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epicomm
Epidemic Communicator


Uncertainty as a Trigger for Service Innovations




Gordon Müller-Seitz, Carsten Reuter, Christoph Stöckmann, Wotan Wilden and Gil Breth

Munich, October 22, 2012
                                                                                       1
epicomm
Agenda


Introducing the epicomm -Team

Introducing the Issue

What We Promised

What We Deliver




                                          2
epicomm
Epicomm - Team


           Gordon Müller-Seitz             Carsten Reuter
           Pre-studies (automotive)        FHG distribution channels
           Qualitative empirical studies   Information flow
           Teaching cases                  Possibilities to promote the
                                           theme




           Christoph Stöckmann             Wotan Wilden
           App production                  Product Design
           Empirical study                 Prototyping
           Multi-channel marketing         Usability




                                                                          3
epicomm
Agenda


Introducing the epicomm -Team

Introducing the Issue

What We Promised

What We Deliver




                                          4
epicomm
Uncertainty in the run-up or during events can take many forms,
is managerially relevant and represents an omnipresent phenomenon



Ebola                    Tsunamis                 Eyjafjallajökull




Fukushima                Deepwater Horizon        9/11




                                                                               5
epicomm
After the crisis is before the next crisis


Uncertainty remains a latent key concern for many health care actors




                                                                          6
epicomm
Uncertainty  risk


Uncertainty in our setting is diffuse and critical
hystery prone setting
reducing uncertainty (public authorities etc.)



Overarching research question:
How do actors cope with uncertainty in the face of HC disasters?




                                                                             7
epicomm
Specific case




The invisible is EHEC

Leadership is needed to introduce innovative services
Call center hotline
Receipe-based cohort study
EHEC Task Force (innovative form of collaboration for the PuMa sector)




                                                                                   8
epicomm
Agenda


Introducing the epicomm -Team

Introducing the Issue

What We Promised

What We Deliver




                                          9
epicomm
Our promise – outputs will occur in the following areas


Teaching
Case studies for three diseases

Research
A conference paper

Dissemination
Gaining attention for the PPS

Product
App




                                                                    10
epicomm
Agenda


Introducing the epicomm -Team

Introducing the Issue

What We Promised

What We Deliver




                                          11
epicomm
Investment of 40.000 € funding by Peter Pribilla-Foundation


Travelling                                                         8.000 €
Epicomm Team

Research/teaching                                                 12.000 €
Student assistants for data collection and analysis purpose
Freie Universität Berlin, Institut für Management

Product research/design                                            5.000 €
Student assistants for user research and app design
Technische Universität München, Lehrstuhl für Industrial Design

App implementation                                                15.000 €
netSTART Systems GmbH and Hag&Hagal




                                                                                       12
epicomm
Teaching output - generating visibility of the PPF-theme


Case studies
EHEC: „EHEC-Ausbruch 2011 in Deutschland – Der Kampf gegen den unsichtbaren Feind “

SARS: „SARS-Pandemie 2002/2003: Die Angst reist um die Welt “

BSE:    „Der schiere Wahnsinn – Die BSE-Epidemie in Großbritannien und ihre weitreichenden
                Folgen für Europa “

Research seminars
Freie Universität Berlin
(„Forschungsseminar“ / summer term 2012/13)

Universität Hamburg
(„Public Risk Management“ / winter term 2012/13)




                                                                                             13
epicomm
Research output - crafting output for the scientific arena


Exchange fora with leading experts from the field
Joe Lampel (Cass Business School)
Bridget Hutter (LSE)


Presentations/papers 2012
Public Management Colloquium/WK ÖBWL
„Interorganisationale Praktiken im Umgang mit Unsicherheit am Beispiel des EHEC-Ausbruchs“

OLKC
„Situated Learning during Uncertain Events: The Case of the German EHEC outbreak 2011“

EURAM
„Managing Uncertainty in the Case of Food-borne Disease Outbreaks:
Explorative Evidence from Public Health Insittutions“




                                                                                             14
epicomm
Dissemination - leverage existing resources and facilities


DocCheck

Leads pursued (ongoing)
Fire department Düsseldorf
Departmental authority for Health and Consumer Protection (Hamburg)

