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ADB Water Week
13 March 2013
Where is the progress in IWRM
application?
Integrated Flood Risk Management
in a Seamless Manner
Kuniyoshi Takeuchi
International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk
Management under the auspices of UNESCO (ICHARM)Management under the auspices of UNESCO (ICHARM)
Public Works Research Institute (PWRI)
Tsukuba, Japan
Evolution of IWRMEvolution of IWRM
 Many historical WRDs, TVA (1930s) etc.
 Mal del Plata Action Plan (1977) use & efficiency, natural
hazards, environmental & pollution control, planning & management,
public information, education, cooperation
• the first internationally coordinated approach to IWRM
 Dublin Conference and Agenda 21 (1992)
• Finite vulnerable & essential to be managed in an integrated• Finite, vulnerable & essential to be managed in an integrated
manner, participatory approach, women’s role, economic good
 GWP Technical Advisory Committee (2000)
B C f (2001) & J h b WSSD (2002) Bonn Conf (2001) & Johannesburg WSSD (2002)
 From Principle to Implementation From Principle to Implementation
Integrated Water Resources ManagementIntegrated Water Resources Management
 IWRM is a process which
t th di t dpromotes the co-ordinated
development and
management of water, land Hydrological
Cycle
Land Use
& Eco-g
and related resources, in
order to maximize the
resultant economic and social
Cycle Environmental
System
IWRM
resultant economic and social
welfare in an equitable
manner without
i i th
Socio-
Economic &
Institutional
compromising the
sustainability of vital
ecosystems. (GWP TAC,
System
Human society &
Decision Makingy (
2000)
Integrated Flood Risk Managementg g
 IFRM IFM IWRM
 IFRM is a process which promotes the co ordinated IFRM is a process which promotes the co-ordinated
development and management of floodplain to reduce
flood risk while maximizing the benefit of floodplain in
an equitable manner within ecological and societal
sustainability by the best mix of structural and
nonstructural means to control floods, mitigate flood, g
damages or adapt society for the nature.
 Integrated with: environmental management,
f t d t t ti d d d lforestry, roads, transportation, underground develop,
sewerage, city/land use planning/regulation, capacity
development, awareness raising, community
preparedness, …
Needs of IFRM in a seamless mannerNeeds of IFRM in a seamless manner
Seamless in hat? Seamless in what?
• Temporal and spatial hydrological scales
• Developed and developing worlds• Developed and developing worlds
• In availability of capacity, data & other resources.
• Water-land-climate-environmantal and human
societal boundaries
• Disciplinary boundaries
S i i t i l b d i
Key is a hydro-
environmental
simulation
model• Socio-economic sectorial boundaries
• Institutional & administrative boundaries
• Trans-boundaries
model.
• Trans-boundaries
Advanced Technology for
Early Warning & Hazard Mapping
IFASIFAS
Integrated Flow
Analysis System
20120101-20120930 Jun
Magome
Rainfall
GSMaP/JAXA
RiverRiver
discharge
Jun Magome, 2012
 version Flood preparedness for all
YJ
PhilippinesPhilippines
YJ
KWAK
Hazard:Hazard: FID areaFID area
0 m < H 50 < 4 18 m0 m < Hmax _50 year < 4.18 m
