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08/26/2013
1
Chapter 12
Labor Markets, Poverty,
and Income Distribution
Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin
12-2
Learning Objectives
1. Understand the relationship between wages
and the marginal productivity of workers
2. Analyze how wages and employment are
determined in competitive labor markets
3. Compare and contrast the various hypotheses
economists have proposed to explain earnings
differences
4. Discuss recent trends in U.S. income inequality
and justifications for income redistribution
5. Describe and analyze some methods used to
reduce poverty in the U.S.
08/26/2013
2
12-3
The Economic Value of Work
• Individual income vary widely
– Comparable skills seem to earn different incomes
• Economics analysis applies to labor markets
– Equilibrium wage and quantity are determined by
supply of and demand for a each category of labor
• Labor categories include unskilled, skilled, managers,
and so on
– Changes in supply and demand will change the
equilibrium wage and quantity
12-4
Mackintosh Pottery Works
• Pottery uses free clay and labor
– Selling price is $1.10 per piece
• Handling costs are $0.10 per
piece
• Rennie and Laura each work full time at potting
– Rennie delivers 100 pots per week and Laura
delivers 120
• Rennie earns $100 and Laura earns $120 per week
• If Mackintosh paid less than $1 per pot
– Another pottery company could afford to pay more
– Rennie and Laura leave to earn more
One reason for
different earnings
is differences in
output per person
08/26/2013
3
12-5
The Labor Market
• Marginal product of labor (MP)
– The additional output a firm gets by employing one
additional unit of labor
• Value of marginal product of labor (VMP)
– The dollar value of the additional output a firm gets
by employing one additional unit of labor
• In a competitive market,
wage = VMP
– Mackintosh Pottery Works example
12-6
Potters' Production
• Value of Marginal Product
– Marginal product of labor multiplied times the net
price of each unit sold ($1)
• Rennie’s VMP is $100
• Laura’s VMP is $120
– In a competitive market each worker is paid the
value of his marginal product
08/26/2013
4
12-7
Hiring At The Adirondack
Woodworking Company
• Makes cutting boards from free scrap wood
– Price of a cutting board is $20
• Going wage is $350 per week
# of
Workers
Output
0 0
1 30
2 55
3 76
4 94
5 108
VMP
$600
500
420
360
280
MP
30
25
21
18
14
12-8
Hiring At The Adirondack
Woodworking Company
• The company will hire workers until the value of
the marginal product of the last worker is equal
to the wage
– Cost-Benefit Principle
– Workers earn $350 per
week
• Adirondack will hire four
workers
– The fifth worker costs
more ($350) than the
benefits he delivers ($280)
# of
Workers
VMP
1 $600
2 500
3 420
4 360
5 280
08/26/2013
5
12-9
Wage($/hour)Wage($/hour)
Firm 1
Firm 2
Work hours/day
Total Employment
Wage($/hour)
Market
Demand for Labor
100
12
50
12
150
6
6
100
D1 = VMP1
D2 = VMP2
D = VMP1 +
VMP2
150
12
250
6
12-10
Individual Labor Supply
• Individuals trade-off income and leisure
– More work hours means more income AND less
leisure
• Suppose the wage increases
– Substitution effect: work more
• Leisure is more expensive
– Income effect: work less
• Purchasing power increases for a given work
schedule
– A higher wage may increase or decrease the
quantity of labor supplied by the individual
Income
Effect
Substitution
Effect
08/26/2013
6
12-11
Labor Supply of Programmers
• Labor supply for a single profession has a
positive slope
– Higher wages attract
workers from other
careers
• An increase in wages
from W1 to W2 increases
quantity of labor supplied
from L1 to L2
– Movement along the labor supply curve
Employment of programmers
(work-hours/year)
Wage($/hour)
S
L1
W1
L2
W2
12-12
Increase in the Demand for
Programmers
• Demand for
programmers increases
from D1 to D2
– Initial impact is a shortage
of programmers at W1
– In the short-run, wages are
bid up to W3
• In the long run
– Movement up the supply
curve and down the
demand curve
– Quantity of labor supplied
increases from L1 to L2
– Wages settle at W2
Employment of programmers
(work-hours/year)
Wage($/hour)
S
L1
W1
D1
D2
L2
W2
W3
08/26/2013
7
12-13
Explaining Differences in
