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Transitioning to a Clean    Energy Economy Coalition for Green Capital Kenneth Berlin, General Counsel (202) 371-7350 Kenneth.Berlin@Skadden.com) www.coalitionforgreencapital.com Presented to:  Washington Clean Technology    Alliance Seattle – July 14, 2011
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Coalition for Green Capital ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Outline of Presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Context – CO2 Emissions by Sector and Source
Step 1  –  Reducing Electric Power Sector Emissions - Closing Coal Plants ,[object Object],[object Object],Information from Deutsche Bank report: http://bit.ly/lKCMzK
Step 1  –  Reducing Electric Power Sector Emissions - Closing Coal Plants Many coal fired plants lack pollution control equipment :
Step 1 – Reducing Electric Power Sector  Emissions Forecasts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 2 – Replacing Coal Plants ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 3 – Increasing Energy Efficiency   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Set 3 – Increasing Energy Efficiency: Energy Efficiency Predictions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Set 3 – Increasing Energy Efficiency:  The High up Front Cost of Energy Efficiency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Set 3 – Increasing Energy Efficiency: Consumer and Business Choice Limits Energy Efficiency Spending ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 4 – Increasing Deployment of Clean Energy -making alternative energy suitable for marketplace competition, by cutting its costs   __________________________________________________________________ This line represents the cost of coal generation without the effect of a cap or RES Purpose of low-cost financing = Drive delivered cost down
Low-cost long-term financing can expand the clean energy market by attracting private investment to lower priced projects Prepared by an energy investment firm using public data sources ,[object Object],[object Object],Notes: -Assumes that all after-tax free cashflows from the project are financeable, net of cover ratios -CAPEX costs do not include significant transmission system upgrades -The CAPEX here is based on reported project cost data for the ARRA grant program through November 2009, with a 10% discount to account for reductions in equipment costs since 2009 in projects being built in 2011 and 2012 timeframe -The two cases describe the identical project, but commercial banks will finance a more conservative wind case (requiring the 1.4x cover ratio) -The two cases assume the sale of identical quantities of electricity  - Note (1): LIBOR rate based on LIBOR swap curve for last 5 years, Treasury based on rates for the same period.
Current commercial debt rates limit the size of the clean energy market --The boxed area of table displays commonly encountered Net Capacity Factors (NCF) across the country and the required pricing ($/MWh) for wind generation. (East region NCF values are closer to 35%, Plains region NCF reach 44% and above, and West region NCF varies from 35-41% --The shaded scenarios (in green) show the limits of current commercial investment (10% Internal Rate of Return, is considered the minimum for leveraged project finance). Prepared by investment firm specializing in wind energy transactions based on data from independent wind development companies and public sources Note: Net Capacity Factor is a measure of the actual amount of power produced during a year.  Calculated by dividing total net energy production by the maximum theoretical possible annual production from the nameplate capacity 2012 Price [$/MWh] with  2% annual escalation  IRR table for an example wind project using Commercial Bank Financing at $1,963/kW installed cost and current tax policy:  financing terms of 6.75% interest rate at 20% leverage
Energy Independence Trust long term, low cost debt expands the size of the clean energy market for private investment --The use of the EIF to provide additional debt financing to wind projects results in a reduction of electricity price of approximately ~15-20% to provide the same investor returns at a given capacity factor; for example, 38% NCF wind projects can sell energy at values of $50/MWh, compared to $60/MWh without the EIF  --The larger scope of the shaded scenarios significantly increases the economically-attractive wind generation that can compete with new build fossil-fuel power plants to provide energy for incremental demand growth; by some estimates, approximately 120 GWs of lower-NCF wind resource become competitive with new conventional generation. Prepared by investment firm specializing in wind energy transactions based on data from independent wind development companies and public sources Note: Net Capacity Factor is a measure of the actual amount of power produced during a year.  Calculated by dividing total net energy production by the maximum theoretical possible annual production from the nameplate capacity 2012 Price [$/MWh] with  2% annual escalation  IRR table for an example wind project using EIT Financing at $1,963/kW installed cost and current tax policy:  financing terms of 4.50% interest rate at 34% leverage
3 Ways to Lower the Cost of  Clean Energy   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tax Policy Possibilities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Role of Green Banks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What is the Green Bank?:  A hybrid for-profit, or not-for- profit low-risk institution designed to safely leverage public dollars into massive private investment Funding of $10B GREEN BANK Support up to $100B in loans over 20 years  Combined with equity, can support up to $200B in investment in clean energy $ $ $ Loan, loan guarantees Loans, loan guarantees Supports up to 100 GW of renewable projects-replacing more than 20% of carbon-based capacity
The Connecticut Green Bank - CEFIA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Funding a Green Bank With  Repatriated Funds ,[object Object]
The Green Bank could create incentives for willing consumers or utilities to pay for retrofits….without up-front capital from the borrower 1. The Green Bank loans 100% of the cost of an energy efficiency project to a utility or other source at a low rate. 2. The utility disperses the funds to install energy efficiency measures in homes and small businesses, creating jobs in the local community. Residential property/ Small business Utility/Co-op Green Bank Energy Bill 5. After the loan is repaid, the consumer sees the full benefit of the efficiency measures, the utility has saved money and created local jobs, and the taxpayer has been repaid in full. 4. Through on-bill financing, a portion of the savings shows up on the consumer’s bill, and the rest is transferred to the utility, which uses the money to repay the initial loan from the Green Bank over an extended tenor. (For example, if there is a savings of $100/month, the consumer receives a $25 discount on the bill and the utility charges $75 for electricity that is not being provided in order to re-pay the loan). The utility will also have the right to place a lien on the property in order to obtain payment.  3. The owner of the residence/small business pays no up-front cost to have their building retrofitted, and sees a reduced energy bill.
Innovation Requires Both Research and Demand Pull from Deployment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Establish the Clean Energy Deployment Administration (CEDA) to Support   Innovative New Technologies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other Measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Building Political Support ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Transitioning to a clean energy economy (slide deck revised)

