This document contains data on COVID-19 cases and deaths for 21 US states as of July 29, 2020. For each state it provides numbers of total cases, total deaths, daily new cases, daily new deaths, and case mortality rate. It also includes graphs showing actual and predicted case and death rates over time with annotations for key dates.

1. US States
US States: 1

2. Alabama
132,968
2,842
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alabama projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 82,366 (1,251) -- Deaths: 1,491 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -1.6% Cases, -1.0% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 2

3. Alaska
6,513
30
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alaska projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,730 (107) -- Deaths: 22 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: +6.2% Cases, +12.8% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 3

4. Arizona
277,954
9,233
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arizona projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 165,934 (2,107) -- Deaths: 3,408 (103) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -3.1% Cases, -0.2% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 4

5. Arkansas
69,555
729
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arkansas projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 40,181 (734) -- Deaths: 428 (20) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: +0.8% Cases, +3.9% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 5

6. California
836,565
13,344
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
California projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 470,762 (12,641) -- Deaths: 8,679 (185) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -0.4% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 6

7. Colorado
62,531
1,986
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Colorado projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 45,296 (749) -- Deaths: 1,807 (8) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: +1.7% Cases, +2.4% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 7

8. Connecticut
51,565
4,577
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Connecticut projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 49,077 (94) -- Deaths: 4,423 (5) -- Case Mortality: 9.0% -- Daily Change: +2.6% Cases, -8.0% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 8

9. Delaware
17,715
702
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Delaware projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 14,476 (70) -- Deaths: 580 (1) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, +12.9% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 9

10. District of Columbia
13,838
619
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
District of Columbia projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 11,945 (87) -- Deaths: 583 (1) -- Case Mortality: 4.9% -- Daily Change: +2.2% Cases, -9.4% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 10

11. Florida
642,227
13,286
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Florida projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 441,977 (9,230) -- Deaths: 6,117 (186) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -1.7% Cases, +1.8% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 11

12. Georgia
317,061
4,973
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Georgia projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 170,843 (0) -- Deaths: 3,509 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -3.5% Cases, +1.6% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 12

13. Hawaii
2,988
52
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Hawaii projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,757 (46) -- Deaths: 26 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +6.7% Cases, -8.7% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 13

14. Idaho
30,140
363
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Idaho projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 19,220 (528) -- Deaths: 160 (8) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: -1.3% Cases, +4.6% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 14

15. Illinois
211,970
8,201
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Illinois projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 174,968 (1,074) -- Deaths: 7,638 (30) -- Case Mortality: 4.4% -- Daily Change: +1.4% Cases, +0.7% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 15

16. Indiana
89,650
3,287
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Indiana projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 63,678 (771) -- Deaths: 2,924 (18) -- Case Mortality: 4.6% -- Daily Change: +0.7% Cases, +1.3% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 16

17. Iowa
61,975
1,072
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iowa projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 42,928 (232) -- Deaths: 839 (3) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: -3.1% Cases, -2.9% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 17

18. Kansas
43,887
438
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kansas projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 26,058 (254) -- Deaths: 340 (7) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: -1.2% Cases, +4.8% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 18

19. Kentucky
48,897
942
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kentucky projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 28,111 (525) -- Deaths: 719 (10) -- Case Mortality: 2.6% -- Daily Change: +0.5% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 19

20. Louisiana
190,564
4,777
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Louisiana projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 111,038 (1,121) -- Deaths: 3,812 (26) -- Case Mortality: 3.4% -- Daily Change: +0.2% Cases, +2.8% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 20

21. Maine
4,408
139
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maine projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,838 (6) -- Deaths: 121 (2) -- Case Mortality: 3.2% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 21

22. Maryland
108,705
3,781
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maryland projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 85,524 (648) -- Deaths: 3,458 (11) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: +1.9% Cases, +0.7% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 22

23. Massachusetts
123,711
9,089
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Massachusetts projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 116,182 (256) -- Deaths: 8,551 (15) -- Case Mortality: 7.4% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, -0.9% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 23

24. Michigan
109,292
6,686
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Michigan projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 87,958 (785) -- Deaths: 6,421 (16) -- Case Mortality: 7.3% -- Daily Change: -0.1% Cases, -3.0% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 24

25. Minnesota
74,685
1,815
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Minnesota projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 52,281 (478) -- Deaths: 1,620 (4) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: +1.0% Cases, -3.0% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 25

26. Mississippi
96,621
2,367
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Mississippi projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 54,085 (1,304) -- Deaths: 1,540 (42) -- Case Mortality: 2.8% -- Daily Change: +1.2% Cases, +2.5% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 26

