1. Paul
Swaim
Sr. Economist Employment Analysis
Support labour demand Speaker and Policy Division
Provide the people without jobs >1 year OECD
Need social protection Labour markets in the wake of the
Government support "Great Recession".
Keep jobs Important Topic
employers
Relocate job
Buy-in unions to not to protected the system
Denis
Total employment was changing Pennel
Public employment services Masterclass Moderator
Retraining programs
Alexis van Dam
Improve skills unemployed Type of retooling/
Mindmapper World of Minds
Training program can't cope with reskilling
large stream of attendees
Important
No clear answers Q: What is the impact analysis on the
Question
measures taken by government
Mindmap Summary of the masterclass
Retraining contains
Legend Questions asked by attendees
Re-employment
Clockwise
Reinforce labour demand Read mindmap
From top to bottom
Resize jobs due to shorten work time
Be ready to manage
Job counseling
What did
a big recession
Unemployment benefits International Confederation of Private
governments do Employment Agencies,
Saving jobs Short time work
Sometimes it didn't program Staffing industry
help that much 46 countries
USA didn't invest Amount of budget spend to 10 million agency workers
much in system re-employ people varies
Working together with OECD
Employment more volatile Start Impact of crisis
More temporary jobs Look forward
Aim
Growth on temorary workers till 2007 high Flexibility in market
Since 2009 its recovery Effects
Integovernment organisation
Sack people
Solution Economisc issues by governments
Or cut down on hours
EU USA, Asia, Australia
Well adapted to flexibilty
Social dialogue
Labour markets
Ideal mechanism
New technologies
They need to keep up Social protection
system Flexibility
Degree flexibilty vs social protection/ Crisis What's happening
support systems
Generous social protection system New forecast
OECD outlook Dramatic change
Crisis in 2008 the worst since 1930's
Banking crisis Is the worst kind
Forecast was less optimistic then the reality Master class 4: Labour In 2008 the situation
Spain: 21% markets in the wake of Steep falll in trade
Peaks in looked bad
Estonia: 20% unemployment the "Great Recession"
Ireland: 15%
Economic crisis wasn't so deep
Turkey: 10%
Overall Taken into account large fall of GDP
Slovakia: 9% Pre crisis Resilient
Spain: 8% Top3 Flexibility
High enemployment
Labour markets
Spain: 20% (same) Take a long time to bounce back
Ireland: 15 (same) Latest Unemployment 1990 - 1995 increase from 3% to 18%
Is bouncing back rate 1995 - 2008 slow decrease to 6%
Estonia: 14% (-6%)
2008 increase to 9%
Small effect Netherlands High
Labour
Unemployment levels varies amongst EU countries unemployment
markets Social benefit system: genereous
due to
A drop op 4% GDP is a bad recession Social protection system
Consequentions Example Flexibility
Amount of hours worked dropped Currently
drop in GDP Finland Unemployment services
Output per worker dropped
Employers went to great effort to keep workers
GDP Bad recession Bad for employment
Cutting jobs
Lessons Recovery of employment level takes
Sharing work
Solutions Public Policy longer then the decline
Employers & Unions
worked together
Less experience
What happend Changed their system
Youth
duringrecession See graph European Became more resilient
Save more money countries Different from USA
Stock market
Crisis was a good stress test
Lay off during crisis at 57 now 60
Greying off working Older
Issue for governments
population
Retirement is expensive
Who lost jobs?
Public pension system
Layed off Low skilled
Due to colapse in industry
Men where hit harder
then women
Men are more likely to work in industry
Costly
People >1year unemployed
Issolation Germany
No high increase/ decrease
Crisis
Immigrants High increase due to
Lots of contruction
Spain
Unemployment >12 months is 8%
Unemployment
Increase productivity
rate
Smaller group that works harder
High increase due to crisis
Unemployment >12 months is 3% Usa When business conditions go bad
Services based economy USA productivity Analyse the effect on flex work
Variations in productivity Temporarily export
Q: is there a flex market went bad
worker security Germany Kept skilled workforce
index?
Look at productive workers
Questions Situation
Each country Based
needs specific upon Type of workforce
measures
Work
2011-05-19 Ciett2011 World Employment Conference | LiveMindMapping by World of Minds, more info see: www.connectionofminds.com/ontmoet