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THE SOCIETAL VALUE
OF HISTORICAL AND
PALEOFLOOD RESEARCH
IN MANITOBA, CANADA
Riederalp 2018 Workshop on Disasters and Societies | Riederalp, Switzerland | March 20, 2018
Shared knowledge of past natural disasters
has a major — sometimes decisive — impact
on our preparation for future hazards.
Winnipeg, Canada
WINNIPEG, CANADA
“ ”IMMACULATELY
FEATURELESS
LANDSCAPE
LAKE AGASSIZ
Source: Morningstarphoto
THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH
1950
DURING EXTREME CASES, THE FLOOD ZONE OF THE RED RIVER
CAN EXTEND 40 KM WIDE.
THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH
FARGO, NORTH DAKOTA
GRAND FORKS, NORTH DAKOTA
1997
Source: Dr. Greg Brooks, Geological Survey of Canada
A FIRE IN DOWNTOWN GRAND FORKS
ENGULFED ELEVEN BUILDINGS AND SIXTY APARTMENT UNITS.
$3.5 B
USD
THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH
Source: E.P. Van Lochem
IN THE 1960s, WINNIPEG BUILT A 47-KM LONG CHANNEL
THAT DIVERTS THE RED RIVER AROUND THE CITY.
River diversion
Main channel
Source: Dr. Greg Brooks, Geological Survey of Canada
WINNIPEG GRAND FORKS
?
WHY DID
THE LARGEST CANADIAN CITY
IN THE RED RIVER BASIN
ADOPT SUCH A HIGH LEVEL OF PROTECTION
WHILE AMERICAN COMMUNITIES
WERE STILL RELATIVELY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING?
EVALUATE
VULNERABILITY
BUILD
INFRASTRUCTURE
BE MORE AWARE
OF NATURE’S POTENTIAL
A DEEP ‘RIVER MEMORY’
IS ESSENTIAL TO:
THE DAKOTA TERRITORY WAS THE NORTHERNMOST PART
OF THE LAND ACQUIRED IN THE LOUISIANA PURCHASE IN 1803,
GRAND FORKS
1870
WINNIPEG
1812
FORT GARRY, HUDSON’S BAY COMPANY
MAY 11826
WE OFTEN WISHED AND PRAYED FOR WARM WEATHER;
NOW THIS IS SENT US,
AND IT TURNS OUT THE CAUSE OF MOST SERIOUS APPREHENSION;
THE PRODIGIOUS QUALITY OF SNOW
… HAS BEEN DISSOLVED SO FAST
AS TO CAUSE THE RIVER TO SWELL WITH UNUSAL CELERITY.
“ ”
David Jones Journal
May 1826
MAY 31826
THE RIVER ROSE SIX FEET
LAST NIGHT PERPENDICULARLY ,
SEVERAL TENTS ARE NOW PITCHED UPON
THE MOST ELEVATED SPOTS:
TERROR IS STRONGLY DEPICTED
ON EVERY COUNTENANCE.
“ ”
David Jones Journal
May 1826
MAY 51826
THE RIVER
OVERFLOWED ITS BANKS
EVERY WHERE,
AND CARRIED THE ICE WITH GREAT VELOCITY
TO A GREATER DISTANCE FROM ITS COURSE,
THAN HAD EVER BEEN SEEN BEFORE
BY THE OLDEST INHABITANTS.
“ ”
Red River Journal
May 1826
MAY 161826
THE WHOLE FACE OF THE COUNTRY,
BOTH BELOW AND ABOVE OUR ENCAMPMENT
IS COVERED WITH WATER,
AND IN THIS WINDY WEATHER, LOOKS LIKE
AN IMMENSE LAKE IN A STORM.
“ ”
Red River Journal
May 1826
DONALD SMITH DRIVES THE LAST SPIKE
OF THE CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILWAY IN 7 NOVEMBER 1885.
