COVID-19 Update (US States): August 21, 2020

1. US States
US States: 1

2. Alabama
128,813
2,293
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alabama projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 112,449 (971) -- Deaths: 1,974 (30) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -3.3% Cases, -4.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 2

3. Alaska
5,475
33
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alaska projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 4,520 (82) -- Deaths: 29 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.6% -- Daily Change: +1.2% Cases, +1.8% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 3

4. Arizona
209,331
5,456
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arizona projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 196,280 (723) -- Deaths: 4,684 (50) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: -3.9% Cases, -1.6% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 4

5. Arkansas
63,193
800
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arkansas projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 54,765 (549) -- Deaths: 641 (10) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: -3.6% Cases, -1.2% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 5

6. California
754,512
13,788
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
California projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 652,267 (4,993) -- Deaths: 11,810 (120) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, -0.2% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 6

7. Colorado
58,893
1,949
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Colorado projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 54,211 (329) -- Deaths: 1,903 (3) -- Case Mortality: 3.5% -- Daily Change: -3.6% Cases, -1.1% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 7

8. Connecticut
52,210
4,476
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Connecticut projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 51,432 (118) -- Deaths: 4,458 (1) -- Case Mortality: 8.7% -- Daily Change: +2.2% Cases, -1.7% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 8

9. Delaware
17,888
602
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Delaware projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 16,718 (75) -- Deaths: 595 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.6% -- Daily Change: -0.2% Cases, -6.7% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 9

10. District of Columbia
14,193
610
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
District of Columbia projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 13,409 (55) -- Deaths: 601 (1) -- Case Mortality: 4.5% -- Daily Change: -3.4% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 10

11. Florida
669,139
12,919
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Florida projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 588,602 (4,555) -- Deaths: 10,049 (117) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -3.8% Cases, +0.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 11

12. Georgia
288,991
5,859
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Georgia projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 246,741 (2,759) -- Deaths: 4,904 (55) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: -2.6% Cases, -0.6% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 12

13. Hawaii
9,095
65
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Hawaii projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 5,844 (235) -- Deaths: 45 (3) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: +2.1% Cases, -0.6% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 13

14. Idaho
35,446
385
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Idaho projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 29,110 (430) -- Deaths: 296 (7) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: -2.3% Cases, +1.9% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 14

15. Illinois
234,745
8,246
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Illinois projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 215,052 (1,832) -- Deaths: 8,044 (27) -- Case Mortality: 3.7% -- Daily Change: +1.0% Cases, +1.5% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 15

16. Indiana
94,457
3,330
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Indiana projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 83,277 (941) -- Deaths: 3,191 (11) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: -1.7% Cases, +2.2% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 16

17. Iowa
59,771
1,115
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iowa projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 54,533 (1,010) -- Deaths: 1,016 (6) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: +2.8% Cases, +0.8% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 17

18. Kansas
41,165
463
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kansas projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 35,907 (488) -- Deaths: 419 (4) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: +2.4% Cases, -1.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 18

19. Kentucky
49,097
915
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kentucky projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 41,626 (700) -- Deaths: 856 (14) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: +1.6% Cases, +6.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 19

20. Louisiana
157,696
5,130
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Louisiana projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 140,821 (918) -- Deaths: 4,637 (28) -- Case Mortality: 3.3% -- Daily Change: -5.9% Cases, -0.3% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 20

21. Maine
4,398
131
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maine projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 4,253 (18) -- Deaths: 128 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.0% -- Daily Change: +5.1% Cases, +1.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 21

22. Maryland
110,705
3,787
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maryland projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 102,229 (580) -- Deaths: 3,669 (8) -- Case Mortality: 3.6% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, -3.4% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 22

23. Massachusetts
128,616
9,061
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Massachusetts projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 124,728 (313) -- Deaths: 8,888 (12) -- Case Mortality: 7.1% -- Daily Change: -1.3% Cases, -0.5% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 23

24. Michigan
113,079
6,737
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Michigan projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 104,618 (527) -- Deaths: 6,634 (16) -- Case Mortality: 6.3% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, +2.2% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 24

25. Minnesota
75,285
1,879
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Minnesota projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 67,308 (690) -- Deaths: 1,791 (7) -- Case Mortality: 2.7% -- Daily Change: -1.6% Cases, +2.6% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 25

26. Mississippi
85,675
2,607
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Mississippi projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 75,449 (894) -- Deaths: 2,190 (27) -- Case Mortality: 2.9% -- Daily Change: +0.3% Cases, -0.4% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 26

