Hurricanes and Global Warming- Dr. Kerry EmanuelJohn Atkeison
Dr. Kerry Emanuel explains how Global Warming increased the power of hurricanes. Hurricane Katrina is discussed, with the conclusion that Katrina probably would not have had the power to break the New Orleans levees in a pre-Global Warming world. April 2009 webinar presented by the Southern Allicance for Clean Energy (http://www.cleanenergy.org/) and the Gulf Restoration Network (http://healthygulf.org/) SlideCast by John Atkeison of the Alliance for Affordable Energy. There is a very small amount of phone noise.
Slides from a presentation about modeling past and future climate as part of the "School of Ice" workshop for educators at Oregon State University on Aug. 2, 2021.
Presentation from the workshop 'Informing and Enabling a Climate Resilient Ireland”' - held 23 March 2012. This event launched 2 EPA Climate Change Research Programme reports:
CCRP9 'Ireland adapts to Climate Change' and CCRP10 'Integrating Climate Change Adaptation into Sectoral Policies in Ireland'
Climate change scenarios in context of the less than 2C global temperature ta...NAP Events
Presented by: Wilfran Moufouma-Okia
3.1 Technical guidance on NAPs
The session will take the participants through the technical guidance for NAPs, including: NAP guidelines, guiding principles for adaptation under the Convention, and subsequent products developed by the LEG such as the sample NAP process. It will further look detailed aspects on undertaking assessments by going through best available methods and tools for assessing for assessing crop production as an example. Countries will further provide practical experiences in applying the guidance in the formulation of their NAPs.
Hurricanes and Global Warming- Dr. Kerry EmanuelJohn Atkeison
Dr. Kerry Emanuel explains how Global Warming increased the power of hurricanes. Hurricane Katrina is discussed, with the conclusion that Katrina probably would not have had the power to break the New Orleans levees in a pre-Global Warming world. April 2009 webinar presented by the Southern Allicance for Clean Energy (http://www.cleanenergy.org/) and the Gulf Restoration Network (http://healthygulf.org/) SlideCast by John Atkeison of the Alliance for Affordable Energy. There is a very small amount of phone noise.
Slides from a presentation about modeling past and future climate as part of the "School of Ice" workshop for educators at Oregon State University on Aug. 2, 2021.
Presentation from the workshop 'Informing and Enabling a Climate Resilient Ireland”' - held 23 March 2012. This event launched 2 EPA Climate Change Research Programme reports:
CCRP9 'Ireland adapts to Climate Change' and CCRP10 'Integrating Climate Change Adaptation into Sectoral Policies in Ireland'
Climate change scenarios in context of the less than 2C global temperature ta...NAP Events
Presented by: Wilfran Moufouma-Okia
3.1 Technical guidance on NAPs
The session will take the participants through the technical guidance for NAPs, including: NAP guidelines, guiding principles for adaptation under the Convention, and subsequent products developed by the LEG such as the sample NAP process. It will further look detailed aspects on undertaking assessments by going through best available methods and tools for assessing for assessing crop production as an example. Countries will further provide practical experiences in applying the guidance in the formulation of their NAPs.
Satellite passive microwave measurements of the climate crisisChelle Gentemann
Invited presentation at the NASEM Committee on Radio Frequencies 2021 Fall Meeting. An overview of how passive microwave measurements are used to understand climate change.
Harvesting wind energy in Greenland: a project for Europe and a huge step tow...Université de Liège (ULg)
Current global environmental challenges require vigorous and diverse actions in the energy sector. One solution that has recently attracted interest consists in harnessing high-quality variable renewable energy resources in remote locations, while using transmission links to transport the power to end users. In this context, a comparison of western European and Greenland wind regimes is proposed. By leveraging a regional atmospheric model specically designed to accurately capture polar phenomena, local climatic features of southern Greenland are identied to be particularly conducive to extensive renewable electricity generation from wind. A methodology to assess how connecting remote locations to major demand centres would benet the latter from a resource availability standpoint is introduced and applied to the aforementioned Europe-Greenland case study, showing superior and complementary wind generation potential in the considered region of Greenland with respect to selected European sites.
