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Untangling Complex
Systems: A Grand
Challenge for Science
A Marvelous Interdisciplinary Journey towards the
Comprehension of the Natural Complexity
Complexity Literacy Meeting
23-25 November, 2018
Pier Luigi Gentili
The two most relevant driving forces
of the Scientific Knowledge
To satisfy the epistemic curiosity: Which is the origin of the beauty in nature?
The two most relevant driving forces
of the Scientific Knowledge
To solve practical problems and improve the psyco-physical well-being of humans
http://www.science20.com/curious_cub/new_way_change_genetic_code-80059
CHALLENGES
Incurable
diseases
(Cancer, Leukemia,
AIDS, Diabete,
Alzheimer,…)
Unpredictable
Catastrophic
events on Earth
(Earthquakes, Volcanic
erupstions)
Climate
Change
Exploitation of the
energy and food
resources without
deteriorating natural
ecosystems and
biodiversity
Unpredictable
economic crisis
Poverty
reduction
Unpredictable
political crisis
Climate
Ecosystems
Economy
Human
societies
COMPLEX SYSTEMS
Geology
Living Beings
Human Immune System
Human Nervous System
Which are the common features of the
COMPLEX SYSTEMS?
1) Networks (n° nodes and edges)
Which are the common features of the
COMPLEX SYSTEMS?
2) Out-of-Equilibrium
Inanimate Matter is driven by force-fields
The interactions between living beings are information-based
Which are the common features of the
COMPLEX SYSTEMS?
3) Emergent Properties
Integration of the nodes originates properties that belong to the whole.
The whole is more than the sum of its parts (by Aristotle)
Plato Aristotle
By Raffaello
SELF-ORGANIZATION IN TIME
A living being is like «a house with
clocks in every room and every
corner, yet in one way or another,
they work in a organized way.»
SELF-ORGANIZATION IN TIME
In Ecosystems: «Everything is related to everything»
else»
http://durun.ugrasgrup.com/predator-prey-relationship/
SELF-ORGANIZATION IN TIME
In Economy
EXOGENOUS FACTORS
Technological innovations;
Wars;
Natural catastrophic events;
Political decisions;…
ENDOGENOUS FACTORS
Competition between employment rate (𝜇)
and wage share (𝜈).
𝜇 =
𝐿
𝑁
𝜈 =
𝑤𝐿
𝑌
SELF-ORGANIZATION IN TIME
In a Chemical Laboratory
𝐼𝑂 + 2𝐻 𝑂 + 𝐶𝐻 (𝐶𝑂 𝐻) +𝐻 ICH 𝐶𝑂 𝐻 + 2𝑂 + 3𝐻 𝑂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RFb8T2ED5E
𝐼
𝐼
𝐼 + 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑐ℎ
𝐻𝐼𝑂2
SELF-ORGANIZATION IN SPACE
Chemical Waves
Calcium Waves;
cAMP waves in Dictyostelium Discoideum;…
2𝐵𝑟𝑂 + 3𝐶𝐻 (𝐶𝑂 𝐻) +2𝐻 2BrCH 𝐶𝑂 𝐻 + 3𝐶𝑂 + 3𝐻2 𝑂
SELF-ORGANIZATION IN SPACE
Turing Patterns
PhyllotaxisAnimal markings
Development of embryos Dunes
SELF-ORGANIZATION IN SPACE
Periodic Precipitations
𝐴𝑔 𝐶𝑟𝑂
Malachite Agate
Fungal colony on an apple.
http://www.insilico.hu/liesegang/effects/effects.html
REALLY BIG QUESTION
Do the Complex Systems violate the II Law of Thermodynamics?
II Law of Thermodynamics
Non-equilibrium Thermodynamics
SdSddS ie
diS
deS
0Sdi
CHAOS IN TIME
Logistic Map: 𝒙 𝒏 𝟏 = 𝒓𝒙 𝒏(𝟏 − 𝒙 𝒏)
Features of Chaotic Dynamics:
Aperiodic;
Extremely sensitive to the initial conditions;
Unpredictable in the long term;
Positive Lyapunov exponent;
Dimension of the Strange Attractors;…
r
x
CHAOS IN SPACE: FRACTALS
The Chaos in Time generates Chaos in Space, i.e., Fractals
In nature, we find many fractal-like structures
Attributes of the Fractal Structures
Self-similarity;
Their Dimensions are not necessarily integer
numbers;
Which are the common features of the
COMPLEX SYSTEMS?
