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HIGH-ROI WIND
TURBINE PROPOSAL
A new way of thinking about wind energy
CREDENTIALS
My name is Kim
Christensen
I have an engineering
degree from Cal Poly and
a MBA
I have been a design
engineer for over thirty
years, including The Boeing
Company.
I have recently won
two R&D 100 awards
I have been
president of a wind
turbine company.
Value proposition #1:
Climate Change
Value proposition #1:
Climate Change
Climate change has become an
issue of national security for
the US.
Value proposition #2: Increase in
the ROI compared to current wind
turbines
Complex wing shapes
are expensive to
manufacture
Yaw systems, brake
systems and gearboxes
add costs and reduce
reliability.
The wind industry is a high fixed cost industry.
Return on investment is key.
Model of a high fixed cost
industry: An airline
90% of the cost of an airline are fixed costs.
Case study: Economics of a
conventional turbine
These are two 1 megawatt
Mitsubishi wind turbines
located in Tracey, California and
owned by Safeway corporation
The combined cost of the
two turbines is $5,000,000
The Safeway web site states
the each turbine had a
production of 1,069,296
kW-hours last year
Then, $.12* 1,069,296 = $128,315 in revenue
The pay-back period: $2,500,000/$128,315 = 19 years (without subsidy)
PG&E now pays ~$.12k
per KWH
Value engineered
propositions
 A wind turbine that does not require an expensive
foundation, yaw system or brake system
Value engineered propositions
 A wind turbine that has low-cost airfoils that can be
mass produced.
Enabling concept #1: Ultra-
high lift airfoils
Handley Page discovered ultra-high
lift, multi-element airfoils with CL
over 3.8!
Conventional wings have a
maximum CL of 1.8
Enabling concept #2: Constant cross-section
airfoils that can be mass-produced
Enabling concepts #3: Take advantage
of wind shear (7th power law)
Power of this wing: P= W*(1/738) *½ pClAV3
P= (1/738)*2*½*.00238*3.8*700*223= 91 KW
Power of this wing: P=(1/738) W*½ pCdAV3
P= (1/738)*2*½*.00238*2*700*223= 48 KW
P=0
P=~0
Total power is 139 KW
Estimated yearly production =
75,000 KWH
@14 MPH mean wind speed
Enabling concept #4: Eliminate the yaw
system with high aspect ratio wings
Typical wind rose
I invented a simplified and value-
engineered design and recently received
a patent
Cost of the VE wind turbine:
$75,000
Yearly production of the VE
wind turbine: 75,000 KWH (at
the same location as the
Mitsubishi.
Then, $.12/KWH* 75,000 KWH= $9,000 in revenue
The pay-back period: $75,000/$9000 = 8.3 years (without subsidy)
Put it all together!
The VE1 requires no
foundation, brake or
yaw system and is
optimized for
production at
moderate wind
speeds
Mining for wind
Target moderate wind speed
regimes, such as Hawaii
#
#
#
")
")
")
")
")
")
")
")
")
")")
160°0'0"W
160°0'0"W
159°0'0"W
159°0'0"W 158°0'0"W
158°0'0"W
157°0'0"W
157°0'0"W
156°0'0"W
156°0'0"W
155°0'0"W
155°0'0"W
19°0'0"N
19°0'0"N
20°0'0"N
20°0'0"N
21°0'0"N
21°0'0"N
22°0'0"N
22°0'0"N
350000
350000
425000
425000
500000
500000
575000
575000
650000
650000
725000
725000
800000
800000
875000
875000
950000
950000
2100000
2100000
2175000
2175000
2250000
2250000
2325000
2325000
2400000
2400000
2475000
2475000
Mean Speed at 50 m
mph m/s
< 12.3 < 5.5
12.3 - 13.4 5.5 - 6.0
13.4 - 14.5 6.0 - 6.5
14.5 - 15.7 6.5 - 7.0
15.7 - 16.8 7.0 - 7.5
16.8 - 17.9 7.5 - 8.0
17.9 - 19.0 8.0 - 8.5
19.0 - 20.1 8.5 - 9.0
20.1 - 21.3 9.0 - 9.5
> 21.3 > 9.5
Hawaii_FINAL_SPD50m_26July04.mxd
WindSpeedMapofHawaiiat50MetersWindSpeedMapofHawaiiat50Meters
Moloka'i
Lana'i
Maui
Kaho'olawe
Hawai'i
Kaua'i
O'ahu
Ni'ihau
Projection: UTM Zone 4, WGS 84
Spatial Resolution of Wind Resource Data: 200 m
This map was created by AWS Truewind using the MesoMap system and historical weather
data. Although it is believed to represent an accurate overall picture of the wind energy
resource, estimates at any location should be confirmed by measurement.