The Pan-Arctic Impacts of Thinning Sea IceZachary Labe
The Arctic is rapidly changing. However, long-term observations of trends in Arctic sea-ice thickness are still quite limited. In this presentation, Zachary will discuss the different methods (satellite instruments and climate model simulations) of observing sea-ice thickness in order to understand changes in the recent Arctic amplification era. He will also highlight the far-reaching environmental and societal impacts from a thinning Arctic sea-ice cover.
Presentation from the Kick-off Meeting "Seasonal to Decadal Forecast towards Climate Services: Joint Kickoff Meetings" for ECOMS, EUPORIAS, NACLIM and SPECS FP7 projects.
On Thursday, 24 September 2020, Kevin Forbes (ESRI Visiting Researcher), presented the following presentation at the UCD-ESRI energy policy research conference.
For more information on the event, please follow the link: https://www.esri.ie/events/webinar-ucd-esri-energy-policy-research-conference
Presentation given by Darius Bazazi, GeoPlace, as part of the EDINA Geoforum 2014 event on Thursday 19th June 2014 at the Informatics Forum, University of Edinburgh.
The climate and earth sciences have recently undergone a rapid transformation from a data-poor
to a data-rich environment. In particular, massive amount of data about Earth and its
environment is now continuously being generated by a large number of Earth observing satellites
as well as physics-based earth system models running on large-scale computational platforms.
These massive and information-rich datasets offer huge potential for understanding how the
Earth's climate and ecosystem have been changing and how they are being impacted by humans’
actions. This talk will discuss various challenges involved in analyzing these massive data sets
as well as opportunities they present for both advancing machine learning as well as the science
of climate change in the context of monitoring the state of the tropical forests and surface water
on a global scale.
Upcoming Datasets: Global wind map, Jake Badger ( Risoe DTU)IRENA Global Atlas
Upcoming Datasets: Global wind map. A presentation by Jake Badger ( Risoe DTU) during the Global Atlas side event which held at the World Future Energy Summit in 2014
Satellite passive microwave measurements of the climate crisisChelle Gentemann
Invited presentation at the NASEM Committee on Radio Frequencies 2021 Fall Meeting. An overview of how passive microwave measurements are used to understand climate change.
Harvesting wind energy in Greenland: a project for Europe and a huge step tow...Université de Liège (ULg)
Current global environmental challenges require vigorous and diverse actions in the energy sector. One solution that has recently attracted interest consists in harnessing high-quality variable renewable energy resources in remote locations, while using transmission links to transport the power to end users. In this context, a comparison of western European and Greenland wind regimes is proposed. By leveraging a regional atmospheric model specically designed to accurately capture polar phenomena, local climatic features of southern Greenland are identied to be particularly conducive to extensive renewable electricity generation from wind. A methodology to assess how connecting remote locations to major demand centres would benet the latter from a resource availability standpoint is introduced and applied to the aforementioned Europe-Greenland case study, showing superior and complementary wind generation potential in the considered region of Greenland with respect to selected European sites.
The Pan-Arctic Impacts of Thinning Sea IceZachary Labe
The Arctic is rapidly changing. However, long-term observations of trends in Arctic sea-ice thickness are still quite limited. In this presentation, Zachary will discuss the different methods (satellite instruments and climate model simulations) of observing sea-ice thickness in order to understand changes in the recent Arctic amplification era. He will also highlight the far-reaching environmental and societal impacts from a thinning Arctic sea-ice cover.
Presentation from the Kick-off Meeting "Seasonal to Decadal Forecast towards Climate Services: Joint Kickoff Meetings" for ECOMS, EUPORIAS, NACLIM and SPECS FP7 projects.
On Thursday, 24 September 2020, Kevin Forbes (ESRI Visiting Researcher), presented the following presentation at the UCD-ESRI energy policy research conference.
