SESSION ID:SESSION ID:
#RSAC
Tony Anscombe
The Malware Monetization Machine
SPO2-R11
VP and Senior Security Evangelist
Avast
@TonyAtAVG
The Malware
Monetization
Machine
Tony Anscombe ***********
#RSAC
Malware Inc. The Business
3
#RSAC
Malware Inc. The Business
4
30 employees
Healthcare,
vacation, lunch,
gym membership
Goal: grow distribution
and use of software
increasing LTV and ROI
2 offices located
anywhere
Revenue
2015 - $25m
2016 - $1bn
2017 - >2x growth?
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Products and Services
5
Software distribution
Data storage and encryption
Data collection and sales
Support services
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Software Distribution Q4 Recap
6
Q4 software distribution campaigns
Email delivery
• 20m emails delivered to 12m unique users
• Open rate
• Execution of the software package
• Conversion rates to paying customer
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Software Distribution Q4 Recap
7
Q4 software distribution campaigns
Hosted website downloads
• Automated - drive by download
• Unique users vs actual delivery/installation
• User initiated - click jacking
• CTR - Click Through Rate 0.5%
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q4 Data Business
8
Q4 data collection
Mobile App distribution
Collected from 3rd parties
Service redirection
Email campaigns
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Bonus Payments
Over achievement on goals
Revenue exceeded target
All staff will receive a 110% bonus
We shutdown for the holidays early,
congratulations!
9
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Bonus Payments
Over achievement on goals
Revenue exceeded target
All staff will receive a 110% bonus
We shutdown for the holidays early,
congratulations!
10
January 17, 2017
Locky down as cybercrime takes a brief December holiday
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Target Markets
11
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Target Markets
High
monetizing
countries
12
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Initiatives
13
A/B testing of offer screens
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Testing Payment Methods
14
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Translation
15
12 Languages to be offered
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Time Sensitive Offers
16
Early purchase discounts
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Detecting Fraud
17
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Legacy Customers
18
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Software Sales
19
Product sales security software
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Identity Duplication
20
Stealing
login
details
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Identity Duplication
21
X
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Mobile
22
#RSAC
Malware Inc. EOL Products
23
Banking Trojans
Premium rate SMS
#RSAC
Affiliate/Partner Sales
Victims
Affiliates
The boss
24
#RSAC
Malware Inc. Q1 Outsourced Engineering
25
Bot nets/herders
Exploit writers
Malware writers
Infrastructure/tool providers
#RSAC
Malware Inc. The Competition
26
How do we combat?
#RSAC
Overall security threat
is growing in complexity
Mobile threats
are also accelerating
People’s Security Needs are Growing
Total malware
threats, millions
(Cumulative malware
threat attacks,
million)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
47
65
470
183
100
326
0.35
1.01
4.26
10.6
585
2016
17.0
30
Mobile malware
threats, millions
(Cumulative malware
threat attacks,
million)
#RSAC
Probability of Attack - The Americas
31
#RSAC
Probability of Attack - The Americas
32
CA: 15%
US: 14%
MX: 21%
BR: 20%
PE: 27%
FR: 16%
PT: 18%
MA: 29%
SN: 28%
…
#RSAC
Probability of Attack - Most of ROW
33
#RSAC
Probability of Attack - Most of ROW
34
CZ: 27%
EG: 25%
RU: 25%
ET: 41%
KZ: 27%
SA: 14%
TZ: 23%
IN: 28%
LK: 29%
…
#RSAC
How do we combat?
35
Incidents per day
23.7 million
#RSAC
How do we combat?
36
Incidents - rolling 30
687.0 million
#RSAC
Where do threats hide?
