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Civil Beat May 2018 approval ratings

A poll of 967 registered Hawaii voters found: - 57% had a negative opinion of President Trump, while 33% had a positive opinion. - 64% had a positive opinion of former President Obama, while 26% had a negative opinion. - Opinions of Governor Ige and Honolulu Mayor Caldwell were more divided, with 38% having positive opinions of each and 38-39% having negative opinions of each. - Senator Brian Schatz had a net positive opinion rating with 54% positive and 26% negative, while Senator Mazie Hirono's ratings were 59% positive and 26% negative.

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Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 1 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of President Donald Trump? Trump Positive 33% Negative 57% Unsure 10% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Trump Positive 38% 30% Negative 53% 61% Unsure 9% 9% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Trump Positive 37% 32% Negative 56% 59% Unsure 7% 9% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Trump Positive 35% 22% 38% 39% 28% 42% Negative 63% 70% 37% 51% 50% 53% Unsure 3% 9% 26% 10% 22% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 2 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Trump Positive 7% 23% 85% Negative 91% 66% 12% Unsure 1% 12% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Trump Positive 10% 87% 43% Negative 85% 7% 43% Unsure 5% 6% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Trump Positive 28% 42% Negative 66% 49% Unsure 6% 10% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Trump Positive 35% 30% 29% Negative 55% 67% 68% Unsure 10% 4% 3% Total 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 3 CD_1 CD_2 Positive 35% 32% Negative 53% 61% Unsure 12% 8% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Positive 35% 38% 32% 28% 20% Negative 53% 55% 65% 59% 74% Unsure 12% 7% 4% 13% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Positive 36% 28% Negative 54% 64% Unsure 11% 8% Total 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 4 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of former President Barack Obama? Obama Positive 64% Negative 26% Unsure 10% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Obama Positive 59% 69% Negative 32% 22% Unsure 10% 9% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Obama Positive 64% 65% Negative 25% 27% Unsure 11% 8% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Obama Positive 69% 73% 58% 59% 63% 54% Negative 26% 17% 15% 34% 28% 39% Unsure 5% 10% 27% 7% 9% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 5 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Obama Positive 93% 73% 21% Negative 4% 16% 74% Unsure 3% 12% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Obama Positive 89% 20% 51% Negative 4% 75% 36% Unsure 7% 6% 14% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Obama Positive 72% 58% Negative 24% 29% Unsure 5% 13% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Obama Positive 69% 71% 73% Negative 24% 24% 25% Unsure 7% 6% 2% Total 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 6 CD_1 CD_2 Obama Positive 61% 67% Negative 26% 27% Unsure 14% 6% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Obama Positive 61% 63% 66% 71% 77% Negative 26% 31% 31% 17% 18% Unsure 14% 6% 3% 11% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Obama Positive 61% 70% Negative 27% 24% Unsure 11% 6% Total 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 7 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Governor David Ige? Ige Positive 38% Negative 38% Unsure 24% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Ige Positive 38% 39% Negative 42% 33% Unsure 20% 28% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Ige Positive 32% 42% Negative 43% 35% Unsure 25% 24% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Ige Positive 37% 43% 44% 37% 52% 30% Negative 32% 39% 35% 42% 24% 47% Unsure 31% 19% 21% 21% 24% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 8 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Ige Positive 49% 41% 26% Negative 27% 39% 57% Unsure 24% 20% 17% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Ige Positive 49% 22% 31% Negative 29% 57% 44% Unsure 23% 21% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Ige Positive 43% 33% Negative 38% 37% Unsure 19% 30% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Ige Positive 34% 38% 41% Negative 42% 37% 42% Unsure 24% 25% 17% Total 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 9 CD_1 CD_2 Ige Positive 39% 37% Negative 38% 38% Unsure 23% 26% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Ige Positive 39% 30% 37% 47% 40% Negative 38% 49% 31% 28% 34% Unsure 23% 21% 32% 25% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Ige Positive 37% 41% Negative 41% 30% Unsure 23% 29% Total 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 10 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell? Caldwell Positive 38% Negative 39% Unsure 24% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Caldwell Positive 37% 38% Negative 46% 33% Unsure 17% 29% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Caldwell Positive 36% 38% Negative 43% 38% Unsure 21% 24% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Caldwell Positive 33% 43% 44% 34% 41% 40% Negative 37% 43% 38% 50% 34% 35% Unsure 30% 15% 19% 17% 25% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 11 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Caldwell Positive 44% 36% 31% Negative 30% 44% 54% Unsure 26% 20% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Caldwell Positive 49% 26% 26% Negative 28% 55% 53% Unsure 23% 20% 21% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Caldwell Positive 41% 37% Negative 38% 41% Unsure 22% 22% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Caldwell Positive 36% 35% 48% Negative 45% 36% 32% Unsure 18% 30% 20% Total 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 12 CD_1 CD_2 Caldwell Positive 43% 33% Negative 42% 35% Unsure 15% 32% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Caldwell Positive 43% 32% 35% 35% 28% Negative 42% 56% 23% 17% 26% Unsure 15% 13% 41% 48% 46% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Caldwell Positive 40% 34% Negative 46% 22% Unsure 14% 45% Total 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 13 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Senator Brian Schatz? Schatz Positive 54% Negative 26% Unsure 20% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Schatz Positive 50% 58% Negative 34% 19% Unsure 16% 23% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Schatz Positive 53% 57% Negative 28% 25% Unsure 19% 19% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Schatz Positive 56% 66% 55% 49% 49% 43% Negative 24% 20% 24% 37% 24% 32% Unsure 20% 14% 21% 14% 27% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 14 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Schatz Positive 82% 65% 22% Negative 10% 19% 56% Unsure 9% 16% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Schatz Positive 80% 19% 32% Negative 8% 55% 46% Unsure 12% 26% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Schatz Positive 60% 50% Negative 25% 29% Unsure 16% 22% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Schatz Positive 57% 61% 57% Negative 22% 23% 27% Unsure 21% 17% 16% Total 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 15 CD_1 CD_2 Schatz Positive 56% 52% Negative 25% 27% Unsure 19% 21% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Schatz Positive 56% 49% 54% 54% 53% Negative 25% 33% 24% 24% 22% Unsure 19% 18% 22% 22% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Schatz Positive 54% 54% Negative 27% 24% Unsure 18% 23% Total 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 16 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Senator Mazie Hirono? Hirono Positive 59% Negative 26% Unsure 15% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Hirono Positive 55% 65% Negative 32% 21% Unsure 13% 15% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Hirono Positive 56% 62% Negative 27% 27% Unsure 18% 11% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Hirono Positive 61% 74% 58% 55% 44% 46% Negative 30% 20% 26% 33% 22% 29% Unsure 10% 6% 16% 12% 34% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 17 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Hirono Positive 85% 71% 22% Negative 8% 21% 65% Unsure 8% 9% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Hirono Positive 84% 20% 40% Negative 7% 67% 41% Unsure 9% 14% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Hirono Positive 63% 56% Negative 27% 28% Unsure 10% 16% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Hirono Positive 66% 66% 57% Negative 21% 23% 31% Unsure 14% 12% 12% Total 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 18 CD_1 CD_2 Hirono Positive 59% 59% Negative 25% 27% Unsure 15% 14% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Hirono Positive 59% 54% 59% 61% 76% Negative 25% 34% 28% 22% 12% Unsure 15% 13% 13% 17% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Hirono Positive 58% 63% Negative 28% 23% Unsure 15% 14% Total 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 19 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman, Colleen Hanabusa? Hanabusa Positive 44% Negative 34% Unsure 23% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Hanabusa Positive 40% 49% Negative 40% 27% Unsure 20% 24% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Hanabusa Positive 40% 47% Negative 32% 34% Unsure 28% 19% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Hanabusa Positive 42% 48% 44% 49% 47% 44% Negative 33% 35% 31% 36% 19% 33% Unsure 25% 16% 24% 15% 34% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 20 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Hanabusa Positive 54% 50% 25% Negative 25% 29% 56% Unsure 21% 22% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Hanabusa Positive 57% 17% 39% Negative 23% 65% 33% Unsure 20% 18% 28% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Hanabusa Positive 44% 47% Negative 36% 30% Unsure 20% 23% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Hanabusa Positive 43% 41% 47% Negative 32% 33% 36% Unsure 25% 27% 18% Total 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 21 CD_1 CD_2 Hanabusa Positive 46% 42% Negative 35% 32% Unsure 19% 27% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Hanabusa Positive 46% 42% 41% 38% 52% Negative 35% 38% 31% 30% 16% Unsure 19% 21% 28% 33% 32% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Hanabusa Positive 45% 42% Negative 36% 28% Unsure 19% 30% Total 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 22 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Second District Congresswoman, Tulsi Gabbard? Gabbard Positive 61% Negative 24% Unsure 16% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Gabbard Positive 61% 61% Negative 24% 24% Unsure 15% 15% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Gabbard Positive 59% 63% Negative 23% 24% Unsure 17% 13% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Gabbard Positive 67% 54% 65% 69% 38% 60% Negative 21% 35% 12% 23% 16% 25% Unsure 12% 11% 23% 9% 47% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 23 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Gabbard Positive 63% 60% 54% Negative 26% 19% 34% Unsure 12% 21% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Gabbard Positive 63% 49% 69% Negative 23% 37% 17% Unsure 14% 15% 14% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Gabbard Positive 60% 66% Negative 26% 22% Unsure 15% 12% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Gabbard Positive 57% 66% 62% Negative 30% 24% 24% Unsure 13% 10% 14% Total 100% 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 24 CD_1 CD_2 Gabbard Positive 52% 69% Negative 26% 22% Unsure 22% 10% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Gabbard Positive 52% 61% 73% 81% 67% Negative 26% 27% 20% 13% 22% Unsure 22% 13% 7% 6% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Gabbard Positive 54% 75% Negative 26% 18% Unsure 19% 7% Total 100% 100%
Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 25 About the Poll Civil Beat surveyed a random sample of 967 registered voters statewide. Calls were made from May 3 – 5, 2018, using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling). Cell phones were contacted by live call-agents who asked respondents whether they were willing to participate in a recorded survey. Respondents who gave consent were patched through to the same recorded survey that was sent to landlines. Results were balanced for gender, age, ancestry/ethnicity/race, county of residence, and education level. The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Other sources of error, such as imperfect response rates and design effect (the effect of weighting results based on demographics) are also common in public opinion research and may affect the results. The margin of error for any crosstabulated result is larger than the margin of error of the corresponding topline result. The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with Merriman River Group, a full-service consulting organization specializing in opinion research, election management, and communications.

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Civil Beat May 2018 approval ratings

  • 1.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 1 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of President Donald Trump? Trump Positive 33% Negative 57% Unsure 10% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Trump Positive 38% 30% Negative 53% 61% Unsure 9% 9% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Trump Positive 37% 32% Negative 56% 59% Unsure 7% 9% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Trump Positive 35% 22% 38% 39% 28% 42% Negative 63% 70% 37% 51% 50% 53% Unsure 3% 9% 26% 10% 22% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 2.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 2 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Trump Positive 7% 23% 85% Negative 91% 66% 12% Unsure 1% 12% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Trump Positive 10% 87% 43% Negative 85% 7% 43% Unsure 5% 6% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Trump Positive 28% 42% Negative 66% 49% Unsure 6% 10% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Trump Positive 35% 30% 29% Negative 55% 67% 68% Unsure 10% 4% 3% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 3.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 3 CD_1 CD_2 Positive 35% 32% Negative 53% 61% Unsure 12% 8% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Positive 35% 38% 32% 28% 20% Negative 53% 55% 65% 59% 74% Unsure 12% 7% 4% 13% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Positive 36% 28% Negative 54% 64% Unsure 11% 8% Total 100% 100%
  • 4.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 4 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of former President Barack Obama? Obama Positive 64% Negative 26% Unsure 10% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Obama Positive 59% 69% Negative 32% 22% Unsure 10% 9% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Obama Positive 64% 65% Negative 25% 27% Unsure 11% 8% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Obama Positive 69% 73% 58% 59% 63% 54% Negative 26% 17% 15% 34% 28% 39% Unsure 5% 10% 27% 7% 9% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 5.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 5 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Obama Positive 93% 73% 21% Negative 4% 16% 74% Unsure 3% 12% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Obama Positive 89% 20% 51% Negative 4% 75% 36% Unsure 7% 6% 14% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Obama Positive 72% 58% Negative 24% 29% Unsure 5% 13% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Obama Positive 69% 71% 73% Negative 24% 24% 25% Unsure 7% 6% 2% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 6.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 6 CD_1 CD_2 Obama Positive 61% 67% Negative 26% 27% Unsure 14% 6% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Obama Positive 61% 63% 66% 71% 77% Negative 26% 31% 31% 17% 18% Unsure 14% 6% 3% 11% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Obama Positive 61% 70% Negative 27% 24% Unsure 11% 6% Total 100% 100%
