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EFOW Executive Energy Leadership Class - Fall 2020

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Background material pertaining to the more Open and Rich informal conversations- in executive class on Leadership over Change.

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EFOW Executive Energy Leadership Class - Fall 2020

  1. 1. Founding partners Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development, Covid-19 Recoveries - and our Responsible Leadership - - Fall 2020- (draft version) Adriaan Kamp Energy For One World Executive Programme New Energy Realities- 2020
  2. 2. Adriaan Kamp Energy For One World (2012- Present) A consulting practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Leadership. Program Director Executive Energy (transition) & Leadership Education 20 years Industry and Shell International Upstream ( 5 Countries and EPHQ).
  3. 3. Contents of Session 1. Years 2015-2020: Global Change, Energy Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 & Year 2020 Covid-19! 2. Organising ourselves for Success: “A Decade of Action” “Energy Free Of Concerns & Societies Free of Concerns” 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  4. 4. Global Context Period 2015-Now 1. Global Change, Covid-19 and Geo-Politics of Emotions 2. New Energy Realities - Strategic Outlook on Energy (Davos WEF 2019) - IEA World Energy Outlook 2020 - IEA Clean Energy Summit: Towards a Sustainable Recovery/ OpecPlus Meetings - World Energy Council/ G20- Russian Energy Minister Novak - New Technologies, Architectures and Market Models - Energy available, affordable and sustainable: “Free of Concerns” - www.energyandstuff.org 3. Paris Climate Change Agreement and COP24 Katowice 4. UN Sustainable Development 2030 ¶ 5, Our Collective Leadership
  5. 5. Question for the 21st century: Will it all fit? 5
  6. 6. Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute: The Age of Sustainable Development 5/25/2018 Clickable Video Presentation
  7. 7. Clickable Presentation
  8. 8. UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) - Paris Climate Change Agreement
  9. 9. Transbiblica
  10. 10. Pope Francis and his Encyclical(s) Laudato Si! Fratelli Tutti! – on Poverty, People and the Environment: Care for Creation
  11. 11. WWF Living Planet Reports (2019)
  12. 12. IPBES- GLobal Assessment Biodiversity Loss (2019) 12
  13. 13. 13
  14. 14. 14
  15. 15. 15
  16. 16. Sir David Attenborough: A Life on our Planet 16
  17. 17. 10 years 17
  18. 18. Club Of Rome- 50 years: Book Launch: Come on! Short-termism, Population and the Destruction of the Planet Ernst von Weizsacker/ Anders Wijkman Age of Discovery- Navigating the Risk and Rewards of our New Age Renaissance. Ian Goldin- Oxford Martin School 18
  19. 19. G20 Argentina: “Holding it all Together” BRICS2019: “A Call to Modernize UN” 20
  20. 20. 4 Crisis: 1. Corona, 2. Economy/Jobs, 3. Racial Inequalities 4. Climate: “Light over Dark” 21
  21. 21. Covid-19- Johns Hopkins 22
  22. 22. Opec Plus 23 Opec-Plus meeting(s)
  23. 23. Oil Price (“the Prize”) 24
  24. 24. 1. Global Change 2. Climate Change 3. Covid-19 4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action
  25. 25. 26
  26. 26. UNEP Emission Gap Report 2018 This year’s report shows—among other findings—that there is a need for three to five times higher reductions in greenhouse gas emissions than the goals agreed by the world’s countries in the Paris Agreement. The distance has increased between climate commitments and the reduction of greenhouse gases needed if we are to meet the goals in the Paris Agreement. “There’s thus both a large gap between what the world’s countries have promised to do and what is needed, and another gap between the commitments made and what’s actually being done.” – The IEA reports that fossil fuel production and consumption, and thus also carbon emissions, are on the rise, our carbon budget for a 1.5-2 Degrees Celsius scenario already consumed. 27