For more information on the event, please follow the link: https://www.esri.ie/events/webinar-ucd-esri-energy-policy-research-conference
Presentation given by Darius Bazazi, GeoPlace, as part of the EDINA Geoforum 2014 event on Thursday 19th June 2014 at the Informatics Forum, University of Edinburgh.
The climate and earth sciences have recently undergone a rapid transformation from a data-poor
to a data-rich environment. In particular, massive amount of data about Earth and its
environment is now continuously being generated by a large number of Earth observing satellites
as well as physics-based earth system models running on large-scale computational platforms.
These massive and information-rich datasets offer huge potential for understanding how the
Earth's climate and ecosystem have been changing and how they are being impacted by humans’
actions. This talk will discuss various challenges involved in analyzing these massive data sets
as well as opportunities they present for both advancing machine learning as well as the science
of climate change in the context of monitoring the state of the tropical forests and surface water
on a global scale.
Upcoming Datasets: Global wind map, Jake Badger ( Risoe DTU)IRENA Global Atlas
Upcoming Datasets: Global wind map. A presentation by Jake Badger ( Risoe DTU) during the Global Atlas side event which held at the World Future Energy Summit in 2014
DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...Deltares
Presentation by Kun Yan, Deltares, and Sanne Muis, VU University Amsterdam, at the Data Science Symposium, during Delft Software Days - Edition 2019. Thursday, 14 November 2019, Delft.
Global Climate Change: Drought Assessment + ImpactsJenkins Macedo
This presentation outlined the purposes, methods, data analyses, results and conclusions of four selected articles in remotely sensed regional and global drought assessments and impacts for global environmental change. This presentation was developed and presented by Richard Maclean, doctoral student in Geography at Clark University and Jenkins Macedo, Master of Science candidate in Envrionmental Science and Policy at Clark University.
This is a presentation on Load and Wind Energy Forecasting The paper was presented at a 2016 conference sponsored by the Swedish Association for Energy Economics (SAEE).
There is one error in the slides. The RMSE of the wind energy forecasts for Sweden correspond to the same day, not day-ahead forecasts.
1115161Wind Power Now, Tomorrow C.P. (Case) .docxpaynetawnya
11/15/16
1
Wind Power:
Now, Tomorrow
C.P. (Case) van Dam
EME-1
Mechanical Engineering
November 14, 2016
How does it function?
11/15/16
2
Wind Turbine Power
• The amount of power generated by a turbine depends on the power in
the wind and the efficiency of the turbine:
• Power in wind
• Efficiency or Power Coefficient, Cp:
– Rotor (Conversion of wind power to mechanical power)
– Gearbox (Change in rpm)
– Generator & Inverter (Conversion of mechanical power to electrical power)
Power
Turbine
!
"#
$
%&
=
Efficiency
Factor
!
"#
$
%&
×
Power
Wind
!
"#
$
%&
P
w
= 1
2
ρA
d
V
w
3
Basic Rotor Performance
(Momentum Theory)
Wind speed, Vw
Air density, ρ
Disk area, Ad
Power in wind, Pw = 1/2 ρ Vw3 Ad
Maximum rotor power, P = 16/27 Pw
Rotor efficiency, Cp = P / Pw
Betz limit, max Cp = 16/27 = 59.3%
11/15/16
3
Region 4
• Region 1
Turbine is stopped or
starting up
• Region 2
Efficiency maximized
by maintaining
optimum rotor RPM
(for variable speed
turbine)
• Region 3
Power limited through
blade pitch
• Region 4
Turbine is stopped
due to high winds
(loads)
HAWT Power Characteristics
Johnson et al (2005)
• Peak Cp at TSR = 9
• This Cp is maintained in Region II of power curve by controlling rotor RPM
• In Region III power is controlled by changing blade pitch.