  • 7.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 7 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Governor David Ige? Ige Positive 38% Negative 38% Unsure 24% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Ige Positive 38% 39% Negative 42% 33% Unsure 20% 28% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Ige Positive 32% 42% Negative 43% 35% Unsure 25% 24% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Ige Positive 37% 43% 44% 37% 52% 30% Negative 32% 39% 35% 42% 24% 47% Unsure 31% 19% 21% 21% 24% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 8.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 8 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Ige Positive 49% 41% 26% Negative 27% 39% 57% Unsure 24% 20% 17% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Ige Positive 49% 22% 31% Negative 29% 57% 44% Unsure 23% 21% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Ige Positive 43% 33% Negative 38% 37% Unsure 19% 30% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Ige Positive 34% 38% 41% Negative 42% 37% 42% Unsure 24% 25% 17% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 9.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 9 CD_1 CD_2 Ige Positive 39% 37% Negative 38% 38% Unsure 23% 26% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Ige Positive 39% 30% 37% 47% 40% Negative 38% 49% 31% 28% 34% Unsure 23% 21% 32% 25% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Ige Positive 37% 41% Negative 41% 30% Unsure 23% 29% Total 100% 100%
  • 10.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 10 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell? Caldwell Positive 38% Negative 39% Unsure 24% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Caldwell Positive 37% 38% Negative 46% 33% Unsure 17% 29% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Caldwell Positive 36% 38% Negative 43% 38% Unsure 21% 24% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Caldwell Positive 33% 43% 44% 34% 41% 40% Negative 37% 43% 38% 50% 34% 35% Unsure 30% 15% 19% 17% 25% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 11.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 11 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Caldwell Positive 44% 36% 31% Negative 30% 44% 54% Unsure 26% 20% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Caldwell Positive 49% 26% 26% Negative 28% 55% 53% Unsure 23% 20% 21% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Caldwell Positive 41% 37% Negative 38% 41% Unsure 22% 22% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Caldwell Positive 36% 35% 48% Negative 45% 36% 32% Unsure 18% 30% 20% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 12.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 12 CD_1 CD_2 Caldwell Positive 43% 33% Negative 42% 35% Unsure 15% 32% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Caldwell Positive 43% 32% 35% 35% 28% Negative 42% 56% 23% 17% 26% Unsure 15% 13% 41% 48% 46% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Caldwell Positive 40% 34% Negative 46% 22% Unsure 14% 45% Total 100% 100%
  • 13.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 13 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Senator Brian Schatz? Schatz Positive 54% Negative 26% Unsure 20% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Schatz Positive 50% 58% Negative 34% 19% Unsure 16% 23% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Schatz Positive 53% 57% Negative 28% 25% Unsure 19% 19% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Schatz Positive 56% 66% 55% 49% 49% 43% Negative 24% 20% 24% 37% 24% 32% Unsure 20% 14% 21% 14% 27% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 14.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 14 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Schatz Positive 82% 65% 22% Negative 10% 19% 56% Unsure 9% 16% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Schatz Positive 80% 19% 32% Negative 8% 55% 46% Unsure 12% 26% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Schatz Positive 60% 50% Negative 25% 29% Unsure 16% 22% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Schatz Positive 57% 61% 57% Negative 22% 23% 27% Unsure 21% 17% 16% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 15.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 15 CD_1 CD_2 Schatz Positive 56% 52% Negative 25% 27% Unsure 19% 21% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Schatz Positive 56% 49% 54% 54% 53% Negative 25% 33% 24% 24% 22% Unsure 19% 18% 22% 22% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Schatz Positive 54% 54% Negative 27% 24% Unsure 18% 23% Total 100% 100%
