COVID-19 Update (US States): July 31, 2020

1. US States
US States: 1

2. Alabama
123,971
2,821
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alabama projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 85,762 (1,980) -- Deaths: 1,565 (27) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -1.1% Cases, +0.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 2

3. Alaska
6,944
35
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alaska projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,879 (81) -- Deaths: 23 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: +2.5% Cases, +9.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 3

4. Arizona
270,238
8,821
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arizona projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 170,798 (2,525) -- Deaths: 3,626 (172) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -1.7% Cases, +0.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 4

5. Arkansas
69,674
755
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arkansas projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 41,759 (791) -- Deaths: 442 (8) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: +1.0% Cases, +3.4% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 5

6. California
743,066
13,558
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
California projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 492,934 (8,021) -- Deaths: 9,026 (118) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: +1.1% Cases, +2.6% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 6

7. Colorado
63,125
1,994
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Colorado projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 46,186 (408) -- Deaths: 1,822 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.9% -- Daily Change: +0.6% Cases, +2.8% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 7

8. Connecticut
52,255
4,564
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Connecticut projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 49,670 (130) -- Deaths: 4,431 (6) -- Case Mortality: 8.9% -- Daily Change: +9.3% Cases, -3.6% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 8

9. Delaware
17,821
733
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Delaware projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 14,689 (87) -- Deaths: 581 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, +4.4% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 9

10. District of Columbia
13,953
616
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
District of Columbia projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 12,057 (58) -- Deaths: 584 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.8% -- Daily Change: +0.1% Cases, -10.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 10

11. Florida
881,475
13,634
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Florida projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 461,379 (9,956) -- Deaths: 6,586 (253) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -1.2% Cases, +3.6% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 11

12. Georgia
302,233
5,180
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Georgia projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 182,286 (3,963) -- Deaths: 3,671 (29) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: +0.3% Cases, +3.1% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 12

13. Hawaii
3,226
47
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Hawaii projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,989 (124) -- Deaths: 26 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: +12.4% Cases, -11.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 13

14. Idaho
29,374
421
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Idaho projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 20,242 (568) -- Deaths: 177 (4) -- Case Mortality: 0.9% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, +6.2% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 14

15. Illinois
214,247
8,196
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Illinois projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 178,135 (1,772) -- Deaths: 7,670 (16) -- Case Mortality: 4.3% -- Daily Change: +1.9% Cases, +1.1% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 15

16. Indiana
90,480
3,304
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Indiana projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 65,253 (954) -- Deaths: 2,946 (14) -- Case Mortality: 4.5% -- Daily Change: +0.5% Cases, +0.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 16

17. Iowa
60,940
1,083
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iowa projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 44,285 (662) -- Deaths: 865 (11) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: +0.2% Cases, +1.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 17

18. Kansas
43,351
462
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kansas projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 26,885 (294) -- Deaths: 357 (8) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: -0.8% Cases, +7.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 18

19. Kentucky
49,972
947
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kentucky projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 29,386 (659) -- Deaths: 731 (7) -- Case Mortality: 2.5% -- Daily Change: +1.2% Cases, +2.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 19

20. Louisiana
187,716
4,905
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Louisiana projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 114,481 (1,708) -- Deaths: 3,925 (42) -- Case Mortality: 3.4% -- Daily Change: -2.2% Cases, +4.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 20

21. Maine
4,424
138
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maine projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,888 (22) -- Deaths: 122 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: -0.4% Cases, +1.4% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 21

22. Maryland
110,547
3,790
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maryland projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 87,177 (892) -- Deaths: 3,488 (10) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: +1.5% Cases, +2.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 22

23. Massachusetts
124,183
9,072
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Massachusetts projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 116,684 (0) -- Deaths: 8,580 (0) -- Case Mortality: 7.4% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, -0.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 23

24. Michigan
110,283
6,659
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Michigan projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 89,781 (807) -- Deaths: 6,443 (21) -- Case Mortality: 7.2% -- Daily Change: +1.1% Cases, +0.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 24

25. Minnesota
74,966
1,813
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Minnesota projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 53,692 (745) -- Deaths: 1,634 (5) -- Case Mortality: 3.0% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, -1.2% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 25

26. Mississippi
99,249
2,431
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Mississippi projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 57,579 (1,775) -- Deaths: 1,611 (48) -- Case Mortality: 2.8% -- Daily Change: +3.1% Cases, +4.3% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 26

