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If It Doesn’t Perform,
It Can’t Be Green!



Jerry Yudelson
Yudelson Associates
Take-Aways
Green buildings are important for controlling
CO2 emissions

Many buildings do not perform as predicted
or as needed

Without reporting actual performance, the entire
exercise will be wasted


Energy use metrics are well known
8 Testable Propositions
•   Green building vital in the global carbon picture
•   Green building growing rapidly in all sectors
•   Green building business case is proven
•   BUT, many green buildings not performing as predicted
•   Building energy performance reports all vitally needed
•   Buildings must measure total carbon performance
•   Zero-net-energy buildings feasible today
•   Beyond energy, water is the next big issue
Green Building Important for Carbon Reduction
Green Buildings Make Money Sense
Business Case for Green is Proven

                            Financial/economic return
                            Risk mitigation
                            Marketing/public relations
                            Productivity/health gains
                            Recruitment/retention
                            Sustainability concerns

ASU Biodesign Institute B
  LEED
Potential Impact of Rapid Greening

• 14% reduction in CO2, 2025 vs.
  2005
• NPV of green building: $650
  billion in U.S.
   – 5x to 10x cost premium
• 2020 Prediction:
   – Green buildings 95% of new
      construction
   – Green retrofits are 75% of
      all retrofits
Green Building Growing Rapidly
Green Building Statistics

                   30,000+ LEED registered
                   projects (Dec. 2011)
                   130 countries use LEED
                   12,000+ LEED certified
                   projects (March 2012)
                   175,000+ LEED Accredited
                   Professionals
 OREGON
HEALTH & SCIENCE        “In God We Trust;
      UNIVERSITY   All Others Must Bring Data.”
                           -W. Edwards Deming
Building Energy = Carbon Solution

                         Reducing energy use in
                       buildings is the only Life
                       Cycle Cost-positive carbon
                       mitigation solution
                         25% of total carbon
                       solution can come from
                       buildings
                         Key issue today is
Choosing Green
                       finance, not economics
Choosing Green
Energy Performance Reports Needed
Performance Reporting Informs
• “What gets measured, gets
  managed”
• If building energy use is this
  important to our collective
  future, why not know
  what’s going on?
• Without reports, we are
  flying blind/can’t fix
• Why should governments
  put their faith in green
  building without
  performance reports?
New Green Buildings Under-Performing
Energy Savings in LEED Buildings
What’s the Issue?

• Average savings is 35% vs.
  standard (Kats)
• BUT, about 25% actually
  underperform
• One LEED Platinum building:
   – Modeled at 61% savings
   – Performs at 48% savings
• Underperforming buildings
  hurt validity of green building
  premise
Buildings Must Measure Carbon
Total Carbon Emissions Count

                 • Total carbon emissions
                   should be the only energy
                   points in green rating
                   schemes; this means:
                    – 80% reductions with new
                      buildings
                    – 40% in older buildings
                 • Relative improvement (%)
                   needs to be retired
                 • Real performance
                   assessment
                    – Buildings will be de-rated
Europe: Measure Total Carbon Emissions
ZerO-Net-Energy Buildings Feasible
Lessons from Lean Manufacturing

• Lean Themes
  – Boeing 767: $130 million ea.
     • Each plane performs identically
     • Compare with two 350,000-SF
       buildings
  – Reduce energy & water
    use/carbon footprint
  – Eliminate waste
  – Build in resiliency
  – Need to make champagne on a
    beer budget!
     • =>Process changes
  – Key issue: get green cost premium
    down to zero, using integrated
    design process
How Much Energy Should Buildings Use?

                  • European stretch goal: 100-150
                    kWh/sqm/a PRIMARY energy
                    use
                  • U.S. Average: 400 kWh/m2/a
                    (2003)
                     – 50% better than average
                       still not good enough!
                     – 60% to 90% required
                     – 2030 Challenge
Where Do We Need to Get?
Research: World’s Greenest Buildings


•LEED Platinum (or 6-Star
Green Star equivalent)
•Built since 2003
•>50,000 sq.ft. (5,000 sqm)
•Non-residential
•Must provide energy data for
one year
•Water data, as available
2 Victoria Avenue, Perth
           6-Star Green Star – Office As Built


                               •Graywater treatment
                               •Active chilled beams
                               • Floor-by-floor air handling
                               system
                               •Annual operating costs
                               savings: $85,000
                               • 5 Star NABERS

62 kwh/sqm/annum
The Gauge, Melbourne
          6-Star Green Star – Office As Built