  • 16.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 16 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Senator Mazie Hirono? Hirono Positive 59% Negative 26% Unsure 15% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Hirono Positive 55% 65% Negative 32% 21% Unsure 13% 15% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Hirono Positive 56% 62% Negative 27% 27% Unsure 18% 11% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Hirono Positive 61% 74% 58% 55% 44% 46% Negative 30% 20% 26% 33% 22% 29% Unsure 10% 6% 16% 12% 34% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 17.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 17 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Hirono Positive 85% 71% 22% Negative 8% 21% 65% Unsure 8% 9% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Hirono Positive 84% 20% 40% Negative 7% 67% 41% Unsure 9% 14% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Hirono Positive 63% 56% Negative 27% 28% Unsure 10% 16% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Hirono Positive 66% 66% 57% Negative 21% 23% 31% Unsure 14% 12% 12% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 18.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 18 CD_1 CD_2 Hirono Positive 59% 59% Negative 25% 27% Unsure 15% 14% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Hirono Positive 59% 54% 59% 61% 76% Negative 25% 34% 28% 22% 12% Unsure 15% 13% 13% 17% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Hirono Positive 58% 63% Negative 28% 23% Unsure 15% 14% Total 100% 100%
  • 19.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 19 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman, Colleen Hanabusa? Hanabusa Positive 44% Negative 34% Unsure 23% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Hanabusa Positive 40% 49% Negative 40% 27% Unsure 20% 24% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Hanabusa Positive 40% 47% Negative 32% 34% Unsure 28% 19% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Hanabusa Positive 42% 48% 44% 49% 47% 44% Negative 33% 35% 31% 36% 19% 33% Unsure 25% 16% 24% 15% 34% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 20.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 20 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Hanabusa Positive 54% 50% 25% Negative 25% 29% 56% Unsure 21% 22% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Hanabusa Positive 57% 17% 39% Negative 23% 65% 33% Unsure 20% 18% 28% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Hanabusa Positive 44% 47% Negative 36% 30% Unsure 20% 23% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Hanabusa Positive 43% 41% 47% Negative 32% 33% 36% Unsure 25% 27% 18% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 21.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 21 CD_1 CD_2 Hanabusa Positive 46% 42% Negative 35% 32% Unsure 19% 27% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Hanabusa Positive 46% 42% 41% 38% 52% Negative 35% 38% 31% 30% 16% Unsure 19% 21% 28% 33% 32% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Hanabusa Positive 45% 42% Negative 36% 28% Unsure 19% 30% Total 100% 100%
  • 22.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 22 --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Second District Congresswoman, Tulsi Gabbard? Gabbard Positive 61% Negative 24% Unsure 16% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Female Gabbard Positive 61% 61% Negative 24% 24% Unsure 15% 15% Total 100% 100% Under 50 50 or older Gabbard Positive 59% 63% Negative 23% 24% Unsure 17% 13% Total 100% 100% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Gabbard Positive 67% 54% 65% 69% 38% 60% Negative 21% 35% 12% 23% 16% 25% Unsure 12% 11% 23% 9% 47% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 23.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 23 Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Gabbard Positive 63% 60% 54% Negative 26% 19% 34% Unsure 12% 21% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Gabbard Positive 63% 49% 69% Negative 23% 37% 17% Unsure 14% 15% 14% Total 100% 100% 100% College Degree No college Degree Gabbard Positive 60% 66% Negative 26% 22% Unsure 15% 12% Total 100% 100% 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Gabbard Positive 57% 66% 62% Negative 30% 24% 24% Unsure 13% 10% 14% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 24.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 24 CD_1 CD_2 Gabbard Positive 52% 69% Negative 26% 22% Unsure 22% 10% Total 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Gabbard Positive 52% 61% 73% 81% 67% Negative 26% 27% 20% 13% 22% Unsure 22% 13% 7% 6% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Oahu Neighbor Gabbard Positive 54% 75% Negative 26% 18% Unsure 19% 7% Total 100% 100%
  • 25.
    Civil Beat Poll RepresentativeSample: Registered Voters Statewide (967, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points) Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018 25 About the Poll Civil Beat surveyed a random sample of 967 registered voters statewide. Calls were made from May 3 – 5, 2018, using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling). Cell phones were contacted by live call-agents who asked respondents whether they were willing to participate in a recorded survey. Respondents who gave consent were patched through to the same recorded survey that was sent to landlines. Results were balanced for gender, age, ancestry/ethnicity/race, county of residence, and education level. The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Other sources of error, such as imperfect response rates and design effect (the effect of weighting results based on demographics) are also common in public opinion research and may affect the results. The margin of error for any crosstabulated result is larger than the margin of error of the corresponding topline result. The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with Merriman River Group, a full-service consulting organization specializing in opinion research, election management, and communications.