Affected People 3,552,000
Map of Flood Waters over the Affected Districts of
Machanga and Govuro, Lower Savi River, Mozambique
By modelBy model By satelliteBy satellite
UNOSATUNOSAT (17.Jan.2008)
Potential flood areaPotential flood area
2010 Pakistan flood Nowcasts by IFAS
29 July
Seishi
Nabesaka
IFAS modeling schematics
Kabul
river
29 July
0
520,000
25,000
30,000
satellite based rainfall(mm) discharge(m3/s)
IFAS modeling schematics
15 July to 18 August
10
150
5,000
10,000
15,000
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
ul
g
g
g
g
g
g
g
g
g
g
g
g
g
g
Kabul river at Nowshera
Satellite based rainfall
GSMaP ICHARM modified
15 July to 18 August
13 September
060,000
satellite based rainfal(mm) discharge(m3/s)
15‐Ju
16‐Ju
17‐Ju
18‐Ju
20‐Ju
21‐Ju
22‐Ju
23‐Ju
25‐Ju
26‐Ju
27‐Ju
28‐Ju
30‐Ju
31‐Ju
1‐Au
2‐Au
4‐Au
5‐Au
6‐Au
7‐Au
9‐Au
10‐Au
11‐Au
12‐Au
14‐Au
15‐Au
16‐Au
17‐Au
Target area
Kabul
river
13 September
OCHA
5
10
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Indus river at Kalur Kot
15 July to 18 August
150
,
15‐Jul
16‐Jul
17‐Jul
18‐Jul
20‐Jul
21‐Jul
22‐Jul
23‐Jul
25‐Jul
26‐Jul
27‐Jul
28‐Jul
30‐Jul
31‐Jul
1‐Aug
2‐Aug
4‐Aug
5‐Aug
6‐Aug
7‐Aug
9‐Aug
10‐Aug
11‐Aug
12‐Aug
14‐Aug
15‐Aug
16‐Aug
17‐Aug
10
Indus river at Kalur Kot
13 Oct, 2011 by MODIS
5m
Simulation on
Oct 18, 2011 by ICHARM
Tyhoon
Nock-ten
in Julyin July.
145% of
av(J,A,S)
’08-’10
Nakhon SawanNakhon Sawan
A tthAyutthaya
Bangkok
1 : July 2
31 : Aug 1
62 : Sep 1
92 : Oct 1
123 N 1
Bangkok
11
123 : Nov 1
152 : Nov 30
0mSayama’s RRI model
by satellites & NWF
Promoting local ownership of flood forecastsPromoting local ownership of flood forecasts
ICHARM’s Challenge: LocalismLocalism
TrainingSystem
IFASIFAS
ICHARM s Challenge: LocalismLocalism
Local DataGlobal Data
ADB-ICHARM TA7276-REG
Bangladesh: Whole
Nation
- Review & recomm
Philippines:
Pampanga &
Cagayan basins
- Application of
Cambodia: Lower
of Early Warning
Systems
- Capacity building
IFAS
- Capacity devlpmnt
& training
Cambodia: Lower
Mekong Basin
- Develpmnt of
flood vulnerability
indices
Indonesia: Solo basin
- Implementation of satellite-
based flood forecasting
system
C it d fl d- Community-managed flood
risk management
- Capacity building
Installation of IFAS Indonesia componentIndonesia Component
Near Real time
R l ti Fl d Al t S t
Near Real time
Flood Alert
System
Real-time Flood Alert System
Data collection by
SMS (hourly)
Courtesy of JAXACourtesy of JAXA
Satellite basedSatellite based
rainfallrainfall
AutomaticAutomatic
accessaccess
AutomaticAutomatic
accessaccess
Data pick upData pick up
OutputOutput
accessaccess
Alert
Alert
Automatic Alert e-mail
14
Solo River
Integrated Flood Analysis System (IFAS)
IFAS installation in Solo river basin in Indonesia
•Satellite‐based rainfall data (free)•Geological data for modeling (free)
•Elevation data, Land use data and soil data (free)
Surface model
input
Target Area: Solo River
River basin Area : 16,100km2
Length : 540km
Solo River
Run‐off analysis
Aquifer model
River course
model
Creation Runoff module
Output; River discharge, 
Water level, Rainfall distribution
E ti W i
Reach to the 
warning level
Alert message by E‐mail 
and PC displayJudgment 
by River 
managers
Evacuation Warning