4) Their behaviour cannot be
predicted, especially in the
long term.
1) COMPUTATIONAL COMPLEXITY REASONS
We cannot solve accurately and in reasonable time,
exponential problems having large dimensions.
2) RECOGNITION OF VARIABLE PATTERNS
signal
time
Recognition of handwritten
cursive words or numbers
Recognition of human faces, voices and
fingerprints
Patterns in data
Patterns in medical
diagnosis
Deterministic Chaos
or Stochastic process?
3) THE DETERMINATIONS OF THE INITIAL
CONDITIONS ARE ALWAYS AFFECTED BY
UNCERTAINTIES AND ERRORS
If the Complex System exhibits chaotic behavior, its dynamics is
unpredictable in the long term, by definition.
0 4 8 12 16 20
-10
0
10
20
X(t)
time
Real trend
Prediction
How can we tackle the Complexity
Challenges?
We need to improve the ways
we collect, store, and process data
STRATEGIES
IMPROVE CURRENT
COMPUTERS
(1)
NATURAL COMPUTING
(2)
NATURAL COMPUTING
NEW ALGORITHMS
NEW MATERIALS and
ARCHITECTURES
to COMPUTE
NEW METHODOLOGIES and MODELS
to INTERPRET
NATURAL COMPLEXITY
Draw inspiration from nature to propose
Rationale: information is encoded through the states of natural systems
NATURAL COMPUTING
1° PROGRAM
NATURAL COMPUTING
INITIAL
STATE OF
THE SYSTEM
CAUSE
INPUT OUTPUT
EFFECT FINAL STATE
OF THE
SYSTEM
2° PROGRAM
~3x106 BC
Stone
Age
3x103 BC
1x103 BC
Bronze
Age
Iron Age
PRACTICAL
PERIOD
COMPUTATIONAL
PERIOD
21st century AD
PHYLOSOPHICAL
PERIOD
VI secolo BC
The first
philosophers in
Greece and its
colonies
EXPERIMENTAL
PERIOD
G. Galilei
e I. Newton
XVII
century AD
THE HUMANKIND JOURNEY TO DISCOVERING THE SECRETS OF NATURE
Untangling Complex Systems
A Grand Challenge for Science
Learn from yesterday,
Live for today,
Hope for tomorrow.
The important thing is
not to stop questioning
Albert Einstein
Index of the book
Chapter 1: Introduction.
Chapter 2: Reversibility or Irreversibility? That is the Question!
Chapter 3: Out-of-Equilibrium Thermodynamics.
Chapter 4: An amazing scientific voyage: from equilibrium up to self-organization through bifurcations.
Chapter 5: The emergence of temporal order in ecosystems.
Chapter 6: The emergence of temporal order in economy.
Chapter 7: The emergence of temporal order within a living being.
Chapter 8: The emergence of temporal order in a chemical laboratory.
Chapter 9: The emergence of order in space.
Chapter 10: The emergence of chaos in time.
Chapter 11: Chaos in space: The Fractals.
Chapter 12: Complex Systems
Chapter 13: How to untangle Complex Systems?
Appendix A: Numerical Solutions of Differential Equations
Appendix B: The Maximum Entropy Method
Appendix C: Fourier Transform of Waveforms
Appendix D: Errors and Uncertainties in Laboratory Experiments
Appendix E: Errors in Numerical Computation
Supporting Information
Chemical Waves
1) COMPUTATIONAL COMPLEXITY REASONS
𝑖ℏ
𝜕
𝜕𝑡
|Ψ >= ℋ|Ψ >
Schrödinger Equation
N 2N time
10 1024 ≈10 fs
20 1x106 ≈20 ps
500 3.3 × 10 1 ×
10 years
IBM Summit
122 PFlop/s
Much longer than the
age of the Universe:
14 × 10 years.