  27. 27. The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges 28 The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges
  28. 28. 29
  29. 29. Schroders Investment: View on Things 30
  30. 30. COP21- COP24 : Organizing for delivery of the Paris Agreement (2) : “Between Hope and Despair” 31
  31. 31. 32
  32. 32. 33
  33. 33. IEA’s year 2019 analysis of how renewables are growing
  34. 34. 35
  35. 35. UNFCCC report(s) on Climate Risks 36
  36. 36. Climate Reality Updatre 37
  37. 37. Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals IEA WEO2019 (and international Oil & Gas community) 80 : 20 UN FCCC (& Science Community) 20 : 80
  38. 38. Greta Thunberg: “Our House is on Fire & I want you to panic” 39
  39. 39. 1. Global Change 2. Climate Change 3. Covid-19 4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action
  40. 40. Covid-19- Johns Hopkins 41
  41. 41. Covid-19 42
  42. 42. 43
  43. 43. 44
  44. 44. 45
  45. 45. 46
  46. 46. 47
  47. 47. “The way” we are and can be. 48
  48. 48. 1. Global Change 2. Climate Change 3. Covid-19 4. Sustainable Development Goals- Decade of Action
  49. 49. 50
  50. 50. 51
  51. 51. 52
  52. 52. 53 UN SDGs- Global Responsibilities
  53. 53. 55
  54. 54. 56
  55. 55. 57
  56. 56. 58
  57. 57. 70th year of Universal Declaration of Human Rights (1949-2019) 59
  58. 58. Davos 2018- “Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World” •The global context today has changed dramatically: geostrategic fractures have re-emerged on multiple fronts with wide-ranging political, economic and social consequences. •“Our collective inability to secure inclusive growth and preserve our scarce resources puts multiple global systems at risk simultaneously. Our first response must be to develop new models for cooperation that are not based on narrow interests but on the destiny of humanity as a whole," said Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman, World Economic Forum. 60
  59. 59. SG Guterres - 61 Guterres: The world’s problems are “more and more integrated” but the response to them is increasingly “fragmented” and “dysfunctional”, at WEF Davos : “In One Sentence” A new social contract for a new era: : Tackling the Inequality Pandemic
  60. 60. Founding partners 25.05.2018 Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments • Economic and finance system change and fundamentals • A new technological era: 4th Industrial Revolution. • Global production systems & the rise of new (multinational) corporations • Social Changes (networked economies), and the quest for social wealth & justice • Planetary boundaries/ Resource Scarcities/ Loss of Biodiversity and Nature • Demographic change and migration/ Changing labour markets Global Change
  61. 61. 63 2014 2030-2050 7 Billion People 10 Billion People 90 trillion USD economy 180-210 trillion USD 225 million oil eq/day (15 TW) 500- 750 million oil eq/day (55 TW) 405 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century ??? ppm CO2 and Climate Change Effects
  62. 62. E N E R G Y
  63. 63. 2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved
  64. 64. BRIC: It’s our time. Let us grow our Economies and take care of our people You’ll fix whatever you want to fix! The West: “If you do as I have done it will be a mess.” Let us all change- rapidly Let’s secure our nation, people and planet Emerging: Will there be enough for us? Can i afford it? Who will deliver it to me? The poor: When will we see electricity and get mobility? Opec and GasPec: You need us! We can deliver your needs! What is all that fuzz about Availability and climate change?