Community based flood managementTech + Localism + Cap Build  Better Combination
0
52500
3000
rainfall measured Q IFAS discharge
Q (m3/s)
Demonstration activities:
(1) facilitation for community hazard and risk 
assessment and mapping, 
(2) facilitation for preparing risk maps, FRM 
action plans and the manual for early 
warning system and evacuation plan 
Semen Pinggir
Kedung
Sumber
Community based flood management
10
15
201000
1500
2000
Warning stage 3
Discharge 
The pilot villages
(3) support community in technical aspects 
for carrying out emergency drills and 
exercises 
20
25
300
500
1000
12/25 12:00 12/25 18:00 12/26 0:00 12/26 6:00 12/26 12:00 12/26 18:00
Warning stage 2
Warning stage 1
P RiP Ri C RiC Ri
IFAS installation and identifying flood causes in
Pampanga and Cagayan river basins in the Philippines
"
Tuguegarao
Ü
Pampanga RiverPampanga River
10,454km2
18 rainfall stations
Cagayan RiverCagayan River
27,280km2
5 rainfall stations
"
"
"
Gamu
Tumauini
Maris Dam
11 water level stations 5 water level stations
"
Pangal
- 195 - 0
0 - 50
50 - 100
100 - 200
200 - 300
300 - 400
Gamu stationMayapyap station
0 20 40 60 80 10010
km
400 - 500
500 - 1,000
1,000 - 2,000
2,000 - 3,000
Rain (Ground) Measured Q Ground GSMaP original Ground with dam
0
5
10
15
20
25
2011/9/26 2011/9/27 2011/9/28 2011/9/29 2011/9/30 2011/10/1 2011/10/2 2011/10/3 2011/10/4
Rainfall (mm/hr)
Ground GSMaP original
R i M d Q G d GSM P 3B42RT
0
5
10
15
20
25
2006/1/23 2006/1/24 2006/1/25 2006/1/26 2006/1/27 2006/1/28 2006/1/29 2006/1/30 2006/1/31
Rainfall (mm/hr)
Ground GSMaP 3B42RT
Gamu stationMayapyap station
0
5
10
15
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
ainfall (mm/hr)
Discharge (m3/s)
Rain (Ground) Measured Q Ground GSMaP original Ground with dam
0
5
10
15
20
256000
8000
10000
12000
14000
nfall (mm/hr)
ischarge (m3/s) Rain Measured Q Ground GSMaP 3B42RT
20
25
300
1000
2000
2011/9/26 2011/9/27 2011/9/28 2011/9/29 2011/9/30 2011/10/1 2011/10/2 2011/10/3 2011/10/4
Ra
D
30
35
40
450
2000
4000
2006/1/23 2006/1/24 2006/1/25 2006/1/26 2006/1/27 2006/1/28 2006/1/29 2006/1/30 2006/1/31
Rain
Di
IFAS results at Mayapyap station IFAS results at Gamu station
16
Dates of Rice Planting and Harvesting
Planting: when total rain reached to 500mm
500mm
Mekong River Basin
Kamponchum District
CR0 : planting
90 days
Rice production
depends on
vel(m)
90 days
Land Elevation
稲作不適地域:平年(平均洪Flood-fed rice
FMMP, MRC
p
when floods
come
WaterLev
Water level of
the Mekong
水)でも被害(50cm以上浸水)
を受けるところ
Rain-fed rice
Flood fed rice
0 30km
Harvesting: 90 days after planting
Results
Flood Vulnerability Assessment in Lower Mekong River Basin
Relative Difference between
Extreme 2000 - Normal 2006 floodsAverage year Extreme 2000 - Normal 2006 floods
Agricultural damages
e age yea
FVI‐AvFl FVI‐ExFlFVI AvFl
FVIs for Agricultural Damages: Kandal Province
居安思危 Be aware of risk while we are safe
思則有備思則有備 Awareness leads us preparedness
有備無患 Preparedness leaves us no regretp g
「春秋」左氏伝
Source: Zuo Qiuming “Zuoshi Commentary”
in Confucius ed. ”Spring and Autumn”, 480BC
Let us ally for water-
related DRRrelated DRR
UNSGAB/HLEP
www.icharm.pwri.go.jp
UNSGAB/HLEP
ICHARM preparedness for floods
Future Earth

