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Vice President, Research,
WSO2
Unravelling Todays Disruptive Tech
Landscape
Srinath Perera
● Landscape and market forces shape technology competition
○ With the added complexity that the landscape changes very fast
● Global Market Outlook (internal use)
○ Categorize middleware into segments and subsegments and estimate their
sizes and growth
● Global Technology Outlook (externally published)
○ A yearly critical review of emerging tech
● Goals
○ Internal understanding and planning
○ Sharing how we think about current and future markets
○ A means for dialog and feedback
CTO Office
Middleware Landscape (Market Outlook)
● We identified seven segments
○ Apps
○ Integration - ESB, APIs, Messaging, Workflows
○ Observability
○ Storage - RDBMS & NoSQL
○ Infrastructure - DevOps and Orchestration
○ Security
○ IoT
● We did an exercise to estimate their size and growth (CAGR)
ObservabilityApps Integration
AI & Analytics
Infrastructure
Security
Middleware Landscape
Application
Platforms
4.5(7%)
aPaas
ESB
Data
Integration
Analytics
AI
Storage
Data
Center
Automation
IoT
IMG
iPaas
API iSaaS
APM
Log
Analytics
DevOps
iDaaS
Access
Management
Security
Analytics
PIM
iDaaS
Legend
Growth>20%
10%<Growth <20%
Growth<10%
Increasing Growth
Decreasing Growth
Stream
Processing
CIAM
2B(25%)
1B(50%) 3.5(2%) 2.5(5%)
1B(50%) 1B(50%)
4B(25%) 3B(25%)
25(5%)
3B(5%) 40B(10%)
2.0(5%) 2B(34%)
0.5B
(30%)
3B(5%)
1B
(50%)
1B(30%) 1.5B(40%) 1.5B(20%)
Container
Orchestration
Interactions Between Segments
IoT
Integration
InfrastructureStorage
Security
AI&Analytics
Observability
Apps
Emerging Technologies (ET) Shapes the Landscape
IoT
Integration
InfrastructureStorage
Security
AI&Analytics
Observability
Apps
Sharing
Economy
3D Printing
Fintech
ServiceMesh
Serverless
Blockchain
Quantum
Computing
Chatbots
AR/VR
Understanding ETs: History
EDI
AI(take 1) RPC
Automatic
computing
VM
NoSQL Binary
RPC JSON
Chatbots
GPU
Deep
Learning
Big Data
AI
Serveless Blockchain
API IoT
Edge
Computing
AR/VR
3D
Printing
Quantum
Computing
Limited Success
Died
Major Impact
Current
Semantic Web
Cloud
DevOps
Containers
Microservices
ROA
SOA
Web
Services
CORBA
RMI
OOP
Design
Patterns
XML
-2000
2000-05
2005-10
2010-15
2015-
Legend
Understanding ETs: Gartner Hype Cycle
Understanding ETs: Carlota Perez Framework
ServiceMesh
Serverless
BlockChain
AR/VR
Chatbots
Quantum
Computing
3DPrinting
Sharing
Economy
Fintech
IoT
AI&Analytics
Apps
Security
Integration
Observability
Infra&Cloud
Storage
Cost Saving Agility,
& Productivity
Automation
Communication,
Integration, and
Trust
Loose Coupling
Between Entitle
Lack of
Programmers
Privacy
Government
Policy and Law
Complexity
Security
Monopoly/
Vendor Lock-in
ServiceMesh
Serverless
BlockChain
AR/VR
Chatbots
Quantum
Computing
3DPrinting
Sharing
Economy
Fintech
IoT
AI&Analytics
Apps
Security
Integration
Observability
Infra&Cloud
Storage
Cost Saving Agility,
& Productivity
Automation
Communication,
Integration, and
Trust
Loose Coupling
Between Entitle
Lack of
Programmers
Privacy
Government
Policy and Law
Complexity
Security
Monopoly/
Vendor-Lock-in
Cost savings is the
key driver!
Everything
drives
integration
Fintech AR/VR
Quantum
Computing
3D
Printing
ServiceMesh Serveless
Sharing
Economy
Blockchain
Chatbots
EDA BigData
AI/ML
API
Microservices
Cloud-Native
IoT
Potential Impact
StageofProgress
Major Advantage Change Industry Worldwide
Deployment
Disillusionment
Hype
Incubation
Technology Canvas
(work in progress)
● A framework for us to analyze technologies
○ Are we asking the right questions
● Inspired by “Business Model Canvas”
○ Designed to capture a business model narrative
○ https://strategyzer.com/canvas/business-model-canvas
● The narrative and questions let us analyze an emerging
technology with a critical approach
Can it be
done with
reasonable
effort?
Is there real
impact?
Net positive drivers
Future & risks
Narrative
Blockchain
A distributed immutable ledger that
provides trust without a third party
Technology
Slow (8 trans/minute)
Scale is limited
Can’t undo operations
e.g. Ethereum, HyperLedger
Vision
Electronic cash (Bitcoin)
Decentralized systems without central
control (social network, DNS, auction,
prediction markets, global reputation)
Safe ledgers (Government records, land
registry)
Opinion
Still early, vision is too big in many ways
Artificial Intelligence
Enable computer based data driven
decisions
Enables automation
Currently world is limited by humans in
the loop.
Next industrial revolution may be
powered by unlimited decision making
power (as opposed to by unlimited
mechanical power in the last)
Opinion:
it has slowed down due to lack of
programmers and data scientists (needs
automation for the data science process
itself and turnkey solutions)
Many initial wins
Nate Silver Election Forecasts IBM Watson
Moneyball (Baseball)
Timeline
● Timeline for publication of GTO outputs
○ Serverless - end of July
○ Blockchain - end of September
○ We will release each technology updates independently and do
summaries connecting them at end of each year.