Earnings
• When labor markets are competitive, differences
in wages are determined by differences in VMP
– Michael Jordan earned less playing baseball than
playing basketball
– Patent attorneys earn more than property attorneys
– Surgeons earn more than family practitioners
• Earnings differences are mainly due to
differences in
Education Experience Training
Intelligence Energy Work Habits
Trustworthiness Initiative Political Skills
12-14
Human Capital and Differences
in Earnings
• Human capital is the accumulated education,
training, work habits and other assets that affect
and individual's value of marginal product (VMP)
– Individuals make decisions about acquiring human
capital
• Human capital theory holds that a worker's
wage is proportional to his human capital
– Some jobs require more human capital
• These jobs pay more
– Demand for specific kinds of human capital also
cause earnings differences
08/26/2013
8
12-15
Labor Unions and Differences in
Earnings
• A labor union is a group of workers who
bargain collectively with employers for better
wages and working conditions
– Entry to the union is restricted
• Unions restrict the supply of labor and raise
wages
– Similar to a cartel
– Unions increase the supply of labor to the non-
union companies
• Wages in non-union companies go down
12-16
Market Equilibrium Without
Unions
Wage($/hour)
D1 = VMP1
125
9
Market 1
Employment
Wage($/hour)
D2 = VMP2
75
9
Market 2
Total employment
(workers/day)
Wage($/hour)
S0
200
D = VMP1
+ VMP2
9
Total Market
08/26/2013
9
12-17
Market 1 Is Unionized
• Workers in market 1
unionize
– Negotiate a wage of $12
– 25 workers out of work
• In market 2, labor
increases by 25 workers
from market 1
– Wage decreases to $6
– Employment increases to
100
• Net welfare loss to
society
– Move workers from low VMP
to high VMP and increase
total surplus Wage($/hour)
125
9
D1 = VMP1
Market 1
Employment
Wage($/hour)
75
9
D2 = VMP2
Market 2
12
100
6
100
12-18
Size of the Union Wage
Advantage
• Our analysis of two markets resulted in union
workers earning twice the non-union wage
– Suggest unionized firms have a cost disadvantage
• Unionized firms remain competitive
– Unions attract most productive workers
• Union worker are more skilled and experienced
• Wage gap is ±10% for comparable human capital
– Unions increase productivity
• Improved communications and motivation
• Lower labor turnover means lower costs
08/26/2013
10
12-19
Compensating Wage
Differentials
• Compensating wage differentials describe the
difference in wage rates from differences in
working conditions
– Wages depend on VMP and working conditions
– Workers have preferences about their work
schedule, environment and other conditions
• Working in less desirable conditions increases wage
• Safety and work schedule are conditions that
matter to workers
12-20
Discrimination in the Labor
Market
• Wage differentials not based on differences in
VMP leave cash on the table
– On average, women and minorities receive lower
wages than white males
• Pattern holds even if we compare people with similar
human capital levels
• One way to explain differential is that some
human capital differences are not measured
• Another view attributes the differential to
discrimination
08/26/2013
11
12-21
Employer Discrimination
• Employer discrimination is an arbitrary
preference by an employer for one group of
workers over another
• Assumptions
– Productivity is distributed the same for men and
women
• Average productivity is the same
– One employer prefers to hire male employees
12-22
Employer Discrimination
• Two firms each hire four employees
– Employees like both firms the same
– Non-discriminatory wage is $125
• Discriminator wants pick of the market, so offers $130
per day
– Hires 4 men
• Competitor hires the 4 women, VMP of last worker is
$125
– Wage is $125
Labor
Supply
$200 $175 $150 $125VMP
Men Women
$200 $175 $150 $125
08/26/2013
12
12-23
Employer Discrimination
• Discriminating firm has higher costs than
non-discriminator
– Discriminating employers earn lower profits
• Non-discriminator has higher profits
– Expands business
• Eventually supply of women is exhausted
– Bid up female wages
• No Cash on the Table Principle results in equal