HAWT Cp-TSR Curve
Jackson (2005)
11/15/16
4
• Cp = Protor / (1/2 ρ Vw3 Ad)
• Solidity = Blade Area / Ad
• TSR = Tip Speed / Vw
• High power efficiency for
rotors with low solidity and
high TSR
• Darrieus (VAWT) is less
efficient than HAWT
Efficiency of Various Rotor
Designs
Butterfield (2008)
Cp
Tip Speed Ratio TSR = π D RPM / (60 Vw)
kidwind.org
C.P. van Dam
Dutch Mill
16th century
Water pumping, Grinding materials/grain
W. Gretz, DOE/NREL
Persian grain mill
9th century
American Multi-blade
19th century
Water pumping - irrigation
Brush Mill
1888
First wind turbine
12 kW
17 m rotor diameter
Charles F. Brush Special Collection,
Case Western Reserve University
telos.net/wind
Gedser Mill
1956, Denmark
Forerunner to modern wind
turbines
11/15/16
5
Evolution of U.S. Utility-Scale
Wind Turbine Technology
NREL
Wind Turbine Scale-Up and Impact on Cost
U.S. DOE, Wind Vision, March 2015
• Scale-up has been effective in reducing cost but uncertain if this trend can continue
11/15/16
6
Modern Wind
Turbines
• 1.0-3.0 MW
• Wind speeds: 3-25 m/s
– Rated power at 11-12 m/s
• Rotor
– Lift driven
– 3 blades
– Upwind
– Full blade pitch
– 70–120 m diameter
– 5-20 RPM
– Fiberglass, some carbon fiber
• Active yaw
• Steel tubular tower
• Installed in plants/farms of 100-200 MW
• ~40% capacity factor
– 1.5 MW wind turbine would generate
about 5,250,000 kWh per year
– Average household in California uses
about 6,000 kWh per year
Vestas
V90-3.0
MW
11/15/16
7
Technical Specificat ...
ANAMOLOUS SECONDARY GROWTH IN DICOT ROOTS.pptxRASHMI M G
Abnormal or anomalous secondary growth in plants. It defines secondary growth as an increase in plant girth due to vascular cambium or cork cambium. Anomalous secondary growth does not follow the normal pattern of a single vascular cambium producing xylem internally and phloem externally.
hematic appreciation test is a psychological assessment tool used to measure an individual's appreciation and understanding of specific themes or topics. This test helps to evaluate an individual's ability to connect different ideas and concepts within a given theme, as well as their overall comprehension and interpretation skills. The results of the test can provide valuable insights into an individual's cognitive abilities, creativity, and critical thinking skills
Phenomics assisted breeding in crop improvementIshaGoswami9
As the population is increasing and will reach about 9 billion upto 2050. Also due to climate change, it is difficult to meet the food requirement of such a large population. Facing the challenges presented by resource shortages, climate
change, and increasing global population, crop yield and quality need to be improved in a sustainable way over the coming decades. Genetic improvement by breeding is the best way to increase crop productivity. With the rapid progression of functional
genomics, an increasing number of crop genomes have been sequenced and dozens of genes influencing key agronomic traits have been identified. However, current genome sequence information has not been adequately exploited for understanding
the complex characteristics of multiple gene, owing to a lack of crop phenotypic data. Efficient, automatic, and accurate technologies and platforms that can capture phenotypic data that can
be linked to genomics information for crop improvement at all growth stages have become as important as genotyping. Thus,
high-throughput phenotyping has become the major bottleneck restricting crop breeding. Plant phenomics has been defined as the high-throughput, accurate acquisition and analysis of multi-dimensional phenotypes
during crop growing stages at the organism level, including the cell, tissue, organ, individual plant, plot, and field levels. With the rapid development of novel sensors, imaging technology,
and analysis methods, numerous infrastructure platforms have been developed for phenotyping.
