2. “In Focus”
2015-2018 Global Change, New Energy Realities,
Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
1. Where are we?
2. What is going well? What deserves our
attention?
3. What invitation do we see for year 2018 and
beyond, and where we can step-up and better
organize ourselves for impact and scale.
30. DAVOS 2018- “CREATING A SHARED
FUTURE IN A FRACTURED WORLD”
• The global context today has changed dramatically:
geostrategic fractures have re-emerged on multiple fronts with
wide-ranging political, economic and social consequences.
• “Our collective inability to secure inclusive growth and
preserve our scarce resources puts multiple global systems at
risk simultaneously. Our first response must be to develop new
models for cooperation that are not based on narrow interests
but on the destiny of humanity as a whole," said Klaus Schwab,
Founder and Executive Chairman, World Economic Forum.
30
32. 20.01.2018
Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments
• Economic and finance system change
and fundamentals
• A new technological era: 4th Industrial
Revolution.
• Global production systems & the rise
of new (multinational) corporations
• Social Changes (network economies),
and the quest for social wealth &
justice
• Planetary boundaries/ Resource
Scarcities
• Demographic change and migration/
Changing labour markets
Global Change
33. 33
2014
2030-2050
7 Billion
People
9 Billion
People
90 trillion
USD
economy
180-210
trillion USD
225 million
oil eq/day
(15 TW)
500- 750 million
oil eq/day
(55 TW)
400 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget
consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century
??? ppm CO2 and
Climate Change Effects
34. BRIC:
It’s our time. Let us grow our
Economies and take care of
our people
You’ll fix whatever you want to
fix!
The West:
“If you do as I have done
it will be
a mess.”
Let us all change- rapidly
Let’s secure our nation,
people and planet
Emerging:
Will there be enough for
us?
Can i afford it?
Who will deliver it to me?
The poor:
When will we see
electricity and get
mobility?
Opec and GasPec:
You need us!
We can deliver your needs!
What is all that fuzz about
Availability and climate change?
39. The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCities
and more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada
The top 10 cities by population:
1. Tokyo, (34 million)
2. Seoul (24.4 million)
3. Guangzhou (24.2 million)
4. Mexico City (23.4 million)
5. Delhi (23.2 million)
6. Mumbai (22.8 million)
7. New York (22.2 million)
8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million)
9. Manila (19.6 million)
10. Shanghai (19.4 million)
All above fit comfortably into the list
Of Top-50 nations by population
40.
41. ORGANIZING OURSELVES: “ZIPPERED”- IN
DIMENSIONS
Mainstream
• UN Re-organisation (0)
• Governments (1)
• Corporates and Global Compact (2a)
• Government- Business- Science Community (UN SDSN) (2b)
• New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3)
• Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)
1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system
Bottoms-up
• Community, Start-up Community (5)
48. ENERGY IN THE NETHERLANDS
• What to do after Groningen Gas
/ Energy Transition Accord- I ?
• What to to after Pernis?
• Electrification of Homes, Cars,
Transport and Cities
• Greening of intensive energy
Industries-, Agri-, Petro-;
• Regional Energy Markets
• What new export markets can
we create?
64. FOCUS AREAS (ENERGY SECTOR)
(YEAR 2018 AND BEYOND- EXAMPLE ONLY)
Oil& Petrochemicals – Plastics in the
Oceans, Fumes in the Air, and Carbon
in the Atmosphere
Gas, Emissions vs New Power- and
Mobility- Energy Architectures
Energy Architecture Developments,
Economies and UN SDGs
GeoPolitics, Free trade and “Energy to
All” or
“Energy-Economies Free of Concerns”
Change &
Transformation
66. Click to Go To Website
Germany: An example how it works- in real
67. EXAMPLE SHELL: “A DECISIVE STEP TO A
CLEANER ENERGY FUTURE”
Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its
investment in renewable fuels and to cut its
carbon emissions in half by 2050.
• In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden,
Shell’s chief executive, said that from 2018
to 2020, the company’s new-energies
division would spend up to $2 billion a year
on renewable energy sources like wind,
solar and hydrogen power and on electric-
car charging stations.
• Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge
was just a start and that the company
supported the goal of the Paris accord,
which is to keep global temperatures
67
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its
efforts in the transition to a lower-
carbon world. This is how I plan to
drive change through the company.-
8 December 2017
68. CLEANER ENERGY FUTURE”
Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater
focus on revenue streams that will be less
constrained by policies to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions, including
petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has
made a series of moves in recent months to
strengthen its position in the power industry,
with deals to buy Texas electricity group MP2,
electric vehicle charging company
NewMotion, and UK energy retailer First Utility.
“If you fast forward with another twenty,
thirty, forty, fifty years, the power segment is
going to be a very dominant part of the total
energy system,” Mr van Beurden said. “At the
moment it’s only 18 per cent but it will be
more than 50 by the time this century is over.
So we cannot pass up on that opportunity.”