  65. 65. IEA World Energy Outlook- 2020 67
  66. 66. Russian Energy Minister Novak- on the World Energy Realities we are in 68
  67. 67. 69
  68. 68. 70
  69. 69. 71
  70. 70. 72
  71. 71. 73
  72. 72. Scenarios & Pathways
  73. 73. BP Energy Outlook - 2017
  74. 74. 2017- BP Energy Outlook 76
  75. 75. BP Energy Outlook 2035 5/25/2018
  76. 76. 78
  77. 77. Exxon Mobile Analytical View of the World 79
  78. 78. www.energyandstuff.org 80 Clickable Go to Website
  79. 79. Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
  80. 80. 82
  81. 81. E& P Realities of Cost Curves 83
  82. 82. The Present Big Elephant in the Room: “The Prize of Oil”
  83. 83. The Context We see Ourselves in
  84. 84. 86
  85. 85. 87
  86. 86. Contents of Session 1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Energy- Economies Free of Concerns” 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  87. 87. UN Regional Blocks Countries Cities Communities Companies and Institutes Co-alitions of the Willing
  88. 88. Sustainable Community Building
  89. 89. Our world is under construction: The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCities and more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada The top 10 cities by population: 1. Tokyo, (34 million) 2. Seoul (24.4 million) 3. Guangzhou (24.2 million) 4. Mexico City (23.4 million) 5. Delhi (23.2 million) 6. Mumbai (22.8 million) 7. New York (22.2 million) 8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million) 9. Manila (19.6 million) 10. Shanghai (19.4 million) All above fit comfortably into the list Of Top-50 nations by population
  90. 90. Organizing ourselves: “zippered”- in dimensions Mainstream • UN Re-organisation (0) • Governments (1) • Corporates and Global Compact (2a) • Government- Business- Science Community (UN SDSN) (2b) • New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3) • Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4) 1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system Bottoms-up • Community, Start-up Community (5)
  91. 91. Some Regional Development Examples (as it is today)
  92. 92. 98 Saudi Aramco IPO: the value of good reserves 960 × 540 Wall Street Journal
  93. 93. 100
  94. 94. 101
  95. 95. 102
  96. 96. 103
  97. 97. 104 Russia Priority National Projects - The Yuzhny Satellite Town is one of the most ambitious multi-functional development projects in Russia. Source: START Development
  98. 98. Russian Energy Minister Novak- on the World Energy Realities we are in 105
  99. 99. Click to Go To Website Germany: An example how it works- in real
  100. 100. E-on and VW 108
  101. 101. Siemens Dismantling an Icon Since Kaeser took charge in 2013, there has been a flurry of spinoffs, carveouts and joint ventures at the German giant ● May 2014: Siemens slims its divisions to nine from 16; carves out health care and announces listing of hearing aid business ● September 2014: Siemens sells stake in kitchen and washing machine business to Bosch ● November 2014: Sells hearing-aid unit to EQT for 2.14 billion euros ($2.4 billion) ● June 2016: Announces merger of wind power division to form Siemens Gamesa ● November 2016: Announces Siemens Healthineers will be brought to market ● February 2019: Plan to form rail joint venture with France’s Alstom is blocked by European authorities ● May 2019: Siemens announces plan to carve out power and gas businesses
  102. 102. Germany Coal Commission: Phase-Out 2038 110 BERLIN (Reuters) - 26.1.2019: Germany should shut down all of its coal-fired power plants by 2038 at the latest, a government-appointed commission said on Saturday, proposing at least 40 billion euros ($45.7 billion) in aid to regions affected by the phase-out.
  103. 103. Energy in the Netherlands (1) • Rutte III • What to do after “Groningen Gas (21/12 Bcm) & New Energy Transition (Climate) Accord- II ? • What to do with/after Pernis? • Electrification of Homes, Cars, Transport and Cities • Greening of intensive energy Industries-, Agri-, Petro-; • Regional Energy Markets • What new export markets are there to create?
