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UNDERSTANDING
ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
Updates on work in progress from the SOCIAM team
at Oxford CS…
Dr. Reuben Binns, Dr Jun Zhao, Dr Max Van Kleek, Prof. Sir. Nigel Shadbolt
reuben.binns@cs.ox.ac.uk
Dept. Computer Science, University of Oxford
QUESTION: WHAT DO THEY DO WITH THE DATA?
▸ Transparency over data collection is important, but then
what happens to it?
▸ How will they use it? Will they treat me differently?
UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
…BUILD MODELS!
▸ ML systems: build a model
which can predict or classify
things
▸ Examples:
▸ What products will this
person buy?
▸ will they pay back their loan?
▸ Is this email spam?
MACHINE LEARNING AND SOCIAL MACHINES
▸ People label data (‘spam’ / ‘not spam’, ‘good credit risk’ /
‘bad credit risk’), machines build models from it
▸ Models used to decide things:
▸ what adverts are seen
▸ who gets a loan
▸ what goes in the spam box
UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
ACCOUNTABILITY, TRANSPARENCY, FAIRNESS
▸ How do the biases of humans in training data find their way
into machine models?
▸ How should machines explain the outputs of their models
to humans? Can explanations help people assess the
fairness of those outputs?
UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
AUTOMATED CONTENT MODERATION
▸ Manual, community-driven
flagging
▸ Paid moderators
▸ Blacklisted words
AUTOMATED CONTENT MODERATION
‘TOXICITY’ SCORES
‘TOXICITY’ SCORES
ALGORITHMIC MODERATION AND BIAS
▸ 100k Wikipedia talk page comments, each annotated by 10 different
people for `toxicity’.
▸ Do different demographic sub-groups have different norms of offence?
▸ Yes: men and women often disagreed.
▸ Women had more diverse norms of offence.
y
n♀ ♀
y
y
♂ ♂
CREATING BIASED TRAINING DATA
▸ Created 30 training data sets, sampling men / women /
mixed genders from original Detox dataset
▸ Trained new offensive text classifiers based on these
biased samples
♀ ♀ ♀
♀ ♀ ♀
♀♀ ♀
♀ ♂ ♂
♂ ♂ ♂
♂♂ ♂
♂ ⚥ ⚥
♂ ⚥ ⚥
⚥⚥ ⚥
⚥
⚥
⚥
⚥
♂
♀
test upon
TESTING BIASED OFFENCE DETECTORS
▸ Test on unseen examples, labelled by each group (male /
female / balanced)
▸ All classifiers performed worse on female-labelled test
data
▸ Different coefficients between m / f.
Female Male Balanced
0.96 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.98
0.44
0.48
0.52
Specificity (true negative rate)
Sensitivity(true
positiverate)
Training set
Female
Balanced
Male
Test
EXPLAINING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
▸ ML systems used to decide:
▸ Who gets a loan
▸ Who to invite to an interview
▸ Insurance premiums
▸ How should these decisions be explained?
WHY DOES COMPUTER SAY NO?
▸ Data protection laws require organisations to provide
`meaningful information about the logic’ behind
automated decisions
▸ US laws require credit scoring companies to provide
`statements of reasons’
DECISION TREES?
LOCAL, INTERPRETABLE, MODEL-AGNOSTIC EXPLANATIONS
▸ E.g. Ribeiro, Marco Tulio, Sameer Singh, and
Carlos Guestrin. "Why should i trust you?:
Explaining the predictions of any classifier."
Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD
International Conference on Knowledge
Discovery and Data Mining. ACM, 2016.
SENSITIVITY
▸ What would I have to
change in order to
get a different result?
CASE BASED
▸ Marian is like Vivian,
and Vivian paid back
her loan, so Marian
will pay back her loan
Nugent, Conor, and Pádraig
Cunningham. "A case-based explanation
system for black-box systems." Artificial
Intelligence Review 24.2 (2005):
163-178.
DEMOGRAPHIC
▸ What are the
characteristics of
people who received
this outcome?
▸ What outcomes did
other people in my
demographic
categories get?
Ardissono, Liliana, et al. "Intrigue: personalized recommendation of tourist attractions for desktop and hand
held devices." Applied Artificial Intelligence 17.8-9 (2003): 687-714.
DO EXPLANATIONS AFFECT PERCEPTIONS OF JUSTICE?
▸ Tested people’s perceptions of justice in response to
various hypothetical cases using different explanation
styles…
DO EXPLANATIONS AFFECT PERCEPTIONS OF JUSTICE?