68
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its
efforts in the transition to a lower-
carbon world. This is how I plan to
drive change through the company.-
8 December 2017
73. NEW POSSIBILITY THINKING (3)- LARGEST SOLAR
FARM (FIRST SOLAR)
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
3500 hectares
160,000 homes
1,5 Bn USD
550 MW
8 million panels
74. NEW POSSIBILITY THINKING (4)- LARGEST
OFFSHORE WIND FARM’S
4
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
An offshore area of 100km2
175 wind turbines
Two offshore substations
Nearly 450km of offshore cabling
One onshore substation
630MW of electricity
Enough power for nearly half a million homes
77. NEW POSSIBILITY THINKING (7)- CAR-
MANUFACTURER, CARLOS GHOSN
Electric Vehicles sales are in
direct correlation with the
number and amount of
charging stations installed
in a city, region or nation.
It's a public-private
partnership. It's a matter of
trust. It's a matter of
convenience. But it surely
the way to go into our
Future.
(Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He
is truly committed to the electrification of self-
driving and navigating new car concepts)
79. TONY SEBA- RETHINKX (TAAS) STUDY ON
PERSONAL MOBILITY
79
TaaS= Transport as a Service
80. BUT WITH A POSSIBLE RARE EARTH
METAL (MINING) SCARCITY..
COBALT
80
81. NEW POSSIBILITY THINKING(8)
SMART CITIES
The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally
green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are
designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors,
electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases,
tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”,
2000
Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities:
• C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc.
• Masdar, Abu Dhabi,
• New Songho City, South Korea,
• Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India
• King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia
• e.g. China Tianjin Development
•PM Modi’s 100 smart cities
•King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia
96. From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated
physical system of energy sources, carriers and demand sectors
shaped by government, industry and civil society.
The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the
socio-political, economic, ecological and business
philosophies, leadership and interests exercised on
location.
The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally)
to serve (the rise of, establishment of) thriving sustainable societies-
making energy available, affordable and sustainable to all: balancing
economic interests with that of society and nature. Here and there. Now
and in the future.
96
Energy Architecture
99. LEVELS OF CHANGE
• Level 1
• Level 2
• Level 3
• Level 4
• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy,
Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting).
Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying
• Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations,
smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system
change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital
control structures
• Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-
economic and corporate business models- also in international
trade
• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and
New human consciousness
100. THE WAY IT WORKS: COUNTRY
CATEGORIES AND MARKETS (1)
• OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia
• (Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec
• China Inc., India Inc.
• Developing (without Resources)
• Developing (with Resources)
• Least developed. Poor.
101. The way it works (2) : A New Formula in Business and Trade
102. THE WAY IT WORKS (3): NEW FORMS OF
COLLABORATIONS
Mainstream
• Governments (1)
• Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2)
• New Entrants/ Innovators/ Change-makers (3)
• Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)
1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system
Bottoms-up
• Community, Start-up Community (5)
103. THE WAY IT WORKS (4): FINDING THE RUBIK-
CUBE COMBINATION “ORGANIZATIONAL
FORMS AND FORMATS” - THAT WORKS
103
e.g.
Country Catogories,
Geographies &
Markets
Business Formula-
and
Cross-Sectors
Forms of
Collaboration
105. RESPONSIBLE SECTOR LEADERSHIP
(EXAMPLE ONLY)
category score
Excel, expand and maintain Reserves, Operating Envelopes and Production
Performances
Be a Leaders within the Sector- On Economic Rentability (over time), Sustainability
and Outlook of the whole and the aggregate in the sector
Act as a Steward over the developments in the whole energy value chains
Integrate Sustainable Development in the Business Model of Resource Exploitation
Actively support the transition from fossil fuels consumption in our cars, homes and
service sectors
111. A NEW BUSINESS WORTHINESS PLEDGE
The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals provide
a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to end poverty, combat
climate change and fight injustice and inequality. By
applying innovation, resources and expertise, I will pursue
the business opportunities inherent in building greener,
more equitable and inclusive societies
I am a business leader who knows that business cannot
succeed in societies that fail. I will do my utmost to be
business worthy in all my efforts, and true to my business to
support the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.
I call on my peers to do the same.
112. “Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this
world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability,
affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- Adriaan
Kamp, -2015
Every Country and Every Organization in this World can be
improved upon in order to raise the human, social, economic
and sustainable development to all- Adriaan Kamp- 2015
112
115. “IN LEADERSHIP- WE ARE ALL
STUDENTS FOR LIFE”
ENERGY FOR ONE WORLD- 2012, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
116. SERVANT LEADERSHIP
• Compassionate love
• Authenticity
• Humbleness
• Empowerment
• Provide direction
• Stewardship
Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First
and foremost, truly great managers want to serve the
people they lead. They do this by supporting them
rather than dictating to them, and by assigning top
priority to employee well-being. Deceptively simple
and deeply profound
120. HOFSTEDE: CULTURES AND
ORGANIZATIONS. THE WAY IT WORKS
120
The Way it Works for a System
Rethink
World View
Cultures
Institutions
Our Leadership Ways
123. A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership.
– Energy For One World -
Mail Address:
p/a Adriaan Kamp (Founder),
Dirk Hoogenraadstraat 152A, 2586
TN The Hague, The Netherlands.
Skype: Adriaan.Kamp
Direct line (Netherlands): 0031-
614939194
adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.
com (director)
124. Foundation & Regional Delivery Platforms-
EFOW Organizational Change and Demonstrator Proposals
Global Change
Energy Architecture
- Economy
- Environment
- Society
UN Sustainable
Development &
Paris AgreementOutreach ---- Consultancy--- Delivery Programs