wages between discriminator and non-
discriminator
12-24
Discrimination by Others
• Customer discrimination causes buyers to pay
more for goods produced by favored group for
the same product
– Attorneys: Some groups more credible with juries
and clients than others
• Reduces incentives for non-favored groups to enter
the profession
• Socialization within the family can affect
individual's career choices and therefore the
supply of labor
– Traditional female roles: nurses, teachers,
secretaries
08/26/2013
13
12-25
Other Sources of the Wage Gap
• Basis for compensating wage differentials
– Willingness to accept risk
• Coal mining, entrepreneurs, construction, farming
– Quality versus quantity of education
• Difficult to measure
– Courses taken and degrees pursued by sex and
race
• Wage gaps remain across industries and
occupations
• If one group disproportionately pursues higher-paid
occupations, wage gap will persist
12-26
Winner-Take-All Markets
• Winner-take-all markets are ones in which small
differences in human capital translate into large
differences in pay
– Technology plays a role
– Some participants earn high salaries
• Many more do not
• Examples
Entertainment Law Consulting
Medicine Investment Banking CEOs
Publishing Design, Fashion Academia
08/26/2013
14
12-27
Trends in Inequality
• Market outcomes produce disparities in income
Median Income by Quintile for US (2009 dollars)
Quintile 1980 1990 2000 2009
Bottom 20% 15,889 15,643 17,590 15,289
Second 20% 34,588 36,488 40,218 37,045
Middle 20% 52,251 56,194 63,208 59,907
Fourth 20% 72,492 80,813 93,156 90,962
Top 20% 122,054 150,188 195,451 189,486
Top 5% 173,510 235,652 346,342 325,023
12-28
U.S. Median Income by Quintile
Growing inequality
08/26/2013
15
12-29
Recent Trends in Inequality
• From WWII to the 1970s income
growth was ± 3% per year for all
groups
• Between 1980 and 2009, growth
rates increase from bottom
quintile to top
• Does not show mobility between
groups
– Median income is not a measure
of individual welfare
• In 1980, CEOs earned 42 times
salary of average worker
– By 2000, this multiple increased
to more than 500 times
Median Income
Growth
1980 - 2009
Bottom
20%
0%
Second
20%
7%
Middle
20%
13%
Fourth
20%
25%
Top 20% 55%
Top 5% 87%
12-30
John Rawls and the Veil of
Ignorance
• The "right" income distribution is a normative
matter
• Rawls proposed a "fair" income distribution is
one that people would accept before they know
their position in the distribution
– Equality of distribution is favored by the strongly
risk averse
• Strong disincentive to investing in human capital,
taking risk, working
08/26/2013
16
12-31
Acceptable Income Distributions
• If income is distributed equally, total output is
smaller than in a country with earnings
incentives
• Rawls argued that inequality would be
acceptable if it increases total output by
"enough"
• Rawls also argued that the market system
produces more inequality than acceptable
– Fear of being disadvantaged beats hope of being
rich
– Fairness requires some attempt to reduce income
inequality produced by the market
12-32
The Challenge of Income
Redistribution
• Raising incomes of the needy reduce incentives
to work
– Difficulty distinguishing between needy and others
• Risk takers may appear "needy"
• People who prefer not to work ineligible
• Hurricane victims
• No perfect solution
– Choose among imperfect alternatives
08/26/2013
17
12-33
Welfare Payments and In-kind
Transfers
• In-kind transfers are direct transfers of goods
or services
– Food stamps, Medicaid, public housing, free school
lunches
• From mid 1960s to 1996, Aid to Families with
Dependent Children (AFDC) provided cash
– Sometimes required no adult male in the household
• Destabilizing for families
– Created persistent dependence on AFDC
12-34
1996 Personal Responsibilities
Act
• Cash grants from federal government to states
– States determine distribution criteria
– Five-year limit on benefits for each recipient
• Reduced welfare rolls and encouraged self-
reliance
– May aggravate the condition of the poorest
08/26/2013
18
12-35
Means-Tested Benefit
Programs
• A means-tested program decreases benefits as
the recipient's other income increases
– Intends to avoid paying benefits to those who can