  104. 104. A wide spectacle of innovation, initiatives and choice 112
  105. 105. 113
  106. 106. Energy in the Netherlands (2) The challenge the Dutch are facing is a triple national budget and investment challenge: • 1. The decrease in (state) income due to the earlier closure of Groningen Gas. The estimated economic value of the lost gas is between 50-125 Billion Euro. • 2. Additional expenses to be able to import Gas (temporarily) and as "bridging fuel" - in the transition and accelerated investments in (eg) Wind Offshore, as an alternative to the loss of Groningen Gas. • 3. Renovation of Dutch energy architecture: Investments in electrification, the built environment and agri-, industry- to "get off gas / gasless" and to meet Paris [1] 114
  107. 107. Energy in the Netherlands (3) 115
  108. 108. 116
  109. 109. Change not without some popular opinions, pressures, pains and votes 117
  110. 110. A New Green (Energy) Plan ?- NW Europe
  111. 111. “Holland”- in and between Germany, UK, France and Scandinavia
  112. 112. 120
  113. 113. EU “New Green Deal”- (1) 121
  114. 114. EU “New Green Deal” (2) 122
  115. 115. EU “New Green Deal”- (3) 123
  116. 116. Some Examples- from our Energy Sector (“as it was yesterday”)
  117. 117. Focus Areas (Energy Sector) (Year 2019 and beyond- example only) Oil& Petrochemicals – Plastics in the Oceans, Fumes in the Air, and Carbon in the Atmosphere Gas, Emissions vs New Power- and Mobility- Energy Architectures Energy Architecture Developments, Economies and UN SDGs GeoPolitics, Free trade and “Energy to All” or “Energy-Economies Free of Concerns” Change & Transformation
  118. 118. Old and New Clickable Presentations Vs 350 Bn USD investment
  119. 119. Statoil: Equinor 127
  120. 120. Example Shell (1) 128
  121. 121. Example Shell (2): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future” Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its investment in renewable fuels and to cut its carbon emissions in half by 2050. • In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden, Shell’s chief executive, said that from 2018 to 2020, the company’s new-energies division would spend up to $2 billion a year on renewable energy sources like wind, solar and hydrogen power and on electric-car charging stations. • Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was just a start and that the company supported the goal of the Paris accord, which is to keep global temperatures 129 It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017
  122. 122. Example Shell (3): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future” Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater focus on revenue streams that will be less constrained by policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has made a series of moves in recent months to strengthen its position in the power industry, with deals to buy Texas electricity group MP2, electric vehicle charging company NewMotion, and UK energy retailer First Utility. “If you fast forward with another twenty, thirty, forty, fifty years, the power segment is going to be a very dominant part of the total energy system,” Mr van Beurden said. “At the moment it’s only 18 per cent but it will be more than 50 by the time this century is over. So we cannot pass up on that opportunity.” 130 It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017
  123. 123. Example Shell (4): 2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year. • The European Cleantech Corporation of the Year award exists to recognize “a major European enterprise whose activities, actions and consistent support over multiple years have significantly contributed to the growth of cleantech innovation, and/or demand for cleaner products and services, and who has made some particularly noteworthy actions over the last 12 months.” • The 2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year was awarded to Shell. The following three reasons are why Shell stood out for this award: • 1. The sense of a new level of commitment and action, with which Shell is gripping the challenges of the huge and disruptive transitions ongoing in the world of energy and transportation, and the urgency with which it has been making strategic moves. • 2. The range of actions it has been taking. A few examples to illustrate include: • a. New Energy Solutions. Capital commitments of on average $1-2bn per annum behind this relatively new initiative (launched in May 2016) represents a significant commitment by Shell to transforming its own business model. • b. Commitments to lower carbon. Shell announced plans in Nov 2017 to cut the net carbon footprint of its energy products by around half by 2050, with an interim step of 20% by 2035 in line with society. • c. Acquisitions. There have been a number, but most striking are MP2 Energy and First Utility, for example, that set out Shell’s clear strategic intent to become a player in the electricity markets of the future. • d. Shell Ventures, Springboard and other initiatives and their work with the global innovation ecosystem and entrepreneurs, shaping the future