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Integrated Flood Risk Management in a Seamless Manner

  • 1. ADB Water Week 13 March 2013 Where is the progress in IWRM application? Integrated Flood Risk Management in a Seamless Manner Kuniyoshi Takeuchi International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management under the auspices of UNESCO (ICHARM)Management under the auspices of UNESCO (ICHARM) Public Works Research Institute (PWRI) Tsukuba, Japan
  • 2. Evolution of IWRMEvolution of IWRM  Many historical WRDs, TVA (1930s) etc.  Mal del Plata Action Plan (1977) use & efficiency, natural hazards, environmental & pollution control, planning & management, public information, education, cooperation • the first internationally coordinated approach to IWRM  Dublin Conference and Agenda 21 (1992) • Finite vulnerable & essential to be managed in an integrated• Finite, vulnerable & essential to be managed in an integrated manner, participatory approach, women’s role, economic good  GWP Technical Advisory Committee (2000) B C f (2001) & J h b WSSD (2002) Bonn Conf (2001) & Johannesburg WSSD (2002)  From Principle to Implementation From Principle to Implementation
  • 3. Integrated Water Resources ManagementIntegrated Water Resources Management  IWRM is a process which t th di t dpromotes the co-ordinated development and management of water, land Hydrological Cycle Land Use & Eco-g and related resources, in order to maximize the resultant economic and social Cycle Environmental System IWRM resultant economic and social welfare in an equitable manner without i i th Socio- Economic & Institutional compromising the sustainability of vital ecosystems. (GWP TAC, System Human society & Decision Makingy ( 2000)
  • 4. Integrated Flood Risk Managementg g  IFRM IFM IWRM  IFRM is a process which promotes the co ordinated IFRM is a process which promotes the co-ordinated development and management of floodplain to reduce flood risk while maximizing the benefit of floodplain in an equitable manner within ecological and societal sustainability by the best mix of structural and nonstructural means to control floods, mitigate flood, g damages or adapt society for the nature.  Integrated with: environmental management, f t d t t ti d d d lforestry, roads, transportation, underground develop, sewerage, city/land use planning/regulation, capacity development, awareness raising, community preparedness, …
  • 5. Needs of IFRM in a seamless mannerNeeds of IFRM in a seamless manner Seamless in hat? Seamless in what? • Temporal and spatial hydrological scales • Developed and developing worlds• Developed and developing worlds • In availability of capacity, data & other resources. • Water-land-climate-environmantal and human societal boundaries • Disciplinary boundaries S i i t i l b d i Key is a hydro- environmental simulation model• Socio-economic sectorial boundaries • Institutional & administrative boundaries • Trans-boundaries model. • Trans-boundaries
  • 6. Advanced Technology for Early Warning & Hazard Mapping IFASIFAS Integrated Flow Analysis System
  • 8. YJ PhilippinesPhilippines YJ KWAK Hazard:Hazard: FID areaFID area 0 m < H 50 < 4 18 m0 m < Hmax _50 year < 4.18 m Affected People 3,552,000