support themselves
• Administrative structure discourages work
– If benefits are reduced by $1 for each $2 earned,
participants in multiple programs may lose more
benefits than the income they earn
• Administrative costs are high
– Simplify the program and distribute the cost savings
to the needy
12-36
The Negative Income Tax (NIT)
• Negative income tax is
a tax credit for each
person financed by tax
on earned income
• With no taxes, pre-tax
income equals after-tax
income
• With NIT, low income
families receive a cash
transfer while high
income families pay tax
– Family with no income would
receive the federal poverty
threshold
After-TaxIncome
($000s)
Pre-Tax Income
($000s)
No
Taxes
10 15 20
10
15
20
NIT
14
16
tax
transfer
08/26/2013
19
12-37
Negative Income Tax
• Advantages
– Incentive to work is greater than with welfare
– Lower administrative cost
• Disadvantages
– Creates and incentive not to work
– The political cost is high
• NIT guarantees income to all who do not work
12-38
Minimum Wage Legislation
• Minimum wage above
equilibrium creates
unemployment
– Loss in total surplus
– L1 workers earn more
– (L0 – L1) are unemployed
– Change in total earning
depends on the elasticity of demand for labor
• Studies show little effect of minimum wage on
employment
– Loss in total surplus may be small
W
L0L1
Wmin
Unemployment
Employment
Wage($/hour)
S
D
08/26/2013
20
12-39
Earned Income Tax Credit
(EITC)
• Earned-income tax credit is a policy under which
low-income workers receive credits on their
federal taxes
• A family of four earns $15,000
– EITC is $4,750
– Federal taxes are reduced by $4,750
• If taxes are less than EITC, a refund is issued
• EITC does not interfere with market incentives
– Affects only people who work
– Allows labor markets to reach equilibrium
12-40
Employer
surplus
$12.5K
L (work-hours/day)
W($/hour)
S
D
10
5,000
5
0
Worker
surplus
$12.5K
No Minimum Wage
Minimum Wages and Total
Surplus
L (work-hours/day)
S
W($/hour)
D
5,000
5
10
0
Total surplus
lost ($4K)
Employer
surplus
($4.5K)
Minimum Wage ($7)
3
3,000
7
Worker
surplus
($16.5K)
08/26/2013
21
12-41
EITC Is a Better Option
• Market equilibrium reached with 5,000 work-
hours and wage of $5
• Minimum wage reduces worker surplus by
$4,000/day
• Goal: restore worker surplus to its original level
of $16,500/day
– An earned-income tax credit of $0.80/hr for 5,000
person hours/day
– Deadweight loss of minimum wage is translated into
worker surplus
– Finance with a $4,000/day tax on employers
12-42
Public Employment for the Poor
• Overcomes the shortcomings of the EITC and
NIT
– EITC does not help the unemployed
– NIT reduces the incentive to work
• Government could employ the poor
– If wages are the same as the private sector, some
workers will prefer government jobs
• Increases the cost of the program
– Make-work programs are not productive
– Increases size of government
08/26/2013
22
12-43
A Combination of Methods
– Use a NIT with payment set below the poverty
threshold
– Set the public service wage below the minimum
wage
– Privatize the management of the public service
employment program
NIT
Public
Job
NIT +
Public Job
NIT +
Private Job
Poverty
threshold
12-44
Wrap-Up
• Labor Markets
– Supply, demand, and value of marginal product
• Earnings Differentials
• Income Inequality
Human Capital Risk Compensating Wage Differentials
Discrimination Labor Unions Winner-Take-All-Markets
Quality of Human Capital
Acceptable Distributions Welfare and In-Kind Transfers
NIT Minimum Wage
EITC Public Employment
Combination of Methods

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Labor Markets, Poverty, Income Distribution Explained

  • 1. 08/26/2013 1 Chapter 12 Labor Markets, Poverty, and Income Distribution Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin 12-2 Learning Objectives 1. Understand the relationship between wages and the marginal productivity of workers 2. Analyze how wages and employment are determined in competitive labor markets 3. Compare and contrast the various hypotheses economists have proposed to explain earnings differences 4. Discuss recent trends in U.S. income inequality and justifications for income redistribution 5. Describe and analyze some methods used to reduce poverty in the U.S.
