Civil Beat January 2016 Rail Poll
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A survey of how Hawaii voters feel about the controversial project.
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Civil Beat January 2016 Rail Poll
- 1. !1 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 The Honolulu Rail project also continues to be in the news. First, how did you feel about the Rail project before construction began on it in 2011--did you support or oppose it? Full state Oahu only Percent Supported 42 Opposed 44 Unsure 14 Percent Supported 42 Opposed 49 Unsure 9
- 2. !2 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 Full state RailThen * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female RailThen Supported 44% 40% Opposed 45% 43% Unsure 10% 16% Total 100% 100% RailThen * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/ Mixed RailThen Supported 46% 43% 44% 35% 27% 64% 41% Opposed 40% 46% 41% 53% 55% 36% 45% Unsure 14% 11% 15% 12% 18% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% RailThen * Age_Group Crosstabulation % within Age_Group Age_Group Under 50 50 or older RailThen Supported 47% 41% Opposed 32% 50% Unsure 21% 10% Total 100% 100% RailThen * County_CD Crosstabulation
- 3. !3 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 % within County_CD County_CD Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai RailThen Supported 43% 39% 44% 36% 56% Opposed 48% 53% 34% 41% 20% Unsure 9% 8% 22% 23% 24% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% RailThen * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Liberal Moderate Conservativ e Unsure RailThen Supported 50% 49% 32% 36% Opposed 37% 40% 61% 39% Unsure 14% 11% 7% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
- 4. !4 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 RailThen * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party Democrat Republica n Independen t Unsure RailThen Supported 49% 38% 36% 31% Opposed 36% 55% 53% 42% Unsure 15% 7% 12% 27% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% RailThen * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income Less than $50,000 $50,000- $100,000 More than $100,000 Refused RailThen Supported 33% 44% 57% 39% Opposed 53% 43% 34% 43% Unsure 14% 13% 9% 18% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% RailThen * Ige Crosstabulation % within Ige Ige Positive Negative Unsure RailThen Supported 55% 35% 36% Opposed 33% 60% 41% Unsure 13% 5% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% RailThen * Caldwell Crosstabulation % within Caldwell
- 5. !5 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure RailThen Supported 61% 23% 38% Opposed 32% 71% 31% Unsure 7% 5% 31% Total 100% 100% 100%
- 6. !6 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 And how do you feel about the rail project now? Would you say it was a good idea and is progressing well? That it was a good idea, but its execution, including cost overruns and excise tax extensions on Oahu to cover them are troubling? Or would you say that it was a bad idea? Full state Oahu only Percent Good 16 Troubling 42 Bad 36 Unsure 7 Percent Good 15 Troubling 41 Bad 41 Unsure 3
- 7. !7 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 Full state RailNow * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female RailNow Good 17% 14% Troubling 40% 44% Bad 39% 33% Unsure 4% 9% Total 100% 100% RailNow * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/ Mixed RailNow Good 18% 14% 23% 11% 12% 25% 12% Troubling 44% 40% 33% 44% 45% 50% 42% Bad 32% 39% 36% 38% 43% 25% 36% Unsure 7% 7% 8% 6% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% RailNow * Age_Group Crosstabulation % within Age_Group Age_Group Under 50 50 or older RailNow Good 18% 15% Troubling 44% 41% Bad 28% 40% Unsure 11% 4%
- 8. !8 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 Total 100% 100% RailNow * County_CD Crosstabulation % within County_CD County_CD Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai RailNow Good 14% 16% 23% 10% 22% Troubling 43% 35% 37% 44% 60% Bad 40% 43% 27% 29% 11% Unsure 3% 5% 14% 17% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
- 9. !9 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 RailNow * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Liberal Moderate Conservativ e Unsure RailNow Good 24% 17% 9% 10% Troubling 42% 46% 38% 43% Bad 29% 31% 50% 36% Unsure 6% 7% 3% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% RailNow * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party Democrat Republica n Independen t Unsure RailNow Good 18% 15% 12% 10% Troubling 48% 34% 39% 29% Bad 27% 45% 48% 39% Unsure 7% 6% 1% 22% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% RailNow * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income Less than $50,000 $50,000- $100,000 More than $100,000 Refused RailNow Good 15% 18% 16% 13% Troubling 40% 40% 49% 41% Bad 39% 34% 32% 39% Unsure 7% 8% 4% 7%
- 10. !10 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
- 11. !11 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 RailNow * Ige Crosstabulation % within Ige Ige Positive Negative Unsure RailNow Good 23% 11% 12% Troubling 49% 36% 40% Bad 22% 52% 33% Unsure 6% 1% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% RailNow * Caldwell Crosstabulation % within Caldwell Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure RailNow Good 27% 3% 15% Troubling 48% 33% 43% Bad 23% 64% 23% Unsure 3% 0% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% RailNow * RailThen Crosstabulation % within RailThen RailThen Supported Opposed Unsure RailNow Good 32% 3% 9% Troubling 62% 22% 46% Bad 5% 74% 7% Unsure 2% 2% 38% Total 100% 100% 100%
- 12. !12 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016
- 13. !13 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 Demographics Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity Percent Male 48 Female 52 Percent Under 50 27 50 or older 73 Percent Caucasian 37 Japanese 28 Filipino 9 Hawaiian 10 Chinese 6 Hispanic 1 Other/Mixed 10
- 14. !14 922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2% (Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%) 70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones January 26-29, 2016 Political Ideology Party I.D. Household Income Percent Liberal 25 Moderate 34 Conservative 25 Unsure 17 Percent Democrat 52 Republican 21 Independent 22 Unsure 6 Percent Less than $50,000 27 $50,000-$100,000 33 More than $100,000 22 Refused 19