3. 4 MOST
POPULAR
FINANCIAL
INSTRUMENT
S
1. Forex (FX)
2. Commodities (Gold &
Oil)
3. Stock Indices
4. Stocks (CFD)
4. 4 Hal penting
agar investasi &
trading
berhasil 1. Fundamental News
2. Technical Forecast
3. Intrinsic Money
Management
4. Int. & Ext. Psychology
5. Keuntungan bisnis
trading berjangka
Tidak perlu lokasi strategis
dan biaya promosi
Transaksi diakses dimana
saja kapan saja secara
Online
Informasi dan produk
transparen
Bisnis aman diregulasi
BAPPEBTI dan didukung
BBJ
Tidak butuh modal 100%
2 way opportunity
20/02/13 09:13 ® Monex Learning Centre 5
6. Two way opportunity
• Kelebihan Investasi di Bursa Berjangka
Peluang meraih keuntungan dua arah (Two ways opportunities)
8. Management
“It does not matter whether you are right or wrong, but how much you make when
you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong” – George Soros
10. Data negatif
Data positif
Minat Aset Resiko Tidak berminat Aset Resiko
Ekuiti menguat Ekuiti Melemah
Dollar melemah Dollar menguat
Mata lain & emerging; menguat Mata lain & emerging; melemah
11. MARKET MOVEMENT
Tandem
Commodity Equity
Inversely Inversely
Correlated Correlated
Interest Rates Tandem
Greenback
13. FOREX BASICS
Pair Spread V/P Contoh perhitungan:
(typical) Buy AUD/USD di 1.0200
EUR/USD As low as 2 10 USD Sell AUD/USD di 1.0300
Profit = 100 points
USD/JPY As low as 2 1000 JPY
= 100 points x 10 USD/point
GBP/USD As low as 2 10 USD
= 1000 USD
USD/CHF As low as 2 10 CHF Perhitungan di atas adalah per 1 lot
regular, jika volume lot 0,1 maka :
AUD/USD As low as 2 10 USD
= 100 point x 1 USD/point
AUD/JPY As low as 3 1000 JPY = 100 USD
EUR/AUD As low as 4 10 AUD
14. TRADING FACTS FOREX
Contract Size: 100.000 satuan mata uang
(Nilai kontrak 1 lot currency pair)
Margin Requirement: USD 1.000
(Sejumlah equity yang mesti tersedia di dalam account untuk membuka 1 lot currency pair)
Leverage: 100 X
Kurs: - Rp. 10000/USD
- Floating Rate
18. Mengikuti pasar utama dunia...
Amerika
Eropa Asia
Tokyo
London
New York
Australia
Sydney
19. Volume + Partisipan membuat forex market..
• Sangat sulit dimanipulasi
• Sangat likuid
• Sangat populer
• Sangat mudah diakses
20. 1. Kuotasi FX
FX diperdagangkan berpasang-pasangan
Based on USD & non-USD
Major Major Cross
GBP/USD USD/JPY CHF/JPY
EUR/USD USD/CHF EUR/GBP
AUD/USD USD/CAD GBP/CHF
21. Reading
Direct pairs, value and spread
first second bid ask
GBP/ USD = 1.5900/ 1.5903
1 1.5900/03 harga jual harga beli
Pairs Spread
22. Why I Love AUD?
• Balance budget
• Low debt to GDP ratio
• Strong fundamental
• High interest rate
– You earn $5 to $8 per day for 1 lot AUD long
• It’s strong correlation with gold and metal
• It’s vast natural resources and agricultural products
• It’s position as major supplier to growing China economy
• Renmimbi revaluation will lift AUD
23. -Emas adalah
alternatif mata uang
yang telah dikenal
pasar selama 5,000
tahun-
Investasi safe haven
Hedge (Lindung nilai) terhadap inflasi
Diversifikasi portfolio
Alat tukar yang tidak di manipulasi pemerintah
Pencetakan uang (USD) akan menyebabkan
nilainya sebagai sarana investasi aman turun
33. Apa itu Indeks Saham?
o Harga gabungan saham
o Bukan aset
o Diperdagangkan melalui kontrak
Indeks Saham Jepang US:
NASDAQ, S&P, Dow
Indeks Saham Hong Kong European:
Indeks Saham Korea FTSE & DAX
34.