27. Missouri
88,306
1,543
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Missouri projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 45,181 (1,692) -- Deaths: 1,232 (11) -- Case Mortality: 2.7% -- Daily Change: +5.6% Cases, +5.2% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 27

28. Montana
7,117
167
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Montana projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,474 (94) -- Deaths: 51 (4) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -1.8% Cases, +3.7% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 28

29. Nebraska
32,816
411
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nebraska projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 25,157 (258) -- Deaths: 321 (4) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: +2.0% Cases, -5.2% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 29

30. Nevada
81,355
1,278
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nevada projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 44,936 (1,105) -- Deaths: 759 (20) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -0.6% Cases, +2.5% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 30

31. New Hampshire
7,234
455
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Hampshire projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,500 (59) -- Deaths: 409 (0) -- Case Mortality: 6.3% -- Daily Change: +2.6% Cases, +0.7% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 31

32. New Jersey
187,262
16,580
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Jersey projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
0
100
200
300
400
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 180,295 (483) -- Deaths: 15,825 (21) -- Case Mortality: 8.8% -- Daily Change: +6.5% Cases, -5.3% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 32

33. New Mexico
30,782
825
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Mexico projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
500
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 19,791 (289) -- Deaths: 626 (7) -- Case Mortality: 3.2% -- Daily Change: +1.7% Cases, +3.3% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 33

34. New York
432,327
33,345
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New York projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 412,878 (534) -- Deaths: 32,653 (8) -- Case Mortality: 7.9% -- Daily Change: -1.8% Cases, -1.4% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 34

35. North Carolina
167,080
2,842
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Carolina projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 116,700 (1,784) -- Deaths: 1,860 (22) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 35

36. North Dakota
10,295
138
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Dakota projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,141 (155) -- Deaths: 100 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: +3.1% Cases, +0.2% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 36

37. Ohio
139,624
4,117
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Ohio projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 86,497 (1,320) -- Deaths: 3,382 (38) -- Case Mortality: 3.9% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, +3.7% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 37

38. Oklahoma
61,628
737
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oklahoma projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 33,775 (1,090) -- Deaths: 509 (13) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +4.7% Cases, +3.6% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 38

39. Oregon
26,302
480
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oregon projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 17,408 (320) -- Deaths: 303 (14) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -0.6% Cases, +4.3% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 39

40. Pennsylvania
140,318
7,766
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Pennsylvania projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 114,083 (1,088) -- Deaths: 7,154 (23) -- Case Mortality: 6.3% -- Daily Change: +1.7% Cases, -2.2% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 40

41. Rhode Island
20,409
1,069
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Rhode Island projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 18,725 (210) -- Deaths: 1,005 (1) -- Case Mortality: 5.4% -- Daily Change: +9.0% Cases, -3.7% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 41

42. South Carolina
158,229
4,202
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Carolina projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
40
80
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 84,109 (1,692) -- Deaths: 1,565 (59) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -2.5% Cases, +4.7% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 42

43. South Dakota
10,376
178
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Dakota projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 8,492 (48) -- Deaths: 123 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: +0.8% Cases, -6.8% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 43

44. Tennessee
183,589
1,891
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Tennessee projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 99,044 (2,555) -- Deaths: 999 (21) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: +1.7% Cases, +1.8% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 44

45. Texas
797,740
17,805
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Texas projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 408,493 (8,157) -- Deaths: 5,913 (200) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -3.3% Cases, +7.1% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 45

46. Utah
64,128
530
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Utah projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 38,855 (446) -- Deaths: 286 (5) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: -3.0% Cases, +0.5% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 46

47. Vermont
1,638
56
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Vermont projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
10
20
30
40
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,405 (3) -- Deaths: 56 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: -4.7% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 47

48. Virginia
120,903
2,425
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Virginia projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
80
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 86,994 (922) -- Deaths: 2,095 (13) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: +1.5% Cases, -1.6% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 48

49. Washington
88,123
1,732
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Washington projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 54,205 (884) -- Deaths: 1,548 (30) -- Case Mortality: 2.9% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, +13.3% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 49

50. West Virginia
10,799
127
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
West Virginia projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
5.0
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,120 (121) -- Deaths: 108 (4) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: +1.0% Cases, +7.6% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 50

51. Wisconsin
85,048
1,092
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wisconsin projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
1,200
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 50,179 (762) -- Deaths: 906 (13) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -0.5% Cases, +5.3% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 51

52. Wyoming
4,134
40
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wyoming projection as of 2020-07-29
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,589 (69) -- Deaths: 26 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: +2.3% Cases, -9.3% Deaths
2020-07-29 US States: 52