Salas, V. (2024) "John of St. Thomas (Poinsot) on the Science of Sacred Theol...Studia Poinsotiana
I Introduction
II Subalternation and Theology
III Theology and Dogmatic Declarations
IV The Mixed Principles of Theology
V Virtual Revelation: The Unity of Theology
VI Theology as a Natural Science
VII Theology’s Certitude
VIII Conclusion
Notes
Bibliography
All the contents are fully attributable to the author, Doctor Victor Salas. Should you wish to get this text republished, get in touch with the author or the editorial committee of the Studia Poinsotiana. Insofar as possible, we will be happy to broker your contact.
Seminar of U.V. Spectroscopy by SAMIR PANDASAMIR PANDA
Spectroscopy is a branch of science dealing the study of interaction of electromagnetic radiation with matter.
Ultraviolet-visible spectroscopy refers to absorption spectroscopy or reflect spectroscopy in the UV-VIS spectral region.
Ultraviolet-visible spectroscopy is an analytical method that can measure the amount of light received by the analyte.
DERIVATION OF MODIFIED BERNOULLI EQUATION WITH VISCOUS EFFECTS AND TERMINAL V...Wasswaderrick3
In this book, we use conservation of energy techniques on a fluid element to derive the Modified Bernoulli equation of flow with viscous or friction effects. We derive the general equation of flow/ velocity and then from this we derive the Pouiselle flow equation, the transition flow equation and the turbulent flow equation. In the situations where there are no viscous effects , the equation reduces to the Bernoulli equation. From experimental results, we are able to include other terms in the Bernoulli equation. We also look at cases where pressure gradients exist. We use the Modified Bernoulli equation to derive equations of flow rate for pipes of different cross sectional areas connected together. We also extend our techniques of energy conservation to a sphere falling in a viscous medium under the effect of gravity. We demonstrate Stokes equation of terminal velocity and turbulent flow equation. We look at a way of calculating the time taken for a body to fall in a viscous medium. We also look at the general equation of terminal velocity.
The use of Nauplii and metanauplii artemia in aquaculture (brine shrimp).pptxMAGOTI ERNEST
Although Artemia has been known to man for centuries, its use as a food for the culture of larval organisms apparently began only in the 1930s, when several investigators found that it made an excellent food for newly hatched fish larvae (Litvinenko et al., 2023). As aquaculture developed in the 1960s and ‘70s, the use of Artemia also became more widespread, due both to its convenience and to its nutritional value for larval organisms (Arenas-Pardo et al., 2024). The fact that Artemia dormant cysts can be stored for long periods in cans, and then used as an off-the-shelf food requiring only 24 h of incubation makes them the most convenient, least labor-intensive, live food available for aquaculture (Sorgeloos & Roubach, 2021). The nutritional value of Artemia, especially for marine organisms, is not constant, but varies both geographically and temporally. During the last decade, however, both the causes of Artemia nutritional variability and methods to improve poorquality Artemia have been identified (Loufi et al., 2024).
Brine shrimp (Artemia spp.) are used in marine aquaculture worldwide. Annually, more than 2,000 metric tons of dry cysts are used for cultivation of fish, crustacean, and shellfish larva. Brine shrimp are important to aquaculture because newly hatched brine shrimp nauplii (larvae) provide a food source for many fish fry (Mozanzadeh et al., 2021). Culture and harvesting of brine shrimp eggs represents another aspect of the aquaculture industry. Nauplii and metanauplii of Artemia, commonly known as brine shrimp, play a crucial role in aquaculture due to their nutritional value and suitability as live feed for many aquatic species, particularly in larval stages (Sorgeloos & Roubach, 2021).
Nutraceutical market, scope and growth: Herbal drug technologyLokesh Patil
As consumer awareness of health and wellness rises, the nutraceutical market—which includes goods like functional meals, drinks, and dietary supplements that provide health advantages beyond basic nutrition—is growing significantly. As healthcare expenses rise, the population ages, and people want natural and preventative health solutions more and more, this industry is increasing quickly. Further driving market expansion are product formulation innovations and the use of cutting-edge technology for customized nutrition. With its worldwide reach, the nutraceutical industry is expected to keep growing and provide significant chances for research and investment in a number of categories, including vitamins, minerals, probiotics, and herbal supplements.
