Ukraine: Humanitarian implications for the UK
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A foresight analysis of the potential humanitarian impacts upon the UK, arising from the Ukraine conflict.
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Law of the Future 2011
23 & 24 June 2011, Peace Palace, The Hague, The Netherlands
Title: Conflict, Fragility and Development in a Globalized World:
Challenges and Implications for the Law of The Future
By: Hassane Cisse
Keynote Presentation
www.lawofthefuture.org
CASE Network Studies and Analyses 322 - Towards Effective Anti-Corruption Str...
CASE Network Studies and Analyses 322 - Towards Effective Anti-Corruption Str...CASE Center for Social and Economic Research
The work presents a theoretical framework, and offers a tentative analytical framework for building strategies for combating systemic corruption of the kind that is observed in Ukraine. It argues that, as in some other countries undergoing the process of modernization, corruption in Ukraine plays an important social role by filling gaps between formal (often impracticable) rules, and informal ones. At the same time, it creates incentives and provides the means for maintaining and widening these gaps, as in the critically important case of “capture” of the state by extorting officials endowed with abnormal administrative discretion and affiliated with crony businesses. Systemic factors of such kind make corruption so persistent and anti-corruption so necessary for development.
Authored by: Vladimir Dubrovskiy
Published in 2006Amplifying and nullifying the impact of democratic sanctions through aid to c...
Both foreign aid and sanctions are foreign policy tools to promote
democracy. Yet, it is unclear how far incentives and coercion
enhance democratization. Since sanctions and aid are often
employed at the same time, the goal of this study is to determine
their joint effect on democratization in target/recipient countries.
We argue that sending democracy aid through civil society organizations
enhances the effectiveness of sanctions as a democracy
promotion tool because the civil society is empowered to introduce
democratic changes. Thus, in addition to the top-down
pressure on the target government created by sanctions, there
is a bottom-up pressure exerted by the civil society. Our empirical
results show that democratic sanctions by the European Union
and the United States are more likely to have a positive effect
when aid flows bypass the government. Conversely, aid channeled
through the public sector mitigates the generally positive
effect of sanctions on democracy. In order to estimate these joint
effects, we employ a new comprehensive dataset on economic
sanctions: the EUSANCT Dataset which integrates and updates
existing databases on sanctions for the period between 1989 and
2015, merged with disaggregated OECD aid data and V-Dem
democracy scores.
B4: Update on Brexit and the implications for charities
B4: Update on Brexit and the implications for charitiesNCVO - National Council for Voluntary Organisations
The document discusses the implications of Brexit for charities in the UK. It provides updates on key Brexit milestones such as triggering Article 50 and agreeing to an implementation period. It outlines how the Office for Civil Society can help charities understand Brexit impacts. Brexit may affect EU funding for charities, freedom of movement for EU citizens working in the sector, and EU laws and regulations that charities operate under. The future is uncertain but the sector is encouraged to provide views to help shape policies on these issues.Similar to Ukraine: Humanitarian implications for the UK (20)
Jack Radisch - OECD - 6th OECD Workshop on strategic crisis management
Jack Radisch - OECD - 6th OECD Workshop on strategic crisis management
Professor Bryan Edwards - Data for Security and Resilience
Professor Bryan Edwards - Data for Security and Resilience
Long-erm Care and Health Care Insurance in OECD and Other Countries
Long-erm Care and Health Care Insurance in OECD and Other Countries
HLEG thematic workshop on measuring economic, social and environmental resili...
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Tim Baxter: The Public Health White Paper: the story so far
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brown-finkelstein-2011-insuring-long-term-care-in-the-united-states.pdf
brown-finkelstein-2011-insuring-long-term-care-in-the-united-states.pdf
CASE Network Studies and Analyses 322 - Towards Effective Anti-Corruption Str...
CASE Network Studies and Analyses 322 - Towards Effective Anti-Corruption Str...
Amplifying and nullifying the impact of democratic sanctions through aid to c...
Amplifying and nullifying the impact of democratic sanctions through aid to c...
B4: Update on Brexit and the implications for charities
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More from Matthew Gwynfryn Thomas
Strategic Insight and Foresight - Service Offer
We are a team that supports high-quality decision making through data analysis, research, evidence reviews, and developing scenarios. We provide foresight on future humanitarian needs through horizon scanning, SWOT analyses, and scenario planning workshops. We also conduct insight and data analysis through maps, profiles, and statistical analysis on potential needs, vulnerabilities, and capacities related to strategic causes. Our research includes analyzing affected cohorts and conducting surveys and interviews. We aim to embed our insights into decision support tools and support un-siloed, evidence-based decision making.
