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Town Hall with Congressman
     Patrick McHenry
        August 2011
U.S. National Debt




At the close of business today, the U.S. National Debt stood at:
$14,572,735,692,347!
2011 Federal Budget


Expenditures                              DEFICIT


    Revenue




               0     1,000      2,000      3,000    4,000


                             Billions of Dollars
Source: OMB
TOTAL SPENDING IN FY 2010 = $3.5 TRILLION
                        (OUTLAYS IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS)

Discretionary                                                       Autopilot
Spending                                     Interest
                                                      Other         Spending
                            Non-Defense        6%
                            Discretionary          Mandatory
                                19.2%                 12%
                                                                  Medicare
                  Defense
                   19.8%
                                   Social Security
                                                               Medicaid
                                        20%




Source: Congressional                                 Overall Healthcare Spending
Budget Office August                                              23%
2010 Budget &
Economic Outlook
How Much Does the Government Borrow?
             Over 40 cents per dollar!




Source: OMB
Deficit Under Obama Budgets
          (Deficit Levels in Billions of Dollars)
        OBAMA TAKES OFFICE                                                    OBAMA FY2012 BUDGET
1,600

1,400

1,200

1,000

 800

 600

 400

 200

   0




                                                                                                          2018
        2004
               2005
                      2006
                             2007
                                    2008
                                           2009
                                                  2010
                                                         2011
                                                                2012
                                                                       2013
                                                                              2014
                                                                                     2015
                                                                                            2016
                                                                                                   2017


                                                                                                                 2019
                                                                                                                        2020
                                                                                                                               2021
Will Raising Taxes Help?

Question 5:
True or false: If we rolled back Bush tax cuts for ALL Americans, we could
balance the budget.
1 ____ TRUE
2 ____ FALSE

Source: Congressional Research Service Report, “The Bush Tax Cuts and the Economy” 2010

Question 6: What percentage of Americans currently pay no personal
income tax?
1 ____ 7% OF AMERICANS
2 ____ 17% OF AMERICANS
3 ____ 27% OF AMERICANS
4 ____ 37% OF AMERICANS
5 ____ 47% OF AMERICANS
Source: Tax Policy Center, www.taxpolicycenter.org 2010
Who Pays Taxes?
                  Percentiles Ranked by Percentage of Federal
                  AGI                   Personal Income Tax
                                        Paid
                  Top 1%                38.02 %

                  Top 5%                58.72 %

                  Top 10%               69.94 %

                  Top 25%               86.34 %

                  Top 50%               97.30 %
Source: IRS
2008 Statistics   Bottom 50%            2.7 %
TAXPAYERS SUPPORTING EACH SOCIAL SECURITY RECIPIENT
    RECIPIENT          WORKERS


  1950                                                                                           16.5

  1960                                                                   8.6
                                                                               LIFE EXPECTANCY
  2000                                      3.4
                                                                               1950       68
                                                                               1960       70
  2009                                   3.0                                   2000       76
                                                                               2009       78
  2040                              2.1

SOURCE: SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION, THE 2010 ANNUAL REPOT OF THE
      BOARD OF TRUSTEES; CENTERS FOR DISEASE CONTROL, U.S. LIFE TABLES
Doubles then Triples the Debt
         (Debt Held by Public in Billions of Dollars)
25,000


20,000


15,000                  OBAMA TAKES OFFICE



10,000


 5,000


    0
          2000
                 2001
                         2002
                                2003
                                       2004
                                              2005
                                                     2006
                                                            2007
                                                                   2008
                                                                          2009
                                                                                 2010
                                                                                        2011
                                                                                               2012
                                                                                                      2013
                                                                                                             2014
                                                                                                                    2015
                                                                                                                           2016
                                                                                                                                  2017
                                                                                                                                         2018
                                                                                                                                                2019
                                                                                                                                                       2020
                                                                                                                                                              2021
                                                                                                               OBAMA FY2012 BUDGET
WHAT DRIVES OUR DEBT?
                  (GOVERNMENT SPENDING AS SHARE OF ECONOMY)
25%

                PROJECTED TAX REVENUE
20%


15%
                                                 MEDICARE

10%
                                             MEDICAID & OTHER
                                                  HEALTH
 5%
                                               SOCIAL SECURITY

 0%
      1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080
SOURCE: CBO
Explosive Growth of Spending Drives Fiscal Imbalance
   Federal Taxes and Spending as a Percent of GDP
 26%