  • 9. Map of Flood Waters over the Affected Districts of Machanga and Govuro, Lower Savi River, Mozambique By modelBy model By satelliteBy satellite UNOSATUNOSAT (17.Jan.2008) Potential flood areaPotential flood area
  • 10. 2010 Pakistan flood Nowcasts by IFAS 29 July Seishi Nabesaka IFAS modeling schematics Kabul river 29 July 0 520,000 25,000 30,000 satellite based rainfall(mm) discharge(m3/s) IFAS modeling schematics 15 July to 18 August 10 150 5,000 10,000 15,000 ul ul ul ul ul ul ul ul ul ul ul ul ul ul g g g g g g g g g g g g g g Kabul river at Nowshera Satellite based rainfall GSMaP ICHARM modified 15 July to 18 August 13 September 060,000 satellite based rainfal(mm) discharge(m3/s) 15‐Ju 16‐Ju 17‐Ju 18‐Ju 20‐Ju 21‐Ju 22‐Ju 23‐Ju 25‐Ju 26‐Ju 27‐Ju 28‐Ju 30‐Ju 31‐Ju 1‐Au 2‐Au 4‐Au 5‐Au 6‐Au 7‐Au 9‐Au 10‐Au 11‐Au 12‐Au 14‐Au 15‐Au 16‐Au 17‐Au Target area Kabul river 13 September OCHA 5 10 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Indus river at Kalur Kot 15 July to 18 August 150 , 15‐Jul 16‐Jul 17‐Jul 18‐Jul 20‐Jul 21‐Jul 22‐Jul 23‐Jul 25‐Jul 26‐Jul 27‐Jul 28‐Jul 30‐Jul 31‐Jul 1‐Aug 2‐Aug 4‐Aug 5‐Aug 6‐Aug 7‐Aug 9‐Aug 10‐Aug 11‐Aug 12‐Aug 14‐Aug 15‐Aug 16‐Aug 17‐Aug 10 Indus river at Kalur Kot
  • 11. 13 Oct, 2011 by MODIS 5m Simulation on Oct 18, 2011 by ICHARM Tyhoon Nock-ten in Julyin July. 145% of av(J,A,S) ’08-’10 Nakhon SawanNakhon Sawan A tthAyutthaya Bangkok 1 : July 2 31 : Aug 1 62 : Sep 1 92 : Oct 1 123 N 1 Bangkok 11 123 : Nov 1 152 : Nov 30 0mSayama’s RRI model by satellites & NWF
  • 12. Promoting local ownership of flood forecastsPromoting local ownership of flood forecasts ICHARM’s Challenge: LocalismLocalism TrainingSystem IFASIFAS ICHARM s Challenge: LocalismLocalism Local DataGlobal Data
  • 13. ADB-ICHARM TA7276-REG Bangladesh: Whole Nation - Review & recomm Philippines: Pampanga & Cagayan basins - Application of Cambodia: Lower of Early Warning Systems - Capacity building IFAS - Capacity devlpmnt & training Cambodia: Lower Mekong Basin - Develpmnt of flood vulnerability indices Indonesia: Solo basin - Implementation of satellite- based flood forecasting system C it d fl d- Community-managed flood risk management - Capacity building
  • 14. Installation of IFAS Indonesia componentIndonesia Component Near Real time R l ti Fl d Al t S t Near Real time Flood Alert System Real-time Flood Alert System Data collection by SMS (hourly) Courtesy of JAXACourtesy of JAXA Satellite basedSatellite based rainfallrainfall AutomaticAutomatic accessaccess AutomaticAutomatic accessaccess Data pick upData pick up OutputOutput accessaccess Alert Alert Automatic Alert e-mail 14
  • 15. Solo River Integrated Flood Analysis System (IFAS) IFAS installation in Solo river basin in Indonesia •Satellite‐based rainfall data (free)•Geological data for modeling (free) •Elevation data, Land use data and soil data (free) Surface model input Target Area: Solo River River basin Area : 16,100km2 Length : 540km Solo River Run‐off analysis Aquifer model River course model Creation Runoff module Output; River discharge,  Water level, Rainfall distribution E ti W i Reach to the  warning level Alert message by E‐mail  and PC displayJudgment  by River  managers Evacuation Warning