  • 2. 08/26/2013 2 12-3 The Economic Value of Work • Individual income vary widely – Comparable skills seem to earn different incomes • Economics analysis applies to labor markets – Equilibrium wage and quantity are determined by supply of and demand for a each category of labor • Labor categories include unskilled, skilled, managers, and so on – Changes in supply and demand will change the equilibrium wage and quantity 12-4 Mackintosh Pottery Works • Pottery uses free clay and labor – Selling price is $1.10 per piece • Handling costs are $0.10 per piece • Rennie and Laura each work full time at potting – Rennie delivers 100 pots per week and Laura delivers 120 • Rennie earns $100 and Laura earns $120 per week • If Mackintosh paid less than $1 per pot – Another pottery company could afford to pay more – Rennie and Laura leave to earn more One reason for different earnings is differences in output per person
  • 3. 08/26/2013 3 12-5 The Labor Market • Marginal product of labor (MP) – The additional output a firm gets by employing one additional unit of labor • Value of marginal product of labor (VMP) – The dollar value of the additional output a firm gets by employing one additional unit of labor • In a competitive market, wage = VMP – Mackintosh Pottery Works example 12-6 Potters' Production • Value of Marginal Product – Marginal product of labor multiplied times the net price of each unit sold ($1) • Rennie’s VMP is $100 • Laura’s VMP is $120 – In a competitive market each worker is paid the value of his marginal product
  • 4. 08/26/2013 4 12-7 Hiring At The Adirondack Woodworking Company • Makes cutting boards from free scrap wood – Price of a cutting board is $20 • Going wage is $350 per week # of Workers Output 0 0 1 30 2 55 3 76 4 94 5 108 VMP $600 500 420 360 280 MP 30 25 21 18 14 12-8 Hiring At The Adirondack Woodworking Company • The company will hire workers until the value of the marginal product of the last worker is equal to the wage – Cost-Benefit Principle – Workers earn $350 per week • Adirondack will hire four workers – The fifth worker costs more ($350) than the benefits he delivers ($280) # of Workers VMP 1 $600 2 500 3 420 4 360 5 280
  • 5. 08/26/2013 5 12-9 Wage($/hour)Wage($/hour) Firm 1 Firm 2 Work hours/day Total Employment Wage($/hour) Market Demand for Labor 100 12 50 12 150 6 6 100 D1 = VMP1 D2 = VMP2 D = VMP1 + VMP2 150 12 250 6 12-10 Individual Labor Supply • Individuals trade-off income and leisure – More work hours means more income AND less leisure • Suppose the wage increases – Substitution effect: work more • Leisure is more expensive – Income effect: work less • Purchasing power increases for a given work schedule – A higher wage may increase or decrease the quantity of labor supplied by the individual Income Effect Substitution Effect
  • 6. 08/26/2013 6 12-11 Labor Supply of Programmers • Labor supply for a single profession has a positive slope – Higher wages attract workers from other careers • An increase in wages from W1 to W2 increases quantity of labor supplied from L1 to L2 – Movement along the labor supply curve Employment of programmers (work-hours/year) Wage($/hour) S L1 W1 L2 W2 12-12 Increase in the Demand for Programmers • Demand for programmers increases from D1 to D2 – Initial impact is a shortage of programmers at W1 – In the short-run, wages are bid up to W3 • In the long run – Movement up the supply curve and down the demand curve – Quantity of labor supplied increases from L1 to L2 – Wages settle at W2 Employment of programmers (work-hours/year) Wage($/hour) S L1 W1 D1 D2 L2 W2 W3