Inquired / existing contacts
Apothekenrundschau
Computer Bild
Bild

FU Berlin online magazine




                                                                                15
epicomm
Product - App developing process


Generation of user stories

Survey of experts

Definition of main functions

App design

App implementation




                                             16
epicomm
App - Generation of 12 user stories


Example 1
Information on health status of family members and friends




                                                                       17
epicomm
App - Generation of 12 user stories


Example 2
Location-based concentration of site-specific symptoms triggers alarm




                                                                                  18
epicomm
App - Survey of experts


Contacts
Bayerische Landesärztekammer
Bundesamt für Bevölkerungsschutz und Katastrophenhilfe
Deutsche Lebens-Rettungs-Gesellschaft e.V.
Deutscher Wetter Dienst
Deutsches Rotes Kreuz
Europäisches Zentrum für Krankheitsprävention und Kontrolle (ECDC)
Feuerwehr Branddirektion München
GDACS (Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System)
Helmholtz Zentrum München, Epidemiologie Abteilung
Johanniter (Unfall-Hilfe e. V.)
Malteser
„MediCare“ / Flughafen München Medizinisches Zentrum GmbH
Polizeipräsidium München
Referat für Gesundheitsschutz und Infektionsschutz der Landeshauptstadt München
Referat für Gesundheit und Umwelt der Landeshauptstadt München
Technisches Hilfswerk




                                                                                      19
epicomm
App - Survey of experts


Results
Interest in the use of the app is given.

Responsible source must be trustworthy and reliable! Who is the competent, trustworthy source?

The app is not useful for travelers.
Still possible: recommendations of the Foreign Office warnings instead (this is the full
responsibility of the national authorities and of some international public health institutions!)

Behavioral advice instead of standard information, with which the user is left alone.

Location-based data is desirable, but only anonymously and not exactly but as a display of the
relative density.

It would be great to have the system able not just to register the single case but to identify
geographical/timing clusters.

In terms of warning, users should have the possibility to clearly distinguish what they find on
media from what they find from any authority or reliable source.

                                                                                                    20
epicomm
App - definition and design of main functions


Basic settings
When you start using the app you will be asked which information is used




                                                                                     21
epicomm
App - definition and product design of main functions


Behavior of the app on Warnings
Warnings appear as push messages on the smartphone
The home screen is focused on the most important functions to reduce panic:
messages, behavioral advice and search for a doctor




                                                                                        22
epicomm
App - definition and design of main functions


General information within the app
General topics and articles serve as a supplement to the warnings and reduce panic
Already read information fades to gray, for a better overview




                                                                                         23
epicomm
App - definition and design of main functions


Self examination
Result consists of the analysis of symtoms and the location-based risk assessment
With a worrying result the user is forwarded to "behavioral advice “
Results are anonymously recorded and displayed in a interactive map




                                                                                          24
epicomm
App - definition and design of main functions


Interactive map
Possible setting at the beginning are „choose filter" (which diseases to be shown) and
„select period" to (in the last 24hours / year)
The evaluated data of the self examination results appear alongside official sources in the charts




                                                                                                     25
epicomm
App - definition and design of main functions


Doctor Locator
Only relevant specialists are shown (e.g. virologists)
When you click on a desired pin on the map, the contact of the doctor will be displayed




                                                                                            26
epicomm
App - Implementation




netSTART Systems GmbH and Hag&Hagal


Gil Breth
Geschäftsführer
netSTART Systems GmbH
Oststr. 11-13 (Rhein-Carré),
D-50996 Köln-Rodenkirchen

www.netstart-systems.de

                                                27
epicomm
App - Technology


In 2012 Apple integrated a wireless emergency alert system into iOS 6


Client

                            user




                       iOS warns user




Base-System

                    service provides alert   Information is independent of time and location


                                             Only in the USA
                   Emergency Alert Service   Only emergency warnings
                                             No direct support
                    Collects and provides
                      emergency alerts

                                                                                                 28
epicomm
App - Technology


Epicomm provides a back-channel for users to receive user-generated data


Client

                                    user


                                           User generates data
                   iOS warns user          Self examination
                                           doctor search
                                           Direct support

Base-System

               service provides alert



                                                          Country independent
                            Epicomm Service               Comparsion of user data
                                                          Analysis of user data



                                                                                              29
epicomm
App - Functions


General information

News
Integration of various online news sources
Aggregation of news
Cross-platform deployment (XML, RSS)
Not personalized content




                                                       30
epicomm
App - Functions


Self examination

Symptom query
Provision of symptoms
Detection of symptoms depending on the user location
Anonymous online data storage
Location based analysis of the symtoms




                                                                 31
epicomm
App - Functions


Location based doctor search

Doctors Overview
Display of appropriate doctors in the own area
Direct contact opportunities
Location based results




                                                           32
epicomm
App - Functions


Symptom radar

Message summary
Displaying messages in the own area
Time and location dependent
Visualization of message types
         (confirmed vs. non-confirmed)




                                                   33
epicomm
App - Demonstration




                                34
epicomm
Epicomm can visualize and react on spread of viruses in real time




                                       x




Video source: Adam Sadilek, Predicting Spread of Disease from Social Media,http://www.cs.rochester.edu/~sadilek/research

                                                                                                                                     35
epicomm
What’s next?