35. Indeks Saham AS
1. DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) 30 Perusahaan terbesar AS
2. S&P 500, terdiri dari 500 perusahaan AS berkapital besar
3. NASDAQ terdiri dari 170 saham teknologi di NASDAQ
36. CFD
STOCKS
(Contract For Difference)
Saham yang diperdagangkan
dengan kontrak derivatif.
37. Karakteristik saham yang baik:
1. Pemimpin pada sektor industrinya
masing-masing
2. Nilai kapitalisasi besar (di atas $5 miliar)
3. Rasio hutang rendah atau liquiditas
aman
4. Pertumbuhan bisnis yang kuat di
emerging markets.
5. Saham dengan bunga dividen (optional)
38. 5 INVESTING / TRADING TIPS
1. Know what moves your product
2. Decide Your Trading Strategy
3. Manage Risk
4. Don’t expect to Win on Every Trade
5. Don’t put all your eggs in one Basket
Editor's Notes
Title : FX for Beginner Agenda Why FX Potensial profit & biaya rendah Simplisitas & Likuiditas Dimana saja dan kapan saja What is FX Definition Explanation advantages Trading facts Faktor Penggerak Ekonomi GDP Interest Rate & Inflation Politik Sosial dan hukum Faktor teknikal End (summary)
update
Services Learning Explain how Monex learning centre can guide them to learn and trade, from the basic to advance Research Explain how research division can help investor to trade.. Tell them about : Monex daily Monex news Futures monthly, which is the only one in indonesia Client support Explain how we support investor 24 hour, with settlement report, quote price through electronic conection… Tell them about our sms services.. Etc.. Monex Learning Centre 20/02/13
This graph of the U.S. money supply, 1918-2008, obtained from the St. Louis Federal Reserve research department website that Glenn showed us today is almost unbelievable. It shows an amazing spike in the money supply for 2008. However, we do know that an amazing amount of money has been created by the Federal Reserve in recent months, so the graph is consistent with our suspicions. Of course all of you Austrian economists and Ron Paul fans out there know what's going to happen to the value of the dollar when the money supply increases in a big way. Going down fast!
Perilaku pasar saat ini
Forex adalah singkatan dari Foreign exchange yang merujuk pada pasar mata uang dimana perusahaan broker dan bank-bank melakukan pertukaran mata uang diseluruh dunia melalui hubungan jaringan elektronik.
Pasar forex adalah pasar terbesar dan terlikuid dari seluruh pasar finansial yang ada, dengan volume perdagangan per hari yang mencapai angka US$3.2 triliun PADA TAHUN 2007 , jauh lebih besar dibanding gabungan seluruh volume ekuiti dan futures yang ada di Amerika Serikat (lihat gambar)
3 hal tersebut: Volume yang sangat besar dan terus meningkat dari aktifitas pemerintah, institusi dan individual investor yang aktif bertransaksi selama 24 jam tersebut membuat pasar forex Sangat sulit untuk dimanipulasi, bahkan oleh bank sentral sekalipun tidak memiliki kemampuan untuk mendorong atau mempertahankan nilai mata uang mereka dalam waktu cukup lama. Dan karena masifnya pihak yang terlibat membuat pasar ini sangat likuid, setiap jam, bahkan setiap menit terjadi transaksi yang menjamin ketersediaan supply dan demand. Yang ketiga sebagai akibat dari likuiditas tersebut, pasar forex sangat populer dikalangan investor, dan membuat seluruh informasi dan fasilitas transaksi sangat mudah di akses. Anda akan menemukan berita tentang pergerakan harga mata uang di manapun Anda berada!.
Alasan untuk membeli emas: Hedge (Lindung nilai) terhadap inflasi Diversifikasi portfolio Mata uang yang tidak ada manipulasi pemerintah Pencetakan USD akan menyebabkan nilai USD turun sebagai sarana investasi aman Not like other currencies and equities. A ll government currencies were convertible to gold until 1971 The pressures of enormous debts will increasingly tempt the United States to inflate the US dollar so much that it will become almost worthless, in order that the debts can be easily repaid in near-worthless dollars.