  • 7. 08/26/2013 7 12-13 Explaining Differences in Earnings • When labor markets are competitive, differences in wages are determined by differences in VMP – Michael Jordan earned less playing baseball than playing basketball – Patent attorneys earn more than property attorneys – Surgeons earn more than family practitioners • Earnings differences are mainly due to differences in Education Experience Training Intelligence Energy Work Habits Trustworthiness Initiative Political Skills 12-14 Human Capital and Differences in Earnings • Human capital is the accumulated education, training, work habits and other assets that affect and individual's value of marginal product (VMP) – Individuals make decisions about acquiring human capital • Human capital theory holds that a worker's wage is proportional to his human capital – Some jobs require more human capital • These jobs pay more – Demand for specific kinds of human capital also cause earnings differences
  • 8. 08/26/2013 8 12-15 Labor Unions and Differences in Earnings • A labor union is a group of workers who bargain collectively with employers for better wages and working conditions – Entry to the union is restricted • Unions restrict the supply of labor and raise wages – Similar to a cartel – Unions increase the supply of labor to the non- union companies • Wages in non-union companies go down 12-16 Market Equilibrium Without Unions Wage($/hour) D1 = VMP1 125 9 Market 1 Employment Wage($/hour) D2 = VMP2 75 9 Market 2 Total employment (workers/day) Wage($/hour) S0 200 D = VMP1 + VMP2 9 Total Market
  • 9. 08/26/2013 9 12-17 Market 1 Is Unionized • Workers in market 1 unionize – Negotiate a wage of $12 – 25 workers out of work • In market 2, labor increases by 25 workers from market 1 – Wage decreases to $6 – Employment increases to 100 • Net welfare loss to society – Move workers from low VMP to high VMP and increase total surplus Wage($/hour) 125 9 D1 = VMP1 Market 1 Employment Wage($/hour) 75 9 D2 = VMP2 Market 2 12 100 6 100 12-18 Size of the Union Wage Advantage • Our analysis of two markets resulted in union workers earning twice the non-union wage – Suggest unionized firms have a cost disadvantage • Unionized firms remain competitive – Unions attract most productive workers • Union worker are more skilled and experienced • Wage gap is ±10% for comparable human capital – Unions increase productivity • Improved communications and motivation • Lower labor turnover means lower costs
  • 10. 08/26/2013 10 12-19 Compensating Wage Differentials • Compensating wage differentials describe the difference in wage rates from differences in working conditions – Wages depend on VMP and working conditions – Workers have preferences about their work schedule, environment and other conditions • Working in less desirable conditions increases wage • Safety and work schedule are conditions that matter to workers 12-20 Discrimination in the Labor Market • Wage differentials not based on differences in VMP leave cash on the table – On average, women and minorities receive lower wages than white males • Pattern holds even if we compare people with similar human capital levels • One way to explain differential is that some human capital differences are not measured • Another view attributes the differential to discrimination
  • 11. 08/26/2013 11 12-21 Employer Discrimination • Employer discrimination is an arbitrary preference by an employer for one group of workers over another • Assumptions – Productivity is distributed the same for men and women • Average productivity is the same – One employer prefers to hire male employees 12-22 Employer Discrimination • Two firms each hire four employees – Employees like both firms the same – Non-discriminatory wage is $125 • Discriminator wants pick of the market, so offers $130 per day – Hires 4 men • Competitor hires the 4 women, VMP of last worker is $125 – Wage is $125 Labor Supply $200 $175 $150 $125VMP Men Women $200 $175 $150 $125