                             • Blackwater treatment
                               system recycles 96% of
                               wastewater
                             • Gas-fired cogen plant
                               supplies 25% of energy
                               use
                             • Individual control of
                               thermal comfort at 90%
                               of stations
                             • 5 Star NABERS
193 kwh/sqm/annum
Council House 2, Melbourne
6-Star Green Star – Office As Built & Design

                     •Thermal cooling, night purge,
                     5 “shower towers”
                     •100% fresh air
                     •Solar thermal
                     •PV system @ 3.5-kWh/day
                     •Green roof
                     •Gas cogeneration system
                     •Sewer mining




                190 kwh/sqm/annum
Workplace 6, Sydney
         6-Star Green Star – Office As Built

                                     •Blackwater
                                     treatment +
                                     sewer mining
                                     capacity
                                     • Tri-generation
                                     plant
                                     • Harbor water
                                     heat rejection
                                     •Solar thermal
111 kwh/sqm/annum
One Shelley Street, Sydney
          6-Star Green Star – Office Design


                        •Activity Based Working
                        (ABW) design = 20% less
                        space, 35% less paper
                        •“Diagrid” structure = Flexible
                        interior, 80% daylighting
                        •Harbor water heat rejection
                        •Chilled beams
                        •100% fresh air


116 kwh/sqm/annum
Pixel, Melbourne
            6-Star Green Star – Office Design


                               • Perfect Green Star Score:
                               100 + 5 innovation points
                               • Highest LEED score: 102 of
                               110 available points
                               • BREEAM Outstanding
                               • 3 @1.5-kW wind turbines
                               & 6.5-kW PV
                               • Net-zero water use,
32 kwh/sqm/annum               vacuum toilets
One Bligh, Sydney
    6-Star Green Star - Office As Built

•
              •Blackwater recycling plant for
              cooling tower makeup
              •65,000-liter rainwater tank
              •Double-skin glass façade
              •Tri-generation system: heating,
              cooling, electricity generation
              (vacuum-tube solar collectors)




           106 kwh/sqm/annum
Asia/Pacific Buildings
6-Star Green Star Equivalent
The Future is Green, But…

                If you want to score, run
                to where the ball is
                headed, not to where it is.
                Ask yourself and your
                clients: how green will the
                built environment be in
                2015 to 2020?
                Non-performing green
                companies will pay a
                penalty in that market!
Take-Aways
Green building is important for controlling
CO2 emissions

Many buildings are not performing as
predicted or as needed

Without reporting performance, the entire
exercise will be wasted

Energy use metrics are well known
If It Doesn’t Perform,
  It Can’t Be Green!
      Jerry Yudelson
      Yudelson Associates

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Green Building Performance in Australia