industrial world. • e. A global player. We have seen deals across the map, geographically and in terms of the different dynamics on energy’s future – from renewables to EV charging, from mobility services to energy access. • f. Working in partnership with peers. Shell is one of the founding members of OGCI (Oil & Gas Climate Initiative), the cross-industry effort to de-carbonise the oil & gas industry. • 3. The actions and transactions levels have noticeably increased over the last 12 months. • a. Shell has been the most active European-based CVC across the energy and industrial innovation themes we cover. Deals have included Axiom Energy, Husk Power, HyET, Innowatts, Steamaco, and Sunseap. • b. Shell has been an active acquirer. Examples over the period include: • i. The significant stake acquired in the US solar developer, Silicon Ranch Corporation (Jan 2018) ii. The entry into the UK retail market via the acquisition of First Utility (Dec 2017) iii. The acquisition of the Dutch venture-backed company, NewMotion, the pan-European network of electric vehicle charging stations (Oct 2017) iv. The acquisition of Texas-based MP2 Energy, a leader in Demand Response Solutions (formally closed in September 2017) 131
  124. 124. 132
  125. 125. On the Power (electricity) system and market 133
  126. 126. Shells van Beurden: “Re-organizing to Fit” 134
  127. 127. 135
  128. 128. BP Looney New Strategy: “Integrated Energy” 136
  129. 129. 137
  130. 130. 138
  131. 131. 139
  132. 132. 140
  133. 133. 141
  134. 134. 142
  135. 135. 143
  136. 136. 144
  137. 137. 145
  138. 138. BP integrated energy: “3 x 3” 146
  139. 139. New Realities- Post Covid-19 (1) 147
  140. 140. 148
  141. 141. New Realities- Post Covid-19 (2) 149
  142. 142. New (institutionalised) possibilities thinking pre-Covid-19: How do we look at these earlier options, now? What is going well? What is “under pressure or just an illusion”? What needs urgently to change- in our approach and tone of voice? What key (sector, market, strategic possibilities) options, choices and (integrated) decisions can we better make, post-Covid-19? What is (urgently) needed in order to succeed in what we are planning and aiming to deliver- in change? What are we planning for to deliver now and in 2030? 150
  143. 143. A little conceptual.. (adding it all together)
  144. 144. 152
  145. 145. From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated physical system of energy sources, carriers and demand sectors shaped by government, industry and civil society. The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio-political, economic, ecological and business philosophies, leadership and interests exercised on location. The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to serve (the rise of, establishment of) thriving sustainable societies- making energy available, affordable and sustainable to all: balancing economic interests with that of society and nature. Here and there. Now and in the future. 153 Energy Architecture
  146. 146. Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships: “X-Factor of Integration, Transition and Transformation” Renewables Energy Efficiency Product Re-designs Energy Architectures Re-designs Fossil 1 2 3 4 5
  147. 147. Princeton Wedges Grow and Safe Energy Change Energy Supply Source Change Energy Architecture Change Products (Cars, Homes) & Industry Designs Change Energy- Economy and Direction of Lifestyles Change Leadership Paradigm 156
  148. 148. 157
  149. 149. Levels of Change •Level 1 •Level 2 •Level 3 •Level 4 • Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying • Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures • Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade • Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
  150. 150. The way it works: Country Categories and Markets (1) •OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia •(Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec •China Inc., India Inc. •Developing (without Resources) •Developing (with Resources) •Least developed. Poor.
  151. 151. The way it works (2) : A New Formula in Business and Trade
  152. 152. Mainstream •Governments (1) •Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2) •New Entrants/ Innovators/ Change-makers (3) •Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4) 1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system Bottoms-up •Community, Start-up Community (5) The way it works (3): New Forms of Collaborations
  153. 153. The way it may work (4): Finding the Rubik-Cube Combination “Organizational Forms and Formats” - that works “Horizontal and Vertical Integration” 162 e.g. Country Categories, Geographies & Markets Business Formula- and Cross-Sectors Forms of Collaboration ● Strengthening human well-being and capabilities; ● Shifting towards sustainable and just economies; ● Building sustainable food systems and healthy nutrition patterns; ● Achieving energy decarbonization and universal access to energy; ● Promoting sustainable urban and peri-urban development; and ● Securing the global environmental commons.