                                                 HISTORICAL SPENDING
 24%
                                                  AVERAGE = 20.3%
                     SPENDING
                                                                                    FY 2012
 22%
                                                                                    OBAMA
                                                                                    BUDGET
 20%


 18%


 16%
                                                   HISTORICAL TAX
                       TAXES                       AVERAGE = 18%
 14%
       1960   1965   1970   1975   1980   1985   1990   1995   2000   2005   2010   2015   2020
JOBS
WHO OWNS OUR DEBT?
DEBT HELD BY PUBLIC, 1970-2010




                           SOURCE: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TREASURY
THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT
                  A STEP IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION




Source: CBO

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Town Hall with Congressman Patrick McHenry

  • 1. Town Hall with Congressman Patrick McHenry August 2011
  • 2.
  • 3. U.S. National Debt At the close of business today, the U.S. National Debt stood at: $14,572,735,692,347!
  • 4. 2011 Federal Budget Expenditures DEFICIT Revenue 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Billions of Dollars Source: OMB
  • 5. TOTAL SPENDING IN FY 2010 = $3.5 TRILLION (OUTLAYS IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) Discretionary Autopilot Spending Interest Other Spending Non-Defense 6% Discretionary Mandatory 19.2% 12% Medicare Defense 19.8% Social Security Medicaid 20% Source: Congressional Overall Healthcare Spending Budget Office August 23% 2010 Budget & Economic Outlook
  • 6.
  • 7. How Much Does the Government Borrow? Over 40 cents per dollar! Source: OMB
  • 8. Deficit Under Obama Budgets (Deficit Levels in Billions of Dollars) OBAMA TAKES OFFICE OBAMA FY2012 BUDGET 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2018 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019 2020 2021
  • 9. Will Raising Taxes Help? Question 5: True or false: If we rolled back Bush tax cuts for ALL Americans, we could balance the budget. 1 ____ TRUE 2 ____ FALSE Source: Congressional Research Service Report, “The Bush Tax Cuts and the Economy” 2010 Question 6: What percentage of Americans currently pay no personal income tax? 1 ____ 7% OF AMERICANS 2 ____ 17% OF AMERICANS 3 ____ 27% OF AMERICANS 4 ____ 37% OF AMERICANS 5 ____ 47% OF AMERICANS Source: Tax Policy Center, www.taxpolicycenter.org 2010
  • 10. Who Pays Taxes? Percentiles Ranked by Percentage of Federal AGI Personal Income Tax Paid Top 1% 38.02 % Top 5% 58.72 % Top 10% 69.94 % Top 25% 86.34 % Top 50% 97.30 % Source: IRS 2008 Statistics Bottom 50% 2.7 %
  • 11. TAXPAYERS SUPPORTING EACH SOCIAL SECURITY RECIPIENT RECIPIENT WORKERS 1950 16.5 1960 8.6 LIFE EXPECTANCY 2000 3.4 1950 68 1960 70 2009 3.0 2000 76 2009 78 2040 2.1 SOURCE: SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION, THE 2010 ANNUAL REPOT OF THE BOARD OF TRUSTEES; CENTERS FOR DISEASE CONTROL, U.S. LIFE TABLES
  • 12. Doubles then Triples the Debt (Debt Held by Public in Billions of Dollars) 25,000 20,000 15,000 OBAMA TAKES OFFICE 10,000 5,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 OBAMA FY2012 BUDGET
  • 13. WHAT DRIVES OUR DEBT? (GOVERNMENT SPENDING AS SHARE OF ECONOMY) 25% PROJECTED TAX REVENUE 20% 15% MEDICARE 10% MEDICAID & OTHER HEALTH 5% SOCIAL SECURITY 0% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 SOURCE: CBO
  • 14. Explosive Growth of Spending Drives Fiscal Imbalance Federal Taxes and Spending as a Percent of GDP 26% HISTORICAL SPENDING 24% AVERAGE = 20.3% SPENDING FY 2012 22% OBAMA BUDGET 20% 18% 16% HISTORICAL TAX TAXES AVERAGE = 18% 14% 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
  • 15. JOBS
  • 16. WHO OWNS OUR DEBT? DEBT HELD BY PUBLIC, 1970-2010 SOURCE: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TREASURY
  • 17. THE BUDGET CONTROL ACT A STEP IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION Source: CBO