  • 12. 08/26/2013 12 12-23 Employer Discrimination • Discriminating firm has higher costs than non-discriminator – Discriminating employers earn lower profits • Non-discriminator has higher profits – Expands business • Eventually supply of women is exhausted – Bid up female wages • No Cash on the Table Principle results in equal wages between discriminator and non- discriminator 12-24 Discrimination by Others • Customer discrimination causes buyers to pay more for goods produced by favored group for the same product – Attorneys: Some groups more credible with juries and clients than others • Reduces incentives for non-favored groups to enter the profession • Socialization within the family can affect individual's career choices and therefore the supply of labor – Traditional female roles: nurses, teachers, secretaries
  • 13. 08/26/2013 13 12-25 Other Sources of the Wage Gap • Basis for compensating wage differentials – Willingness to accept risk • Coal mining, entrepreneurs, construction, farming – Quality versus quantity of education • Difficult to measure – Courses taken and degrees pursued by sex and race • Wage gaps remain across industries and occupations • If one group disproportionately pursues higher-paid occupations, wage gap will persist 12-26 Winner-Take-All Markets • Winner-take-all markets are ones in which small differences in human capital translate into large differences in pay – Technology plays a role – Some participants earn high salaries • Many more do not • Examples Entertainment Law Consulting Medicine Investment Banking CEOs Publishing Design, Fashion Academia
  • 14. 08/26/2013 14 12-27 Trends in Inequality • Market outcomes produce disparities in income Median Income by Quintile for US (2009 dollars) Quintile 1980 1990 2000 2009 Bottom 20% 15,889 15,643 17,590 15,289 Second 20% 34,588 36,488 40,218 37,045 Middle 20% 52,251 56,194 63,208 59,907 Fourth 20% 72,492 80,813 93,156 90,962 Top 20% 122,054 150,188 195,451 189,486 Top 5% 173,510 235,652 346,342 325,023 12-28 U.S. Median Income by Quintile Growing inequality
  • 15. 08/26/2013 15 12-29 Recent Trends in Inequality • From WWII to the 1970s income growth was ± 3% per year for all groups • Between 1980 and 2009, growth rates increase from bottom quintile to top • Does not show mobility between groups – Median income is not a measure of individual welfare • In 1980, CEOs earned 42 times salary of average worker – By 2000, this multiple increased to more than 500 times Median Income Growth 1980 - 2009 Bottom 20% 0% Second 20% 7% Middle 20% 13% Fourth 20% 25% Top 20% 55% Top 5% 87% 12-30 John Rawls and the Veil of Ignorance • The "right" income distribution is a normative matter • Rawls proposed a "fair" income distribution is one that people would accept before they know their position in the distribution – Equality of distribution is favored by the strongly risk averse • Strong disincentive to investing in human capital, taking risk, working
  • 16. 08/26/2013 16 12-31 Acceptable Income Distributions • If income is distributed equally, total output is smaller than in a country with earnings incentives • Rawls argued that inequality would be acceptable if it increases total output by "enough" • Rawls also argued that the market system produces more inequality than acceptable – Fear of being disadvantaged beats hope of being rich – Fairness requires some attempt to reduce income inequality produced by the market 12-32 The Challenge of Income Redistribution • Raising incomes of the needy reduce incentives to work – Difficulty distinguishing between needy and others • Risk takers may appear "needy" • People who prefer not to work ineligible • Hurricane victims • No perfect solution – Choose among imperfect alternatives
  • 17. 08/26/2013 17 12-33 Welfare Payments and In-kind Transfers • In-kind transfers are direct transfers of goods or services – Food stamps, Medicaid, public housing, free school lunches • From mid 1960s to 1996, Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) provided cash – Sometimes required no adult male in the household • Destabilizing for families – Created persistent dependence on AFDC 12-34 1996 Personal Responsibilities Act • Cash grants from federal government to states – States determine distribution criteria – Five-year limit on benefits for each recipient • Reduced welfare rolls and encouraged self- reliance – May aggravate the condition of the poorest