8 ps
https://www.top500.org/

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Untangling complex systems - Al Complexity Literacy Meeting le slides del libro presentato da Pier Luigi Gentili

  • 1. Untangling Complex Systems: A Grand Challenge for Science A Marvelous Interdisciplinary Journey towards the Comprehension of the Natural Complexity Complexity Literacy Meeting 23-25 November, 2018 Pier Luigi Gentili
  • 2. The two most relevant driving forces of the Scientific Knowledge To satisfy the epistemic curiosity: Which is the origin of the beauty in nature?
  • 3. The two most relevant driving forces of the Scientific Knowledge To solve practical problems and improve the psyco-physical well-being of humans http://www.science20.com/curious_cub/new_way_change_genetic_code-80059
  • 4. CHALLENGES Incurable diseases (Cancer, Leukemia, AIDS, Diabete, Alzheimer,…) Unpredictable Catastrophic events on Earth (Earthquakes, Volcanic erupstions) Climate Change Exploitation of the energy and food resources without deteriorating natural ecosystems and biodiversity Unpredictable economic crisis Poverty reduction Unpredictable political crisis Climate Ecosystems Economy Human societies COMPLEX SYSTEMS Geology Living Beings Human Immune System Human Nervous System
  • 5. Which are the common features of the COMPLEX SYSTEMS? 1) Networks (n° nodes and edges)
  • 6. Which are the common features of the COMPLEX SYSTEMS? 2) Out-of-Equilibrium Inanimate Matter is driven by force-fields The interactions between living beings are information-based
  • 7. Which are the common features of the COMPLEX SYSTEMS? 3) Emergent Properties Integration of the nodes originates properties that belong to the whole. The whole is more than the sum of its parts (by Aristotle) Plato Aristotle By Raffaello
  • 8. SELF-ORGANIZATION IN TIME A living being is like «a house with clocks in every room and every corner, yet in one way or another, they work in a organized way.»
  • 9. SELF-ORGANIZATION IN TIME In Ecosystems: «Everything is related to everything» else» http://durun.ugrasgrup.com/predator-prey-relationship/
  • 10. SELF-ORGANIZATION IN TIME In Economy EXOGENOUS FACTORS Technological innovations; Wars; Natural catastrophic events; Political decisions;… ENDOGENOUS FACTORS Competition between employment rate (𝜇) and wage share (𝜈). 𝜇 = 𝐿 𝑁 𝜈 = 𝑤𝐿 𝑌
  • 11. SELF-ORGANIZATION IN TIME In a Chemical Laboratory 𝐼𝑂 + 2𝐻 𝑂 + 𝐶𝐻 (𝐶𝑂 𝐻) +𝐻 ICH 𝐶𝑂 𝐻 + 2𝑂 + 3𝐻 𝑂 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RFb8T2ED5E 𝐼 𝐼 𝐼 + 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑐ℎ 𝐻𝐼𝑂2
  • 12. SELF-ORGANIZATION IN SPACE Chemical Waves Calcium Waves; cAMP waves in Dictyostelium Discoideum;… 2𝐵𝑟𝑂 + 3𝐶𝐻 (𝐶𝑂 𝐻) +2𝐻 2BrCH 𝐶𝑂 𝐻 + 3𝐶𝑂 + 3𝐻2 𝑂
  • 13. SELF-ORGANIZATION IN SPACE Turing Patterns PhyllotaxisAnimal markings Development of embryos Dunes
  • 14. SELF-ORGANIZATION IN SPACE Periodic Precipitations 𝐴𝑔 𝐶𝑟𝑂 Malachite Agate Fungal colony on an apple. http://www.insilico.hu/liesegang/effects/effects.html
  • 15. REALLY BIG QUESTION Do the Complex Systems violate the II Law of Thermodynamics? II Law of Thermodynamics Non-equilibrium Thermodynamics SdSddS ie diS deS 0Sdi
  • 16. CHAOS IN TIME Logistic Map: 𝒙 𝒏 𝟏 = 𝒓𝒙 𝒏(𝟏 − 𝒙 𝒏) Features of Chaotic Dynamics: Aperiodic; Extremely sensitive to the initial conditions; Unpredictable in the long term; Positive Lyapunov exponent; Dimension of the Strange Attractors;… r x
  • 17. CHAOS IN SPACE: FRACTALS The Chaos in Time generates Chaos in Space, i.e., Fractals In nature, we find many fractal-like structures Attributes of the Fractal Structures Self-similarity; Their Dimensions are not necessarily integer numbers;
  • 18. Which are the common features of the COMPLEX SYSTEMS? 4) Their behaviour cannot be predicted, especially in the long term.