27. Missouri
87,334
1,548
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Missouri projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
80
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 72,353 (1,068) -- Deaths: 1,442 (8) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: +0.6% Cases, +3.7% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 27

28. Montana
7,646
114
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Montana projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,072 (116) -- Deaths: 89 (5) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -1.6% Cases, -2.7% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 28

29. Nebraska
34,425
402
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nebraska projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 31,348 (308) -- Deaths: 373 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: +0.2% Cases, -0.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 29

30. Nevada
74,110
1,423
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nevada projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 63,584 (556) -- Deaths: 1,172 (38) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -2.8% Cases, +2.7% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 30

31. New Hampshire
7,335
432
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Hampshire projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 7,050 (14) -- Deaths: 428 (1) -- Case Mortality: 6.1% -- Daily Change: -3.8% Cases, +10.1% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 31

32. New Jersey
192,624
15,997
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Jersey projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 188,527 (100) -- Deaths: 15,932 (6) -- Case Mortality: 8.5% -- Daily Change: -2.6% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 32

33. New Mexico
25,971
792
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Mexico projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 23,951 (202) -- Deaths: 734 (5) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: -1.8% Cases, +0.8% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 33

34. New York
434,467
32,982
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New York projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 427,803 (601) -- Deaths: 32,865 (0) -- Case Mortality: 7.7% -- Daily Change: -0.4% Cases, -1.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 34

35. North Carolina
166,142
2,827
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Carolina projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
25
50
75
100
125
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 149,904 (1,979) -- Deaths: 2,465 (34) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -0.4% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 35

36. North Dakota
10,929
152
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Dakota projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 9,242 (274) -- Deaths: 130 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: +3.1% Cases, +0.6% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 36

37. Ohio
125,258
4,199
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Ohio projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
80
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 112,003 (1,122) -- Deaths: 3,929 (22) -- Case Mortality: 3.5% -- Daily Change: -1.1% Cases, +1.9% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 37

38. Oklahoma
60,323
818
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oklahoma projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 50,669 (746) -- Deaths: 709 (10) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -1.1% Cases, +4.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 38

39. Oregon
27,954
478
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oregon projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 24,165 (295) -- Deaths: 412 (4) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -1.6% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 39

40. Pennsylvania
140,411
7,717
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Pennsylvania projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 131,692 (787) -- Deaths: 7,520 (12) -- Case Mortality: 5.7% -- Daily Change: -0.8% Cases, +1.0% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 40

41. Rhode Island
21,879
1,039
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Rhode Island projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 20,871 (76) -- Deaths: 1,028 (1) -- Case Mortality: 4.9% -- Daily Change: +0.8% Cases, +4.6% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 41

42. South Carolina
122,564
2,983
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Carolina projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 109,320 (909) -- Deaths: 2,401 (41) -- Case Mortality: 2.2% -- Daily Change: -3.6% Cases, -0.6% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 42

43. South Dakota
11,736
175
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Dakota projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 10,691 (125) -- Deaths: 157 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +1.7% Cases, -2.1% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 43

44. Tennessee
161,332
1,803
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Tennessee projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 139,175 (1,375) -- Deaths: 1,488 (36) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, +2.9% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 44

45. Texas
675,538
14,514
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Texas projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 579,892 (5,259) -- Deaths: 11,174 (240) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, +0.4% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 45

46. Utah
52,588
434
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Utah projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 47,982 (461) -- Deaths: 381 (4) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, +0.4% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 46

47. Vermont
1,607
59
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Vermont projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
10
20
30
40
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,537 (4) -- Deaths: 58 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: -0.2% Cases, -26.8% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 47

48. Virginia
122,846
2,585
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Virginia projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
25
50
75
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 109,879 (860) -- Deaths: 2,427 (17) -- Case Mortality: 2.2% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, -2.8% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 48

49. Washington
77,666
2,016
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Washington projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 69,389 (700) -- Deaths: 1,837 (15) -- Case Mortality: 2.6% -- Daily Change: -1.9% Cases, +0.4% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 49

50. West Virginia
10,553
223
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
West Virginia projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 8,987 (180) -- Deaths: 167 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: +0.2% Cases, -4.8% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 50

51. Wisconsin
77,952
1,148
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wisconsin projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 68,233 (740) -- Deaths: 1,067 (7) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, +0.5% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 51

52. Wyoming
3,829
37
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wyoming projection as of 2020-08-21
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
80
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,457 (26) -- Deaths: 34 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: +4.1% Cases, +9.1% Deaths
2020-08-21 US States: 52