● Other candidate areas
○ Chatbots, IoT, Immersive AR/VR, AI & Analytics, etc
THANK YOU
wso2.com

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[WSO2Con USA 2018] Unravelling Todays Disruptive Tech Landscape

  • 1. Vice President, Research, WSO2 Unravelling Todays Disruptive Tech Landscape Srinath Perera
  • 2.
  • 3. ● Landscape and market forces shape technology competition ○ With the added complexity that the landscape changes very fast ● Global Market Outlook (internal use) ○ Categorize middleware into segments and subsegments and estimate their sizes and growth ● Global Technology Outlook (externally published) ○ A yearly critical review of emerging tech ● Goals ○ Internal understanding and planning ○ Sharing how we think about current and future markets ○ A means for dialog and feedback CTO Office
  • 4. Middleware Landscape (Market Outlook) ● We identified seven segments ○ Apps ○ Integration - ESB, APIs, Messaging, Workflows ○ Observability ○ Storage - RDBMS & NoSQL ○ Infrastructure - DevOps and Orchestration ○ Security ○ IoT ● We did an exercise to estimate their size and growth (CAGR)
  • 5. ObservabilityApps Integration AI & Analytics Infrastructure Security Middleware Landscape Application Platforms 4.5(7%) aPaas ESB Data Integration Analytics AI Storage Data Center Automation IoT IMG iPaas API iSaaS APM Log Analytics DevOps iDaaS Access Management Security Analytics PIM iDaaS Legend Growth>20% 10%<Growth <20% Growth<10% Increasing Growth Decreasing Growth Stream Processing CIAM 2B(25%) 1B(50%) 3.5(2%) 2.5(5%) 1B(50%) 1B(50%) 4B(25%) 3B(25%) 25(5%) 3B(5%) 40B(10%) 2.0(5%) 2B(34%) 0.5B (30%) 3B(5%) 1B (50%) 1B(30%) 1.5B(40%) 1.5B(20%) Container Orchestration
  • 7. Emerging Technologies (ET) Shapes the Landscape IoT Integration InfrastructureStorage Security AI&Analytics Observability Apps Sharing Economy 3D Printing Fintech ServiceMesh Serverless Blockchain Quantum Computing Chatbots AR/VR
  • 8. Understanding ETs: History EDI AI(take 1) RPC Automatic computing VM NoSQL Binary RPC JSON Chatbots GPU Deep Learning Big Data AI Serveless Blockchain API IoT Edge Computing AR/VR 3D Printing Quantum Computing Limited Success Died Major Impact Current Semantic Web Cloud DevOps Containers Microservices ROA SOA Web Services CORBA RMI OOP Design Patterns XML -2000 2000-05 2005-10 2010-15 2015- Legend
  • 10. Understanding ETs: Carlota Perez Framework
  • 11.
  • 12. ServiceMesh Serverless BlockChain AR/VR Chatbots Quantum Computing 3DPrinting Sharing Economy Fintech IoT AI&Analytics Apps Security Integration Observability Infra&Cloud Storage Cost Saving Agility, & Productivity Automation Communication, Integration, and Trust Loose Coupling Between Entitle Lack of Programmers Privacy Government Policy and Law Complexity Security Monopoly/ Vendor Lock-in
  • 13. ServiceMesh Serverless BlockChain AR/VR Chatbots Quantum Computing 3DPrinting Sharing Economy Fintech IoT AI&Analytics Apps Security Integration Observability Infra&Cloud Storage Cost Saving Agility, & Productivity Automation Communication, Integration, and Trust Loose Coupling Between Entitle Lack of Programmers Privacy Government Policy and Law Complexity Security Monopoly/ Vendor-Lock-in Cost savings is the key driver! Everything drives integration
  • 14. Fintech AR/VR Quantum Computing 3D Printing ServiceMesh Serveless Sharing Economy Blockchain Chatbots EDA BigData AI/ML API Microservices Cloud-Native IoT Potential Impact StageofProgress Major Advantage Change Industry Worldwide Deployment Disillusionment Hype Incubation
  • 15. Technology Canvas (work in progress) ● A framework for us to analyze technologies ○ Are we asking the right questions ● Inspired by “Business Model Canvas” ○ Designed to capture a business model narrative ○ https://strategyzer.com/canvas/business-model-canvas ● The narrative and questions let us analyze an emerging technology with a critical approach
  • 16. Can it be done with reasonable effort? Is there real impact? Net positive drivers Future & risks Narrative
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Blockchain A distributed immutable ledger that provides trust without a third party Technology Slow (8 trans/minute) Scale is limited Can’t undo operations e.g. Ethereum, HyperLedger Vision Electronic cash (Bitcoin) Decentralized systems without central control (social network, DNS, auction, prediction markets, global reputation) Safe ledgers (Government records, land registry) Opinion Still early, vision is too big in many ways
  • 20. Artificial Intelligence Enable computer based data driven decisions Enables automation Currently world is limited by humans in the loop. Next industrial revolution may be powered by unlimited decision making power (as opposed to by unlimited mechanical power in the last) Opinion: it has slowed down due to lack of programmers and data scientists (needs automation for the data science process itself and turnkey solutions) Many initial wins Nate Silver Election Forecasts IBM Watson Moneyball (Baseball)
  • 21. Timeline ● Timeline for publication of GTO outputs ○ Serverless - end of July ○ Blockchain - end of September ○ We will release each technology updates independently and do summaries connecting them at end of each year. ● Other candidate areas ○ Chatbots, IoT, Immersive AR/VR, AI & Analytics, etc