The Boulder Group’s Research Department has released a new research report providing comprehensive numbers and analysis of the 3rd quarter activity in the National Net Lease Market.
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2016 q3 net lease research report | The Boulder Group
1. www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
MARKET REPORT
Q3 2016
Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Basis Point
Sector (Previous) (Current) Change
Retail 6.18% 6.10% -8
Office 7.25% 7.08% -17
Industrial 7.26% 7.14% -12
NUMBER OF PROPERTIES
ON THE MARKET
Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Percentage
Sector (Previous) (Current) Change
Retail 3,310 3,353 +1.3%
Office 395 408 +3.3%
Industrial 346 380 +9.8%
MEDIAN NATIONAL ASKING VS
CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD
MARKET OVERVIEW
Cap rates in the third quarter of 2016 for the single tenant net lease
retail sector reached a new historic low rate of 6.10%. During the
same period, cap rates for the office and industrial sectors decreased
to 7.08% and 7.14% respectively. The overall net lease market
remains active with 1031 and private investors due to the passive
nature of the leases and attractiveness of relative investment returns
when compared to other asset classes.
The uncertainty of traditional investment asset classes coupled with
the stable yields generated by the single tenant sector has created
an abundance of investor demand for this sector. Despite a slight
rise in the supply of net lease properties, there is a lack of new
construction properties with long term leases. Accordingly, during the
third quarter cap rates for recently constructed properties tenanted
by McDonalds, DaVita and Advance Auto Parts compressed by 30,
25 and 15 basis points, respectively. This accounted for the greatest
retail tenant compression as noted in the cap rates by year built chart.
While newly constructed assets for certain tenants remain in high
demand and limited supply, the dollar store tenants continue to
expand and add an abundant supply of new construction to the
market. The dollar store sector remains to be one of the sectors with
increasing cap rates despite the current low cap rate environment
due to their large supply on the market. However, these assets
remain in demand with investors who have 1031 exchanges with
small equity requirements due to their low price points and long term
leases with creditworthy tenants.
The net lease market should remain active throughout the remainder
of the year, with the expectation that cap rates should hold steady
for the near term. The market will remain favorable to sellers as
investors continue to seek this asset class due to the passive nature
of the leases and institutional and fund investors attempt to reach
fund allocations by years end.
NATIONAL ASKING CAP RATES
Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Basis Point
Sector (Previous) (Current) Change
Retail 26 26 0
Office 30 39 +9
Industrial 28 35 +7
2. www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
MARKET REPORT
Q3 2016
SELECTED SINGLE TENANT SALES COMPARABLES
Sale
Date Sector Tenant City State Price
Price
Per SF
Cap
Rate
Lease Term
Remaining
Aug-16 Industrial Home Depot Tolleson AZ $48,000,000 $103 5.25% 14
Aug-16 Industrial Golden State Foods Brookfield IL $39,500,000 $267 6.60% 16
Sep-16 Industrial Famous Footwear Lebanon TN $32,800,000 $60 6.71% 15
Sep-16 Office Citrix Systems Fort Lauderdale FL $23,900,000 $200 8.30% 10
Sep-16 Retail BJ's Wholesale Club Maple Shade NJ $15,600,000 $142 7.13% 5
Aug-16 Office US Bank Milwaukee WI $14,000,000 $126 6.13% 10
Jul-16 Retail CVS Miami FL $12,500,000 $1,383 4.82% 25
Jul-16 Retail LA Fitness Glendale AZ $12,500,000 $271 6.21% 14
Jul-16 Retail Walmart Neighborhood Market Richmond VA $12,091,000 $294 5.40% 15
Jul-16 Retail Academy Sports Diberville MS $11,395,000 $181 6.39% 15
Aug-16 Retail Fresh Thyme Farmers Market Worthington OH $10,670,000 $377 6.91% 14
Aug-16 Retail CVS Phoenix AZ $10,466,000 $844 5.65% 19
Sep-16 Retail Wawa (GL) Marlton NJ $7,020,000 -- 4.46% 19
Aug-16 Retail Walgreens Raleigh NC $6,894,000 $505 5.40% 20
Aug-16 Retail Walgreens Ruston LA $6,500,000 $446 6.13% 16
Aug-16 Retail Natural Grocers Aurora CA $6,479,000 $429 6.20% 15
Jul-16 Retail Walgreens Columbia SC $5,772,160 $381 7.40% 6
NET LEASE CAP RATE TRENDS
Retail Office Industrial
6.15%
6.65%
7.15%
7.65%
8.15%
8.65%
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