What is greenhouse gasses and how many gasses are there to affect the Earth.moosaasad1975
What are greenhouse gasses how they affect the earth and its environment what is the future of the environment and earth how the weather and the climate effects.
Remote Sensing and Computational, Evolutionary, Supercomputing, and Intellige...University of Maribor
Slides from talk:
Aleš Zamuda: Remote Sensing and Computational, Evolutionary, Supercomputing, and Intelligent Systems.
11th International Conference on Electrical, Electronics and Computer Engineering (IcETRAN), Niš, 3-6 June 2024
Inter-Society Networking Panel GRSS/MTT-S/CIS Panel Session: Promoting Connection and Cooperation
https://www.etran.rs/2024/en/home-english/
ESR spectroscopy in liquid food and beverages.pptxPRIYANKA PATEL
With increasing population, people need to rely on packaged food stuffs. Packaging of food materials requires the preservation of food. There are various methods for the treatment of food to preserve them and irradiation treatment of food is one of them. It is the most common and the most harmless method for the food preservation as it does not alter the necessary micronutrients of food materials. Although irradiated food doesn’t cause any harm to the human health but still the quality assessment of food is required to provide consumers with necessary information about the food. ESR spectroscopy is the most sophisticated way to investigate the quality of the food and the free radicals induced during the processing of the food. ESR spin trapping technique is useful for the detection of highly unstable radicals in the food. The antioxidant capability of liquid food and beverages in mainly performed by spin trapping technique.
ISI 2024: Application Form (Extended), Exam Date (Out), EligibilitySciAstra
The Indian Statistical Institute (ISI) has extended its application deadline for 2024 admissions to April 2. Known for its excellence in statistics and related fields, ISI offers a range of programs from Bachelor's to Junior Research Fellowships. The admission test is scheduled for May 12, 2024. Eligibility varies by program, generally requiring a background in Mathematics and English for undergraduate courses and specific degrees for postgraduate and research positions. Application fees are ₹1500 for male general category applicants and ₹1000 for females. Applications are open to Indian and OCI candidates.
ISI 2024: Application Form (Extended), Exam Date (Out), Eligibility
Interaction of climate and wind power
1. Interaction of Climate and wind
power
Robert Vautard, IPSL-LSCE
FM Bréon, A Colette, JG Devezeaux de Lavergne, P Ruti, F Thais, I
Tobin, P Yiou
& the EURO-CORDEX modelling consortium
L Miller, N. A. Brunsell, D. B. Mechem, F Gans, A. J. Monaghan, D.
Keith and A. Kleidon
3. Questions
• How does climate change impact wind power
resources?
• Does wind power development have an
impact on regional climate?
• Does wind power development have an
impact on wind resource?
4. Global and regional modeling
Why?
• To provide higher-resolution climate projections for impact studies
• To better describe extreme events
• To evaluate the effects of regional policies (for some issues)
Uncertainty: use ensembles of simulations
Zoom &
Downscaling
Global model (eg IPSL-CM) Regional model
EURO-CORDEX
5. WP6 Task 2 : Impact of +2°C global warming on energy supply
(50-150 m)
H
10 m
Elliott, 1979
UH
U
X Nominal
Power
Wind speed (m/s)
Normalized power curve
2-4
m/s
10-15
m/s
~25 m/s
Wind speed (m/s)
1- Wind vertical extrapolation 2- Turbine power output
Wind Power
Wind power computation
Conversion 10m wind speed Wind turbine power output
Scenario 2050Current wind farms fleet
Characteristics of current wind
turbine fleets (location, installed
power, hub height...)
(www.thewindpower.net)
Spatialized scenarios for future wind
turbine fleet
(the CLIMIX tool : Jerez et al 2014)
(uncorrected)
𝑈 𝐻 = 𝑈.