Harnessing insights for humanitarian aid
This document summarizes the work of a team that uses qualitative and quantitative methods to produce actionable insights and analyses for humanitarian aid organizations. The team conducts research and data analysis to understand vulnerability, monitor emerging needs during crises like pandemics and disasters, and help target resources. Examples provided include mapping vulnerability to COVID-19 in the UK, analyzing changes in flooding vulnerability over time, and identifying areas that may need support for vaccine uptake. The goal is to harness data and evidence to help organizations provide effective aid and support to people in need.
Cooperation on the tundra: Field experiments with Saami herders
Slides from a talk I gave to the Evolutionary Demography Group at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine on Monday 11th May.
Social network analysis: Quadratic assignment procedure
Quadratic assignment procedure (QAP) is a permutation test that controls for non-independence in network data where dyads are not independent by permuting the response variable to create a sampling distribution of the null hypothesis. QAP can perform correlations and regressions on network data and is easy to interpret. It works by performing a regression on the original data and then permuting the response variable many times to create random datasets for comparison. The p-value is the proportion of times the null coefficient is greater than or equal to the observed estimate.
Gift games among saami pastoralists
Slides from a talk presented at the 2014 London Evolutionary Research Network (LERN) conference.
Abstract:
An evolutionary interpretation of cooperative behaviours must ultimately include an increase the inclusive fitness of actors as well as recipients. At the proximate level, mechanisms for encouraging and maintaining cooperation include factors such as kin discrimination, limited dispersal as well as direct and indirect reciprocity. However humans are also known for co-operating with individuals who are not necessarily close relatives, and often in co-operative groups. Here, we aim to quantify the relative importance of kinship and social group membership as mediators of cooperative behaviour.
Using a modified, externally valid Dictator Game, we test whether indigenous Saami reindeer herders in Norway preferentially give gifts to genetic relatives or to members of their cooperative herding group (the ‘siida’).
Membership of the same siida strongly increased the odds of receiving a gift. Kinship had a small (and not statistically significant) effect, even for close relatives. Gifts were not preferentially given to younger family members. These patterns suggest that social grouping can trump genetic factors in mediating cooperative behaviour in this population. This is likely due to the importance of herding groups in day-to-day subsistence.
Sibling competition lengthens while hazardous environments shorten optimal hu...
Sibling competition lengthens while hazardous environments shorten optimal hu...Matthew Gwynfryn Thomas
Sibling competition lengthens while hazardous environments shorten optimal human birth spacing. The researchers developed a state-dependent optimality model to examine how birth intervals adapt to ecology and sibling competition. They found that high mortality environments lead to shorter birth spacing, while greater sibling competition leads to longer spacing between births. The model provides plausible mechanisms for how reproductive schedules adapt but does not include menopause; future work could examine additional factors.Dispersal, competition & menopause
This document discusses using agent-based modeling to test whether reproductive cessation and post-reproductive lifespan could evolve due to local mating competition and sex-biased dispersal patterns. It describes how agent-based modeling creates a simplified simulated version of reality using individual agents with properties, perceptions, and rules of action. The model presented simulates a human population split into patches with limited breeding spots to test if reproductive cessation emerges over generations with competition for breeding positions. The results could help explain why humans and some whales cease reproduction well before the end of their lifespan.
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Cooperation on the tundra: Field experiments with Saami herders
Cooperation on the tundra: Field experiments with Saami herders
Social network analysis: Quadratic assignment procedure
Social network analysis: Quadratic assignment procedure
Sibling competition lengthens while hazardous environments shorten optimal hu...