THE LARGEST FLOODS ARE KNOWN FROM HISTORICAL ACCOUNTS
AND POST HOC SURVEYS OF LOCAL ELDERS.
Source: Manitoba Conservation and Water Stewardship
0
60,000
120,000
180,000
240,000
2006 1996 1979 1950 2011 1861 2009 1997 1852 1826
discharge (cfs)
historical reports
river gauges
Estimate for 1826 discharge
Floodway capacity
1950 flood discharge
Sources: Brooks and St. George, Geomorphic Approaches to Integrated Floodplain Management of Lowland Fluvial Systems in North America and Europe (2015),
Manitoba Water Stewardship
THE FLOODWAY WAS DESIGNED FOR A FLOOD LARGER THAN THE RECENT 1950 DISASTER
PARTLY BECAUSE OF THE LONG MEMORY OF FLOODS IN THIS REGION.
Source: Dr. Greg Brooks, Geological Survey of Canada
1997
IN 2005, THE GOVERNMENTS OF CANADA AND MANITOBA AGREED TO
EXPAND THE FLOODWAY TO PROTECT AGAINST THE “700-YR FLOOD”.
46
Source: St. George and Nielsen, The Holocene, 2003
1826
19
IN RESPONSE TO THE 1997 FLOOD, THE CITY OF GRAND FORKS
BUILT A 3-M HIGH FLOODWALL AT A COST OF $409 M USD.
THE RED RIVER DID NOT PRODUCE A MAJOR FLOOD AT WINNIPEG
FOR NEARLY A CENTURY BETWEEN 1861 AND 1950.
Source: Brooks and St. George, Geomorphic Approaches to Integrated Floodplain Management of Lowland Fluvial Systems in North America and Europe (2015)
… ALTHOUGH THE 1826 FLOOD
DEVASTATED THE FLEDGLING
RED RIVER SETTLEMENT,
IT ALSO LED TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A SUPERIOR LEVEL 

OF FLOOD PROTECTION
FOR MODERN WINNIPEG…
“ ”
St. George and Rannie
Canadian Water Resources Journal, 2003
@sco stgeorge

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The Societal Value of Historical and Paleoflood Research in Manitoba

  • 1. THE SOCIETAL VALUE OF HISTORICAL AND PALEOFLOOD RESEARCH IN MANITOBA, CANADA Riederalp 2018 Workshop on Disasters and Societies | Riederalp, Switzerland | March 20, 2018
  • 2. Shared knowledge of past natural disasters has a major — sometimes decisive — impact on our preparation for future hazards.
  • 8. THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH
  • 10. DURING EXTREME CASES, THE FLOOD ZONE OF THE RED RIVER CAN EXTEND 40 KM WIDE.
  • 11. THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH
  • 13.
  • 15. 1997 Source: Dr. Greg Brooks, Geological Survey of Canada
  • 16. A FIRE IN DOWNTOWN GRAND FORKS ENGULFED ELEVEN BUILDINGS AND SIXTY APARTMENT UNITS.
  • 18. THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH
  • 19. Source: E.P. Van Lochem IN THE 1960s, WINNIPEG BUILT A 47-KM LONG CHANNEL THAT DIVERTS THE RED RIVER AROUND THE CITY.
  • 20. River diversion Main channel Source: Dr. Greg Brooks, Geological Survey of Canada
  • 22. ? WHY DID THE LARGEST CANADIAN CITY IN THE RED RIVER BASIN ADOPT SUCH A HIGH LEVEL OF PROTECTION WHILE AMERICAN COMMUNITIES WERE STILL RELATIVELY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING?
  • 23. EVALUATE VULNERABILITY BUILD INFRASTRUCTURE BE MORE AWARE OF NATURE’S POTENTIAL A DEEP ‘RIVER MEMORY’ IS ESSENTIAL TO:
  • 24. THE DAKOTA TERRITORY WAS THE NORTHERNMOST PART OF THE LAND ACQUIRED IN THE LOUISIANA PURCHASE IN 1803,
  • 27.