0 25 50 75 10012.5
Kilometers
0 25 50 75 10012.5
Miles
Key to Features
")
City
# Volcano
Major Road
County Boundary
Water Body
Pacific Ocean
Marketing plan
 Product: A mass-produced, value engineered wind
turbine targeted for moderate wind regimes
 Price: $75,000 for a 75,000 KW-Hr system (but
scalable)
 Place: Moderate wind regimes, such as coastal
regions
 Promotion: Build ten pre-production systems and
place them at test sites through-out the US.
Profit analysis
Variations of the theme
Actuator
Off-shore version
Variable angle of attack version
Manufacturing plan
Target Market
Phase 1 Project team and
funding
 CEO: Jack Frank (CEO of Andros, Inc.)
 VP Finance: Cindee Beachwood (CFO Andros, Inc)
 VP Engineering: Kim Christensen
 Manufacturing engineering: Rich Shaw
 Sales and Marketing: Bob Schrader (Andros, Inc)
 Electrical engineer and control systems consultant: Dave Palmer
 Objective: Design and build ten pre-production proto-types in two years.
 $750,000 in start-up funding to hire a manufacturing engineer, lease an
assembly facility, build tooling and build ten pre-production prototypes
Back-up
Typical wind turbine
power curves

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Value engineered wind turbine

  • 1. HIGH-ROI WIND TURBINE PROPOSAL A new way of thinking about wind energy
  • 2. CREDENTIALS My name is Kim Christensen I have an engineering degree from Cal Poly and a MBA I have been a design engineer for over thirty years, including The Boeing Company. I have recently won two R&D 100 awards I have been president of a wind turbine company.
  • 4. Value proposition #1: Climate Change Climate change has become an issue of national security for the US.
  • 5. Value proposition #2: Increase in the ROI compared to current wind turbines Complex wing shapes are expensive to manufacture Yaw systems, brake systems and gearboxes add costs and reduce reliability. The wind industry is a high fixed cost industry. Return on investment is key.
  • 6. Model of a high fixed cost industry: An airline 90% of the cost of an airline are fixed costs.
  • 7. Case study: Economics of a conventional turbine These are two 1 megawatt Mitsubishi wind turbines located in Tracey, California and owned by Safeway corporation The combined cost of the two turbines is $5,000,000 The Safeway web site states the each turbine had a production of 1,069,296 kW-hours last year Then, $.12* 1,069,296 = $128,315 in revenue The pay-back period: $2,500,000/$128,315 = 19 years (without subsidy) PG&E now pays ~$.12k per KWH
  • 8. Value engineered propositions  A wind turbine that does not require an expensive foundation, yaw system or brake system
  • 9. Value engineered propositions  A wind turbine that has low-cost airfoils that can be mass produced.
