assessing Regional Innovations

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Penn State University
Penn State University

The document discusses three cutting edge economic techniques for assessing regional innovations: input-output analysis, counterfactual analysis, and records linkages. Input-output analysis uses tables to organize data on production and consumption across industries and calculate economic multipliers. Counterfactual analysis uses models to examine hypothetical scenarios and their implications. Records linkages match youth and unemployment data to study employment outcomes over time while preserving confidentiality.

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Cutting Edge Economic Techniques for Assessing Regional Innovations Rose M. Baker David L. Passmore
Penn State Workforce Education & Development Initiative Rose Baker David Passmore Program Manager Workforce Assessment Center & Assistant Professor of Education Professor & Director Penn State Institute for Research in Training & Development
Symposium presentation web site http://innovationeval.notlong.com
Reports are available Through links on web site: • Two Economic & Workforce Brief reports. • Electricity rate cap study. • Gas royalty impact study. • Links to reports about records linkage processes.
Three assessment techniques
< Input–Output Analysis > • Economic & Workforce Brief Series •
The economy is like a ball of string < complex > < intertwined > < large > < unexpected >
Way to organize data < input-output tables > Summarize production & consumption.
producer/purchaser data… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output producers purchasers
Producing & purchasing multiplies… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output
Multipliers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Multipliers display three components of change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Direct effects ,[object Object],[object Object]
Indirect effects ,[object Object],[object Object]
Induced effects ,[object Object],[object Object]
Two types of multipliers Type 1 = Type 2 =
Two examples of input-output analysis Economic & Workforce Brief Series
< Counterfactual Analysis > • Electricity Rate Caps • • Gas Royalties •
A counterfactual analysis is… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REMI Policy Insight Model
Counterfactual analysis method
Two examples of counterfactual analysis
Regulation, Deregulation, Caps… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Regulation Deregulation Rate Caps Stranded Costs
Methods… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Preliminary findings… ,[object Object],[object Object]
Impact on macroeconomy and demography… ,[object Object],[object Object]
Impact on individual households… ,[object Object],[object Object]
Hot off the presses…. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Counterfactual findings of impact of gas royalty income
< Records Linkages > • Youth in Transition •
How do we follow youth in transition from school to work?
Survey-based approaches with out–of–school youth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One solution: Link youth and unemployment insurance records ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Potential for learning from records linkages ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some problems with implementing records linkages ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Penn State records linking project currently in process ,[object Object]
Cutting Edge Economic Techniques for Assessing Regional Innovations Rose M. Baker David L. Passmore

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