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Tendencias del Turismo Individual 2011
Agenda


• Economic Indicators

• Current Trends

• Forecast

• Issues
Current Trends
Forecast
Carlson Wagonlit Travel North America has released to its clients forecasted 2011 pricing and
rate information for air travel, hotel stays, use of ground transportation, and meeting and event
spending in North America. CWT anticipates a number of suppliers will successfully implement
price increases next year, indicating overall increases in business travel demand as economic
conditions in North America continue to improve.
Air pricing. CWT forecasts domestic economy airline pricing will increase 3-5%, while domestic
first and business class pricing will decrease 2-7%. Meanwhile, international economy and
business classes are each expected to increase 3-5%, while international first class should
increase by 4-6%. Factors impacting overall air pricing in 2011 include higher demand for travel,
increases in crude oil prices, capacity reductions of 2% domestically and 1% internationally
compared to 2010, and limited availability of highly discounted fares.

Hotel pricing. CWT forecasts average daily hotel rate increases of 6.4–7.4% in the United States
and 4.7-5.4% in Canada for 2011. In the United States, CWT expects the Northeast region to
experience substantially higher hotel rate increases than the national average, ranging from 12-
12.5%. The highest Canadian increases will occur in the provinces of Manitoba and
Saskatchewan, at 6.7-10.1%, also well above the anticipated national average.

Meetings & Events spending. CWT forecasts corporate spending on meetings and events will
range from 1.9-2.3% of an organization's top-line revenues. Spending per attendee, per day will
increase 7-11% based on returning demand combined with the limited number of suppliers of
meeting services like hotels, food and beverage, etc
4 in 10 Working Americans Say Their Job Security is Improved from a Year Ago

One in 10 working Americans believes that the economy has turned the corner in the last year, a
figure that has doubled from last year’s 4 percent.

The majority (55%) says that the economy has stabilized but is yet to move in a truly positive
direction.

And another group is feeling more negative, with 32 percent still believing the worst is yet to
come, although this group is slightly smaller than last year’s 36 percent.

Long-term job security in question, especially by males

Nearly one in 10 workers (9%) listed fear of losing their job as their No. 1 long-term concern.
That’s three times as many workers as the original 2007 survey (3%).

Males, in particular, are concerned about their ability to keep their job in the future, a figure
that jumped from 4 to 11 percent over the past four years. Similarly, “families and how they will
be cared for” was selected as a No. 1 long-term concern by 24 percent of males in this year’s
study, a jump of eight points in four years.

Despite a growing concern about long-term job security, the overwhelming future concern for
most working Americans is funding large expenses such as retirement or children’s college
education, cited No. 1 by 38 percent of 2010 survey respondents.
Issues
Cancun Airport 2011 - 2009
        DIRECT FLIGHTS – AVAILABLE SCHEDULE AIR SEATS FROM - USA (OAG DATA)

                                            Jan - May
360,000.00                                                                                            10.00%


310,000.00
                                                                                                      5.00%

260,000.00

                                                                                                      0.00%
210,000.00


160,000.00
                                                                                                      -5.00%

110,000.00

                                                                                                      -10.00%
 60,000.00


 10,000.00                                                                                            -15.00%
                Jan                   Feb          Mar                 Apr          May

             AVAIL. SEATS 2011                AVAIL. SEATS 2010              AVAIL. SEATS 2009


             YOY DIF % 2011 vs 2010           YOY DIF % 2011 vs 2009         YOY DIF % 2010 vs 2009
CANCUN
RIVIERA MAYA
AIRLINE MERGERS – DL & NW, CO & UA, F9 & YX

MEXICANA

LESS PLANES IN THE SKY

TECK MERGERS - GOOGLE & ITA

CRUISES

FAA DOWNGRADE

OPEN SKIES

DRUG VIOLENCE

ESCALATING CRIME

POLITICAL UNREST
SOURCES
0AG AVIATION http://www.oagaviation.com

US DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE http://tinet.ita.doc.gov/

FORRESTER http://www.forrester.com

PHOCUSWRIGHT http://www.phocuswright.com/

EMARKETER http://www.emarketer.com/

KAYAK http://www.kayak.com/trends

GOOGLE http://google.com/trends
Questions ???
Tendencias del Turismo Individual 2011-Antonio Pitta-Orbitz

