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Cluster 1: Spectrum Usage and Demand
Progress Update & Public Cellular Mobile
8th December 2014
Prof. Simon Saunders
16/12/2014 1© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
The UK Spectrum Policy Forum
16/12/2014 2© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
UK Social and
Economic
Value
Cluster 1:
Applications
and Sector
needs
Cluster 2:
Spectrum
release and
access
mechanisms
Cluster 3:
Social Value
of Spectrum
Government and Ofcom:
• Political, Economic, Legal
and Social Context
• Goals, policy and regulation
• Sector needs
• Current spectrum
usage
• Future evolution
• Spectrum allocation
• Spectrum assignment
modes
• Technology evolution
• How to assign
value to uses of
spectrum of
benefit to society?
Steering
Board
Cluster 1 Terms of Reference
Overall goal:
• To promote a joined-up understanding of current and future
spectrum needs across UK users, thereby assisting in maximising associated
benefits (social and economic) and by ensuring spectrum supply can be efficiently
matched to those needs.
Specific Aims
• To identify and characterise the UK private and public sectors which have distinct
dependencies on spectrum
• To determine the current needs and usage of spectrum and associated technology
• To determine the expectations of change in sector service needs and associated
usage of spectrum
• To determine the potential level of flexibility for modes of spectrum access
amongst licenced, licence-exempt and intermediate modes (e.g. licensed shared
access, cognitive access etc.)
16/12/2014 3© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
Data being gathered for each sector in Cluster 1
16/12/2014 4© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
Scope of the sector
Contributions to social and economic value
Current and recent past status
Sector trends
Usage of technologies and spectrum
Expected changes to tech and spectrum
Longer-term (10-20 years) tech and spectrum
needs and options
Plus:
1. What are the
spectrum ‘pinch
points’ for the sector?
2. How can UK SPF make
a positive
contribution?
Cluster 1 Deliverable
• Scope:
• Sectoral summary of UK spectrum needs
• Identify ‘pinch points’ and ‘opportunities for
collaboration’ as input to SPF’s 2015 work
programme
• Audience:
• Government to inform future spectrum and
infrastructure policy
• Spectrum users to foster mutual understanding
and cooperation
• Cluster 3 to inform analysis of social and
economic benefits in common framework
• First draft was circulated to SPF Steering Board
in October:
• Introductory chapters
• Space sector chapter
• The current status is summarised on the next
slide
16/12/2014 5© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
Status of Cluster 1 Deliverable
16/12/2014 6© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
1. Introduction .......................................................................................... 1
1.1 About the UK Spectrum Policy Forum.......................................................... 1
1.2 Scope of this document................................................................................ 1
1.3 Approach....................................................................................................... 2
2. Spectrum policy in the UK and internationally........................................ 4
3. Space..................................................................................................... 7
4. Utilities.................................................................................................. 8
4.1 Scope of the sector....................................................................................... 8
4.2 Contributions to social and economic value ................................................ 9
4.3 Current and recent past status................................................................... 10
4.4 Sector trends............................................................................................... 11
4.5 Spectrum usage .......................................................................................... 13
4.6 Expected changes to technology and spectrum......................................... 14
4.7 Long term technology and spectrum needs and options........................... 19
4.8 Conclusion................................................................................................... 22
5. Defence................................................................................................23
6. Short range wireless .............................................................................23
7. Broadcasting and entertainment...........................................................23
8. Public Mobile .......................................................................................23
3. Space..................................................................................................... 7
4. Utilities.................................................................................................. 8
4.1 Scope of the sector....................................................................................... 8
4.2 Contributions to social and economic value ................................................ 9
4.3 Current and recent past status................................................................... 10
4.4 Sector trends............................................................................................... 11
4.5 Spectrum usage .......................................................................................... 13
4.6 Expected changes to technology and spectrum......................................... 14
4.7 Long term technology and spectrum needs and options........................... 19
4.8 Conclusion................................................................................................... 22
5. Defence................................................................................................23
6. Short range wireless .............................................................................23
7. Broadcasting and entertainment...........................................................23
8. Public Mobile .......................................................................................23
9. Business Radio......................................................................................24
10. Transportation .....................................................................................24
11. Other spectrum usage ..........................................................................24
12. UK Spectrum ‘Pinch Points’...................................................................25
13. Scope for UK Spectrum Policy Forum to make a positive contribution ...26
References .........................................................................................................29
Drafted Approval
sought
Approved

  
  
 