Community based flood managementTech + Localism + Cap Build  Better Combination 0 52500 3000 rainfall measured Q IFAS discharge Q (m3/s) Demonstration activities: (1) facilitation for community hazard and risk  assessment and mapping,  (2) facilitation for preparing risk maps, FRM  action plans and the manual for early  warning system and evacuation plan  Semen Pinggir Kedung Sumber Community based flood management 10 15 201000 1500 2000 Warning stage 3 Discharge  The pilot villages (3) support community in technical aspects  for carrying out emergency drills and  exercises  20 25 300 500 1000 12/25 12:00 12/25 18:00 12/26 0:00 12/26 6:00 12/26 12:00 12/26 18:00 Warning stage 2 Warning stage 1
  • 16. P RiP Ri C RiC Ri IFAS installation and identifying flood causes in Pampanga and Cagayan river basins in the Philippines " Tuguegarao Ü Pampanga RiverPampanga River 10,454km2 18 rainfall stations Cagayan RiverCagayan River 27,280km2 5 rainfall stations " " " Gamu Tumauini Maris Dam 11 water level stations 5 water level stations " Pangal - 195 - 0 0 - 50 50 - 100 100 - 200 200 - 300 300 - 400 Gamu stationMayapyap station 0 20 40 60 80 10010 km 400 - 500 500 - 1,000 1,000 - 2,000 2,000 - 3,000 Rain (Ground) Measured Q Ground GSMaP original Ground with dam 0 5 10 15 20 25 2011/9/26 2011/9/27 2011/9/28 2011/9/29 2011/9/30 2011/10/1 2011/10/2 2011/10/3 2011/10/4 Rainfall (mm/hr) Ground GSMaP original R i M d Q G d GSM P 3B42RT 0 5 10 15 20 25 2006/1/23 2006/1/24 2006/1/25 2006/1/26 2006/1/27 2006/1/28 2006/1/29 2006/1/30 2006/1/31 Rainfall (mm/hr) Ground GSMaP 3B42RT Gamu stationMayapyap station 0 5 10 15 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 ainfall (mm/hr) Discharge (m3/s) Rain (Ground) Measured Q Ground GSMaP original Ground with dam 0 5 10 15 20 256000 8000 10000 12000 14000 nfall (mm/hr) ischarge (m3/s) Rain Measured Q Ground GSMaP 3B42RT 20 25 300 1000 2000 2011/9/26 2011/9/27 2011/9/28 2011/9/29 2011/9/30 2011/10/1 2011/10/2 2011/10/3 2011/10/4 Ra D 30 35 40 450 2000 4000 2006/1/23 2006/1/24 2006/1/25 2006/1/26 2006/1/27 2006/1/28 2006/1/29 2006/1/30 2006/1/31 Rain Di IFAS results at Mayapyap station IFAS results at Gamu station 16
  • 17. Dates of Rice Planting and Harvesting Planting: when total rain reached to 500mm 500mm Mekong River Basin Kamponchum District CR0 : planting 90 days Rice production depends on vel(m) 90 days Land Elevation 稲作不適地域:平年(平均洪Flood-fed rice FMMP, MRC p when floods come WaterLev Water level of the Mekong 水)でも被害(50cm以上浸水) を受けるところ Rain-fed rice Flood fed rice 0 30km Harvesting: 90 days after planting
  • 18. Results Flood Vulnerability Assessment in Lower Mekong River Basin Relative Difference between Extreme 2000 - Normal 2006 floodsAverage year Extreme 2000 - Normal 2006 floods Agricultural damages e age yea FVI‐AvFl FVI‐ExFlFVI AvFl FVIs for Agricultural Damages: Kandal Province
  • 19. 居安思危 Be aware of risk while we are safe 思則有備思則有備 Awareness leads us preparedness 有備無患 Preparedness leaves us no regretp g 「春秋」左氏伝 Source: Zuo Qiuming “Zuoshi Commentary” in Confucius ed. ”Spring and Autumn”, 480BC Let us ally for water- related DRRrelated DRR UNSGAB/HLEP www.icharm.pwri.go.jp UNSGAB/HLEP ICHARM preparedness for floods Future Earth