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本公司拥有海外各大学样板无数，能完美还原。
1:1完美还原海外各大学毕业材料上的工艺：水印，阴影底纹，钢印LOGO烫金烫银，LOGO烫金烫银复合重叠。文字图案浮雕、激光镭射、紫外荧光、温感、复印防伪等防伪工艺。材料咨询办理、认证咨询办理请加学历顾问Q/微741003700
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如果您处于以下几种情况：
◇在校期间，因各种原因未能顺利毕业……拿不到官方毕业证【q/微741003700】
◇面对父母的压力，希望尽快拿到；
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◇回国时间很长，忘记办理；
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1:该专业认证可证明留学生真实身份
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3:国家专业人才认证中心颁发入库证书
4:这个认证书并且可以归档倒地方
5:凡事获得留信网入网的信息将会逐步更新到个人身份内，将在公安局网内查询个人身份证信息后，同步读取人才网入库信息
6:个人职称评审加20分
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Texas Water Development Board Updates June 2024
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Border towns and spaces of (in)visibility.pdf
This report explores the significance of border towns and spaces for strengthening responses to young people on the move. In particular it explores the linkages of young people to local service centres with the aim of further developing service, protection, and support strategies for migrant children in border areas across the region. The report is based on a small-scale fieldwork study in the border towns of Chipata and Katete in Zambia conducted in July 2023. Border towns and spaces provide a rich source of information about issues related to the informal or irregular movement of young people across borders, including smuggling and trafficking. They can help build a picture of the nature and scope of the type of movement young migrants undertake and also the forms of protection available to them. Border towns and spaces also provide a lens through which we can better understand the vulnerabilities of young people on the move and, critically, the strategies they use to navigate challenges and access support.
The findings in this report highlight some of the key factors shaping the experiences and vulnerabilities of young people on the move – particularly their proximity to border spaces and how this affects the risks that they face. The report describes strategies that young people on the move employ to remain below the radar of visibility to state and non-state actors due to fear of arrest, detention, and deportation while also trying to keep themselves safe and access support in border towns. These strategies of (in)visibility provide a way to protect themselves yet at the same time also heighten some of the risks young people face as their vulnerabilities are not always recognised by those who could offer support.
In this report we show that the realities and challenges of life and migration in this region and in Zambia need to be better understood for support to be strengthened and tuned to meet the specific needs of young people on the move. This includes understanding the role of state and non-state stakeholders, the impact of laws and policies and, critically, the experiences of the young people themselves. We provide recommendations for immediate action, recommendations for programming to support young people on the move in the two towns that would reduce risk for young people in this area, and recommendations for longer term policy advocacy.
IEA World Energy Investment June 2024- Statistics
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Publication: June 2024
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留信网认证的作用:
1:该专业认证可证明留学生真实身份
2:同时对留学生所学专业登记给予评定
3:国家专业人才认证中心颁发入库证书
4:这个认证书并且可以归档倒地方
5:凡事获得留信网入网的信息将会逐步更新到个人身份内，将在公安局网内查询个人身份证信息后，同步读取人才网入库信息
6:个人职称评审加20分
7:个人信誉贷款加10分
8:在国家人才网主办的国家网络招聘大会中纳入资料，供国家高端企业选择人才
Antyodaya saral portal haryana govt schemes
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本公司拥有海外各大学样板无数，能完美还原。
1:1完美还原海外各大学毕业材料上的工艺：水印，阴影底纹，钢印LOGO烫金烫银，LOGO烫金烫银复合重叠。文字图案浮雕、激光镭射、紫外荧光、温感、复印防伪等防伪工艺。材料咨询办理、认证咨询办理请加学历顾问Q/微741003700
【主营项目】
一.毕业证【q微741003700】成绩单、使馆认证、教育部认证、雅思托福成绩单、学生卡等！
二.真实使馆公证(即留学回国人员证明,不成功不收费)
三.真实教育部学历学位认证（教育部存档！教育部留服网站永久可查）
四.办理各国各大学文凭(一对一专业服务,可全程监控跟踪进度)
如果您处于以下几种情况：
◇在校期间，因各种原因未能顺利毕业……拿不到官方毕业证【q/微741003700】
◇面对父母的压力，希望尽快拿到；
◇不清楚认证流程以及材料该如何准备；
◇回国时间很长，忘记办理；
◇回国马上就要找工作，办给用人单位看；
◇企事业单位必须要求办理的
◇需要报考公务员、购买免税车、落转户口
◇申请留学生创业基金
留信网认证的作用:
1:该专业认证可证明留学生真实身份
2:同时对留学生所学专业登记给予评定
3:国家专业人才认证中心颁发入库证书
4:这个认证书并且可以归档倒地方
5:凡事获得留信网入网的信息将会逐步更新到个人身份内，将在公安局网内查询个人身份证信息后，同步读取人才网入库信息
6:个人职称评审加20分
7:个人信誉贷款加10分
8:在国家人才网主办的国家网络招聘大会中纳入资料，供国家高端企业选择人才
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AHMR volume 10 number 1 January-April 2024
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2024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 40
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Combined Illegal, Unregulated and Unreported (IUU) Vessel List.