  154. 154. 164 UN Global Compact- 20 years: It needs your HELP!
  155. 155. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs 165
  156. 156. 166
  157. 157. 167
  158. 158. 168
  159. 159. 169
  160. 160. 171
  161. 161. 172
  162. 162. WEC 2022: Energy for Humanity- St Petersburg 173
  163. 163. 197 countries need to change
  164. 164. “Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability, affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- Adriaan Kamp, -2015 Every Country and Every Organization in this World can be improved upon in order to raise the human, social, economic and sustainable development to all- Adriaan Kamp- 2015 175
  165. 165. "The invitation we have today is to see and to blend our deep consciousness and care for Humanity and Ecology with our more mainstream energy economics and politics- at play" Let us direct our work and collective efforts towards attaining “Energy Free of Concerns & Societies Free of Concerns” Here and There. Now and Tomorrow Adriaan Kamp 176
  166. 166. Building New Bridges
  167. 167. Contents of Session 1. Year 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves for success: Energy Free of Concerns 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  168. 168. One World. Many Needs. Many Views
  169. 169. Founding partners “In Leadership- we are all students for life” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  170. 170. Leadership Levels •Managing Yourself •Managing Others •Managing complex change & •Managing communities & multi-stakeholders change
  171. 171. Managing yourself Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  172. 172. Founding partners “Only good can come from good” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  173. 173. How much do you know about (your) self? Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  174. 174. What happy people know Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  175. 175. Bishop Currie 186
  176. 176. The answer to Hate, Greed, Social Injustice is Dignity (Agape) and Peace 187
  177. 177. Founding partners “Manage others as you would like to be managed yourself” (golden rule) Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  178. 178. Managing innovation & change- Internal/ External Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  179. 179. Founding partners “The art of making things Better” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  180. 180. 191
  181. 181. Sources of Innovation • Big- Bets • 1001-Nights, Kaizen/Takumi • From Idea to Business (Gamechangers)
  182. 182. Organizing people 5/25/2018
  183. 183. Napoleon’s Six Winning Principles, and Leading in the Front • EXACTITUDE awareness, research and continuous planning • SPEED reducing resistance, increasing urgency, and providing focus • FLEXIBILITY building teams that are adaptable, empowered and unified • SIMPLICITY clear, simple objectives, messages, and processes • CHARACTER integrity, calmness, and responsibility • MORAL FORCE providing order, purpose, recognition and rewards Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  184. 184. Kelly Johnson’s Skunk Work Rules Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  185. 185. Styles Differs- too. Two trillion dollar club successes 196
  186. 186. Gamechangers
  187. 187. UPSTREAM OFFSHORE PLATFORM OIL SANDS Bitumen DOWNSTREAM Feedstock Synthetic crude oil Fuels, lubricants and speciality products including Bitumen and liquefied petroleum gas UPGRADER PLANT Oil REFINERY Gas LNG LIQUEFICATION PLANT GAS TO LIQUIDS PLANT BIOFUELS PLANT BIOFUELS PLANT WIND TURBINES Energy for industrial and domestic use LNG REGASIFICATION TERMINAL POWER STATION ONSHORE PRODUCTION FACILITY Gas Oil CHEMICAL PLANT Petrochemicals used for plastics, Coatings and detergents Global Oil & Gas businesses
  188. 188. 199
  189. 189. On the Power (electricity) system and market 200
  190. 190. 201 We cannot save the Planet (Climate, Nature), if we cannot save the People (Economy, Social Justice). The People cannot be saved, if the Planet (Nature) is broken, at risk or fails (e.g. pollution, resource scarcities, climate risks). We better first solve (our problems), before we can make true progress and change”
  191. 191. Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved “”Resistance to change falls when the benefits are made clear Resistance to change falls when the Story feels Right (“The Star” is Chosen “Right”) We cannot “run” ourselves into Sustainability. Slow down and walk in more beauty.