  • 1. Transitioning to a Clean Energy Economy Coalition for Green Capital Kenneth Berlin, General Counsel (202) 371-7350 Kenneth.Berlin@Skadden.com) www.coalitionforgreencapital.com Presented to: Washington Clean Technology Alliance Seattle – July 14, 2011
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. The Context – CO2 Emissions by Sector and Source
  • 6.
  • 7. Step 1 – Reducing Electric Power Sector Emissions - Closing Coal Plants Many coal fired plants lack pollution control equipment :
  • 8.
  • 9.
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  • 11.
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  • 14. Step 4 – Increasing Deployment of Clean Energy -making alternative energy suitable for marketplace competition, by cutting its costs __________________________________________________________________ This line represents the cost of coal generation without the effect of a cap or RES Purpose of low-cost financing = Drive delivered cost down
  • 15.
  • 16. Current commercial debt rates limit the size of the clean energy market --The boxed area of table displays commonly encountered Net Capacity Factors (NCF) across the country and the required pricing ($/MWh) for wind generation. (East region NCF values are closer to 35%, Plains region NCF reach 44% and above, and West region NCF varies from 35-41% --The shaded scenarios (in green) show the limits of current commercial investment (10% Internal Rate of Return, is considered the minimum for leveraged project finance). Prepared by investment firm specializing in wind energy transactions based on data from independent wind development companies and public sources Note: Net Capacity Factor is a measure of the actual amount of power produced during a year. Calculated by dividing total net energy production by the maximum theoretical possible annual production from the nameplate capacity 2012 Price [$/MWh] with 2% annual escalation IRR table for an example wind project using Commercial Bank Financing at $1,963/kW installed cost and current tax policy: financing terms of 6.75% interest rate at 20% leverage
  • 17. Energy Independence Trust long term, low cost debt expands the size of the clean energy market for private investment --The use of the EIF to provide additional debt financing to wind projects results in a reduction of electricity price of approximately ~15-20% to provide the same investor returns at a given capacity factor; for example, 38% NCF wind projects can sell energy at values of $50/MWh, compared to $60/MWh without the EIF --The larger scope of the shaded scenarios significantly increases the economically-attractive wind generation that can compete with new build fossil-fuel power plants to provide energy for incremental demand growth; by some estimates, approximately 120 GWs of lower-NCF wind resource become competitive with new conventional generation. Prepared by investment firm specializing in wind energy transactions based on data from independent wind development companies and public sources Note: Net Capacity Factor is a measure of the actual amount of power produced during a year. Calculated by dividing total net energy production by the maximum theoretical possible annual production from the nameplate capacity 2012 Price [$/MWh] with 2% annual escalation IRR table for an example wind project using EIT Financing at $1,963/kW installed cost and current tax policy: financing terms of 4.50% interest rate at 34% leverage
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. The Green Bank could create incentives for willing consumers or utilities to pay for retrofits….without up-front capital from the borrower 1. The Green Bank loans 100% of the cost of an energy efficiency project to a utility or other source at a low rate. 2. The utility disperses the funds to install energy efficiency measures in homes and small businesses, creating jobs in the local community. Residential property/ Small business Utility/Co-op Green Bank Energy Bill 5. After the loan is repaid, the consumer sees the full benefit of the efficiency measures, the utility has saved money and created local jobs, and the taxpayer has been repaid in full. 4. Through on-bill financing, a portion of the savings shows up on the consumer’s bill, and the rest is transferred to the utility, which uses the money to repay the initial loan from the Green Bank over an extended tenor. (For example, if there is a savings of $100/month, the consumer receives a $25 discount on the bill and the utility charges $75 for electricity that is not being provided in order to re-pay the loan). The utility will also have the right to place a lien on the property in order to obtain payment. 3. The owner of the residence/small business pays no up-front cost to have their building retrofitted, and sees a reduced energy bill.
  • 25.
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  • 28.

Editor's Notes

  1. DCO-AAA123-20081211- WCO-ZZD238-20081022-01