“She’s been a victim of
this computer system
that has to generalise
based on, like,
somebody else”
“If we were in a court of
law, I would argue we don’t
know his circumstances,
but given this computer
model and the way it works
it’s deserved”
“This is just simply
reducing a human being
to a percentage”

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Understanding Algorithmic Decisions

  • 1. UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS Updates on work in progress from the SOCIAM team at Oxford CS… Dr. Reuben Binns, Dr Jun Zhao, Dr Max Van Kleek, Prof. Sir. Nigel Shadbolt reuben.binns@cs.ox.ac.uk Dept. Computer Science, University of Oxford
  • 2. QUESTION: WHAT DO THEY DO WITH THE DATA? ▸ Transparency over data collection is important, but then what happens to it? ▸ How will they use it? Will they treat me differently? UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
  • 3. UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS …BUILD MODELS! ▸ ML systems: build a model which can predict or classify things ▸ Examples: ▸ What products will this person buy? ▸ will they pay back their loan? ▸ Is this email spam?
  • 4. MACHINE LEARNING AND SOCIAL MACHINES ▸ People label data (‘spam’ / ‘not spam’, ‘good credit risk’ / ‘bad credit risk’), machines build models from it ▸ Models used to decide things: ▸ what adverts are seen ▸ who gets a loan ▸ what goes in the spam box UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
  • 5. ACCOUNTABILITY, TRANSPARENCY, FAIRNESS ▸ How do the biases of humans in training data find their way into machine models? ▸ How should machines explain the outputs of their models to humans? Can explanations help people assess the fairness of those outputs? UNDERSTANDING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS
  • 6. AUTOMATED CONTENT MODERATION ▸ Manual, community-driven flagging ▸ Paid moderators ▸ Blacklisted words
  • 10. ALGORITHMIC MODERATION AND BIAS ▸ 100k Wikipedia talk page comments, each annotated by 10 different people for `toxicity’. ▸ Do different demographic sub-groups have different norms of offence? ▸ Yes: men and women often disagreed. ▸ Women had more diverse norms of offence. y n♀ ♀ y y ♂ ♂
  • 11. CREATING BIASED TRAINING DATA ▸ Created 30 training data sets, sampling men / women / mixed genders from original Detox dataset ▸ Trained new offensive text classifiers based on these biased samples ♀ ♀ ♀ ♀ ♀ ♀ ♀♀ ♀ ♀ ♂ ♂ ♂ ♂ ♂ ♂♂ ♂ ♂ ⚥ ⚥ ♂ ⚥ ⚥ ⚥⚥ ⚥ ⚥ ⚥ ⚥ ⚥ ♂ ♀ test upon
  • 12. TESTING BIASED OFFENCE DETECTORS ▸ Test on unseen examples, labelled by each group (male / female / balanced) ▸ All classifiers performed worse on female-labelled test data ▸ Different coefficients between m / f. Female Male Balanced 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.44 0.48 0.52 Specificity (true negative rate) Sensitivity(true positiverate) Training set Female Balanced Male Test
  • 13. EXPLAINING ALGORITHMIC DECISIONS ▸ ML systems used to decide: ▸ Who gets a loan ▸ Who to invite to an interview ▸ Insurance premiums ▸ How should these decisions be explained?
  • 14.
  • 15. WHY DOES COMPUTER SAY NO? ▸ Data protection laws require organisations to provide `meaningful information about the logic’ behind automated decisions ▸ US laws require credit scoring companies to provide `statements of reasons’
  • 17. LOCAL, INTERPRETABLE, MODEL-AGNOSTIC EXPLANATIONS ▸ E.g. Ribeiro, Marco Tulio, Sameer Singh, and Carlos Guestrin. "Why should i trust you?: Explaining the predictions of any classifier." Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. ACM, 2016.
  • 18. SENSITIVITY ▸ What would I have to change in order to get a different result?
  • 19. CASE BASED ▸ Marian is like Vivian, and Vivian paid back her loan, so Marian will pay back her loan Nugent, Conor, and Pádraig Cunningham. "A case-based explanation system for black-box systems." Artificial Intelligence Review 24.2 (2005): 163-178.
  • 20. DEMOGRAPHIC ▸ What are the characteristics of people who received this outcome? ▸ What outcomes did other people in my demographic categories get? Ardissono, Liliana, et al. "Intrigue: personalized recommendation of tourist attractions for desktop and hand held devices." Applied Artificial Intelligence 17.8-9 (2003): 687-714.
  • 21. DO EXPLANATIONS AFFECT PERCEPTIONS OF JUSTICE? ▸ Tested people’s perceptions of justice in response to various hypothetical cases using different explanation styles…
  • 22. DO EXPLANATIONS AFFECT PERCEPTIONS OF JUSTICE? “She’s been a victim of this computer system that has to generalise based on, like, somebody else” “If we were in a court of law, I would argue we don’t know his circumstances, but given this computer model and the way it works it’s deserved” “This is just simply reducing a human being to a percentage”