  • 18. 08/26/2013 18 12-35 Means-Tested Benefit Programs • A means-tested program decreases benefits as the recipient's other income increases – Intends to avoid paying benefits to those who can support themselves • Administrative structure discourages work – If benefits are reduced by $1 for each $2 earned, participants in multiple programs may lose more benefits than the income they earn • Administrative costs are high – Simplify the program and distribute the cost savings to the needy 12-36 The Negative Income Tax (NIT) • Negative income tax is a tax credit for each person financed by tax on earned income • With no taxes, pre-tax income equals after-tax income • With NIT, low income families receive a cash transfer while high income families pay tax – Family with no income would receive the federal poverty threshold After-TaxIncome ($000s) Pre-Tax Income ($000s) No Taxes 10 15 20 10 15 20 NIT 14 16 tax transfer
  • 19. 08/26/2013 19 12-37 Negative Income Tax • Advantages – Incentive to work is greater than with welfare – Lower administrative cost • Disadvantages – Creates and incentive not to work – The political cost is high • NIT guarantees income to all who do not work 12-38 Minimum Wage Legislation • Minimum wage above equilibrium creates unemployment – Loss in total surplus – L1 workers earn more – (L0 – L1) are unemployed – Change in total earning depends on the elasticity of demand for labor • Studies show little effect of minimum wage on employment – Loss in total surplus may be small W L0L1 Wmin Unemployment Employment Wage($/hour) S D
  • 20. 08/26/2013 20 12-39 Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) • Earned-income tax credit is a policy under which low-income workers receive credits on their federal taxes • A family of four earns $15,000 – EITC is $4,750 – Federal taxes are reduced by $4,750 • If taxes are less than EITC, a refund is issued • EITC does not interfere with market incentives – Affects only people who work – Allows labor markets to reach equilibrium 12-40 Employer surplus $12.5K L (work-hours/day) W($/hour) S D 10 5,000 5 0 Worker surplus $12.5K No Minimum Wage Minimum Wages and Total Surplus L (work-hours/day) S W($/hour) D 5,000 5 10 0 Total surplus lost ($4K) Employer surplus ($4.5K) Minimum Wage ($7) 3 3,000 7 Worker surplus ($16.5K)
  • 21. 08/26/2013 21 12-41 EITC Is a Better Option • Market equilibrium reached with 5,000 work- hours and wage of $5 • Minimum wage reduces worker surplus by $4,000/day • Goal: restore worker surplus to its original level of $16,500/day – An earned-income tax credit of $0.80/hr for 5,000 person hours/day – Deadweight loss of minimum wage is translated into worker surplus – Finance with a $4,000/day tax on employers 12-42 Public Employment for the Poor • Overcomes the shortcomings of the EITC and NIT – EITC does not help the unemployed – NIT reduces the incentive to work • Government could employ the poor – If wages are the same as the private sector, some workers will prefer government jobs • Increases the cost of the program – Make-work programs are not productive – Increases size of government
  • 22. 08/26/2013 22 12-43 A Combination of Methods – Use a NIT with payment set below the poverty threshold – Set the public service wage below the minimum wage – Privatize the management of the public service employment program NIT Public Job NIT + Public Job NIT + Private Job Poverty threshold 12-44 Wrap-Up • Labor Markets – Supply, demand, and value of marginal product • Earnings Differentials • Income Inequality Human Capital Risk Compensating Wage Differentials Discrimination Labor Unions Winner-Take-All-Markets Quality of Human Capital Acceptable Distributions Welfare and In-Kind Transfers NIT Minimum Wage EITC Public Employment Combination of Methods