Today
  
11/12
Spectrum Usage Sectors
16/12/2014 7© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
Sectors not fully addressed in Cluster 1 in 2013-14
- IoT / M2M
- Amateur radio
- Fixed broadband (and wireless front/backhaul)
- Smart cities
- Meteorology
These will be briefly treated in the deliverable, and will be addressed more fully in our
2015 agenda
Public (cellular) mobile
16/12/2014 8© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
Some views from Telefónica UK
• As we know, mobile services generate the greatest economic value by some way in Europe, compared to other
spectrum users. UK mobile operators invest around £2bn per annum in their networks, rolling out 4G and
improving 2G and 3G networks. Yet revenue growth in the UK market in recent years has, at best, been
minimal. Consumers nevertheless continue to demand better, faster and more ubiquitous services and use ever
increasing amounts of data, all of which has to be supported by the network, spectrum and therefore
investment.
• However, as our income is finite, this explains the increasing focus on cost and on targeted investment. It is
therefore vital that Government policy and sectoral regulation provides the right climate to encourage such
investment to continue. There should be a focus on certainty and stability, for example, long spectrum licence
durations, exclusive spectrum (which is efficiently “shared” between tens of millions of our customers) and
avoiding taxation in the form of high Annual Licence Fees or short-term ‘populist’ initiatives. Attention should
be dedicated to strategic improvements that create the right incentives to invest and that can facilitate real
benefit to UK consumers and businesses.
• To encourage this continued investment, meet fast rising demand and support growth, it is important that the
Government makes more spectrum available at the right time. We have seen the demand for our services rise
by a factor of more than 30 in recent years, our customers are using 60% more data than they were 12 months
ago, and over 600% more than 4 years ago. Our 4G network has already carried more traffic in 6 months than
our entire network did between 2000-2008. Such evident demand has to be supported by the network and
more spectrum is required, generally, to meet the mobile data demand.
16/12/2014 9© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
Transportation event on Thursday
16/12/2014 10© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
Contact
Real Wireless
PO Box 2218
Pulborough
West Sussex
RH20 4XB
United Kingdom
realwireless.biz
Tel: +44 (0) 207 117 8514
Web: www.realwireless.biz
Blog: realwireless.biz/blog
Email: info@realwireless.biz
16/12/2014 11© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014

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Cluster 1 Spectrum Usage Progress & Mobile Cellular Demand