#RSAC
Ransomware - 2016
#1 Threat
150 new strains of ransomware
128,108,948 x $500 =
(detections) (average ransom)
#RSAC
Ransomware - 2016
#1 Threat
150 new strains of ransomware
128,108,948 x $500 =
$ 64,054,474,000
105% growth year on year
(detections) (average ransom)
#RSAC
Ransomware Hotspots
1. US
2. Brazil
3. Russia
4. UK
5. Mexico
6. Italy
7. Spain
8. Canada
9. Poland
10. Australia
11. India
40
#RSAC
Combatting Ransomware
Many different forms
Scareware, screen lockers,
crypto lockers, Doxingware
Ransomware is detected on every protection
layer, including behavioral analysis
14 ‘Free’ decryption tools available
Decryption is a last resort
Not
Decryptable
, 0.565
Decryptable
, 0.3785
Plausible
Decryption ,
0.0565
41
#RSAC
Connected devices estimated to reach up to 50 billion by 2020
Source: Cisco IBSG Report
42
Internet of Things is Exploding
Avast Confidential
#RSAC
Enslaved IoT Devices
IoT attacks more frequent:
• DDoS attack on Dyn
• 900,000 Telekom routers attacked
• 2016: from more than 4.3 million routers
scanned, 48% had some security vulnerability
• More than 50% of all home routers use default
passwords
• 2 out of 5 people are unaware that their router
has an administrative interface where they can
log in to view and change their settings
• 1 out of 7 log into their router’s admin
interface weekly or monthly to check for
updates43
#RSAC
Avast Confidential
44
Over 400M endpoints acting as
sensors. Allow us to detect and
neutralize threats fast.
Largest, most sophisticated, most
geographically dispersed threat
detection network.
World’s largest security-centric
machine-learning network.
About Avast
Leveraging data analytics to
improve customers online lifestyle. 8,524 virtual, 2,527 physical
and 443 AWS servers
82,600 simultaneous VPN connections
2.1m DNS requests
(normal and secure) per second
3.6tr URLs processed per year
45.8m concurrent connections
Pushed 110pb of data in last three months
#RSAC
Best Practices for a Ransomware Defense:
45
Ensure your systems, applications and devices are fully
updated and patched
Ensure you have strong layered anti-malware security solution
Educate employees not to open suspicious attachments
Disable Microsoft Office macros by default as a policy
Keep recent backup copies, disconnected and offsite
#RSAC
Summary
46
Anti-Malware is a
passionate business
Malware
is a business X
#RSAC
Tony Anscombe
tony.anscombe@avast.com

The malware monetization machine

  • 1.
    SESSION ID:SESSION ID: #RSAC TonyAnscombe The Malware Monetization Machine SPO2-R11 VP and Senior Security Evangelist Avast @TonyAtAVG
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. TheBusiness 4 30 employees Healthcare, vacation, lunch, gym membership Goal: grow distribution and use of software increasing LTV and ROI 2 offices located anywhere Revenue 2015 - $25m 2016 - $1bn 2017 - >2x growth?
  • 5.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Productsand Services 5 Software distribution Data storage and encryption Data collection and sales Support services
  • 6.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. SoftwareDistribution Q4 Recap 6 Q4 software distribution campaigns Email delivery • 20m emails delivered to 12m unique users • Open rate • Execution of the software package • Conversion rates to paying customer
  • 7.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. SoftwareDistribution Q4 Recap 7 Q4 software distribution campaigns Hosted website downloads • Automated - drive by download • Unique users vs actual delivery/installation • User initiated - click jacking • CTR - Click Through Rate 0.5%
  • 8.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q4Data Business 8 Q4 data collection Mobile App distribution Collected from 3rd parties Service redirection Email campaigns
  • 9.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. BonusPayments Over achievement on goals Revenue exceeded target All staff will receive a 110% bonus We shutdown for the holidays early, congratulations! 9
  • 10.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. BonusPayments Over achievement on goals Revenue exceeded target All staff will receive a 110% bonus We shutdown for the holidays early, congratulations! 10 January 17, 2017 Locky down as cybercrime takes a brief December holiday
  • 11.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Target Markets 11
  • 12.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Target Markets High monetizing countries 12
  • 13.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Initiatives 13 A/B testing of offer screens
  • 14.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Testing Payment Methods 14
  • 15.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Translation 15 12 Languages to be offered
  • 16.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Time Sensitive Offers 16 Early purchase discounts
  • 17.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Detecting Fraud 17
  • 18.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Legacy Customers 18
  • 19.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Software Sales 19 Product sales security software
  • 20.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Identity Duplication 20 Stealing login details
  • 21.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Identity Duplication 21 X
  • 22.