Ini adalah grafik porsi permintaan emas dunia. Sekitar 10 tahun yang lalu, permintaan perhiasan emas sebesar 80% dari keseluruhan, sementara untuk investasi hanya sebesar 10%. Saat ini kita lihat permintaan
The recent volatility in world commodity and currency markets has had a huge impact everywhere, no more so than in oil. We have seen the price go to $147 on dollar weakness and supply fears before tumbling back down to below $60 on softer demand due to a worldwide economic downturn. With the rise of the trading platforms and spread betters, entry into this liquid market has never been easier giving the trader the ability to leverage their capital in line with their own risk profile. West Texas Intermediate West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is of very high quality and is excellent for refining a larger portion of gasoline. Its API gravity is 39.6 degrees (making it a “light” crude oil), and it contains only about 0.24 percent of sulfur (making a “sweet” crude oil). This combination of characteristics, combined with its location, makes it an ideal crude oil to be refined in the United States, the largest gasoline consuming country in the world. Most WTI crude oil gets refined in the Midwest region of the country, with some more refined within the Gulf Coast region. Although the production of WTI crude oil is on the decline, it still is the major benchmark of crude oil in the Americas. WTI is generally priced at about a $5 to $6 per-barrel premium to the OPEC Basket price and about $1 to $2 per-barrel premium to Brent, although on a daily basis the pricing relationships between these can vary greatly. Brent Brent Blend is actually a combination of crude oil from 15 different oil fields in the Brent and Ninian systems located in the North Sea. Its API gravity is 38.3 degrees (making it a “light” crude oil, but not quite as “light” as WTI), while it contains about 0.37 percent of sulfur (making it a “sweet” crude oil, but again slightly less “sweet” than WTI). Brent blend is ideal for making gasoline and middle distillates, both of which are consumed in large quantities in Northwest Europe, where Brent blend crude oil is typically refined. However, if the arbitrage between Brent and other crude oils, including WTI, is favorable for export, Brent has been known to be refined in the United States (typically the East Coast or the Gulf Coast) or the Mediterranean region. Brent blend, like WTI, production is also on the decline, but it remains the major benchmark for other crude oils in Europe or Africa. For example, prices for other crude oils in these two continents are often priced as a differential to Brent, i.e., Brent minus $0.50. Brent blend is generally priced at about a $4 per-barrel premium to the OPEC Basket price or about a $1 to $2 per-barrel discount to WTI, although on a daily basis the pricing relationships can vary greatly. NYMEX Futures The NYMEX futures price for crude oil, which is reported in almost every major newspaper in the United States, represents (on a per-barrel basis) the market-determined value of a futures contract to either buy or sell 1,000 barrels of WTI or some other light, sweet crude oil at a specified time. Relatively few NYMEX crude oil contracts are actually executed for physical delivery. The NYMEX market, however, provides important price information to buyers and sellers of crude oil in the United States (and around the world), making WTI the benchmark for many different crude oils, especially in the Americas. Typically, the NYMEX futures prices tracks within pennies of the WTI spot price described above, although since the NYMEX futures contract for a given month expires 3 days before WTI spot trading for the same month ceases, there may be a few days in which the difference between the NYMEX futures price and the WTI spot price widens noticeably.
Supply : Demand :
CFD ≈ SAHAM Pergerakan CFD dan saham memiliki korelasi dekat Event dan informasi yang membuat saham bergerak juga menggerakan CFD CFD yang ditawarkan merupakan derivatif saham bluechip berasal dari AS Namun CFD memiliki keuntungan 2 yang tidak terdapat dapat saham underlying
Di tengah ketidakpastian ekonomi, sangat penting berinvestasi pada perusahaan dengan karakteristik sebagai berikut: Pemimpin pada sektor industrinya masing-masing Nilai kapitalisasi besar (di atas $5 miliar) Rasio hutang rendah atau jumlah likuiditas aman. Mengingat penggalangan kas sedang sulit dilakukan (hindari saham berbasis keuangan untuk saat ini). Saham dengan bunga dividen tinggi (memiliki daya tarik karena harga saham sedang murah dan suku bunga diprediksi tetap rendah sampai medio 2013). Pertumbuhan bisnis yang kuat di emerging markets.