  192. 192. Responsible (& Situational) Leadership Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  193. 193. “Sweetspot” 204
  194. 194. 205
  195. 195. 206
  196. 196. Servant Leadership •Compassionate love •Authenticity •Humbleness •Empowerment •Provide direction •Stewardship Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First and foremost, truly great managers want to serve the people they lead. They do this by supporting them rather than dictating to them, and by assigning top priority to employee well-being. Deceptively simple and deeply profound
  197. 197. Pope Francis: Dream Big
  198. 198. Can We Listen before Change?
  199. 199. Ernest Gundling: Understanding Cultures and Relationships. The way it works Energy For One World- 2017, All Rights Reserved
  200. 200. Hofstede: Cultures and Organizations. The way it works 211 The Way it Works for a System Rethink World View Cultures Institutions Our Leadership Ways
  201. 201. How the World Thinks 212
  202. 202. Core Values Cultural Dimensions Global People Skills CONSCIOUS UNCONSCIOUS
  203. 203. 214 1. Sustainable Development- a new kind of Globalization (2016) 2. Sustainable Humanity (2012) 3. We can no longer manage decency (2018) 4. Aga Khan University Special Lecture Series: Can we find a shared global ethics for the 21st century? (2020) “Leading Global Decency”
  204. 204. A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership. Energy For One World Adriaan Kamp (Founder) Skype: Adriaan.Kamp TelCall Direct line (Netherlands): 0031-614939194 E-Mail: adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.com www.EnergyForOneWorld.com
  205. 205. APPENDIX (“How it was yesterday”) 217
  206. 206. New Possibility Thinking (1)- Mission Innovation
  207. 207. New Possibility Thinking (2)- Large, Larger, Largest Solar Farms (Example First Solar) 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr 3500 hectares 160,000 homes 1,5 Bn USD 550 MW 8 million panels
  208. 208. New Possibility Thinking (3)- Large, Larger, Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s (Examples only) 4 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr An offshore area of 100km2 175 wind turbines Two offshore substations Nearly 450km of offshore cabling One onshore substation 630MW of electricity Enough power for nearly half a million homes
  209. 209. New Possibility Thinking (4)- Solar City, Tesla Battery and E-drive: A New Value Proposition
  210. 210. New Possibility Thinking (5)- Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn Electric Vehicles sales are in direct correlation with the number and amount of charging stations installed in a city, region or nation. It's a public-private partnership. It's a matter of trust. It's a matter of convenience. But it surely the way to go into our Future. (Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He is truly committed to the electrification of self-driving and navigating new car concepts)
  211. 211. Uber Google
  212. 212. Uber
  213. 213. New Possibility Thinking (6)- Tony Seba- RethinkX (TaaS) study on personal mobility 225 TaaS= Transport as a Service
  214. 214. ..But with a possible rare earth metal (mining) scarcity.. Cobalt 226
  215. 215. New Possibility Thinking(7)Smart Cities The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors, electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases, tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”, 2000 Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities: • C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc. • Masdar, Abu Dhabi, • New Songho City, South Korea, • Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India • King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia • e.g. China Tianjin Development •PM Modi’s 100 smart cities •King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia
  216. 216. New Possibility Thinking (8) Better Housing Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more 5/25/2018
  217. 217. New Possibility Thinking (9): RE-100 Group
  218. 218. New Possibility Thinking (10): Energy Project Finance
  219. 219. New Possibility Thinking (11) Finance, Banks and Insurers
  220. 220. We are here- so mind the gap !
  221. 221. IRENA’s 2017 Annual Renewable Capacity Statistics 233 2008 1 TW 2016 2 TW
  222. 222. 234
  223. 223. Over Present Oil & Gas Company Jobs (8 mio)
  224. 224. Clean-Tech/ Renewables Oil & Gas

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