This document contains data on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and projections for 21 US states: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, and Maryland. For each state it provides numbers of current cases, current deaths, case mortality rate, and daily percentage changes in cases and deaths. It also includes line graphs showing actual and projected case and death rates over time with notes on key dates.

1. US States
US States: 1

2. Alabama
123,925
2,667
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alabama projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 92,661 (1,217) -- Deaths: 1,633 (6) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, -1.8% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 2

3. Alaska
5,868
43
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Alaska projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,341 (61) -- Deaths: 25 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: +2.6% Cases, +5.3% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 3

4. Arizona
260,240
7,807
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arizona projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 179,497 (1,030) -- Deaths: 3,779 (14) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -2.8% Cases, -2.0% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 4

5. Arkansas
66,418
786
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Arkansas projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
0
20
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 44,597 (787) -- Deaths: 475 (11) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: -0.6% Cases, +2.9% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 5

6. California
818,967
13,851
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
California projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 516,851 (4,676) -- Deaths: 9,441 (45) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -3.3% Cases, +1.2% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 6

7. Colorado
63,748
2,024
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Colorado projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 47,950 (241) -- Deaths: 1,844 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: -2.5% Cases, -0.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 7

8. Connecticut
53,048
4,520
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Connecticut projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 50,062 (252) -- Deaths: 4,437 (5) -- Case Mortality: 8.9% -- Daily Change: +1.2% Cases, -0.2% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 8

9. Delaware
17,865
749
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Delaware projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 15,055 (106) -- Deaths: 585 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.9% -- Daily Change: -1.9% Cases, -11.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 9

10. District of Columbia
14,099
608
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
District of Columbia projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 12,313 (39) -- Deaths: 586 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.8% -- Daily Change: -1.8% Cases, -1.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 10

11. Florida
834,304
14,378
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Florida projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 491,884 (4,752) -- Deaths: 7,157 (73) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -3.3% Cases, +2.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 11

12. Georgia
279,675
5,477
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Georgia projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 195,435 (2,258) -- Deaths: 3,842 (2) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, -0.3% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 12

13. Hawaii
4,368
35
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Hawaii projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,448 (206) -- Deaths: 26 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: +10.6% Cases, -20.7% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 13

14. Idaho
38,582
509
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Idaho projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
800
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 21,670 (560) -- Deaths: 200 (3) -- Case Mortality: 0.9% -- Daily Change: -2.8% Cases, +4.2% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 14

15. Illinois
220,401
8,193
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Illinois projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 184,522 (1,298) -- Deaths: 7,723 (9) -- Case Mortality: 4.2% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, -0.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 15

16. Indiana
92,048
3,319
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Indiana projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 68,433 (576) -- Deaths: 2,980 (5) -- Case Mortality: 4.4% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, -1.8% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 16

17. Iowa
60,464
1,083
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Iowa projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 45,905 (182) -- Deaths: 884 (6) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -2.3% Cases, +1.4% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 17

18. Kansas
42,621
489
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kansas projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
200
400
600
0
10
20
30
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 28,432 (561) -- Deaths: 367 (6) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, +2.4% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 18

19. Kentucky
47,768
936
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Kentucky projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 31,508 (323) -- Deaths: 744 (2) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: -1.9% Cases, -0.1% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 19

20. Louisiana
182,724
5,061
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Louisiana projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 120,846 (1,099) -- Deaths: 4,024 (17) -- Case Mortality: 3.3% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 20

21. Maine
4,466
139
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maine projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 3,970 (12) -- Deaths: 124 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: +0.4% Cases, +4.0% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 21

22. Maryland
113,834
3,811
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Maryland projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 91,144 (870) -- Deaths: 3,523 (8) -- Case Mortality: 3.9% -- Daily Change: +1.4% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 22

23. Massachusetts
126,073
9,086
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Massachusetts projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
50
100
150
200
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 118,657 (199) -- Deaths: 8,648 (10) -- Case Mortality: 7.3% -- Daily Change: +1.8% Cases, +0.8% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 23

24. Michigan
111,175
6,656
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Michigan projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 92,374 (616) -- Deaths: 6,467 (10) -- Case Mortality: 7.0% -- Daily Change: -0.0% Cases, +2.8% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 24

25. Minnesota
76,371
1,809
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Minnesota projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
0
10
20
30
40
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 56,560 (613) -- Deaths: 1,656 (2) -- Case Mortality: 2.9% -- Daily Change: +0.4% Cases, +1.3% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 25

26. Mississippi
102,818
2,616
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Mississippi projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 61,125 (572) -- Deaths: 1,711 (8) -- Case Mortality: 2.8% -- Daily Change: -3.0% Cases, +3.2% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 26

