This document contains data on COVID-19 cases and deaths for 21 US states as of 2020-08-12. For each state it provides the total cases, total deaths, daily new cases, daily new deaths, and case mortality rate. It also includes graphs showing actual and predicted case and death rates over time with annotations for public holidays.

1. US States
US States: 1

2. Alabama
126,350
2,431
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alabama projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 103,851 (831) -- Deaths: 1,847 (50) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -2.2% Cases, +2.0% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 2

3. Alaska
6,103
39
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alaska projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,819 (45) -- Deaths: 26 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: -4.9% Cases, -9.2% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 3

4. Arizona
232,170
6,113
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arizona projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 188,737 (1,214) -- Deaths: 4,199 (45) -- Case Mortality: 2.2% -- Daily Change: -7.9% Cases, -3.7% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 4

5. Arkansas
68,353
854
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arkansas projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 50,411 (383) -- Deaths: 566 (11) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: -2.1% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 5

6. California
751,586
14,128
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
California projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 578,946 (4,715) -- Deaths: 10,523 (47) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -0.5% Cases, -1.4% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 6

7. Colorado
61,255
1,977
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Colorado projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 51,422 (402) -- Deaths: 1,874 (12) -- Case Mortality: 3.6% -- Daily Change: -2.2% Cases, -5.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 7

8. Connecticut
52,849
4,487
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Connecticut projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 50,684 (117) -- Deaths: 4,444 (0) -- Case Mortality: 8.8% -- Daily Change: -4.0% Cases, -8.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 8

9. Delaware
17,504
643
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Delaware projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 15,699 (65) -- Deaths: 591 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: -2.8% Cases, -5.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 9

10. District of Columbia
14,088
604
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
District of Columbia projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 12,896 (89) -- Deaths: 593 (2) -- Case Mortality: 4.6% -- Daily Change: +1.1% Cases, +5.0% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 10

11. Florida
602,767
13,994
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Florida projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 542,792 (5,831) -- Deaths: 8,553 (276) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -4.2% Cases, -0.4% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 11

12. Georgia
301,472
5,598
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Georgia projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 222,588 (3,563) -- Deaths: 4,351 (122) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, +2.4% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 12

13. Hawaii
8,008
41
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Hawaii projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,756 (118) -- Deaths: 34 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.9% -- Daily Change: +4.2% Cases, +16.6% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 13

14. Idaho
34,104
493
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Idaho projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 25,598 (494) -- Deaths: 246 (7) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: -0.2% Cases, -2.4% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 14

15. Illinois
228,358
8,225
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Illinois projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 198,248 (1,549) -- Deaths: 7,866 (20) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: +0.3% Cases, -0.4% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 15

16. Indiana
92,934
3,277
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Indiana projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 75,862 (870) -- Deaths: 3,069 (25) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 16

17. Iowa
59,063
1,100
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iowa projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 49,521 (356) -- Deaths: 946 (12) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -2.1% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 17

18. Kansas
40,019
483
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kansas projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 31,468 (285) -- Deaths: 393 (7) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: -0.8% Cases, -2.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 18

19. Kentucky
49,128
906
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kentucky projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 35,793 (539) -- Deaths: 783 (8) -- Case Mortality: 2.2% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, -1.6% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 19

20. Louisiana
171,320
5,122
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Louisiana projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 133,125 (1,164) -- Deaths: 4,313 (26) -- Case Mortality: 3.2% -- Daily Change: -2.9% Cases, +0.2% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 20

21. Maine
4,392
135
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maine projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 4,052 (1) -- Deaths: 126 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: -8.0% Cases, -5.5% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 21

22. Maryland
113,899
3,818
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maryland projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 96,843 (585) -- Deaths: 3,604 (13) -- Case Mortality: 3.7% -- Daily Change: -2.3% Cases, -0.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 22

23. Massachusetts
128,302
9,063
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Massachusetts projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 121,707 (392) -- Deaths: 8,751 (10) -- Case Mortality: 7.2% -- Daily Change: -1.3% Cases, -1.7% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 23

24. Michigan
112,048
6,701
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Michigan projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 98,213 (907) -- Deaths: 6,533 (7) -- Case Mortality: 6.7% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, -1.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 24

25. Minnesota
76,609
1,827
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Minnesota projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 61,839 (323) -- Deaths: 1,707 (6) -- Case Mortality: 2.8% -- Daily Change: -1.2% Cases, +1.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 25

26. Mississippi
94,213
2,743
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Mississippi projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 68,293 (644) -- Deaths: 1,944 (32) -- Case Mortality: 2.8% -- Daily Change: -5.4% Cases, -1.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 26

