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Civil Beat January 2016 Rail Poll
1. !1
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
The Honolulu Rail project also continues to be in the news. First, how did you feel about
the Rail project before construction began on it in 2011--did you support or oppose it?
Full state
Oahu only
Percent
Supported 42
Opposed 44
Unsure 14
Percent
Supported 42
Opposed 49
Unsure 9
2. !2
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
Full state
RailThen * Gender
Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
RailThen Supported 44% 40%
Opposed 45% 43%
Unsure 10% 16%
Total 100% 100%
RailThen * Race_Ethnicity
Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic
Other/
Mixed
RailThen Supported 46% 43% 44% 35% 27% 64% 41%
Opposed 40% 46% 41% 53% 55% 36% 45%
Unsure 14% 11% 15% 12% 18% 15%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
RailThen * Age_Group Crosstabulation
% within Age_Group
Age_Group
Under 50
50 or
older
RailThen Supported 47% 41%
Opposed 32% 50%
Unsure 21% 10%
Total 100% 100%
RailThen * County_CD Crosstabulation
3. !3
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
% within County_CD
County_CD
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
RailThen Supported 43% 39% 44% 36% 56%
Opposed 48% 53% 34% 41% 20%
Unsure 9% 8% 22% 23% 24%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
RailThen * Politics
Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal Moderate
Conservativ
e Unsure
RailThen Supported 50% 49% 32% 36%
Opposed 37% 40% 61% 39%
Unsure 14% 11% 7% 25%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
4. !4
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
RailThen * Party
Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
Democrat
Republica
n
Independen
t Unsure
RailThen Supported 49% 38% 36% 31%
Opposed 36% 55% 53% 42%
Unsure 15% 7% 12% 27%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
RailThen * Income
Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less than
$50,000
$50,000-
$100,000
More than
$100,000 Refused
RailThen Supported 33% 44% 57% 39%
Opposed 53% 43% 34% 43%
Unsure 14% 13% 9% 18%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
RailThen * Ige Crosstabulation
% within Ige
Ige
Positive Negative Unsure
RailThen Supported 55% 35% 36%
Opposed 33% 60% 41%
Unsure 13% 5% 23%
Total 100% 100% 100%
RailThen * Caldwell
Crosstabulation
% within Caldwell
5. !5
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
Caldwell
Positive Negative Unsure
RailThen Supported 61% 23% 38%
Opposed 32% 71% 31%
Unsure 7% 5% 31%
Total 100% 100% 100%
6. !6
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
And how do you feel about the rail project now? Would you say it was a good idea and
is progressing well? That it was a good idea, but its execution, including cost overruns
and excise tax extensions on Oahu to cover them are troubling? Or would you say that
it was a bad idea?
Full state
Oahu only
Percent
Good 16
Troubling 42
Bad 36
Unsure 7
Percent
Good 15
Troubling 41
Bad 41
Unsure 3
7. !7
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
Full state
RailNow * Gender
Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
RailNow Good 17% 14%
Troubling 40% 44%
Bad 39% 33%
Unsure 4% 9%
Total 100% 100%
RailNow * Race_Ethnicity
Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic
Other/
Mixed
RailNow Good 18% 14% 23% 11% 12% 25% 12%
Troubling 44% 40% 33% 44% 45% 50% 42%
Bad 32% 39% 36% 38% 43% 25% 36%
Unsure 7% 7% 8% 6% 10%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
RailNow * Age_Group Crosstabulation
% within Age_Group
Age_Group
Under 50
50 or
older
RailNow Good 18% 15%
Troubling 44% 41%
Bad 28% 40%
Unsure 11% 4%
8. !8
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
Total 100% 100%
RailNow * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
RailNow Good 14% 16% 23% 10% 22%
Troubling 43% 35% 37% 44% 60%
Bad 40% 43% 27% 29% 11%
Unsure 3% 5% 14% 17% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
9. !9
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
RailNow * Politics
Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal Moderate
Conservativ
e Unsure
RailNow Good 24% 17% 9% 10%
Troubling 42% 46% 38% 43%
Bad 29% 31% 50% 36%
Unsure 6% 7% 3% 12%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
RailNow * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
Democrat
Republica
n
Independen
t Unsure
RailNow Good 18% 15% 12% 10%
Troubling 48% 34% 39% 29%
Bad 27% 45% 48% 39%
Unsure 7% 6% 1% 22%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
RailNow * Income
Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less than
$50,000
$50,000-
$100,000
More than
$100,000 Refused
RailNow Good 15% 18% 16% 13%
Troubling 40% 40% 49% 41%
Bad 39% 34% 32% 39%
Unsure 7% 8% 4% 7%
10. !10
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
11. !11
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
RailNow * Ige Crosstabulation
% within Ige
Ige
Positive Negative Unsure
RailNow Good 23% 11% 12%
Troubling 49% 36% 40%
Bad 22% 52% 33%
Unsure 6% 1% 15%
Total 100% 100% 100%
RailNow * Caldwell
Crosstabulation
% within Caldwell
Caldwell
Positive Negative Unsure
RailNow Good 27% 3% 15%
Troubling 48% 33% 43%
Bad 23% 64% 23%
Unsure 3% 0% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100%
RailNow * RailThen
Crosstabulation
% within RailThen
RailThen
Supported Opposed Unsure
RailNow Good 32% 3% 9%
Troubling 62% 22% 46%
Bad 5% 74% 7%
Unsure 2% 2% 38%
Total 100% 100% 100%
12. !12
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
13. !13
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
Demographics
Gender
Age Group
Race/Ethnicity
Percent
Male 48
Female 52
Percent
Under 50 27
50 or older 73
Percent
Caucasian 37
Japanese 28
Filipino 9
Hawaiian 10
Chinese 6
Hispanic 1
Other/Mixed 10
14. !14
922 Registered Hawaii Voters, Margin of Error, 3.2%
(Including 614 Registered Oahu Voters, Margin of Error, 4.0%)
70% Landlines, 30% Cellphones
January 26-29, 2016
Political Ideology
Party I.D.
Household Income
Percent
Liberal 25
Moderate 34
Conservative 25
Unsure 17
Percent
Democrat 52
Republican 21
Independent 22
Unsure 6
Percent
Less than $50,000 27
$50,000-$100,000 33
More than $100,000 22
Refused 19