27. Missouri
96,619
1,568
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Missouri projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 49,139 (2,197) -- Deaths: 1,255 (16) -- Case Mortality: 2.6% -- Daily Change: +6.8% Cases, +5.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 27

28. Montana
6,549
152
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Montana projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,814 (138) -- Deaths: 55 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: +2.7% Cases, +5.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 28

29. Nebraska
33,327
413
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nebraska projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 25,766 (344) -- Deaths: 328 (4) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: +2.9% Cases, -3.3% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 29

30. Nevada
70,963
1,311
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nevada projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 46,824 (1,018) -- Deaths: 801 (21) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -1.5% Cases, +3.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 30

31. New Hampshire
7,283
457
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Hampshire projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,544 (31) -- Deaths: 415 (4) -- Case Mortality: 6.3% -- Daily Change: +1.9% Cases, +2.6% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 31

32. New Jersey
188,071
16,414
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Jersey projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
0
100
200
300
400
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 180,970 (370) -- Deaths: 15,825 (0) -- Case Mortality: 8.7% -- Daily Change: +5.8% Cases, -5.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 32

33. New Mexico
31,040
833
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Mexico projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
500
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 20,388 (252) -- Deaths: 635 (3) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: +1.0% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 33

34. New York
432,454
33,283
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New York projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 414,370 (777) -- Deaths: 32,683 (25) -- Case Mortality: 7.9% -- Daily Change: -0.3% Cases, -1.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 34

35. North Carolina
190,536
2,866
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Carolina projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 120,532 (2,145) -- Deaths: 1,922 (34) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -0.1% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 35

36. North Dakota
10,468
140
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Dakota projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,301 (74) -- Deaths: 103 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -0.1% Cases, -0.3% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 36

37. Ohio
138,692
4,207
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Ohio projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 89,626 (1,733) -- Deaths: 3,442 (20) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: +0.8% Cases, +2.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 37

38. Oklahoma
70,297
771
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oklahoma projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 35,740 (1,117) -- Deaths: 536 (13) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +4.3% Cases, +5.4% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 38

39. Oregon
30,468
504
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oregon projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 18,131 (410) -- Deaths: 316 (5) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: +0.5% Cases, +5.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 39

40. Pennsylvania
141,523
7,729
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Pennsylvania projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 115,807 (868) -- Deaths: 7,194 (23) -- Case Mortality: 6.2% -- Daily Change: +1.1% Cases, -0.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 40

41. Rhode Island
20,783
1,064
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Rhode Island projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 18,950 (150) -- Deaths: 1,007 (0) -- Case Mortality: 5.3% -- Daily Change: +8.4% Cases, -3.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 41

42. South Carolina
114,072
4,462
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Carolina projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
40
80
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 87,572 (1,726) -- Deaths: 1,667 (52) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -1.2% Cases, +3.2% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 42

43. South Dakota
10,526
170
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Dakota projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 8,685 (44) -- Deaths: 129 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +2.3% Cases, +0.4% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 43

44. Tennessee
186,087
1,886
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Tennessee projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 102,871 (2,049) -- Deaths: 1,033 (13) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: -0.2% Cases, +0.8% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 44

45. Texas
564,793
20,390
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Texas projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 428,229 (9,234) -- Deaths: 6,442 (140) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -1.3% Cases, +7.2% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 45

46. Utah
62,305
531
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Utah projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 39,696 (502) -- Deaths: 300 (8) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: -3.1% Cases, +2.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 46

47. Vermont
1,617
57
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Vermont projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
10
20
30
40
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,407 (1) -- Deaths: 57 (1) -- Case Mortality: 4.1% -- Daily Change: -8.2% Cases, +30.8% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 47

48. Virginia
121,996
2,427
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Virginia projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
80
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 88,904 (911) -- Deaths: 2,141 (16) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: +0.5% Cases, +3.7% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 48

49. Washington
87,825
1,775
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Washington projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 55,803 (818) -- Deaths: 1,564 (9) -- Case Mortality: 2.8% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, +9.9% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 49

50. West Virginia
10,821
135
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
West Virginia projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
5.0
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,375 (98) -- Deaths: 112 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: +1.6% Cases, +11.4% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 50

51. Wisconsin
83,158
1,114
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wisconsin projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
1,200
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 52,108 (1,059) -- Deaths: 919 (8) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: +0.2% Cases, +3.0% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 51

52. Wyoming
4,416
39
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wyoming projection as of 2020-07-31
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,686 (58) -- Deaths: 26 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: +2.2% Cases, -10.5% Deaths
2020-07-31 US States: 52