  • 1. Cluster 1: Spectrum Usage and Demand Progress Update & Public Cellular Mobile 8th December 2014 Prof. Simon Saunders 16/12/2014 1© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
  • 2. The UK Spectrum Policy Forum 16/12/2014 2© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014 UK Social and Economic Value Cluster 1: Applications and Sector needs Cluster 2: Spectrum release and access mechanisms Cluster 3: Social Value of Spectrum Government and Ofcom: • Political, Economic, Legal and Social Context • Goals, policy and regulation • Sector needs • Current spectrum usage • Future evolution • Spectrum allocation • Spectrum assignment modes • Technology evolution • How to assign value to uses of spectrum of benefit to society? Steering Board
  • 3. Cluster 1 Terms of Reference Overall goal: • To promote a joined-up understanding of current and future spectrum needs across UK users, thereby assisting in maximising associated benefits (social and economic) and by ensuring spectrum supply can be efficiently matched to those needs. Specific Aims • To identify and characterise the UK private and public sectors which have distinct dependencies on spectrum • To determine the current needs and usage of spectrum and associated technology • To determine the expectations of change in sector service needs and associated usage of spectrum • To determine the potential level of flexibility for modes of spectrum access amongst licenced, licence-exempt and intermediate modes (e.g. licensed shared access, cognitive access etc.) 16/12/2014 3© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
  • 4. Data being gathered for each sector in Cluster 1 16/12/2014 4© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014 Scope of the sector Contributions to social and economic value Current and recent past status Sector trends Usage of technologies and spectrum Expected changes to tech and spectrum Longer-term (10-20 years) tech and spectrum needs and options Plus: 1. What are the spectrum ‘pinch points’ for the sector? 2. How can UK SPF make a positive contribution?
  • 5. Cluster 1 Deliverable • Scope: • Sectoral summary of UK spectrum needs • Identify ‘pinch points’ and ‘opportunities for collaboration’ as input to SPF’s 2015 work programme • Audience: • Government to inform future spectrum and infrastructure policy • Spectrum users to foster mutual understanding and cooperation • Cluster 3 to inform analysis of social and economic benefits in common framework • First draft was circulated to SPF Steering Board in October: • Introductory chapters • Space sector chapter • The current status is summarised on the next slide 16/12/2014 5© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
  • 6. Status of Cluster 1 Deliverable 16/12/2014 6© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014 1. Introduction .......................................................................................... 1 1.1 About the UK Spectrum Policy Forum.......................................................... 1 1.2 Scope of this document................................................................................ 1 1.3 Approach....................................................................................................... 2 2. Spectrum policy in the UK and internationally........................................ 4 3. Space..................................................................................................... 7 4. Utilities.................................................................................................. 8 4.1 Scope of the sector....................................................................................... 8 4.2 Contributions to social and economic value ................................................ 9 4.3 Current and recent past status................................................................... 10 4.4 Sector trends............................................................................................... 11 4.5 Spectrum usage .......................................................................................... 13 4.6 Expected changes to technology and spectrum......................................... 14 4.7 Long term technology and spectrum needs and options........................... 19 4.8 Conclusion................................................................................................... 22 5. Defence................................................................................................23 6. Short range wireless .............................................................................23 7. Broadcasting and entertainment...........................................................23 8. Public Mobile .......................................................................................23 3. Space..................................................................................................... 7 4. Utilities.................................................................................................. 8 4.1 Scope of the sector....................................................................................... 8 4.2 Contributions to social and economic value ................................................ 9 4.3 Current and recent past status................................................................... 10 4.4 Sector trends............................................................................................... 11 4.5 Spectrum usage .......................................................................................... 13 4.6 Expected changes to technology and spectrum......................................... 14 4.7 Long term technology and spectrum needs and options........................... 19 4.8 Conclusion................................................................................................... 22 5. Defence................................................................................................23 6. Short range wireless .............................................................................23 7. Broadcasting and entertainment...........................................................23 8. Public Mobile .......................................................................................23 9. Business Radio......................................................................................24 10. Transportation .....................................................................................24 11. Other spectrum usage ..........................................................................24 12. UK Spectrum ‘Pinch Points’...................................................................25 13. Scope for UK Spectrum Policy Forum to make a positive contribution ...26 References .........................................................................................................29 Drafted Approval sought Approved            Today    11/12
  • 7. Spectrum Usage Sectors 16/12/2014 7© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014 Sectors not fully addressed in Cluster 1 in 2013-14 - IoT / M2M - Amateur radio - Fixed broadband (and wireless front/backhaul) - Smart cities - Meteorology These will be briefly treated in the deliverable, and will be addressed more fully in our 2015 agenda
  • 8. Public (cellular) mobile 16/12/2014 8© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
  • 9. Some views from Telefónica UK • As we know, mobile services generate the greatest economic value by some way in Europe, compared to other spectrum users. UK mobile operators invest around £2bn per annum in their networks, rolling out 4G and improving 2G and 3G networks. Yet revenue growth in the UK market in recent years has, at best, been minimal. Consumers nevertheless continue to demand better, faster and more ubiquitous services and use ever increasing amounts of data, all of which has to be supported by the network, spectrum and therefore investment. • However, as our income is finite, this explains the increasing focus on cost and on targeted investment. It is therefore vital that Government policy and sectoral regulation provides the right climate to encourage such investment to continue. There should be a focus on certainty and stability, for example, long spectrum licence durations, exclusive spectrum (which is efficiently “shared” between tens of millions of our customers) and avoiding taxation in the form of high Annual Licence Fees or short-term ‘populist’ initiatives. Attention should be dedicated to strategic improvements that create the right incentives to invest and that can facilitate real benefit to UK consumers and businesses. • To encourage this continued investment, meet fast rising demand and support growth, it is important that the Government makes more spectrum available at the right time. We have seen the demand for our services rise by a factor of more than 30 in recent years, our customers are using 60% more data than they were 12 months ago, and over 600% more than 4 years ago. Our 4G network has already carried more traffic in 6 months than our entire network did between 2000-2008. Such evident demand has to be supported by the network and more spectrum is required, generally, to meet the mobile data demand. 16/12/2014 9© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
  • 10. Transportation event on Thursday 16/12/2014 10© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014
  • 11. Contact Real Wireless PO Box 2218 Pulborough West Sussex RH20 4XB United Kingdom realwireless.biz Tel: +44 (0) 207 117 8514 Web: www.realwireless.biz Blog: realwireless.biz/blog Email: info@realwireless.biz 16/12/2014 11© Real Wireless Ltd. 2014