Partner Network
Integration of data sources
Quality of service/data

Media and PR
News in our news/social media network (approx. 6.000 members)
PR-partners: Computer Bild, Center.TV, VDI News

Data, data and even more data
Support for other plattforms (Android and Windows Phone)
User generated content




                                                                          36
epicomm




Thank you for your attention and support




                                                     37

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Epidemic Communicator

  • 1. epicomm Epidemic Communicator Uncertainty as a Trigger for Service Innovations Gordon Müller-Seitz, Carsten Reuter, Christoph Stöckmann, Wotan Wilden and Gil Breth Munich, October 22, 2012 1
  • 2. epicomm Agenda Introducing the epicomm -Team Introducing the Issue What We Promised What We Deliver 2
  • 3. epicomm Epicomm - Team Gordon Müller-Seitz Carsten Reuter Pre-studies (automotive) FHG distribution channels Qualitative empirical studies Information flow Teaching cases Possibilities to promote the theme Christoph Stöckmann Wotan Wilden App production Product Design Empirical study Prototyping Multi-channel marketing Usability 3
  • 4. epicomm Agenda Introducing the epicomm -Team Introducing the Issue What We Promised What We Deliver 4
  • 5. epicomm Uncertainty in the run-up or during events can take many forms, is managerially relevant and represents an omnipresent phenomenon Ebola Tsunamis Eyjafjallajökull Fukushima Deepwater Horizon 9/11 5
  • 6. epicomm After the crisis is before the next crisis Uncertainty remains a latent key concern for many health care actors 6
  • 7. epicomm Uncertainty  risk Uncertainty in our setting is diffuse and critical hystery prone setting reducing uncertainty (public authorities etc.) Overarching research question: How do actors cope with uncertainty in the face of HC disasters? 7
  • 8. epicomm Specific case The invisible is EHEC Leadership is needed to introduce innovative services Call center hotline Receipe-based cohort study EHEC Task Force (innovative form of collaboration for the PuMa sector) 8
  • 9. epicomm Agenda Introducing the epicomm -Team Introducing the Issue What We Promised What We Deliver 9
  • 10. epicomm Our promise – outputs will occur in the following areas Teaching Case studies for three diseases Research A conference paper Dissemination Gaining attention for the PPS Product App 10
  • 11. epicomm Agenda Introducing the epicomm -Team Introducing the Issue What We Promised What We Deliver 11
  • 12. epicomm Investment of 40.000 € funding by Peter Pribilla-Foundation Travelling 8.000 € Epicomm Team Research/teaching 12.000 € Student assistants for data collection and analysis purpose Freie Universität Berlin, Institut für Management Product research/design 5.000 € Student assistants for user research and app design Technische Universität München, Lehrstuhl für Industrial Design App implementation 15.000 € netSTART Systems GmbH and Hag&Hagal 12
  • 13. epicomm Teaching output - generating visibility of the PPF-theme Case studies EHEC: „EHEC-Ausbruch 2011 in Deutschland – Der Kampf gegen den unsichtbaren Feind “ SARS: „SARS-Pandemie 2002/2003: Die Angst reist um die Welt “ BSE: „Der schiere Wahnsinn – Die BSE-Epidemie in Großbritannien und ihre weitreichenden Folgen für Europa “ Research seminars Freie Universität Berlin („Forschungsseminar“ / summer term 2012/13) Universität Hamburg („Public Risk Management“ / winter term 2012/13) 13
  • 14. epicomm Research output - crafting output for the scientific arena Exchange fora with leading experts from the field Joe Lampel (Cass Business School) Bridget Hutter (LSE) Presentations/papers 2012 Public Management Colloquium/WK ÖBWL „Interorganisationale Praktiken im Umgang mit Unsicherheit am Beispiel des EHEC-Ausbruchs“ OLKC „Situated Learning during Uncertain Events: The Case of the German EHEC outbreak 2011“ EURAM „Managing Uncertainty in the Case of Food-borne Disease Outbreaks: Explorative Evidence from Public Health Insittutions“ 14
  • 15. epicomm Dissemination - leverage existing resources and facilities DocCheck Leads pursued (ongoing) Fire department Düsseldorf Departmental authority for Health and Consumer Protection (Hamburg) Inquired / existing contacts Apothekenrundschau Computer Bild Bild FU Berlin online magazine 15
  • 16. epicomm Product - App developing process Generation of user stories Survey of experts Definition of main functions App design App implementation 16
  • 17. epicomm App - Generation of 12 user stories Example 1 Information on health status of family members and friends 17
  • 18. epicomm App - Generation of 12 user stories Example 2 Location-based concentration of site-specific symptoms triggers alarm 18