  • 10. Enabling concept #1: Ultra- high lift airfoils Handley Page discovered ultra-high lift, multi-element airfoils with CL over 3.8! Conventional wings have a maximum CL of 1.8
  • 11. Enabling concept #2: Constant cross-section airfoils that can be mass-produced
  • 12. Enabling concepts #3: Take advantage of wind shear (7th power law) Power of this wing: P= W*(1/738) *½ pClAV3 P= (1/738)*2*½*.00238*3.8*700*223= 91 KW Power of this wing: P=(1/738) W*½ pCdAV3 P= (1/738)*2*½*.00238*2*700*223= 48 KW P=0 P=~0 Total power is 139 KW Estimated yearly production = 75,000 KWH @14 MPH mean wind speed
  • 13. Enabling concept #4: Eliminate the yaw system with high aspect ratio wings Typical wind rose
  • 14. I invented a simplified and value- engineered design and recently received a patent Cost of the VE wind turbine: $75,000 Yearly production of the VE wind turbine: 75,000 KWH (at the same location as the Mitsubishi. Then, $.12/KWH* 75,000 KWH= $9,000 in revenue The pay-back period: $75,000/$9000 = 8.3 years (without subsidy)
  • 15. Put it all together! The VE1 requires no foundation, brake or yaw system and is optimized for production at moderate wind speeds
  • 17. Target moderate wind speed regimes, such as Hawaii # # # ") ") ") ") ") ") ") ") ") ")") 160°0'0"W 160°0'0"W 159°0'0"W 159°0'0"W 158°0'0"W 158°0'0"W 157°0'0"W 157°0'0"W 156°0'0"W 156°0'0"W 155°0'0"W 155°0'0"W 19°0'0"N 19°0'0"N 20°0'0"N 20°0'0"N 21°0'0"N 21°0'0"N 22°0'0"N 22°0'0"N 350000 350000 425000 425000 500000 500000 575000 575000 650000 650000 725000 725000 800000 800000 875000 875000 950000 950000 2100000 2100000 2175000 2175000 2250000 2250000 2325000 2325000 2400000 2400000 2475000 2475000 Mean Speed at 50 m mph m/s < 12.3 < 5.5 12.3 - 13.4 5.5 - 6.0 13.4 - 14.5 6.0 - 6.5 14.5 - 15.7 6.5 - 7.0 15.7 - 16.8 7.0 - 7.5 16.8 - 17.9 7.5 - 8.0 17.9 - 19.0 8.0 - 8.5 19.0 - 20.1 8.5 - 9.0 20.1 - 21.3 9.0 - 9.5 > 21.3 > 9.5 Hawaii_FINAL_SPD50m_26July04.mxd WindSpeedMapofHawaiiat50MetersWindSpeedMapofHawaiiat50Meters Moloka'i Lana'i Maui Kaho'olawe Hawai'i Kaua'i O'ahu Ni'ihau Projection: UTM Zone 4, WGS 84 Spatial Resolution of Wind Resource Data: 200 m This map was created by AWS Truewind using the MesoMap system and historical weather data. Although it is believed to represent an accurate overall picture of the wind energy resource, estimates at any location should be confirmed by measurement. 0 25 50 75 10012.5 Kilometers 0 25 50 75 10012.5 Miles Key to Features ") City # Volcano Major Road County Boundary Water Body Pacific Ocean
  • 18. Marketing plan  Product: A mass-produced, value engineered wind turbine targeted for moderate wind regimes  Price: $75,000 for a 75,000 KW-Hr system (but scalable)  Place: Moderate wind regimes, such as coastal regions  Promotion: Build ten pre-production systems and place them at test sites through-out the US.
  • 20. Variations of the theme Actuator Off-shore version Variable angle of attack version
  • 23. Phase 1 Project team and funding  CEO: Jack Frank (CEO of Andros, Inc.)  VP Finance: Cindee Beachwood (CFO Andros, Inc)  VP Engineering: Kim Christensen  Manufacturing engineering: Rich Shaw  Sales and Marketing: Bob Schrader (Andros, Inc)  Electrical engineer and control systems consultant: Dave Palmer  Objective: Design and build ten pre-production proto-types in two years.  $750,000 in start-up funding to hire a manufacturing engineer, lease an assembly facility, build tooling and build ten pre-production prototypes