The best available, up-to-date information on all fishing and related vessels that appear on the illegal, unregulated, and unreported (IUU) fishing vessel lists published by Regional Fisheries Management Organisations (RFMOs) and related organisations. The aim of the site is to improve the effectiveness of the original IUU lists as a tool for a wide variety of stakeholders to better understand and combat illegal fishing and broader fisheries crime.
To date, the following regional organisations maintain or share lists of vessels that have been found to carry out or support IUU fishing within their own or adjacent convention areas and/or species of competence:
Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR)
Commission for the Conservation of Southern Bluefin Tuna (CCSBT)
General Fisheries Commission for the Mediterranean (GFCM)
Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission (IATTC)
International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas (ICCAT)
Indian Ocean Tuna Commission (IOTC)
Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Organisation (NAFO)
North East Atlantic Fisheries Commission (NEAFC)
North Pacific Fisheries Commission (NPFC)
South East Atlantic Fisheries Organisation (SEAFO)
South Pacific Regional Fisheries Management Organisation (SPRFMO)
Southern Indian Ocean Fisheries Agreement (SIOFA)
Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission (WCPFC)
The Combined IUU Fishing Vessel List merges all these sources into one list that provides a single reference point to identify whether a vessel is currently IUU listed. Vessels that have been IUU listed in the past and subsequently delisted (for example because of a change in ownership, or because the vessel is no longer in service) are also retained on the site, so that the site contains a full historic record of IUU listed fishing vessels.
Unlike the IUU lists published on individual RFMO websites, which may update vessel details infrequently or not at all, the Combined IUU Fishing Vessel List is kept up to date with the best available information regarding changes to vessel identity, flag state, ownership, location, and operations.
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Ukraine: Humanitarian implications for the UK
- 2. Overview This deck synthesises, updates and iterates our existing scenario analyses around the conflict in Ukraine: - A deep-dive on people seeking protection in the UK - Broader humanitarian impacts and potential consequences for the UK (See Partnership Roundup dated 15 March). Here, we present the key events and phenomena that could impact the UK that VCS organisations should consider in their planning and responses. Although the time horizon for some phenomena may be further into the future, the time horizon for action may be now.
- 3. Drivers of change Predetermined potential impacts Medium-to-high impact phenomena that are better understood Critical uncertainties Highly uncertain high-impact phenomena > Potential destitution for Ukrainian refugees after official support ends > Nuclear attacks/radiation > Cyberattacks targeting critical infrastructure > Trafficking into/within UK > Public goodwill towards Ukrainian and other refugees > Hate crimes > Escalation in the conflict > Further cost of living increases increased poverty > Health needs of refugees in an already- pressured health system > Social worker shortage > Potential delays to Afghan resettlement > Nationality and Borders Bill > Refugees entering through ‘irregular’ routes > Mental health, trauma
- 4. Ripple effects and blind spots Ripple effects Potential high-impact humanitarian impacts further into the future Blind spots What else do we know we don’t know? > Future refugee crises after global food shortages and subsequent conflicts (esp. in Middle East and Africa) > Climate change consequences of short-term decisions around energy supply > Possible government subsidies of energy bills > Possible conscription if NATO becomes involved > Risk of recession following energy price shocks > Increased social and material inequalities > What are we missing?
- 5. What’s next: Turning this analysis into action (1) Conduct a SWOT within your organisation - Gather diverse minds together to explore opportunities, threats, enablers of effective change, and change-blockers - Map these against your organisational strengths and weaknesses - Share your insights with other Partners so we can learn and plan together (2) Build scenarios for your organisation - Use these drivers of change to understand how they might affect your organisation – for example, what if levels of destitution among refugees increase while at the same time health/social care availability becomes more constrained?
- 6. What’s next: BRC scenario planning beyond Ukraine We are refining our scenario analysis approach to guide BRC’s own strategic planning for 2023-25, with the first outputs due in May-June. Much will be relevant to VCSEP partners. We will share as much of the exploratory scenarios with you as we can. What are we missing? Scenario planning works best when diverse voices participate in their creation. We would love to facilitate this kind of collaboration across the Partnership – contact Clare Darlow if you would like to be a part of it.