  • 19. epicomm App - Survey of experts Contacts Bayerische Landesärztekammer Bundesamt für Bevölkerungsschutz und Katastrophenhilfe Deutsche Lebens-Rettungs-Gesellschaft e.V. Deutscher Wetter Dienst Deutsches Rotes Kreuz Europäisches Zentrum für Krankheitsprävention und Kontrolle (ECDC) Feuerwehr Branddirektion München GDACS (Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System) Helmholtz Zentrum München, Epidemiologie Abteilung Johanniter (Unfall-Hilfe e. V.) Malteser „MediCare“ / Flughafen München Medizinisches Zentrum GmbH Polizeipräsidium München Referat für Gesundheitsschutz und Infektionsschutz der Landeshauptstadt München Referat für Gesundheit und Umwelt der Landeshauptstadt München Technisches Hilfswerk 19
  • 20. epicomm App - Survey of experts Results Interest in the use of the app is given. Responsible source must be trustworthy and reliable! Who is the competent, trustworthy source? The app is not useful for travelers. Still possible: recommendations of the Foreign Office warnings instead (this is the full responsibility of the national authorities and of some international public health institutions!) Behavioral advice instead of standard information, with which the user is left alone. Location-based data is desirable, but only anonymously and not exactly but as a display of the relative density. It would be great to have the system able not just to register the single case but to identify geographical/timing clusters. In terms of warning, users should have the possibility to clearly distinguish what they find on media from what they find from any authority or reliable source. 20
  • 21. epicomm App - definition and design of main functions Basic settings When you start using the app you will be asked which information is used 21
  • 22. epicomm App - definition and product design of main functions Behavior of the app on Warnings Warnings appear as push messages on the smartphone The home screen is focused on the most important functions to reduce panic: messages, behavioral advice and search for a doctor 22
  • 23. epicomm App - definition and design of main functions General information within the app General topics and articles serve as a supplement to the warnings and reduce panic Already read information fades to gray, for a better overview 23
  • 24. epicomm App - definition and design of main functions Self examination Result consists of the analysis of symtoms and the location-based risk assessment With a worrying result the user is forwarded to "behavioral advice “ Results are anonymously recorded and displayed in a interactive map 24
  • 25. epicomm App - definition and design of main functions Interactive map Possible setting at the beginning are „choose filter" (which diseases to be shown) and „select period" to (in the last 24hours / year) The evaluated data of the self examination results appear alongside official sources in the charts 25
  • 26. epicomm App - definition and design of main functions Doctor Locator Only relevant specialists are shown (e.g. virologists) When you click on a desired pin on the map, the contact of the doctor will be displayed 26
  • 27. epicomm App - Implementation netSTART Systems GmbH and Hag&Hagal Gil Breth Geschäftsführer netSTART Systems GmbH Oststr. 11-13 (Rhein-Carré), D-50996 Köln-Rodenkirchen www.netstart-systems.de 27
  • 28. epicomm App - Technology In 2012 Apple integrated a wireless emergency alert system into iOS 6 Client user iOS warns user Base-System service provides alert Information is independent of time and location Only in the USA Emergency Alert Service Only emergency warnings No direct support Collects and provides emergency alerts 28
  • 29. epicomm App - Technology Epicomm provides a back-channel for users to receive user-generated data Client user User generates data iOS warns user Self examination doctor search Direct support Base-System service provides alert Country independent Epicomm Service Comparsion of user data Analysis of user data 29
  • 30. epicomm App - Functions General information News Integration of various online news sources Aggregation of news Cross-platform deployment (XML, RSS) Not personalized content 30
  • 31. epicomm App - Functions Self examination Symptom query Provision of symptoms Detection of symptoms depending on the user location Anonymous online data storage Location based analysis of the symtoms 31
  • 32. epicomm App - Functions Location based doctor search Doctors Overview Display of appropriate doctors in the own area Direct contact opportunities Location based results 32
  • 33. epicomm App - Functions Symptom radar Message summary Displaying messages in the own area Time and location dependent Visualization of message types (confirmed vs. non-confirmed) 33
  • 35. epicomm Epicomm can visualize and react on spread of viruses in real time x Video source: Adam Sadilek, Predicting Spread of Disease from Social Media,http://www.cs.rochester.edu/~sadilek/research 35
  • 36. epicomm What’s next? Partner Network Integration of data sources Quality of service/data Media and PR News in our news/social media network (approx. 6.000 members) PR-partners: Computer Bild, Center.TV, VDI News Data, data and even more data Support for other plattforms (Android and Windows Phone) User generated content 36
  • 37. epicomm Thank you for your attention and support 37