  • 19. 1) COMPUTATIONAL COMPLEXITY REASONS We cannot solve accurately and in reasonable time, exponential problems having large dimensions.
  • 20. 2) RECOGNITION OF VARIABLE PATTERNS signal time Recognition of handwritten cursive words or numbers Recognition of human faces, voices and fingerprints Patterns in data Patterns in medical diagnosis Deterministic Chaos or Stochastic process?
  • 21. 3) THE DETERMINATIONS OF THE INITIAL CONDITIONS ARE ALWAYS AFFECTED BY UNCERTAINTIES AND ERRORS If the Complex System exhibits chaotic behavior, its dynamics is unpredictable in the long term, by definition. 0 4 8 12 16 20 -10 0 10 20 X(t) time Real trend Prediction
  • 22. How can we tackle the Complexity Challenges? We need to improve the ways we collect, store, and process data STRATEGIES IMPROVE CURRENT COMPUTERS (1) NATURAL COMPUTING (2)
  • 23. NATURAL COMPUTING NEW ALGORITHMS NEW MATERIALS and ARCHITECTURES to COMPUTE NEW METHODOLOGIES and MODELS to INTERPRET NATURAL COMPLEXITY Draw inspiration from nature to propose Rationale: information is encoded through the states of natural systems
  • 25. NATURAL COMPUTING INITIAL STATE OF THE SYSTEM CAUSE INPUT OUTPUT EFFECT FINAL STATE OF THE SYSTEM 2° PROGRAM
  • 26. ~3x106 BC Stone Age 3x103 BC 1x103 BC Bronze Age Iron Age PRACTICAL PERIOD COMPUTATIONAL PERIOD 21st century AD PHYLOSOPHICAL PERIOD VI secolo BC The first philosophers in Greece and its colonies EXPERIMENTAL PERIOD G. Galilei e I. Newton XVII century AD THE HUMANKIND JOURNEY TO DISCOVERING THE SECRETS OF NATURE
  • 27. Untangling Complex Systems A Grand Challenge for Science Learn from yesterday, Live for today, Hope for tomorrow. The important thing is not to stop questioning Albert Einstein
  • 28. Index of the book Chapter 1: Introduction. Chapter 2: Reversibility or Irreversibility? That is the Question! Chapter 3: Out-of-Equilibrium Thermodynamics. Chapter 4: An amazing scientific voyage: from equilibrium up to self-organization through bifurcations. Chapter 5: The emergence of temporal order in ecosystems. Chapter 6: The emergence of temporal order in economy. Chapter 7: The emergence of temporal order within a living being. Chapter 8: The emergence of temporal order in a chemical laboratory. Chapter 9: The emergence of order in space. Chapter 10: The emergence of chaos in time. Chapter 11: Chaos in space: The Fractals. Chapter 12: Complex Systems Chapter 13: How to untangle Complex Systems? Appendix A: Numerical Solutions of Differential Equations Appendix B: The Maximum Entropy Method Appendix C: Fourier Transform of Waveforms Appendix D: Errors and Uncertainties in Laboratory Experiments Appendix E: Errors in Numerical Computation
  • 31. 1) COMPUTATIONAL COMPLEXITY REASONS 𝑖ℏ 𝜕 𝜕𝑡 |Ψ >= ℋ|Ψ > Schrödinger Equation N 2N time 10 1024 ≈10 fs 20 1x106 ≈20 ps 500 3.3 × 10 1 × 10 years IBM Summit 122 PFlop/s Much longer than the age of the Universe: 14 × 10 years. 8 ps https://www.top500.org/