  • 1. If It Doesn’t Perform, It Can’t Be Green! Jerry Yudelson Yudelson Associates
  • 2. Take-Aways Green buildings are important for controlling CO2 emissions Many buildings do not perform as predicted or as needed Without reporting actual performance, the entire exercise will be wasted Energy use metrics are well known
  • 3. 8 Testable Propositions • Green building vital in the global carbon picture • Green building growing rapidly in all sectors • Green building business case is proven • BUT, many green buildings not performing as predicted • Building energy performance reports all vitally needed • Buildings must measure total carbon performance • Zero-net-energy buildings feasible today • Beyond energy, water is the next big issue
  • 4. Green Building Important for Carbon Reduction
  • 5. Green Buildings Make Money Sense
  • 6. Business Case for Green is Proven Financial/economic return Risk mitigation Marketing/public relations Productivity/health gains Recruitment/retention Sustainability concerns ASU Biodesign Institute B LEED
  • 7. Potential Impact of Rapid Greening • 14% reduction in CO2, 2025 vs. 2005 • NPV of green building: $650 billion in U.S. – 5x to 10x cost premium • 2020 Prediction: – Green buildings 95% of new construction – Green retrofits are 75% of all retrofits
  • 9. Green Building Statistics 30,000+ LEED registered projects (Dec. 2011) 130 countries use LEED 12,000+ LEED certified projects (March 2012) 175,000+ LEED Accredited Professionals OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE “In God We Trust; UNIVERSITY All Others Must Bring Data.” -W. Edwards Deming
  • 10. Building Energy = Carbon Solution Reducing energy use in buildings is the only Life Cycle Cost-positive carbon mitigation solution 25% of total carbon solution can come from buildings Key issue today is Choosing Green finance, not economics Choosing Green
  • 12. Performance Reporting Informs • “What gets measured, gets managed” • If building energy use is this important to our collective future, why not know what’s going on? • Without reports, we are flying blind/can’t fix • Why should governments put their faith in green building without performance reports?
  • 13. New Green Buildings Under-Performing
  • 14. Energy Savings in LEED Buildings
  • 15. What’s the Issue? • Average savings is 35% vs. standard (Kats) • BUT, about 25% actually underperform • One LEED Platinum building: – Modeled at 61% savings – Performs at 48% savings • Underperforming buildings hurt validity of green building premise
  • 17. Total Carbon Emissions Count • Total carbon emissions should be the only energy points in green rating schemes; this means: – 80% reductions with new buildings – 40% in older buildings • Relative improvement (%) needs to be retired • Real performance assessment – Buildings will be de-rated
  • 18. Europe: Measure Total Carbon Emissions
  • 20. Lessons from Lean Manufacturing • Lean Themes – Boeing 767: $130 million ea. • Each plane performs identically • Compare with two 350,000-SF buildings – Reduce energy & water use/carbon footprint – Eliminate waste – Build in resiliency – Need to make champagne on a beer budget! • =>Process changes – Key issue: get green cost premium down to zero, using integrated design process
  • 21. How Much Energy Should Buildings Use? • European stretch goal: 100-150 kWh/sqm/a PRIMARY energy use • U.S. Average: 400 kWh/m2/a (2003) – 50% better than average still not good enough! – 60% to 90% required – 2030 Challenge
  • 22. Where Do We Need to Get?
  • 23. Research: World’s Greenest Buildings •LEED Platinum (or 6-Star Green Star equivalent) •Built since 2003 •>50,000 sq.ft. (5,000 sqm) •Non-residential •Must provide energy data for one year •Water data, as available
  • 24. 2 Victoria Avenue, Perth 6-Star Green Star – Office As Built •Graywater treatment •Active chilled beams • Floor-by-floor air handling system •Annual operating costs savings: $85,000 • 5 Star NABERS 62 kwh/sqm/annum
  • 25. The Gauge, Melbourne 6-Star Green Star – Office As Built • Blackwater treatment system recycles 96% of wastewater • Gas-fired cogen plant supplies 25% of energy use • Individual control of thermal comfort at 90% of stations • 5 Star NABERS 193 kwh/sqm/annum
  • 26. Council House 2, Melbourne 6-Star Green Star – Office As Built & Design •Thermal cooling, night purge, 5 “shower towers” •100% fresh air •Solar thermal •PV system @ 3.5-kWh/day •Green roof •Gas cogeneration system •Sewer mining 190 kwh/sqm/annum
  • 27. Workplace 6, Sydney 6-Star Green Star – Office As Built •Blackwater treatment + sewer mining capacity • Tri-generation plant • Harbor water heat rejection •Solar thermal 111 kwh/sqm/annum
  • 28. One Shelley Street, Sydney 6-Star Green Star – Office Design •Activity Based Working (ABW) design = 20% less space, 35% less paper •“Diagrid” structure = Flexible interior, 80% daylighting •Harbor water heat rejection •Chilled beams •100% fresh air 116 kwh/sqm/annum
  • 29. Pixel, Melbourne 6-Star Green Star – Office Design • Perfect Green Star Score: 100 + 5 innovation points • Highest LEED score: 102 of 110 available points • BREEAM Outstanding • 3 @1.5-kW wind turbines & 6.5-kW PV • Net-zero water use, 32 kwh/sqm/annum vacuum toilets
  • 30. One Bligh, Sydney 6-Star Green Star - Office As Built • •Blackwater recycling plant for cooling tower makeup •65,000-liter rainwater tank •Double-skin glass façade •Tri-generation system: heating, cooling, electricity generation (vacuum-tube solar collectors) 106 kwh/sqm/annum
  • 32. The Future is Green, But… If you want to score, run to where the ball is headed, not to where it is. Ask yourself and your clients: how green will the built environment be in 2015 to 2020? Non-performing green companies will pay a penalty in that market!
  • 33. Take-Aways Green building is important for controlling CO2 emissions Many buildings are not performing as predicted or as needed Without reporting performance, the entire exercise will be wasted Energy use metrics are well known
  • 34. If It Doesn’t Perform, It Can’t Be Green! Jerry Yudelson Yudelson Associates

Editor's Notes

  1. TL: Clarify: Growth is still annual 50% rate in 2009