27. Missouri
71,048
1,559
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Missouri projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 61,440 (1,081) -- Deaths: 1,346 (5) -- Case Mortality: 2.2% -- Daily Change: -3.6% Cases, -1.7% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 27

28. Montana
6,722
150
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Montana projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 5,104 (87) -- Deaths: 77 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -3.0% Cases, -0.6% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 28

29. Nebraska
34,617
394
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nebraska projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 29,030 (334) -- Deaths: 351 (3) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, -0.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 29

30. Nevada
80,924
1,399
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nevada projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 57,520 (548) -- Deaths: 981 (18) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -3.5% Cases, +0.7% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 30

31. New Hampshire
7,393
439
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Hampshire projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,861 (21) -- Deaths: 419 (0) -- Case Mortality: 6.1% -- Daily Change: -3.8% Cases, -14.0% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 31

32. New Jersey
192,313
16,034
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Jersey projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 185,475 (444) -- Deaths: 15,890 (12) -- Case Mortality: 8.6% -- Daily Change: -1.8% Cases, -1.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 32

33. New Mexico
27,816
819
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Mexico projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
500
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 22,643 (199) -- Deaths: 693 (3) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: -4.2% Cases, -1.7% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 33

34. New York
432,989
33,027
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New York projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 422,003 (667) -- Deaths: 32,787 (6) -- Case Mortality: 7.8% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, -3.9% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 34

35. North Carolina
175,826
2,939
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Carolina projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 138,743 (1,181) -- Deaths: 2,248 (49) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, +0.5% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 35

36. North Dakota
10,700
137
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Dakota projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 7,885 (172) -- Deaths: 118 (5) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +1.5% Cases, +7.5% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 36

37. Ohio
128,785
4,312
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Ohio projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 102,826 (1,095) -- Deaths: 3,708 (35) -- Case Mortality: 3.6% -- Daily Change: -2.2% Cases, -3.8% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 37

38. Oklahoma
52,156
828
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oklahoma projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 44,728 (765) -- Deaths: 618 (13) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -4.0% Cases, -1.7% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 38

39. Oregon
29,221
499
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oregon projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 21,774 (286) -- Deaths: 368 (11) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, -0.4% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 39

40. Pennsylvania
140,817
7,610
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Pennsylvania projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 125,016 (795) -- Deaths: 7,343 (29) -- Case Mortality: 5.9% -- Daily Change: -1.3% Cases, -0.0% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 40

41. Rhode Island
21,893
1,034
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Rhode Island projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 20,053 (119) -- Deaths: 1,016 (1) -- Case Mortality: 5.1% -- Daily Change: -0.4% Cases, -1.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 41

42. South Carolina
133,947
3,477
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Carolina projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 102,130 (971) -- Deaths: 2,098 (50) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -3.9% Cases, -1.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 42

43. South Dakota
11,322
186
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Dakota projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 9,713 (50) -- Deaths: 146 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -0.3% Cases, -2.6% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 43

44. Tennessee
175,012
1,786
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Tennessee projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 124,915 (1,001) -- Deaths: 1,271 (38) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: -3.8% Cases, +2.3% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 44

45. Texas
698,540
18,027
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Texas projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 517,700 (8,119) -- Deaths: 9,230 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -1.2% Cases, -2.9% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 45

46. Utah
54,226
473
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Utah projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 44,752 (362) -- Deaths: 349 (4) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: -2.1% Cases, -2.0% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 46

47. Vermont
1,547
61
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Vermont projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
10
20
30
40
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,472 (10) -- Deaths: 58 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.9% -- Daily Change: +5.1% Cases, -4.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 47

48. Virginia
123,774
2,759
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Virginia projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 101,745 (996) -- Deaths: 2,344 (17) -- Case Mortality: 2.3% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, -3.7% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 48

49. Washington
80,509
2,007
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Washington projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 64,151 (504) -- Deaths: 1,716 (19) -- Case Mortality: 2.7% -- Daily Change: -2.2% Cases, +1.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 49

50. West Virginia
11,002
201
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
West Virginia projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
5.0
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 7,879 (122) -- Deaths: 147 (6) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -2.4% Cases, +7.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 50

51. Wisconsin
80,856
1,187
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wisconsin projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 61,785 (724) -- Deaths: 1,006 (8) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -1.8% Cases, -2.4% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 51

52. Wyoming
4,033
33
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wyoming projection as of 2020-08-12
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,073 (23) -- Deaths: 29 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.9% -- Daily Change: -7.0% Cases, +6.1% Deaths
2020-08-12 US States: 52