𝐻
𝑧
1
7
6. Wind turbines in Europe in 2012
Source http://www.thewindpower.net
2012: 100 Gwatts, 80000
windmills
2020: x2 (C&E package)
2035: x3 (IEA outlook)
2050: x3-5 (diverse scenarios)
7. Scénarios for 2020 and 2050
2020: Climate & Energy Package 2050: European Climate Foundation
80% renewables
230 GWatts 440 GWatts
8. Spatial distributions
Use of the CLIMIX approach for 2050 (Jerez et al., 2014, RSER), EMS2014-378 Talk by S Jerez
• Optimize resource, avoid unsuitable lands, offshore near coast, no optimization yet
9. Impact in RCP8.5
Changes in 10m wind
speed
Changes in wind power
potential production
Changes in wind power potential within ± 5 %
Robust increases over Baltic Sea, Aegan Sea, Bosporus, Gilbraltar Strait, Western
Turkish coast
Robust decreases over Atlantic Sea, Iberian Peninsula, Mediterranean Sea
Dots :
At least 80% of
models agree on
sign +
significance at the
95 % level over the
model ensemble
10. WP6 Task 2 : Impact of +2°C global warming on energy supply
Results based on mandatory EUROCORDEX simulations RCP4.5 merged with RCP8.5
(9 simulations)
Changes in wind power production are within +-15 %
for all national fleets for all models
2050 Fleet and End-of-Century effect
11. Energy production per technology
(+2°C and +3°C)
HYDRO WIND
SOLAR
THERMOELECTRIC
IMPACT2C results
15. Methodology
• EVENT: Min Winter Monthly mean wind over
NW Europe < Dec2016
• Use an ensemble of climate projection for
– Past period [1971-200]
– Current period [2001-2030]
– Future period [2031-2060]
• Estimate the return period of the same event
in these different climates with 11x30 years of
data
17. Change in risks?
HadGEM3-A
15 Simuls
EUROCORDEX
11 Simuls
RACMO
11 Simuls
• Ensemble of simulations
• 1971-2010 vs 2001-2030 or later
• Actual (all forcings) vs. Natural
• 3 ensembles
Results: Risk Ratios from ~1
To ~3 ; all combined 1.2 [1.0-1.5]
18. Impacts of WP on climate?
• No clear answer as yet
– Experiments with different models with different
parameterizations
• First study : Keith et al. (2004), using
roughness changes and idealized wind farms
distribution in a AGCM, shows regional
differences
20. Experiments with the WRF-
Turbine model
TKE
Power
Wind
Wind
Fitch et al., 2012
Adams and Keith, 2013 Online power generation & atmosphere interactions
21. Experiments
• 4 experiments:
• No wind farms, 2012, 2020 fleets
• WRF simulations forced by ERA-Interim 1980-
2012 (33 years)
• 50 km resolution over the EURO-CORDEX
domain
• Validation (2011-2012)
• Comparisons for scenarios
26. Impact of regional WP
development on resource: Study
on Kansas (Miller et al., 2015)
• WRF simulations June-Sep 2001 forced with
reanalyses NARR, resolution 12 km
• Very large farm~330 km x 330 km
• Density of installed power: 0.3 W/m2 to 100
W/m2
• Comparison with a simplified method
• Turbine VESTAS V112 3 MW
28. Saturation around 1 W/m2
Comparaison avec autres études, méthodes
Miller et al., 2015 PNAS
29. Climate
Change
C L I M 4 E N E R G Y : A c o - d e s i g n e d
a p p r o a c h t o d e v e l o p a p o r t f o l i o o f
p r o d u c t s
INDICATOR
DATA
BASE
Fact sheets
Data access
Visualization
http://clim4energy.climate.copernicus.eu
30. Conclusions
• Effects in general small but of large scale in
both cases
• Impact of CC to reduce WP
• Limitations for the impact study: Rossby wave
excited, may require global simulations
• Limitations of extractible wind power to 1
W/m2 for large-scale wind farms