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Tendencias del Turismo Individual 2011-Antonio Pitta-Orbitz

  • 1. Tendencias del Turismo Individual 2011
  • 2. Agenda • Economic Indicators • Current Trends • Forecast • Issues
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
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  • 8.
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  • 32.
  • 34.
  • 35. Carlson Wagonlit Travel North America has released to its clients forecasted 2011 pricing and rate information for air travel, hotel stays, use of ground transportation, and meeting and event spending in North America. CWT anticipates a number of suppliers will successfully implement price increases next year, indicating overall increases in business travel demand as economic conditions in North America continue to improve. Air pricing. CWT forecasts domestic economy airline pricing will increase 3-5%, while domestic first and business class pricing will decrease 2-7%. Meanwhile, international economy and business classes are each expected to increase 3-5%, while international first class should increase by 4-6%. Factors impacting overall air pricing in 2011 include higher demand for travel, increases in crude oil prices, capacity reductions of 2% domestically and 1% internationally compared to 2010, and limited availability of highly discounted fares. Hotel pricing. CWT forecasts average daily hotel rate increases of 6.4–7.4% in the United States and 4.7-5.4% in Canada for 2011. In the United States, CWT expects the Northeast region to experience substantially higher hotel rate increases than the national average, ranging from 12- 12.5%. The highest Canadian increases will occur in the provinces of Manitoba and Saskatchewan, at 6.7-10.1%, also well above the anticipated national average. Meetings & Events spending. CWT forecasts corporate spending on meetings and events will range from 1.9-2.3% of an organization's top-line revenues. Spending per attendee, per day will increase 7-11% based on returning demand combined with the limited number of suppliers of meeting services like hotels, food and beverage, etc
  • 36. 4 in 10 Working Americans Say Their Job Security is Improved from a Year Ago One in 10 working Americans believes that the economy has turned the corner in the last year, a figure that has doubled from last year’s 4 percent. The majority (55%) says that the economy has stabilized but is yet to move in a truly positive direction. And another group is feeling more negative, with 32 percent still believing the worst is yet to come, although this group is slightly smaller than last year’s 36 percent. Long-term job security in question, especially by males Nearly one in 10 workers (9%) listed fear of losing their job as their No. 1 long-term concern. That’s three times as many workers as the original 2007 survey (3%). Males, in particular, are concerned about their ability to keep their job in the future, a figure that jumped from 4 to 11 percent over the past four years. Similarly, “families and how they will be cared for” was selected as a No. 1 long-term concern by 24 percent of males in this year’s study, a jump of eight points in four years. Despite a growing concern about long-term job security, the overwhelming future concern for most working Americans is funding large expenses such as retirement or children’s college education, cited No. 1 by 38 percent of 2010 survey respondents.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 41. Cancun Airport 2011 - 2009 DIRECT FLIGHTS – AVAILABLE SCHEDULE AIR SEATS FROM - USA (OAG DATA) Jan - May 360,000.00 10.00% 310,000.00 5.00% 260,000.00 0.00% 210,000.00 160,000.00 -5.00% 110,000.00 -10.00% 60,000.00 10,000.00 -15.00% Jan Feb Mar Apr May AVAIL. SEATS 2011 AVAIL. SEATS 2010 AVAIL. SEATS 2009 YOY DIF % 2011 vs 2010 YOY DIF % 2011 vs 2009 YOY DIF % 2010 vs 2009
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. AIRLINE MERGERS – DL & NW, CO & UA, F9 & YX MEXICANA LESS PLANES IN THE SKY TECK MERGERS - GOOGLE & ITA CRUISES FAA DOWNGRADE OPEN SKIES DRUG VIOLENCE ESCALATING CRIME POLITICAL UNREST
  • 49. SOURCES 0AG AVIATION http://www.oagaviation.com US DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE http://tinet.ita.doc.gov/ FORRESTER http://www.forrester.com PHOCUSWRIGHT http://www.phocuswright.com/ EMARKETER http://www.emarketer.com/ KAYAK http://www.kayak.com/trends GOOGLE http://google.com/trends