  • 28. FORT GARRY, HUDSON’S BAY COMPANY
  • 29.
  • 31. WE OFTEN WISHED AND PRAYED FOR WARM WEATHER; NOW THIS IS SENT US, AND IT TURNS OUT THE CAUSE OF MOST SERIOUS APPREHENSION; THE PRODIGIOUS QUALITY OF SNOW … HAS BEEN DISSOLVED SO FAST AS TO CAUSE THE RIVER TO SWELL WITH UNUSAL CELERITY. “ ” David Jones Journal May 1826
  • 33. THE RIVER ROSE SIX FEET LAST NIGHT PERPENDICULARLY , SEVERAL TENTS ARE NOW PITCHED UPON THE MOST ELEVATED SPOTS: TERROR IS STRONGLY DEPICTED ON EVERY COUNTENANCE. “ ” David Jones Journal May 1826
  • 35. THE RIVER OVERFLOWED ITS BANKS EVERY WHERE, AND CARRIED THE ICE WITH GREAT VELOCITY TO A GREATER DISTANCE FROM ITS COURSE, THAN HAD EVER BEEN SEEN BEFORE BY THE OLDEST INHABITANTS. “ ” Red River Journal May 1826
  • 37. THE WHOLE FACE OF THE COUNTRY, BOTH BELOW AND ABOVE OUR ENCAMPMENT IS COVERED WITH WATER, AND IN THIS WINDY WEATHER, LOOKS LIKE AN IMMENSE LAKE IN A STORM. “ ” Red River Journal May 1826
  • 38. DONALD SMITH DRIVES THE LAST SPIKE OF THE CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILWAY IN 7 NOVEMBER 1885.
  • 39. THE LARGEST FLOODS ARE KNOWN FROM HISTORICAL ACCOUNTS AND POST HOC SURVEYS OF LOCAL ELDERS. Source: Manitoba Conservation and Water Stewardship 0 60,000 120,000 180,000 240,000 2006 1996 1979 1950 2011 1861 2009 1997 1852 1826 discharge (cfs) historical reports river gauges
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. Estimate for 1826 discharge Floodway capacity 1950 flood discharge Sources: Brooks and St. George, Geomorphic Approaches to Integrated Floodplain Management of Lowland Fluvial Systems in North America and Europe (2015), Manitoba Water Stewardship THE FLOODWAY WAS DESIGNED FOR A FLOOD LARGER THAN THE RECENT 1950 DISASTER PARTLY BECAUSE OF THE LONG MEMORY OF FLOODS IN THIS REGION.
  • 43. Source: Dr. Greg Brooks, Geological Survey of Canada 1997
  • 44. IN 2005, THE GOVERNMENTS OF CANADA AND MANITOBA AGREED TO EXPAND THE FLOODWAY TO PROTECT AGAINST THE “700-YR FLOOD”.
  • 45.
  • 46. 46 Source: St. George and Nielsen, The Holocene, 2003 1826 19
  • 47. IN RESPONSE TO THE 1997 FLOOD, THE CITY OF GRAND FORKS BUILT A 3-M HIGH FLOODWALL AT A COST OF $409 M USD.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. THE RED RIVER DID NOT PRODUCE A MAJOR FLOOD AT WINNIPEG FOR NEARLY A CENTURY BETWEEN 1861 AND 1950. Source: Brooks and St. George, Geomorphic Approaches to Integrated Floodplain Management of Lowland Fluvial Systems in North America and Europe (2015)
  • 51. … ALTHOUGH THE 1826 FLOOD DEVASTATED THE FLEDGLING RED RIVER SETTLEMENT, IT ALSO LED TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SUPERIOR LEVEL 
 OF FLOOD PROTECTION FOR MODERN WINNIPEG… “ ” St. George and Rannie Canadian Water Resources Journal, 2003