  • 23.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. EOLProducts 23 Banking Trojans Premium rate SMS
  • 24.
  • 25.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. Q1Outsourced Engineering 25 Bot nets/herders Exploit writers Malware writers Infrastructure/tool providers
  • 26.
    #RSAC Malware Inc. TheCompetition 26
  • 29.
    How do wecombat?
  • 30.
    #RSAC Overall security threat isgrowing in complexity Mobile threats are also accelerating People’s Security Needs are Growing Total malware threats, millions (Cumulative malware threat attacks, million) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 47 65 470 183 100 326 0.35 1.01 4.26 10.6 585 2016 17.0 30 Mobile malware threats, millions (Cumulative malware threat attacks, million)
  • 31.
    #RSAC Probability of Attack- The Americas 31
  • 32.
    #RSAC Probability of Attack- The Americas 32 CA: 15% US: 14% MX: 21% BR: 20% PE: 27% FR: 16% PT: 18% MA: 29% SN: 28% …
  • 33.
  • 34.
    #RSAC Probability of Attack- Most of ROW 34 CZ: 27% EG: 25% RU: 25% ET: 41% KZ: 27% SA: 14% TZ: 23% IN: 28% LK: 29% …
  • 35.
    #RSAC How do wecombat? 35 Incidents per day 23.7 million
  • 36.
    #RSAC How do wecombat? 36 Incidents - rolling 30 687.0 million
  • 37.
  • 38.
    #RSAC Ransomware - 2016 #1Threat 150 new strains of ransomware 128,108,948 x $500 = (detections) (average ransom)
  • 39.
    #RSAC Ransomware - 2016 #1Threat 150 new strains of ransomware 128,108,948 x $500 = $ 64,054,474,000 105% growth year on year (detections) (average ransom)
  • 40.
    #RSAC Ransomware Hotspots 1. US 2.Brazil 3. Russia 4. UK 5. Mexico 6. Italy 7. Spain 8. Canada 9. Poland 10. Australia 11. India 40
  • 41.
    #RSAC Combatting Ransomware Many differentforms Scareware, screen lockers, crypto lockers, Doxingware Ransomware is detected on every protection layer, including behavioral analysis 14 ‘Free’ decryption tools available Decryption is a last resort Not Decryptable , 0.565 Decryptable , 0.3785 Plausible Decryption , 0.0565 41
  • 42.
    #RSAC Connected devices estimatedto reach up to 50 billion by 2020 Source: Cisco IBSG Report 42 Internet of Things is Exploding Avast Confidential
  • 43.
    #RSAC Enslaved IoT Devices IoTattacks more frequent: • DDoS attack on Dyn • 900,000 Telekom routers attacked • 2016: from more than 4.3 million routers scanned, 48% had some security vulnerability • More than 50% of all home routers use default passwords • 2 out of 5 people are unaware that their router has an administrative interface where they can log in to view and change their settings • 1 out of 7 log into their router’s admin interface weekly or monthly to check for updates43
  • 44.
    #RSAC Avast Confidential 44 Over 400Mendpoints acting as sensors. Allow us to detect and neutralize threats fast. Largest, most sophisticated, most geographically dispersed threat detection network. World’s largest security-centric machine-learning network. About Avast Leveraging data analytics to improve customers online lifestyle. 8,524 virtual, 2,527 physical and 443 AWS servers 82,600 simultaneous VPN connections 2.1m DNS requests (normal and secure) per second 3.6tr URLs processed per year 45.8m concurrent connections Pushed 110pb of data in last three months
  • 45.
    #RSAC Best Practices fora Ransomware Defense: 45 Ensure your systems, applications and devices are fully updated and patched Ensure you have strong layered anti-malware security solution Educate employees not to open suspicious attachments Disable Microsoft Office macros by default as a policy Keep recent backup copies, disconnected and offsite
  • 46.
    #RSAC Summary 46 Anti-Malware is a passionatebusiness Malware is a business X
  • 47.