27. Missouri
94,346
1,605
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Missouri projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
30
60
90
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 53,214 (1,030) -- Deaths: 1,279 (3) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, -1.9% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 27

28. Montana
7,873
159
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Montana projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 4,233 (40) -- Deaths: 64 (3) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -0.5% Cases, +4.9% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 28

29. Nebraska
34,285
405
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nebraska projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 26,956 (254) -- Deaths: 332 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: +0.2% Cases, -2.0% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 29

30. Nevada
69,197
1,381
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Nevada projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 51,199 (994) -- Deaths: 847 (15) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -0.1% Cases, +0.9% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 30

31. New Hampshire
7,373
459
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Hampshire projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,660 (26) -- Deaths: 417 (0) -- Case Mortality: 6.3% -- Daily Change: -1.1% Cases, -3.9% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 31

32. New Jersey
190,276
16,200
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Jersey projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
0
100
200
300
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 182,614 (264) -- Deaths: 15,846 (10) -- Case Mortality: 8.7% -- Daily Change: +1.7% Cases, -5.3% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 32

33. New Mexico
30,585
850
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New Mexico projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
500
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 21,130 (114) -- Deaths: 655 (1) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: -3.4% Cases, -0.8% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 33

34. New York
432,498
33,197
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
New York projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 416,843 (545) -- Deaths: 32,719 (9) -- Case Mortality: 7.8% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, -5.0% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 34

35. North Carolina
188,710
2,896
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Carolina projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
0
50
100
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 127,630 (2,300) -- Deaths: 2,043 (60) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, +2.7% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 35

36. North Dakota
10,663
139
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
North Dakota projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,785 (125) -- Deaths: 105 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -0.6% Cases, -4.5% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 36

37. Ohio
136,112
4,380
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Ohio projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 93,963 (932) -- Deaths: 3,539 (10) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: -2.1% Cases, +1.0% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 37

38. Oklahoma
67,363
815
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oklahoma projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 38,602 (377) -- Deaths: 551 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, +0.3% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 38

39. Oregon
28,168
520
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Oregon projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 19,366 (269) -- Deaths: 328 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, +0.8% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 39

40. Pennsylvania
142,681
7,679
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Pennsylvania projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 118,894 (861) -- Deaths: 7,224 (1) -- Case Mortality: 6.1% -- Daily Change: -1.3% Cases, -3.1% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 40

41. Rhode Island
21,179
1,048
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Rhode Island projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
100
200
300
400
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 19,246 (224) -- Deaths: 1,010 (3) -- Case Mortality: 5.2% -- Daily Change: +3.1% Cases, -6.2% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 41

42. South Carolina
148,503
4,537
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Carolina projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
40
80
120
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 92,951 (1,163) -- Deaths: 1,793 (16) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: -2.3% Cases, -1.0% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 42

43. South Dakota
10,861
175
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
South Dakota projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 9,020 (65) -- Deaths: 135 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: +2.6% Cases, +5.5% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 43

44. Tennessee
184,837
1,846
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Tennessee projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
50
100
150
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 110,636 (1,009) -- Deaths: 1,092 (19) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: -2.1% Cases, -1.1% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 44

45. Texas
556,668
21,868
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Texas projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0
200
400
600
800
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 456,624 (8,479) -- Deaths: 7,016 (138) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -2.3% Cases, +1.7% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 45

46. Utah
59,181
513
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Utah projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
250
500
750
1,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 41,529 (354) -- Deaths: 314 (3) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: -3.1% Cases, -0.4% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 46

47. Vermont
1,582
58
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Vermont projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
10
20
30
40
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 1,427 (1) -- Deaths: 57 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.0% -- Daily Change: -6.2% Cases, +16.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 47

48. Virginia
122,733
2,563
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Virginia projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
20
40
60
80
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 93,106 (1,324) -- Deaths: 2,218 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: +0.6% Cases, +7.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 48

49. Washington
84,664
1,889
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Washington projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
500
1,000
1,500
0
25
50
75
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 58,715 (542) -- Deaths: 1,600 (4) -- Case Mortality: 2.7% -- Daily Change: -0.6% Cases, +2.2% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 49

50. West Virginia
11,159
151
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
West Virginia projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
5.0
10.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 6,978 (120) -- Deaths: 117 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: +1.1% Cases, +7.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 50

51. Wisconsin
83,755
1,175
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wisconsin projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
300
600
900
1,200
0
20
40
60
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 55,328 (404) -- Deaths: 949 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: -1.6% Cases, +0.7% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 51

52. Wyoming
4,361
33
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Actual(points)/Predicted(line)
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tests
Wyoming projection as of 2020-08-04
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
0
20
40
60
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
Cases/Day
Deaths/Day
Cases: 2,848 (40) -- Deaths: 27 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.9% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, +7.6% Deaths
2020-08-04 US States: 52