E&P's resource crunch is top news world-over. It is conventionally analyzed as the consequence of 1) Cyclicity in E&P (oil prices, industry boom, recruitment) 2) Lower interest in E&P subjects due to dominant perception of the business being CAUSE for climate change (dirty business) 3) Sophistication of the technical subjects - needing "EXPERT" guidance This presentation analyses it from a COMPLETELY DIFFERENT perspective. E&P crew crunch is due to "lagging behind" in the science and technology methodology. It can be proved that E&P is indeed significantly stuck in 20th century principles and concepts.

1. Change is also changing in hitherto unknown ways!
PERSPECTIVES - BIG CREW
CHANGE
Modified from a presentation made at Petrotech-2014 Pre-Conference workshop
“Leveraging IT resources for enhancing energy security” on 10-Jan-2014 @
The Lalit, New Delhi

2. Crew of the Great Alexander
http://img853.imageshack.us/img853/8908/rsiiseleucid.jpg
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
2

3. 20th century army (last seen in
action Iraq war)
http://www.democracynow.org/special/iraq_war_10_year_anniversary
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
3

4. 21st Century war
Micro-drones
1. Autonomous micro-drones
2. Cyber warfare
3. Bio-warfare
4. Video Games as training fields
5. +++
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
4

5. Transformational Changes
Every change is not transformational
Dominant Areas
1. Communications  1970-
2014 : From telegram to
Live-video interaction:
everywhere. Social
Networks is offshoot
2. Systems Biology 19902014 : From descriptive,
classifications to dynamic
numerical science
3. Warfare  2000-2014 :
Bullet is old-fashioned?
New
Slide
Significant Indicators &
Results
I. Quantum (10-100 times)
improved access,
reliability, performance
II. A new hitherto unknown
science. Quantum leap in
understanding and
assimilating . A new 21st
century opportunity
III. Control and governance
through distributed highfidelity techniques
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
5

6. Crew Change – Relevant
Questions
New
Slide
Is the E&P science & technology TRANSFORMATIONAL?
 If Yes
Does the Great Army has relevant – i)Learning; ii)
Axiomatic Framework; iii) A3(Attitude, Aptitude & Abilities)
???
 If Not
Less progressive than other technology industries?
ii) In the control of the Great Ageing Army?
iii) E&P is unique and so resisting change?
i)
What is your call?
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
6

7. E&P uniqueness and commonality
1. Guaranteed Demand : Supplier ability to
2.
3.
i.
ii.
iii.
iv.
control prices by many methods
Critical and irreplaceable product
Self-determined growth and performance
metrics
Knowledge Intensive and Technology business
Risk + Uncertainty
Multi-disciplinary (~60 sciences & engineering)
Data and methodology intensive
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
7

8. New
Slide
All Sciences progress with time. A 30-50 year perspective would see
every aspect of human endeavor change and develop
 Changes can be simple, incremental, progressive and linear
 Changes can be transformational
INDICATORS, MEASURES AND METRICS
OF CHANGES IN SCIENCES &
TECHNOLOGIES OF E&P
– IS A SEPARATE TOPIC
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
8

9. E&P change is
‘Transformational’
New
Slide
1. All transformational changes have used
‘computer science’ as the agent (including the
communication revolution)
2. Completely new approaches have occurred in all
such transformational areas. Paradigm changes in
method, analysis & inference!
3. 50+Y aged workforce do not have any formal
computer science learning
4. Why and How are they (at large) are becoming
‘critical’?
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
9

10. E&P change is Not
‘Transformational’
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
New
Slide
Uncertainty (and Risk) continue to dominate (No 1 issue)
Performance and Reliability in Discovery and Development
are highly disparate
‘Computer Science’ is not learnt or practiced in any of the E&P
Core-Disciplines (Geoscience, Reservoir Engineering,
Petroleum Engineering, Drilling or Management)
Empirical models developed in 20th century drive - Black-box
tools supplied by ‘service companies’
HPC and computation is from use of tools on volume data
(created by transformational electronics and device industry)
Offshore- Deep-offshore- Shale-gas are new industrial
frontiers of the E&P – supported by the high prices and rapid
growth in engineering technology Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
10

11. 21st century Science paradigm
1. Data Intensive Scientific Discovery (DISD)
2. Discovery using Petabytes of databases
3. Crowd-sourcing “innovation”, “discovery”
and “growth”
4. Radically changed from 20th century
approaches
5. Intensely dependent on “Computer Science”
EXAMPLES: Proteomics, Genomics, Particle
Physics, Astronomy, Medicine etc.
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
11

12. Crew change as Opportunity
Elevate E&P to 21st century science
methodology
Provide a measured (higher) efficiency in
performance
 Bring accountability
E&P cannot be unique among human endeavors.
Crew change is not specific to E&P
Other have changed their science models – E&P is
retaining the past
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
12

13. Cook-book for change – A new
modern Army
1. Computer Science as a pillar: Include in
Academic programs & Professional competency
matrix
2. Data as central: Capture both structured and
unstructured data into organized repositories
{Data into Databases}
3. Workflows & Analytical methods: Broad based,
repeatable, verifiable, and open (e.g.
biosciences)
4. Collaboration: Reassess the ‘secrecy’ model
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
13

14. Future is NOT what it used to be!
DISCLAIMER:
VIEWS AND THOUGHTS EXPRESSED ARE ONE INDIVIDUAL AND PERSONAL PERSPECTIVE.
AUTHOR ALSO HOLDS AND VERIFIES DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVES!
IF YOU CANNOT BE THE LEADER –
BE A SMART FOLLOWER
Dr. G Srikanth.
Srikanth.4thparadigm@gmail.com
13-Jan-14
14