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The New Resilient City
- 1. The New ResilientCity: Infrastructure Meets Community Fabric REBUILD BY DESIGN
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- 6. Source: Suzanne DeChillo/TheNew6York Times
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- 8. Outer Borough Impacts…buildings 8 Source:CGC76/Flickr
- 9. Outer borough impacts…beach Source:MTA 9 Source: Mario Alias/Flickr
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- 11. Source: 2012 CBSInteractive 11
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- 13. There were lotsof people helping other people Source: CAAAV 13
- 14. FEMA June 2013Flood Maps 100-YEAR FLOODPLAIN* 1983 FIRMs 2013 PWMs Change (%) Residents 218,000 398,000 82% Jobs 214,000 271,000 27% Buildings 36,000 68,000 89% Floor Area (SF) 377M 534M 42% 100-Year Floodplain: V Zone (FEMA 2013 PWMs) 100-Year Floodplain: A Zone (FEMA 2013 PWMs) 500-Year Floodplain (FEMA 2013 PWMs) * Numbers are rounded for clarity CONFIDENTIAL 14
- 15. Flood Maps in2020s and 2050s 100-YEAR FLOODPLAIN* 2013 PWMs 398,000 801,000 101% Jobs 271,000 430,000 59% Buildings 68,000 114,000 68% Floor Area (SF) * Numbers are rounded for clarity Change (%) Residents CONFIDENTIAL 2050s Projected 534M 855M 60% 15
- 16. Top Ten High-WaterEvents at the Battery, 1900-2012 Note: Among top 10 high water marks at the Battery since 1900, all are post-1950 Sandy eclipsed the previous record, set in 1960, by almost 40% Source: UCAR/ NCAR, NOAA CONFIDENTIAL 16
- 17. Cost and Likelihoodof Future Storms Likelihood of a $19B storm (like Sandy) will grow 17% by the 2020s and 40% by the 2050s ~$90B ~$35B 1/50 ~$19B 1/60 Likely loss of 1/70-year storm (like Sandy) will grow to $35B by the 2020s and $90B by the 2050s (in current dollars) 1/70 Likelihood of Damage (%) (Return Period, 50 = 1/50 years) Source: Swiss Re model CONFIDENTIAL 17
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- 21. NYC: 68,000 buildingsin the 100-year floodplain 40% impractical or infeasible to elevate CONFIDENTIAL 21
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- 26. Credit: Photos ofOld America, 1999 CONFIDENTIAL 26
- 27. Credit: Photos ofOld America, 1999 CONFIDENTIAL 27
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- 30. Neighborhood Retail andServices 30
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- 33. HR&A Advisors, Inc.| Cooper, Robertson & Partners REBUILD BY DESIGN| 33 33
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- 37. Blending and LayeringResiliency 37
- 38. BLENDING RESILIENCY INTODESIGN Retreat Redundancy Hardening Accommodation Habitat Restoration Biodiversity Climate Adaptation Water Quality Outdoor Recreation Waterfront Access Open Space
- 39. BLENDING RESILIENCY INTODESIGN Accommodation Hardening Habitat Restoration Water Quality Waterfront Access Open Space Resiliency Sustainability Resiliency is not the sole driver…
- 40. REDUCING RISK LAYERS OFRESILIENCY 3) Buildings 2) Infrastructure 1) Coastal THREAT PROTECTING ASSETS
- 41. REDUCING RISK PROTECTIVE LAYERSWITHIN INFRASTRUCTURE 1) Ingress prevention 2) Infrastructure 2) Compartmentalization and Water Removal 3) Critical Facilities Protection PROTECTING ASSETS THREAT
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- 43. 1992 1995 Coney Island, NY 43 ConeyIsland Beach Nourishment
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- 51. Parks and thePublic Realm 51
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- 59. Arverne-by-the-Sea 59 Raised site andflood protection
- 60. BUILDING and STREETADAPTATION Programs to assist when investment costs more than the buildings CONFIDENTIAL 60
- 61. BUILDING and STREETADAPTATION Policy levers to reduce carbon and provide local benefits CONFIDENTIAL 61
- 62. BUILDING and STREETADAPTATION Area-wide strategies Special Initiative for Rebuilding and Resiliency
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- 64. Communities devastated bySandy continue to suffer from isolation from discussions about recovery and resilience. Proposal: establish long-term local hubs integrating recovery assistance (like Build It Back), agency services (like building permits) and facilitation of long-term planning for resilience.
- 65. Innovation and Resiliencethrough Regional Design 65
- 66. PROCESS / TALENT/ FUNDING 66
- 68. Priorities for Creating a Livable and Resilient NewYork City Mobilize Existing Resources and Diverse Expertise. Strengthen Local Capacities. Invest In Flexible And Adaptive Infrastructure. Lead With Policies That Sustain Resilience.
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